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olivLaw · US equity research

ProPetro Holding Corp. PUMP

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC · SIC 1389 · Vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

6.01USD−6.39% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

ProPetro Holding Corp. is an integrated energy services company based in Midland, Texas, offering hydraulic fracturing, wireline and, through its PROPWR subsidiary, mobile power generation. It operates almost entirely in the Permian Basin, and its move into power for data centers and industry has become the main growth story as its completions business recovers from a weak 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) stock was 6.01 USD (−6.39% on the day), with market capitalisation 738.4 m USD, beta 1.62, 52-week range 6.01–18.20 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 355.4 m USD (+20.9% YoY), net income of 13.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
738.4 m USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.00 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-0.05%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.62
Volatility (1y) 58%
52-week range
6.0118.20

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
22.8
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
6.21 – 9.09
below the lower band · %B -0.07 · band width 37.7%
SMA 50 / 200
9.26 / 12.52
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.73 / -0.67
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−36.9%−1.1%−35.8 pp—
3 months−45.1%−0.5%−44.7 pp—
6 months−61.4%+4.4%−65.7 pp—
Year to date−36.8%+12.3%−49.1 pp—
1 year−44.6%+13.5%−58.1 pp−6.3%
3 years−38.8%+76.4%−115.2 pp−32.6%
5 years−37.4%+63.7%−101.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−67.0%
29 Apr 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−72.2%
20 Apr 2022 → 09 Sept 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
355.4 m USD
+20.9% YoY
Net income
13.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
unavailable YoY
net / operating
3.7% / 3.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue320.6 m359.4 m326.2 m293.9 m289.7 m270.7 m305.8 m355.4 m
Cost of revenue243.5 m263.9 m253.2 m236.5 m214.6 m211.7 m234.0 m269.7 m
SG&A——28.5 m22.5 m——33.1 m30.8 m
Operating income-18.4 m9.5 m-3.2 m-6.1 m6.1 m-8.0 m-3.2 m11.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation60.1 m48.7 m43.3 m41.7 m41.2 m40.6 m43.5 m44.4 m
Interest expense1.9 m1.7 m1.8 m2.1 m2.6 m2.7 m3.0 m4.3 m
Pre-tax income-20.4 m10.7 m-4.8 m-3.1 m5.0 m-9.3 m-2.2 m11.6 m
Income tax-3.3 m1.1 m2.4 m-704.0 k4.2 m-5.7 m5.9 m-1.4 m
Net income-17.1 m9.6 m-7.2 m-2.4 m742.0 k-3.6 m-8.1 m13.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.17 ≈0.09-0.07-0.020.01 ≈-0.03-0.070.09
Operating cash flow37.9 m54.7 m54.2 m ≈41.7 m ≈81.0 m2.7 m66.0 m ≈46.3 m ≈
Capex27.8 m40.9 m37.1 m ≈44.0 m ≈64.2 m43.4 m61.4 m ≈123.2 m ≈
Share repurchases3.4 m00 ≈0 ≈0———

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.7 bn2.1 bn789.2 m874.5 m1.3 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn
Revenue YoY+73.6%+20.4%−61.5%+10.8%+46.3%+27.4%−11.4%−12.1%
Net income173.9 m163.0 m-107.0 m-54.2 m2.0 m85.6 m-137.9 m824.0 k
Net income YoY+1,278.4%−6.2%−165.7%unavailableunavailable+4,118.4%−261.0%unavailable
Diluted EPS2.001.57-1.06-0.530.020.76-1.310.01
Diluted EPS YoY+1,150.0%−21.5%−167.5%unavailableunavailable+3,700.0%−272.4%unavailable
net %10.2%7.9%-13.6%-6.2%0.2%5.3%-9.5%0.1%
Free cash flow108.9 m-47.6 m38.5 m11.2 m-19.3 m3.9 m112.0 m45.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
91.3 m USD
Financial debt
107.7 m USD
Net debt
16.4 m USD
Equity
829.8 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.13x
Current ratio
1.29x
ROE
0.1%
ROA
0.1%
FCF margin
3.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
968.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
498.6 m ≈
2024
378.8 m ≈
2025
301.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
130.3 m
2024
-167.0 m
2025
6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
219.6 m
2024
224.1 m
2025
174.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
350.0 m ≈
2024
57.1 m ≈
2025
181.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
5.3 m
2024
7.8 m
2025
8.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
115.5 m
2024
-169.2 m
2025
7.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
29.9 m
2024
-31.4 m
2025
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
85.6 m
2024
-137.9 m
2025
824.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.76
2024
-1.31
2025
0.01

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
113.4 m
2024
105.5 m
2025
105.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
33.4 m
2024
50.4 m
2025
91.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
237.0 m
2024
196.0 m
2025
200.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
17.7 m
2024
16.2 m
2025
13.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
310.8 m
2024
292.2 m
2025
326.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
967.1 m
2024
688.2 m
2025
793.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
23.6 m
2024
920.0 k
2025
900.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jul 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
50.6 m
2024
64.9 m
2025
55.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
161.4 m
2024
93.0 m
2025
115.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
45.0 m
2024
45.0 m
2025
105.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
271.1 m
2024
222.3 m
2025
253.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
481.9 m
2024
407.4 m
2025
461.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
998.4 m †
2024
816.3 m †
2025
829.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
374.7 m
2024
252.3 m
2025
231.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
370.9 m
2024
140.3 m
2025
186.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
3.9 m ≈
2024
112.0 m ≈
2025
45.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-384.1 m
2024
-155.1 m
2025
-149.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-46.1 m
2024
-80.1 m
2025
-40.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
51.7 m
2024
59.1 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
-26.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
-20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-59.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
23.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
14.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
79.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
196.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
292.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-96.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-4,790.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
111.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
8 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
22 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
738.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
818.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
368.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
139.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-13.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.31
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 25 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

6.01 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 738.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
738.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 1571derived 104

Score by group

  • Growth0
  • Returns0
  • Balance sheet52
  • Valuation42
  • Quality11

Estimated value range

Low
8.10
USD per share
Mid
10.63
USD per share
High
13.51
USD per share
Price: 6.01 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 76.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 43.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 8.10 – 13.51 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA8.10 – 13.51 (Mid 10.63)
    8 companies used · median multiple 7.9x · quartiles 6.1x – 9.9x
    ACDC, CLB, HAL, HOS, KLXE, NESR, OII, WTTR
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 25/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality0.5%8 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality0.2%28 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality-4,790.9%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.3%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-20.6%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.5x64 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.5x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation4.7x75 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation-13.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality11/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation42/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -12.1%; net margin 0.2%; ROE 0.2%; net debt/EBITDA 0.5x.

The estimated value range is 8.10–13.51 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 10.63 USD, the price of 6.01 USD leaves a potential of 76.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 43.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 25/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 3.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 4.7x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 0.5%
  • Net margin: 0.2%
  • FCF conversion: -4,790.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -20.6%
  • Interest coverage: 0.5x
  • FCF yield: -13.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 20.1x
EV/EBITDA
4.7x
vertical median 7.9x
below median (−41.0%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−18.1%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−34.9%)
ROE
0.2%
vertical median 5.1%
below median (−95.7%)
Net margin
0.2%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−93.7%)
EBIT margin
0.5%
vertical median 3.5%
below median (−86.3%)
Revenue YoY
-12.1%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
0.5x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−73.1%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SLBSlb Limited76.1 bn25.112.0%8.4%−1.6%+42% / −1%
HALHalliburton Company27.3 bn13.818.8%8.9%−3.3%+26% / −11%
OIIOceaneering International Inc3.4 bn10.331.1%11.4%+4.6%+39% / +65%
NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.1.9 bn20.79.4%5.8%+1.7%+38% / unavailable
RESRpc, Inc.1.2 bn—-3.0%-1.8%+15.0%+5% / −23%
HOSHornbeck Offshore Services, Inc.790.0 m20.12.5%3.0%−4.9%−20% / −42%
PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.738.4 m—0.2%0.2%−12.1%−45% / −39%
WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.622.7 m19.53.5%2.2%−3.1%+53% / +107%
ACDCProFrac Holding Corp.493.6 m—-57.4%-22.8%−11.4%−23% / −66%
CLBCore Laboratories Inc.409.2 m26.55.7%3.0%+0.5%−41% / −50%
NGSNatural Gas Services Group, Inc.344.1 m16.67.3%10.8%+9.9%−14% / +74%
TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.143.4 m10.15.3%17.1%−2.9%+62% / −33%
NINENine Energy Service, Inc.94.7 m—-214.6%-9.1%+1.4%unavailable / unavailable
KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.20.4 m——-9.7%−10.2%−42% / −90%
RCONRecon Technology, Ltd8.7 m—-5.9%-27.0%+75.0%−100% / −100%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.—20.15.1%2.6%−4.2%−6% / +30%
WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLC—399.20.5%0.5%+66.2%+5% / unavailable
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.—46.82.0%0.9%−7.2%−36% / −43%
NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.——8.0%2.6%+10.2%−34% / −54%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PUMP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
0.18
Total return -97% · Per year -97%
0.33
Total return -95% · Per year -95%
0.49
Total return -92% · Per year -92%
3 years
0.16
Total return -97% · Per year -70%
0.33
Total return -95% · Per year -62%
0.54
Total return -91% · Per year -55%
5 years
0.14
Total return -98% · Per year -53%
0.32
Total return -95% · Per year -44%
0.59
Total return -90% · Per year -37%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 0.08
  • Net margin± 0.06
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.05
  • Annual dilution± 0.00

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

ProPetro Holding Corp. is an integrated energy services company based in Midland, Texas, offering hydraulic fracturing, wireline and, through its PROPWR subsidiary, mobile power generation. It operates almost entirely in the Permian Basin, and its move into power for data centers and industry has become the main growth story as its completions business recovers from a weak 2025.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Strong market position in the Permian Basin, with long-standing customer relationships and well-maintained fleets.
  • Free cash flow from the completions segment, even in periods of pressured revenue, supports investment in PROPWR.
  • Solid balance sheet and liquidity at the end of June 2026, including proceeds from convertible senior notes.

Weaknesses

  • Very high dependence on the Permian Basin and on a small number of large customers.
  • Net losses in recent quarters and high startup costs for new fleets and PROPWR.
  • Conventional Tier II equipment still requires large investment to transition to lower emissions.

Opportunities

  • Long-term contracts for power used by data centers and industry, if advanced negotiations are completed.
  • A recovery in Permian drilling activity could raise fleet utilization and rates.
  • Expansion of PROPWR capacity through the Caterpillar framework agreement, if financing is secured.

Threats

  • Lower oil prices and reduced customer budgets could weigh on completions revenue.
  • If grid electricity becomes easily available, demand for mobile generation could decline.
  • Non-renewal of the XTO agreement, a subsidiary of ExxonMobil, would force redeployment of equipment.

Risks

  • Dependence on a single basinhigh

    Almost all revenue comes from the Permian Basin, so local demand problems, weather or transport constraints can feed directly into results.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of customers generate most revenue. Losing a major customer or failing to renew contracts could seriously affect activity.

  • PROPWR project riskhigh

    Building a new business line depends on equipment delivery, financing and winning contracts. Delays or higher costs than planned could reduce returns.

  • Oil price volatilitymedium

    Demand for completions depends on oil and gas prices. If prices stay volatile or fall, customer budgets may shrink.

  • Weather and operational disruptionlow

    Severe weather, such as in January 2026 and June 2026, can suspend operations for several days and affect quarterly results.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the Permian recovery solidifies and PROPWR turns contracts into recurring revenue, the company could combine completions cash flow with long-term growth in data center power.
  • A strong balance sheet and high liquidity give flexibility to finance expansion without relying solely on capital markets.
  • A leading regional position and long relationships with large operators could help secure new contracts in power and completions.

What would break the thesis

  • If oil prices fall again, customer budgets could shrink and the completions segment could generate less cash than it does now.
  • PROPWR's success depends on executing new projects and accessing financing, and recent losses show that startup costs can be high.
  • If grid power or competition in mobile generation expands, PROPWR pricing and volumes could fall short of expectations.

What to watch

  • Progress of contracted PROPWR capacity and data center negotiationsQ3 2026
  • Completions pricing and the number of fleets deployedQ3 2026
  • Renewal or replacement of the XTO agreement, a subsidiary of ExxonMobil2026
  • Completion of financing for PROPWR equipment and use of the Caterpillar agreement2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

The company provides hydraulic fracturing, wireline and cementing services to exploration and production companies concentrated in the Permian Basin. According to the 2025 annual report, hydraulic fracturing accounted for approximately 73.2% of total revenues, and the fleet had total available capacity of 1259500 HHP at the end of 2025. Since May 2026 the company has also operated the PROPWR business line, which supplies mobile power to oil and gas producers, industrial users and data centers.

The segment structure has changed in recent years: the power generation segment became reportable in the third quarter of 2025, and cementing was reported separately from the fourth quarter of 2024. The AquaProp acquisition, which adds wet sand services, and the Par Five acquisition, which adds cementing in the Delaware Basin, extended the completions service range.

Customers are mainly North American oil and gas producers, and concentration is high: ExxonMobil accounted for 24.9% of 2025 revenue, and the top five customers generated 68.2%. The XTO agreement, a subsidiary of ExxonMobil, expires around late 2026, and the company does not expect it to be renewed in its current form.

Segments

Hydraulic fracturing

This is the largest segment, with fleets of 50000 to 80000 HHP, and its share of revenue was approximately 67.0% as of June 30 2026. The fleet includes Tier IV DGB dual-fuel equipment, FORCE® electric fleets and conventional Tier II equipment, and the transition to lower emissions is a key competitive factor.

Power generation (PROPWR)

This is the newest segment and the company's main growth driver. Capacity committed under contract reached approximately 350 megawatts by July 2026, and delivered or on-order capacity is approximately 1.1 gigawatts. A framework agreement with Caterpillar could add capacity through 2031 if negotiations and financing are completed.

Wireline and cementing

Wireline runs perforating guns into newly completed wells with 28 units, while cementing isolates zones and secures casing with 30 units. Both are smaller segments and are described as ways to expand the offer to existing customers.

Market context

The completions services market depends on drilling activity in the Permian Basin, where the rig count fell from 304 at the end of 2024 to 247 at the end of 2025. The average WTI price was approximately 65 USD per barrel in 2025, compared with approximately 76 USD in 2024, which pressured pricing and demand for services.

The market for power for data centers and industry is new and competitive. The company argues that Permian natural gas could become a natural power source for users with large electricity needs, but results in this segment depend on contracts and equipment availability.

Trends

  • Recovery of Permian activitytailwind

    Reports from the second half of 2026 show the rig count up nearly 10% from its first-quarter low. If the trend continues, demand for completions could support higher revenue.

  • Power demand from data centerstailwind

    Rising electricity demand from data centers opens opportunities for mobile generation. PROPWR has already put assets into operation at a hyperscaler data center, which could attract new contracts if performance is confirmed.

  • Pressure on oil pricesheadwind

    A lower WTI price and macroeconomic uncertainty could reduce customers' completion budgets, affecting rates and the number of fleets deployed.

  • Shift to lower emissionsmixed

    Regulatory pressure and customer demand for low-emissions equipment raise capital costs. If the company cannot transition quickly, demand for its services could fall, but the transition may also open new contracts.

Competitive position

The company competes on price, reputation, operational efficiency, equipment quality and safety standards. Price remains a decisive factor for many customers, and the ability to supply lower-emissions equipment is becoming more important in choosing a provider.

In power for data centers and industry, competition comes from providers offering alternatives to the public grid and from equipment makers that also sell power services. The company's reports do not detail competitor positions in this segment.

  • Regional Permian hydraulic fracturing providers

    Private or smaller companies competing for the same fleets and customers in the Permian Basin, with no US ticker identified in the sources.

  • Cementing and wireline service providers

    Operators offering complementary services in the same area, especially in the cementing and wireline segments.

  • Mobile power equipment manufacturers

    Turbine and reciprocating engine suppliers are partners but also competitors on the sale of power to customers.

  • Grid utilities and electricity networks

    If grid power becomes widely available, it could replace the company's mobile generation, as the company itself describes in its risk factors.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report19 Oct 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report30 Jul 2026
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report07 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / ProPetro Holding Corp. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / ProPetro Holding Corp. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / ProPetro Holding Corp. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.