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olivLaw · US equity research

Liberty Energy Inc. LBRT

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC · SIC 1389 · Vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

13.15USD−11.21% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Liberty Energy Inc. is an integrated energy services company and one of the largest providers of completions services in North America, and it is developing a distributed power platform for data centers alongside. Third quarter 2026 revenue reached 1.2 billion dollars, and an agreement for 1.2 GW with a frontier AI lab could make energy a growing part of the business.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) stock was 13.15 USD (−11.21% on the day), with P/E 54.2 on diluted EPS of 0.24 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.74%, beta 1.60, 52-week range 13.15–33.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.2 bn USD (+26.3% YoY), net income of -39.1 m USD (−190.7% YoY), diluted EPS -0.24 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
54.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.24 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.84%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.74%
DPS 12m 0.36
Beta (2y)
1.60
Volatility (1y) 62%
52-week range
13.1533.93

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
27.9
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
13.72 – 19.89
below the lower band · %B -0.09 · band width 36.7%
SMA 50 / 200
18.41 / 24.65
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.06 / -0.81
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−32.9%−1.1%−31.8 pp—
3 months−32.2%−0.5%−31.8 pp—
6 months−59.5%+4.4%−63.9 pp—
Year to date−28.8%+12.3%−41.1 pp—
1 year−22.7%+13.5%−36.2 pp+10.9%
3 years−35.0%+76.4%−111.4 pp−29.5%
5 years+10.8%+63.7%−52.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−61.2%
04 May 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−61.2%
04 May 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.2 bn USD
+26.3% YoY
Net income
-39.1 m USD
−190.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.24
−192.3% YoY
net / operating
-3.3% / 1.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue943.6 m977.5 m1.0 bn947.4 m1.0 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn
Cost of revenue741.8 m761.6 m812.1 m769.8 m824.6 m843.8 m980.3 m995.0 m
Operating income24.9 m18.2 m37.1 m-2.4 m19.9 m22.3 m12.7 m19.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation132.2 m127.7 m129.4 m123.0 m120.2 m114.1 m114.2 m113.7 m
Interest expense8.5 m9.5 m10.2 m10.9 m9.7 m7.7 m3.4 m5.9 m
Income tax6.1 m7.8 m24.1 m12.0 m3.4 m9.3 m9.2 m-10.4 m
Net income51.9 m20.1 m71.0 m43.1 m13.7 m22.6 m43.1 m-39.1 m
Diluted EPS0.31 ≈0.120.430.260.08 ≈0.140.26-0.24
Operating cash flow177.3 m192.1 m170.6 m ≈51.5 m ≈195.4 m8.4 m133.0 m ≈222.9 m ≈
Capex203.5 m133.9 m137.5 m ≈118.7 m ≈205.4 m157.0 m223.9 m ≈626.0 m ≈
Dividends paid13.0 m13.2 m13.8 m ≈13.0 m ≈14.6 m14.6 m15.7 m ≈14.7 m ≈
Share repurchases30.2 m24.0 m924.0 k ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 96 percentile of its own 23-quarter history (min 4.0, median 9.1, max 75.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.2 bn2.0 bn965.8 m2.5 bn4.1 bn4.7 bn4.3 bn4.0 bn
Revenue YoY+44.7%−7.6%−51.5%+155.8%+67.9%+14.4%−9.1%−7.2%
Net income126.3 m39.0 m-115.6 m-179.2 m399.6 m556.3 m316.0 m147.9 m
Net income YoYunavailable−69.1%−396.3%unavailableunavailable+39.2%−43.2%−53.2%
Diluted EPS1.810.53-1.36-1.032.113.151.870.89
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−70.7%−356.6%unavailableunavailable+49.3%−40.6%−52.4%
net %5.9%2.0%-12.0%-7.3%9.6%11.7%7.3%3.7%
Free cash flow92.4 m65.9 m-18.2 m-63.3 m78.5 m411.3 m178.3 m14.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
27.6 m USD
Financial debt
246.6 m USD
Net debt
219.1 m USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
3.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.12x
Current ratio
1.22x
ROE
7.3%
ROA
4.3%
FCF margin
0.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.7 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
838.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
760.6 m
2024
389.5 m
2025
72.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
421.5 m
2024
505.1 m
2025
500.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
894.5 m ≈
2025
573.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
29.5 m
2024
32.7 m
2025
40.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
734.9 m
2024
403.3 m
2025
195.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
178.5 m
2024
87.3 m
2025
47.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
556.3 m
2024
316.0 m
2025
147.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.15
2024
1.87
2025
0.89

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
176.4 m
2024
169.4 m
2025
165.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.22
2024
0.29
2025
0.33

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
36.8 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
27.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
351.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
205.9 m
2024
203.5 m
2025
188.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
954.3 m
2024
848.5 m
2025
878.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
293.7 m
2024
314.1 m
2025
358.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
5.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
140.0 m
2024
190.5 m
2025
241.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
639.4 m
2024
666.5 m
2025
720.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.0 bn
2024
829.4 m
2025
609.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
603.3 m
2024
651.0 m
2025
595.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
411.3 m ≈
2024
178.3 m ≈
2025
14.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-672.3 m
2024
-643.1 m
2025
-435.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-349.3 m
2024
-202.7 m
2025
-167.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
37.7 m
2024
48.3 m
2025
54.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
203.1 m
2024
129.3 m
2025
24.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
32.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-81.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-53.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-28.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-52.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-25.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-92.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
18.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
148.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
559.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-652.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-1,618.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
104.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
18 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
14 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
54.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 18 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

13.15 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
54.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 22 Oct 2026
verified 1371derived 88

Score by group

  • Balance sheet33
  • Growth0
  • Valuation9
  • Quality22

Estimated value range

Low
3.97
USD per share
Mid
5.09
USD per share
High
5.72
USD per share
Price: 13.15 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -61.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -158.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.60 – 5.83 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E3.60 – 5.61 (Mid 5.20)
    10 companies used · median multiple 21.5x · quartiles 14.8x – 23.2x
    CLB, HAL, HOS, NESR, NGS, OII, RNGR, SLB, TUSK, WTTR
  • Dividend discount (DDM)4.34 – 5.83 (Mid 4.97)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 18/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.6%25 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality0.9%39 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Quality-1,618.8%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.2%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-25.0%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.2x36 (vs peers)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.8x20 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x42 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation54.2x9 (vs peers)15%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet33/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality22/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial9/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -7.2%; net margin 0.9%; ROE 2.0%; net debt/EBITDA 2.2x.

The estimated value range is 3.97–5.72 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 5.09 USD, the price of 13.15 USD leaves a potential of -61.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -158.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 18/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 2.6%
  • FCF conversion: -1,618.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.2%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -25.0%
  • Interest coverage: 2.8x
  • P/E (TTM): 54.2x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
54.2x
vertical median 21.6x
above median (+151.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.1x
P/S
—
vertical median 0.7x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.2x
ROE
2.0%
vertical median 5.1%
below median (−60.6%)
Net margin
0.9%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−65.2%)
EBIT margin
1.7%
vertical median 3.5%
below median (−52.4%)
Revenue YoY
-7.2%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
2.2x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+64.4%)
Dividend yield
2.7%
vertical median 0.4%
above median (+519.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SLBSlb Limited76.1 bn25.112.0%8.4%−1.6%+42% / −1%
HALHalliburton Company27.3 bn13.818.8%8.9%−3.3%+26% / −11%
OIIOceaneering International Inc3.6 bn11.031.1%11.4%+4.6%+49% / +76%
NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.2.2 bn23.29.4%5.8%+1.7%+54% / unavailable
RESRpc, Inc.1.3 bn—-3.0%-1.8%+15.0%+11% / −19%
HOSHornbeck Offshore Services, Inc.904.9 m23.02.5%3.0%−4.9%−8% / −34%
PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.788.8 m—0.2%0.2%−12.1%−33% / −30%
ACDCProFrac Holding Corp.723.0 m—-57.4%-22.8%−11.4%+12% / −51%
WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.681.6 m21.33.5%2.2%−3.1%+67% / +127%
CLBCore Laboratories Inc.442.2 m28.65.7%3.0%+0.5%−36% / −46%
NGSNatural Gas Services Group, Inc.373.4 m18.07.3%10.8%+9.9%−7% / +89%
TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.145.3 m10.35.3%17.1%−2.9%+64% / −32%
NINENine Energy Service, Inc.101.3 m—-214.6%-9.1%+1.4%unavailable / unavailable
KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.21.5 m——-9.7%−10.2%−39% / −89%
RCONRecon Technology, Ltd8.9 m—-5.9%-27.0%+75.0%−100% / −100%
WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLC—434.00.5%0.5%+66.2%+14% / unavailable
NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.——8.0%2.6%+10.2%−20% / −45%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.—54.22.0%0.9%−7.2%−23% / −35%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.—21.65.1%2.6%−4.2%+0% / +39%

1- and 3-year price returns: for LBRT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Liberty Energy Inc. is an integrated energy services company and one of the largest providers of completions services in North America, and it is developing a distributed power platform for data centers alongside. Third quarter 2026 revenue reached 1.2 billion dollars 3, and an agreement for 1.2 GW with a frontier AI lab could make energy a growing part of the business 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an extensive technology base, with intellectual property and proprietary databases on North American wells 1.
  • Supply chain integration, including sand mines, reduces dependence on third parties and supply interruptions 1.
  • The company has a broad presence in the main shale basins, allowing fleets to move with demand 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue is cyclical and tied to producer activity, so results can vary from quarter to quarter 1.
  • The company reported a net loss in the third quarter of 2026, with adjustments and costs having a visible impact 3.
  • The distributed power business is in development, with capital commitments and reliance on key suppliers 1.

Opportunities

  • AI data center demand could expand the LPI segment if final contracts are signed 3.
  • Natural gas substitution in fleets could lower customer costs and strengthen the technology position 3.
  • The completions market could benefit from limited capacity and rising prices if activity continues 23.

Threats

  • A fall in oil and gas prices could reduce completions activity and demand for services 1.
  • Regulation of fracturing, emissions and PFAS could limit operations or raise costs 1.
  • Competition in distributed power is rising, and contract delays could affect expected revenue 1.

Risks

  • Reliance on a few large customershigh

    The company notes that dependence on a few large customers can affect revenue and operating results 1.

  • Power project executionhigh

    LPI projects carry execution risk, possible underperformance and dependence on equipment suppliers 1.

  • Hydraulic fracturing regulationmedium

    Federal and state restrictions on fracturing and emissions could limit customer activity 1.

  • Indebtednessmedium

    Current and future debt could affect the financial position if revenue declines 1.

  • Safety and accident exposuremedium

    Accidents, injury claims and trucking incidents can affect results and customer relationships 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If distributed power projects for data centers are completed, the LPI segment could become a new growth driver alongside completions 3.
  • The completions market appears to be improving, with limited capacity and rising prices that could support margins 23.
  • Proprietary technology and natural gas substitution may help the company keep its edge over competitors 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue could remain cyclical, and a fall in oil and gas prices could reduce customer activity 12.
  • Distributed power projects are still in development, and if contracts are delayed, expected revenue could be postponed 13.
  • Cost inflation and equipment delivery delays could compress margins, as the third quarter results suggest 3.

What to watch

  • Signing of the first energy service agreement of about 500 MW, targeted by the companyDecember 2026
  • Trend in completions service pricing and fleet activityQ4 2026
  • Delivery schedule of LPI capacity for data centers2027
  • Dividend level and debt position disclosed in the next annual reportnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Liberty Energy provides completions services for wells, mainly hydraulic fracturing, complemented by wireline, proppant delivery, field gas processing, compressed natural gas delivery, data analytics and related goods, including two sand mines in the Permian Basin 1. Operations are in the main North American shale basins and, in part, in the Northern Territory of Australia 12. The company had approximately 40 active fleets as of December 31, 2025 1.

Through Liberty Power Innovations (LPI), the company develops distributed power and energy storage solutions for industrial, data center and mining customers 1. The March 2025 acquisition of IMG Energy Solutions, for approximately 19.6 million dollars 1, added engineering and utility interconnection capabilities. The company emphasizes proprietary technology, from digiFleets and electric pumps to software and databases on North American wells 1.

The business is cyclical because demand depends on the capital spending of oil and gas producers, which follows commodity prices 1. Results can fluctuate from quarter to quarter, and winter weather can limit equipment movement 1.

Segments

Completions and hydraulic fracturing

The core segment, covering hydraulic fracturing, wireline, proppant delivery and sand mines, is the only reportable segment, with North America as its geography 1. The company says the completions market recovered from early 2026 lows, with modestly higher service pricing 23.

Distributed power (LPI)

LPI supplies power and storage for data centers, with a 1.2 GW integrated services agreement 3 and a plan for approximately 3 GW of projects by 2029 1. The segment is still in development, with equipment ordered and contracts under negotiation 2.

Market context

Completions demand is influenced by oil and gas prices. The average WTI price was 87.12 dollars per barrel in the third quarter of 2026, compared with 65.78 dollars in the third quarter of 2025 2, and the onshore rig count in the United States and Canada rose to 782 2. Power demand from AI data centers is creating a new market for distributed power 23.

The distributed power market is still forming, with long sales cycles and rising competition 1. If data center demand holds, the LPI segment could become a material share of revenue, though it depends on final contracts and equipment 13.

Trends

  • Power demand from AI data centerstailwind

    AI data center development and industrial electrification have created structural power demand, while grid capacity is constrained 1. The agreement with a frontier AI lab could support LPI growth if projects are completed 3.

  • Improving completions markettailwind

    Fleet attrition, equipment cannibalization and underinvestment have limited available capacity, supporting service prices 23. This dynamic could continue if producer activity keeps rising 2.

  • Oil and gas price volatilitymixed

    Oil and gas prices have been volatile, with geopolitical tensions lifting WTI prices 23. A sharp price decline could reduce producer activity and demand for services 1.

  • Cost pressure and regulationheadwind

    Cost inflation, equipment delivery delays and regulation of fracturing, emissions and PFAS could raise costs or limit activity 13. The company reported cost inflation headwinds in the third quarter of 2026 3.

Competitive position

The completions market is competitive, and Liberty differentiates through technology innovation, digital fleets and supply chain integration 1. In distributed power, competition is growing quickly and the company describes the industry as highly competitive and rapidly evolving 1.

The source documents do not name specific competitors beyond general descriptions of the market, so the entries below reflect those descriptions and their identities have not been verified in the texts provided 1.

  • North American completions and hydraulic fracturing providers

    Companies offering similar completions services that compete for the same fleets and E&P customers, not named in the sources 1.

  • Distributed power providers for data centers

    Companies developing energy systems for data centers and industrial users, described in the source as a highly competitive market 1.

  • Distributed power developers

    Developers pursuing similar projects to LPI and competing for large customer contracts 1.

  • Pump and fleet equipment manufacturers

    Equipment makers that supply fleets and components to service providers and partly compete on technology 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Liberty Energy Inc. · 02 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Liberty Energy Inc. · 22 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Liberty Energy Inc. · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.