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olivLaw · US equity research

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. HOS

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC · SIC 1389 · Vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

5.36USD−12.70% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Helix Energy Solutions Group is an international offshore energy services company focused on well intervention, robotics and decommissioning, services it says support the energy transition, including offshore wind projects. In 2026 the company is pending a merger with Hornbeck, and its quarterly results show activity recovering after a weaker 2025. Revenues for the first six months of 2026 were 570.7 million USD, and backlog at the end of 2025 was 1.3 billion USD.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (HOS) stock was 5.36 USD (−12.70% on the day), with market capitalisation 790.0 m USD, P/E 20.1 on diluted EPS of 0.27 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.08, 52-week range 5.36–10.60 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 304.0 m USD (+20.8% YoY), net income of 22.7 m USD, diluted EPS 0.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
790.0 m USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.1
Diluted EPS TTM 0.27 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.98%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.08
Volatility (1y) 48%
52-week range
5.3610.60

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
20.8
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.85 – 7.75
below the lower band · %B -0.26 · band width 28.0%
SMA 50 / 200
7.94 / 9.00
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.49 / -0.42
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−30.6%−1.1%−29.5 pp—
3 months−45.4%−0.5%−44.9 pp—
6 months−45.5%+4.4%−49.9 pp—
Year to date−14.5%+12.3%−26.8 pp—
1 year−19.3%+13.5%−32.8 pp−6.3%
3 years−46.2%+76.4%−122.7 pp−32.6%
5 years+33.3%+63.7%−30.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−49.4%
01 Sept 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−58.2%
16 Jul 2024 → 05 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+5.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
304.0 m USD
+20.8% YoY
Net income
22.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.15
unavailable YoY
net / operating
7.5% / 8.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue342.4 m355.1 m278.1 m251.7 m377.0 m334.2 m287.9 m304.0 m
Cost of revenue276.8 m296.3 m250.5 m238.2 m310.9 m283.5 m279.1 m247.8 m
Gross profit65.7 m58.9 m27.5 m13.5 m66.0 m50.6 m8.8 m56.2 m
SG&A21.1 m27.6 m19.4 m16.5 m18.2 m20.3 m22.1 m21.1 m
Operating income44.6 m30.9 m8.2 m-3.0 m47.9 m12.3 m-13.3 m26.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation42.9 m40.6 m42.5 m39.5 m55.7 m43.9 m43.9 m39.5 m
Interest expense8.4 m8.3 m8.2 m8.3 m8.2 m8.2 m8.2 m8.3 m
Pre-tax income39.0 m24.0 m3.5 m-8.8 m41.3 m6.3 m-16.6 m22.4 m
Income tax9.5 m3.9 m453.0 k-3.7 m19.2 m-2.0 m-3.2 m7.1 m
Net income29.5 m20.1 m3.1 m-2.6 m22.1 m8.3 m-13.4 m22.7 m
Diluted EPS0.190.13 ≈0.02-0.020.150.06 ≈-0.090.15
Operating cash flow55.7 m ≈78.0 m16.4 m-17.1 m ≈24.3 m ≈113.2 m61.8 m53.9 m ≈
Capex3.2 m ≈12.5 m4.5 m4.1 m ≈2.1 m ≈5.7 m2.8 m7.2 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈19.4 m——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 24-quarter history (min 5.9, median 27.1, max 365.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue739.8 m751.9 m733.6 m674.7 m873.1 m1.3 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn
Revenue YoY+27.3%+1.6%−2.4%−8.0%+29.4%+47.7%+5.3%−4.9%
Net income28.6 m57.9 m22.2 m-61.5 m-87.8 m-10.8 m55.6 m30.8 m
Net income YoY−4.8%+102.5%−61.7%−377.5%unavailableunavailableunavailable−44.6%
Diluted EPS0.190.380.13-0.41-0.58-0.070.360.21
Diluted EPS YoY−5.0%+100.0%−65.8%−415.4%unavailableunavailableunavailable−41.7%
net %3.9%7.7%3.0%-9.1%-10.1%-0.8%4.1%2.4%
Free cash flow59.7 m28.8 m78.6 m131.8 m17.6 m132.9 m162.7 m120.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
418.3 m USD
Financial debt
308.0 m USD
Net debt
-110.3 m USD
Equity
1.6 bn USD
Total assets
2.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.19x
Current ratio
2.75x
ROE
2.0%
ROA
1.2%
FCF margin
9.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
200.4 m
2024
219.6 m
2025
159.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
94.4 m
2024
91.7 m
2025
75.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
63.5 m
2024
127.4 m
2025
65.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
164.1 m
2024
173.3 m
2025
187.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
227.6 m ≈
2024
300.7 m ≈
2025
252.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
21.4 m
2024
33.9 m
2025
33.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
7.5 m
2024
82.1 m
2025
42.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
18.4 m
2024
26.4 m
2025
11.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-10.8 m
2024
55.6 m
2025
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.07
2024
0.36
2025
0.21

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
150.9 m
2024
154.7 m
2025
148.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
332.2 m
2024
368.0 m
2025
418.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2023
280.4 m
2024
258.6 m
2025
240.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2023
697.8 m
2024
709.7 m
2025
825.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2021verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
4.1 m
2024
3.6 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
134.6 m
2024
144.8 m
2025
111.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
48.3 m
2024
9.2 m
2025
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
313.4 m
2024
306.0 m
2025
298.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
448.6 m
2024
304.4 m
2025
299.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn †
2024
1.5 bn †
2025
1.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
152.5 m
2024
186.0 m
2025
136.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
19.6 m
2024
23.3 m
2025
16.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
132.9 m ≈
2024
162.7 m ≈
2025
120.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-18.7 m
2024
-22.8 m
2025
-16.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
25.1 m
2024
-125.3 m
2025
-45.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
12.0 m
2024
29.6 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-48.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-44.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-41.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-26.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
19.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
18.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-347.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
253.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
17.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
235.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
593.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
98.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
790.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
442.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
6.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
1.62
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 77 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

5.36 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 790.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
790.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2640derived 208

Score by group

  • Balance sheet73
  • Growth100
  • Valuation84
  • Quality64

Estimated value range

Low
12.31
USD per share
Mid
15.65
USD per share
High
17.51
USD per share
Price: 5.36 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 192.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 65.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.68 – 63.10 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)36.95 – 63.10 (Mid 46.29)
    WACC 7.7% · starting FCFF 255.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA12.31 – 17.51 (Mid 15.65)
    7 companies used · median multiple 7.6x · quartiles 5.7x – 8.7x
    ACDC, CLB, HAL, KLXE, NESR, OII, PUMP
  • Peers: P/E3.68 – 5.54 (Mid 5.20)
    9 companies used · median multiple 19.5x · quartiles 13.8x – 20.7x
    CLB, HAL, NESR, NGS, OII, RNGR, SLB, TUSK, WTTR
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 77/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality3.2%42 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality3.0%67 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality593.4%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth13.9%100 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.4x100 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.2x11 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.5x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.1x55 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation1.7x100 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation29.8%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet73/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation84/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

HORNBECK OFFSHORE SERVICES, INC. (HOS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -4.9%; net margin 3.0%; ROE 2.5%; net debt/EBITDA -1.4x.

The estimated value range is 12.31–17.51 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 15.65 USD, the price of 5.36 USD leaves a potential of 192.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 65.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 77/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 593.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 13.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.4x
  • Current ratio: 3.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 1.7x
  • FCF yield: 29.8%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: 2.2x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.1x
vertical median 20.1x
at median
EV/EBITDA
1.7x
vertical median 7.9x
below median (−78.2%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−17.9%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−57.0%)
ROE
2.5%
vertical median 5.1%
below median (−51.0%)
Net margin
3.0%
vertical median 2.4%
above median (+26.6%)
EBIT margin
5.6%
vertical median 3.4%
above median (+65.1%)
Revenue YoY
-4.9%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.4x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−180.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SLBSlb Limited76.1 bn25.112.0%8.4%−1.6%+42% / −1%
HALHalliburton Company27.3 bn13.818.8%8.9%−3.3%+26% / −11%
OIIOceaneering International Inc3.4 bn10.331.1%11.4%+4.6%+39% / +65%
NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.1.9 bn20.79.4%5.8%+1.7%+38% / unavailable
RESRpc, Inc.1.2 bn—-3.0%-1.8%+15.0%+5% / −23%
HOSHornbeck Offshore Services, Inc.790.0 m20.12.5%3.0%−4.9%−19% / −46%
PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.738.4 m—0.2%0.2%−12.1%−37% / −34%
WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.622.7 m19.53.5%2.2%−3.1%+53% / +107%
ACDCProFrac Holding Corp.493.6 m—-57.4%-22.8%−11.4%−23% / −66%
CLBCore Laboratories Inc.409.2 m26.55.7%3.0%+0.5%−41% / −50%
NGSNatural Gas Services Group, Inc.344.1 m16.67.3%10.8%+9.9%−14% / +74%
TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.143.4 m10.15.3%17.1%−2.9%+62% / −33%
NINENine Energy Service, Inc.94.7 m—-214.6%-9.1%+1.4%unavailable / unavailable
KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.20.4 m——-9.7%−10.2%−42% / −90%
RCONRecon Technology, Ltd8.7 m—-5.9%-27.0%+75.0%−100% / −100%
WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLC—399.20.5%0.5%+66.2%+5% / unavailable
NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.——8.0%2.6%+10.2%−34% / −54%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.—46.82.0%0.9%−7.2%−36% / −43%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.—20.15.1%2.6%−4.2%−6% / +30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HOS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
3.50
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
6.16
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
9.24
Total return 72% · Per year 72%
3 years
4.07
Total return -24% · Per year -9%
7.99
Total return 49% · Per year 14%
13.07
Total return 144% · Per year 35%
5 years
4.73
Total return -12% · Per year -2%
10.38
Total return 94% · Per year 14%
18.49
Total return 245% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.00
  • Net margin± 1.40
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.05
  • Annual dilution± 0.12

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Helix Energy Solutions Group is an international offshore energy services company focused on well intervention, robotics and decommissioning, services it says support the energy transition, including offshore wind projects. In 2026 the company is pending a merger with Hornbeck, and its quarterly results show activity recovering after a weaker 2025. Revenues for the first six months of 2026 were 570.7 million USD 3, and backlog at the end of 2025 was 1.3 billion USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A specialized fleet of intervention vessels and robotics systems that is hard to replicate quickly 1.
  • Multi-year backlog and a position as a full-service provider for shelf decommissioning in the Gulf of America 1.
  • Operating cash generation recovered in the second quarter of 2026, with a high liquidity position 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on a small number of large customers and long-term contracts 1.
  • Volatile spot market activity, especially for some North Sea well intervention vessels 1.
  • Transaction and integration costs linked to the pending merger 2.

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for wind cable trenching and site preparation in Europe and Asia Pacific 1.
  • Decommissioning of ageing fields and facilities could create new work volumes 1.
  • The Hornbeck merger could bring cost synergies if integration goes well 2.

Threats

  • Falling oil prices could reduce customer budgets and pressure rates 1.
  • US wind restrictions could slow projects on the East Coast 1.
  • Geopolitical risks and sanctions could affect operations and supply chains 1.

Risks

  • Contract cancellation or renegotiationhigh

    Customers can renegotiate, defer or cancel contracts, which could reduce backlog 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of long-term contracts generate most of the backlog, so losing them would have a large impact 1.

  • Merger execution riskmedium

    Completing the Hornbeck merger depends on shareholder approval and closing conditions; failure could disrupt plans 23.

  • Cyclicality of energy marketsmedium

    Falling oil and gas prices can reduce customer investment and vessel utilization 1.

  • Operational and environmental hazardsmedium

    Equipment failure, weather and offshore incidents can lead to penalties or lost revenue 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for wind cable trenching and decommissioning holds, revenues in Robotics and Well Intervention could keep growing 12.
  • Operating cash generation and high liquidity could support share repurchases and strategic flexibility 3.
  • The Hornbeck merger could create a larger platform with cost synergies if integration goes well 2.

What would break the thesis

  • If oil prices stay volatile, customers could delay spending and rates could fall 1.
  • Concentration of backlog in a few large customers could magnify the impact of any renegotiation or cancellation 1.
  • Transaction costs and integration uncertainty could reduce the expected merger benefits 2.

What to watch

  • Shareholder vote result and completion of the Hornbeck mergerQ3 2026
  • Level of backlog and new long-term contractsnext 10-K
  • Utilization of North Sea Well Intervention vesselsQ3 2026
  • Guidance for 2027, after the 2026 guidance was withdrawn2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Helix provides specialty services to the offshore energy industry, organized in four reportable segments: Well Intervention, Robotics, Shallow Water Abandonment and Production Facilities 1. Operations are mainly in the Gulf of America, Brazil, the North Sea, West Africa and Asia Pacific 1. Customers are mainly major, national and independent oil and gas producers, pipeline companies, renewable energy companies and offshore construction firms 1.

The company describes its goal as an offshore energy transition business, maximizing output from existing reserves, decommissioning end-of-life fields and supporting renewable developments 1. Its capital allocation policy aims to keep net debt low, maintain assets and return cash to shareholders through share repurchases 1. The sale of Helix Alliance was completed in May 2026 and is reported as discontinued operations 3.

On 6 August 2026 the company withdrew its annual guidance because of the pending merger with Hornbeck, which it expects to complete promptly after the shareholder meeting on 31 August 2026 3. The common stock trades on the NYSE under HLX 1.

Segments

Well Intervention

This segment provides access to subsea wells to enhance production or for decommissioning, using purpose-built vessels and intervention systems 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it generated revenues of 208.1 million USD, and vessel utilization rose to 91% 2.

Robotics

The segment covers trenching, seabed clearance and IRM services using work-class ROVs, for both oil and gas and renewable energy 1. Almost half of its 2025 revenues came from offshore renewable contracts 1. Second quarter 2026 revenues were 76.4 million USD 2.

Shallow Water Abandonment and Production Facilities

The first covers shelf decommissioning in the Gulf of America through Helix Alliance, sold in May 2026 13. The second includes the HP I production vessel and the HFRS well control response system 1.

Market context

Demand for offshore services depends on oil and gas prices, which fell 20% during 2025 and stayed volatile 1. Activity in the North Sea and Gulf of America declined in 2025, while the international wind market remains robust, mainly in Europe and Asia Pacific 1. The company expects strong demand for trenching services but a soft rate environment for assets without long-term contracts 1.

Over the longer term, rising energy consumption and a growing subsea tree base could support demand for intervention and decommissioning if obligations are met 1. US wind activity has fallen since the 2025 restrictions, which adds uncertainty 1.

Trends

  • Growing demand for wind cable trenchingtailwind

    More offshore wind projects in Europe and Asia Pacific increase the need for cable burial and site preparation services 1.

  • Decommissioning of ageing fieldstailwind

    Fields reaching the end of their life must be decommissioned, which could increase demand for P&A and clearance services 1.

  • Oil price volatilityheadwind

    Falling prices and geopolitical uncertainty can delay customer budgets and pressure contract rates 1.

  • US offshore wind restrictionsheadwind

    The suspension of US offshore wind leasing and the announced pause on large projects could affect East Coast work 1.

Competitive position

The oilfield and renewables service markets are highly competitive, with price, access to specialized vessels and skilled personnel as key factors 1. Principal rivals in well intervention include international drilling contractors and firms such as Expro, Oceaneering and TechnipFMC 1.

In robotics, competitors include Fugro, DOF Subsea and DeepOcean, while shallow water abandonment rivals include Seacor and Manson Gulf 1. The sources do not give market shares, so relative position remains unclear 1.

  • Oceaneering InternationalOII

    Competitor in well intervention and subsea robotics, named as a principal rival in the company filing 1.

  • Expro GroupXPRO

    Competitor in well intervention, named as a principal rival 1.

  • TechnipFMCFTI

    Competitor in well intervention, named as a principal rival 1.

  • Seacor

    Competitor in shallow water abandonment, named in the company filing 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Sept 2026
    Item 4.01 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Item 3.03 · Item 5.01 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report31 Aug 2026
    Shareholder vote · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report11 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 Jun 2026
    Other events

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.