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olivLaw · US equity research

Constellation Brands, Inc. STZ

Beverages · SIC 2080 · Vertical: Beverages (SIC 2080)

145.49USD+5.33% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Constellation Brands is an international producer and marketer of beer, wine and spirits, with its strength in high-end imported beer such as Modelo Especial and Corona Extra. The company is in a reshaping phase: wine and spirits sales fell after divestitures, while in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 beer net sales rose 5% and wine and spirits rose 17%. This matters now because management updated its reported EPS outlook for fiscal 2027 while reaffirming its comparable EPS target.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) stock was 145.49 USD (+5.33% on the day), with beta 0.28, 52-week range 112.77–166.68 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 2.6 bn USD (+6.1% YoY), net income of 565.8 m USD (+21.4% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
E/P (TTM)
unavailable
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.28
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
112.77166.68

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
70.7
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
120.88 – 143.88
above the upper band · %B 1.07 · band width 17.4%
SMA 50 / 200
125.73 / 141.62
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
4.41 / 3.38
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+28.4%−1.1%+29.5 pp—
3 months+11.4%−0.5%+11.8 pp—
6 months−4.5%+4.4%−8.9 pp—
Year to date+5.5%+12.3%−6.9 pp—
1 year+12.6%+13.5%−0.9 pp+1.2%
3 years−39.8%+76.4%−116.2 pp−22.9%
5 years−34.7%+63.7%−98.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−32.3%
04 Feb 2026 → 29 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−58.7%
31 Jul 2023 → 29 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 31 Aug 2026

Revenue
2.6 bn USD
+6.1% YoY
Net income
565.8 m USD
+21.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
21.5% / 30.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue2.5 bn2.2 bn2.5 bn2.5 bn2.2 bn1.9 bn2.4 bn2.6 bn
Cost of revenue1.2 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.0 bn968.5 m1.1 bn1.2 bn
Gross profit1.3 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn951.7 m1.3 bn1.4 bn
SG&A491.3 m505.3 m500.7 m436.0 m491.2 m420.5 m457.0 m538.2 m
Operating income793.0 m-150.3 m713.8 m874.0 m692.0 m441.6 m845.3 m805.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation119.3 m106.2 m105.5 m103.1 m99.3 m112.1 m97.9 m97.1 m
Interest expense107.7 m100.1 m100.6 m89.0 m86.6 m85.4 m87.7 m85.3 m
Pre-tax income673.6 m-342.6 m611.4 m782.9 m632.3 m351.2 m760.0 m729.4 m
Income tax44.5 m28.0 m87.6 m296.8 m110.1 m126.5 m88.1 m147.1 m
Net income615.9 m-375.3 m516.1 m466.0 m502.8 m201.8 m653.8 m565.8 m
Operating cash flow685.2 m ≈594.7 m637.2 m852.1 m ≈616.9 m ≈562.8 m661.8 m816.8 m ≈
Capex228.4 m ≈282.6 m192.8 m217.3 m ≈246.0 m ≈218.9 m177.2 m176.9 m ≈
Dividends paid182.7 m ≈180.5 m182.2 m178.9 m ≈177.7 m ≈176.9 m178.7 m175.1 m ≈
Share repurchases218.9 m ≈455.7 m306.1 m297.9 m ≈220.1 m ≈100.0 m223.8 m230.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue8.1 bn8.3 bn8.6 bn8.8 bn9.5 bn10.0 bn10.2 bn9.1 bn
Revenue YoY+7.1%+2.8%+3.3%+2.4%+7.2%+5.4%+2.5%−10.5%
Net income3.4 bn-11.8 m2.0 bn-40.4 m-71.0 m1.7 bn-81.4 m1.7 bn
Net income YoY+49.2%−100.3%unavailable−102.0%unavailableunavailable−104.7%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %42.3%-0.1%23.2%-0.5%-0.8%17.3%-0.8%18.5%
Free cash flow1.4 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.5 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 28 Feb 2026

Cash
102.4 m USD
Financial debt
10.0 bn USD
Net debt
9.9 bn USD
Equity
8.4 bn USD
Total assets
21.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.19x
Current ratio
1.08x
ROE
21.7%
ROA
7.7%
FCF margin
19.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
10.0 bn
2025
10.2 bn
2026
9.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
4.9 bn
2025
4.9 bn
2026
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.3 bn
2026
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

SG&A
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2024
3.2 bn
2025
354.9 m
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
429.2 m
2025
447.0 m
2026
420.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
3.6 bn ≈
2025
801.9 m ≈
2026
3.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
443.6 m
2025
418.4 m
2026
361.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
2.2 bn
2025
-82.8 m
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2024
456.6 m
2025
-51.7 m
2026
621.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2024
1.7 bn
2025
-81.4 m
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
152.4 m
2025
68.1 m
2026
102.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2024
2.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2024
3.7 bn
2025
3.7 bn
2026
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
8.1 bn
2025
7.4 bn
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Jul 2025verified

Goodwill
2024
8.0 bn
2025
5.1 bn
2026
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2024
25.7 bn
2025
21.7 bn
2026
21.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
1.1 bn
2025
939.8 m
2026
960.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
241.4 m
2025
806.7 m
2026
272.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
10.7 bn
2025
9.3 bn
2026
9.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
3.1 bn
2025
4.0 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
15.6 bn
2025
14.5 bn
2026
13.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2024
10.1 bn
2025
7.1 bn
2026
8.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.2 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
875.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.9 bn ≈
2026
1.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-1.3 bn
2025
-974.8 m
2026
16.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-1.5 bn
2025
-2.3 bn
2026
-2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
653.8 m
2025
731.8 m
2026
715.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
249.7 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
924.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
666.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
-3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
52.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
34.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
30.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF margin
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
23.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROA
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROIC
12.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROCE
14.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
38.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
9.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Debt / equity
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
819.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
95.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
83.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
118 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
85 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
Earnings yield
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

145.49 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
23.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Oct 2026
verified 2421derived 208

Score by group

56% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Beverages (SIC 2080)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality12.6%62 (vs peers)19%
Net margin · Quality20.9%94 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality95.6%94 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.1%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.9x43 (vs peers)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet8.1x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x17 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns38.5%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality79/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC. (STZ). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 9.1 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth -10.5%; net margin 20.9%; ROE 23.9%; net debt/EBITDA 2.9x.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 20.9%
  • FCF conversion: 95.6%
  • Interest coverage: 8.1x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 38.5%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.1%
  • Current ratio: 1.0x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Beverages (SIC 2080) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 32.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 23.8x
P/S
—
vertical median 2.2x
P/B
—
vertical median 2.6x
ROE
23.9%
vertical median 11.2%
above median (+114.3%)
Net margin
20.9%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+1,304.7%)
EBIT margin
30.2%
vertical median 7.2%
above median (+322.3%)
Revenue YoY
-10.5%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−705.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.9x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+45.0%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KOCoca Cola Co412.1 bn28.242.6%28.7%+1.9%+31% / +64%
DEODIAGEO plc237.6 bn92.424.0%9.1%+0.3%+7% / −30%
PEPPepsico Inc194.1 bn18.750.1%10.8%+2.3%−4% / −15%
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.50.1 bn37.25.7%7.1%+8.2%+32% / +17%
BF-ABrown Forman Corp14.9 bn20.318.1%18.4%−1.2%+10% / −48%
PRMBPrimo Brands Corp7.6 bn79.43.2%1.5%+29.3%+34% / +46%
COCOThe Vita Coco Company, Inc.3.7 bn32.932.0%15.7%+18.2%+23% / +133%
WESTWestrock Coffee Company1.0 bn——-4.9%+39.8%+138% / +13%
BUDABuda Juice, Inc.83.2 m34.519.3%17.1%+11.8%unavailable / unavailable
SRXHSRX Global Inc.18.0 m—-70.8%-254.8%−81.3%−96% / −100%
WVVIWillamette Valley Vineyards, Inc.8.3 m—-3.3%-5.9%−6.5%−37% / −68%
YHCLQR House Inc.2.9 m0.2-88.2%-1,589.2%−37.4%−98% / −100%
IPSTIp Strategy Holdings, Inc.2.3 m—-2,713.2%-2,064.0%+20.4%−98% / unavailable
EDVAEndovia Health Sciences, Inc.1.2 m——-53,856.5%−90.9%−96% / −100%
BRCCBRC Inc.903.4 k—-14.2%-1.5%+1.7%−23% / −77%
IBGInnovation Beverage Group Limited593.4 k——-223.4%−5.1%−94% / unavailable
ABEVAmbev S.A.——16.6%17.6%−1.4%+9% / +1%
STZConstellation Brands, Inc.——23.9%20.9%−10.5%+13% / −40%

1- and 3-year price returns: for STZ from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Constellation Brands is an international producer and marketer of beer, wine and spirits, with its strength in high-end imported beer such as Modelo Especial and Corona Extra. The company is in a reshaping phase: wine and spirits sales fell after divestitures, while in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 beer net sales rose 5% and wine and spirits rose 17% 3. This matters now because management updated its reported EPS outlook for fiscal 2027 while reaffirming its comparable EPS target.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leadership in imported beer and strong high-end brands give the company a market advantage, backed by exclusive import rights in all U.S. states 1.
  • The company has a solid financial base, with strong operating cash flow and a commitment to returning capital to shareholders 3.
  • The premium wine portfolio showed signs of recovery in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, with sales growth and share gains 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on U.S. beer sales, which make up the vast majority of the business, leaves the company exposed to changes in consumption 1.
  • The wine and spirits segment recorded a significant goodwill impairment in fiscal 2025 and a low operating margin 13.
  • The company changed its chief executive in April 2026, and the transition could cause operational disruption 1.

Opportunities

  • Growing brands such as Pacifico and Victoria, and expansion into new categories such as ready-to-drink, could open growth avenues 23.
  • Investment in capacity at Veracruz could support future growth of high-end brands if demand materializes 12.
  • Developing direct-to-consumer channels and international markets could widen the reach of premium wines 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade policy uncertainty could raise costs and compress margins 1.
  • Lower alcohol consumption, advertising restrictions and health warnings could weigh on volumes, especially in beer 1.
  • Strong competition from larger groups with greater resources could limit share gains 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on U.S. beerhigh

    Sales of U.S. beer make up the vast majority of the business, so any shift in preferences could affect results 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Tariffs imposed by the U.S. and other countries could raise costs and disrupt supply chains 1.

  • Asset impairmentsmedium

    Divested businesses and portfolio investments have produced significant impairments, and others could follow 1.

  • Leadership transitionmedium

    The change in chief executive could disrupt strategy and operations if not managed well 1.

  • Reputation and regulationlow

    Public perception, social media campaigns and alcohol regulation could affect brand image 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the leader in imported beer keeps its share gains, the company could sustain sales growth and margins over the long term 23.
  • If the premium wine portfolio continues its recovery, the segment could reduce pressure on overall results 3.
  • The efficiency programme and lower costs could help improve profitability in coming periods 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If U.S. beer consumption keeps declining, results could be significantly affected given the company's dependence on this segment 1.
  • If tariffs and trade uncertainty persist, costs could rise faster than selling prices 1.
  • If the wine segment does not recover its sales, further impairments could arise 1.

What to watch

  • The reported EPS outlook for fiscal 2027 and the trend in marketing spendingQ3 2027
  • Depletion trends for Modelo Especial and Corona ExtraQ3 2027
  • Whether the wine and spirits operating margin reaches the 5-6% range management estimatesfiscal 2027
  • Timing of the Veracruz brewery start-up and its effect on capacityfiscal 2028

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Constellation Brands, Inc. is an international producer and marketer of beer, wine and spirits with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand and Italy, headquartered in Rochester, New York 1. It conducts business through wholly owned entities and joint ventures. Its mission is to build brands people love, and its strategy pursues organic growth supplemented by targeted investments and acquisitions 1.

The company reports three segments: Beer, Wine and Spirits, and Corporate Operations and Other 1. The Beer segment, which accounts for the vast majority of the business, holds exclusive rights to import, market and sell its brands such as Modelo Especial, Corona Extra, Pacifico and Victoria in all 50 U.S. states 1. The Wine and Spirits segment was refocused on exclusively higher-end brands after the June 2025 divestitures 1.

The company operates two breweries in Nava and Obregón, and a third in Veracruz is under construction, with commercial production now expected at the beginning of fiscal 2028 12. Glass bottles are the largest packaging cost, and a joint venture with Owens-Illinois supplies a major share of the bottle requirement 1.

Segments

Wine and Spirits

Wine and Spirits net sales fell from 1668.9 million USD to 823.8 million USD in fiscal 2026, reflecting the June 2025 divestitures 1. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 net sales rose 17%, with an operating margin of 3.8% 3.

Market context

The company operates mainly in the U.S., where imported beer is its most important category and competition in beverage alcohol is intense 1. It ranks as the #1 importer of beer in the U.S., and its brands led dollar share gains in the beer category 13. Sales depend on separate wholesale distribution networks for beer and for wine and spirits 1.

The wine category experienced deceleration in fiscal 2026, and the company responded by repositioning its portfolio and improving efficiency 1. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 its wine portfolio was the #3 dollar share gainer in the total wine category, according to Circana U.S. tracked channels 3.

Trends

  • Premiumizationtailwind

    The company is orienting its portfolio toward premium and imported brands, which it views as better positioned for long-term growth in line with consumer trading up 1. If this trend holds, it could support margins in the beer segment.

  • Declining alcohol consumptionheadwind

    The sources cite several factors that could reduce alcohol consumption: lower discretionary income, health warnings, advertising restrictions and substitutes such as cannabis or GLP-1 drugs 1. If these trends intensify, volumes, especially U.S. beer, could be affected.

  • Trade tariffsmixed

    U.S. trade policy and tariffs negatively affected fiscal 2026 results, and in April 2026 beer made from malt was removed from the Section 232 aluminum tariffs 1. Uncertainty remains high, and tariff developments could influence costs.

  • Cost savings and restructuringtailwind

    The 2025 Restructuring Initiative aims for over 200 million USD in net annualized cost savings by fiscal 2028, with most of the work executed in fiscal 2026 1. These savings could offset margin pressure if they materialize.

Competitive position

The beverage alcohol industry is highly competitive, and the company competes on quality, price, brand recognition and distribution strength 1. Its competitors include multinational producers and distributors, some with greater resources than the company, across beer, wine and spirits 1.

In beer, competition comes from large groups and from craft and imported brands, while in wine and spirits it comes from companies with broad portfolios 1. Shelf space, restaurant presence and wholesaler attention are decisive, and the company treats them as important as the brand itself 1.

  • Anheuser-Busch InBev

    Principal beer competitor named in the company's filing; not confirmed as a U.S.-listed ticker in the sources.

  • The Boston Beer CompanySAM

    Competitor in the U.S. beer segment named in the company's filing.

  • Molson CoorsTAP

    Beer competitor named among the principal competitors.

  • Brown-FormanBF.B

    Spirits competitor named among the principal competitors in the sources.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report07 Oct 2026
  • Current report06 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report24 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report01 Jul 2026
  • Current report30 Jun 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement08 Jun 2026
  • Current report21 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report06 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-02-28 · SEC / Constellation Brands, Inc. · 22 Apr 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-31 · SEC / Constellation Brands, Inc. · 07 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Constellation Brands, Inc. · 06 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.