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olivLaw · US equity research

Select Water Solutions, Inc. WTTR

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC · SIC 1389 · Vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

16.90USD−7.85% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Select Water Solutions is a major provider of water-management solutions to the US energy industry, focused on recycling infrastructure for produced water in the Permian Basin. The company is expanding its contracted infrastructure network, which could stabilize revenue in a weaker oil price environment, while the Permian still accounts for a majority of its activity.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) stock was 16.90 USD (−7.85% on the day), with market capitalisation 681.6 m USD, P/E 21.3, dividend yield 0.30%, beta 1.15, 52-week range 9.40–22.26 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 395.8 m USD (+8.7% YoY), net income of 21.0 m USD (+97.6% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
681.6 m USD
shares as of 31 Mar 2018
P/E (TTM)
21.3
market cap ÷ net income
E/P (TTM)
4.69%
Dividend yield
0.30%
DPS 12m 0.05
Beta (2y)
1.15
Volatility (1y) 48%
52-week range
9.4022.26

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
17.25 – 20.41
below the lower band · %B -0.11 · band width 16.7%
SMA 50 / 200
19.54 / 17.47
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.35 / -0.25
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.8%−1.1%−14.7 pp—
3 months−24.1%−0.5%−23.6 pp—
6 months−3.2%+4.4%−7.5 pp—
Year to date+60.6%+12.3%+48.3 pp—
1 year+44.7%+13.5%+31.1 pp+0.4%
3 years+119.8%+76.4%+43.4 pp−31.7%
5 years+134.4%+63.7%+70.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.1%
05 Aug 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−51.3%
02 Dec 2024 → 07 May 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+18.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
395.8 m USD
+8.7% YoY
Net income
21.0 m USD
+97.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
5.3% / 8.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue371.3 m349.0 m374.4 m364.2 m322.2 m346.5 m366.0 m395.8 m
Cost of revenue308.9 m304.9 m318.6 m306.5 m278.7 m301.2 m300.7 m319.0 m
Gross profit62.4 m44.2 m55.8 m57.8 m43.6 m45.3 m65.3 m76.8 m
SG&A37.3 m39.7 m37.4 m38.9 m41.7 m43.3 m40.6 m41.2 m
Operating income24.5 m2.6 m15.5 m15.4 m-1.8 m-388.0 k18.0 m34.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation661.0 k737.0 k925.0 k1.9 m1.3 m1.2 m1.1 m1.2 m
Interest expense1.9 m1.8 m4.9 m5.6 m6.0 m6.7 m5.9 m5.0 m
Pre-tax income24.2 m325.0 k12.4 m16.4 m7.5 m-16.4 m12.2 m29.5 m
Income tax5.9 m2.3 m2.9 m4.5 m434.0 k-9.5 m2.4 m6.4 m
Net income15.8 m-1.6 m8.2 m10.6 m2.7 m-346.0 k8.6 m21.0 m
Operating cash flow51.9 m ≈67.8 m-5.1 m82.6 m ≈71.7 m ≈65.5 m10.2 m86.7 m ≈
Capex37.4 m55.1 m48.4 m79.4 m ≈95.2 m ≈71.5 m78.4 m71.0 m ≈
Dividends paid7.0 m ≈8.2 m8.6 m8.3 m ≈8.4 m ≈8.4 m8.8 m9.6 m ≈
Share repurchases171.0 k ≈589.0 k6.3 m286.0 k ≈332.0 k ≈377.0 k7.6 m621.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.5 bn1.3 bn605.1 m764.6 m1.4 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn
Revenue YoY+120.8%−15.5%−53.2%+26.4%+81.5%+14.3%−8.4%−3.1%
Net income36.5 m2.8 m-338.7 m-42.2 m48.3 m74.4 m30.6 m21.2 m
Net income YoYunavailable−92.4%−12,265.4%unavailableunavailable+54.1%−58.8%−30.7%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %2.4%0.2%-56.0%-5.5%3.5%4.7%2.1%1.5%
Free cash flow67.0 m93.8 m84.6 m-56.2 m-38.7 m149.5 m61.7 m-79.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
18.1 m USD
Financial debt
316.3 m USD
Net debt
298.2 m USD
Equity
927.1 m USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.34x
Current ratio
1.57x
ROE
2.3%
ROA
1.4%
FCF margin
-5.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
231.7 m
2024
219.5 m
2025
202.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
155.5 m
2024
160.0 m
2025
161.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
61.2 m
2024
54.5 m
2025
28.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
2.3 m
2024
3.4 m
2025
5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
63.5 m ≈
2024
57.9 m ≈
2025
34.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
4.4 m
2024
7.0 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
19.0 m
2024
49.0 m
2025
19.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-60.2 m
2024
13.6 m
2025
-1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
74.4 m
2024
30.6 m
2025
21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2023verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
57.1 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
18.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2023verified

Inventories
2023
38.7 m
2024
38.4 m
2025
34.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
454.1 m
2024
385.5 m
2025
354.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
517.6 m
2024
725.7 m
2025
912.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
4.7 m
2024
18.2 m
2025
48.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
116.2 m
2024
123.7 m
2025
106.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
42.6 m
2024
39.2 m
2025
49.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
31.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
0
2024
85.0 m
2025
285.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
211.5 m
2024
233.4 m
2025
225.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
326.0 m
2024
450.7 m
2025
668.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
892.2 m
2024
915.5 m
2025
927.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
285.4 m
2024
234.9 m
2025
214.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
135.9 m
2024
173.2 m
2025
294.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
149.5 m ≈
2024
61.7 m ≈
2025
-79.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-137.2 m
2024
-318.6 m
2025
-405.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-98.4 m
2024
46.6 m
2025
188.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
24.9 m
2024
29.7 m
2025
33.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
61.8 m
2024
7.9 m
2025
7.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-47.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-30.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-24.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-229.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
226.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
234.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
316.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-82.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-256.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
426.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
14 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
681.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
907.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
18.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.51
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 30 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

16.90 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 681.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
681.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1464derived 132

Score by group

  • Valuation23
  • Returns92
  • Quality35
  • Balance sheet25
  • Growth4

Estimated value range

Low
0.87
USD per share
Mid
5.10
USD per share
High
6.15
USD per share
Price: 16.90 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -69.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -231.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.66 – 18.40 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.87 – 6.15 (Mid 5.10)
    8 companies used · median multiple 7.9x · quartiles 4.8x – 8.6x
    ACDC, CLB, HAL, HOS, KLXE, NESR, OII, PUMP
  • Peers: P/E10.94 – 18.40 (Mid 17.12)
    9 companies used · median multiple 21.6x · quartiles 13.8x – 23.2x
    CLB, HAL, HOS, NESR, NGS, OII, RNGR, SLB, TUSK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.66 – 0.88 (Mid 0.75)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 30/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality3.4%50 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality2.2%44 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality-256.4%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.5%4 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.1x18 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.1x10 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x65 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.3x64 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.5x0 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation-12.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.5%92 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet25/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial4/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality35/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial92/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation23/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SELECT WATER SOLUTIONS, INC. (WTTR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.1%; net margin 2.2%; ROE 3.5%; net debt/EBITDA 4.1x.

The estimated value range is 0.87–6.15 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 5.10 USD, the price of 16.90 USD leaves a potential of -69.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -231.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 30/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.5%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -256.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.1x
  • Interest coverage: 2.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.5x
  • FCF yield: -12.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC (SIC 1389) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.3x
vertical median 23.0x
below median (−7.3%)
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
vertical median 7.9x
above median (+110.2%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.8x
below median (−39.6%)
P/B
0.6x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−48.8%)
ROE
3.5%
vertical median 5.1%
below median (−32.6%)
Net margin
2.2%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−14.2%)
EBIT margin
3.5%
vertical median 3.4%
at median
Revenue YoY
-3.1%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
4.1x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+209.8%)
Dividend yield
0.3%
vertical median 1.6%
below median (−81.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SLBSlb Limited76.1 bn25.112.0%8.4%−1.6%+42% / −1%
HALHalliburton Company27.3 bn13.818.8%8.9%−3.3%+26% / −11%
OIIOceaneering International Inc3.6 bn11.031.1%11.4%+4.6%+49% / +76%
NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.2.2 bn23.29.4%5.8%+1.7%+54% / unavailable
RESRpc, Inc.1.3 bn—-3.0%-1.8%+15.0%+11% / −19%
HOSHornbeck Offshore Services, Inc.904.9 m23.02.5%3.0%−4.9%−8% / −34%
PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.788.8 m—0.2%0.2%−12.1%−33% / −30%
ACDCProFrac Holding Corp.723.0 m—-57.4%-22.8%−11.4%+12% / −51%
WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.681.6 m21.33.5%2.2%−3.1%+45% / +120%
CLBCore Laboratories Inc.442.2 m28.65.7%3.0%+0.5%−36% / −46%
NGSNatural Gas Services Group, Inc.373.4 m18.07.3%10.8%+9.9%−7% / +89%
TUSKMammoth Energy Services, Inc.145.3 m10.35.3%17.1%−2.9%+64% / −32%
NINENine Energy Service, Inc.101.3 m—-214.6%-9.1%+1.4%unavailable / unavailable
KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.21.5 m——-9.7%−10.2%−39% / −89%
RCONRecon Technology, Ltd8.9 m—-5.9%-27.0%+75.0%−100% / −100%
WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLC—434.00.5%0.5%+66.2%+14% / unavailable
NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.——8.0%2.6%+10.2%−20% / −45%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.—54.22.0%0.9%−7.2%−26% / −34%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.—21.65.1%2.6%−4.2%+0% / +39%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WTTR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
9.59
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
16.98
Total return 0% · Per year 0%
25.62
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
8.57
Total return -49% · Per year -20%
17.14
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
28.51
Total return 69% · Per year 19%
5 years
7.65
Total return -55% · Per year -15%
17.31
Total return 2% · Per year 0%
31.72
Total return 88% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.29
  • Net margin± 3.00
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.56
  • Annual dilution± 0.25

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Select Water Solutions is a major provider of water-management solutions to the US energy industry, focused on recycling infrastructure for produced water in the Permian Basin. The company is expanding its contracted infrastructure network, which could stabilize revenue in a weaker oil price environment, while the Permian still accounts for a majority of its activity 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company operates one of the largest produced water recycling and disposal networks in the US, with long-term contracts that support predictable revenue 1.
  • Integrating infrastructure with transport, automation and chemical services gives customers a full package across the water lifecycle of a well 1.
  • Recent acquisitions in the Permian, Bakken and Haynesville have strengthened its market-leading position in key regions 12.

Weaknesses

  • Activity is highly concentrated in the Permian, which accounts for a majority of revenue, amplifying exposure to local events 1.
  • Trucking and rental services remain cyclical, and the company has divested some lower-margin operations 1.
  • Large financial commitments, including the AV Farms investment and the Pilot Water acquisition, increase sensitivity to financing conditions 13.

Opportunities

  • Contracted infrastructure growth in Northern Delaware and wider recycling could support higher revenue over the long term 2.
  • Iodine and lithium extraction projects and municipal water reuse could create royalty-based income 2.
  • Rising produced water volumes in gas-focused basins could add demand if Haynesville activity grows 1.

Threats

  • Lower oil prices or reduced customer capital budgets could weaken demand for the company's services 1.
  • Trade tariffs and Middle East tensions could raise costs and disrupt supply chains 12.
  • Regulatory changes in water use and availability in New Mexico could limit access to water for some customers 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on operator capital budgetshigh

    Demand depends on customers' capital spending, which is influenced by oil and gas prices, access to capital and OPEC+ policy 1.

  • Geographic concentration in the Permianhigh

    A majority of revenue comes from the Permian, exposing the company to regional risks such as weather or transport constraints 1.

  • Tariffs and chemical sourcingmedium

    Part of the chemical feedstock comes from China, and tariffs could raise costs and reduce profitability if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Integrating acquired assets could take longer or cost more than expected, reducing the anticipated benefits 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If operators continue shifting to recycling and pipelines, the company's network could generate contracted and predictable long-term revenue 12.
  • Iodine, lithium and water reuse projects could add royalty-based income streams that diversify the company beyond traditional services 2.
  • The Pilot Water acquisition and expansion in Northern Delaware could reinforce its Permian leadership if integration proceeds as planned 23.

What would break the thesis

  • If oil prices stay low, customers' budgets could shrink and demand for services could slow 1.
  • Concentration in the Permian and exposure to tariffs or geopolitical tensions could magnify negative effects on results 12.
  • Higher debt used to fund acquisitions could limit financial flexibility if revenue does not grow fast enough 3.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Pilot Water acquisition and the 2034 notes offeringby March 1, 2027
  • Development of the ISE Chemicals iodine extraction facility in the Permian2027
  • Outcome of the strategic review of Peak Rentalsnext quarterly report
  • Evolution of minimum volume contracts and infrastructure utilization in the Permian2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Select Water Solutions operates through three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services and Chemical Technologies. The infrastructure segment develops and operates recycling facilities, storage, saltwater disposal wells and pipelines, and its fixed recycling capacity was 2.4 million barrels per day at year-end 2025 1. The company says it owns the largest centralized recycling network in the industry and supports customers through long-term contracts that often exceed a decade 1.

The Water Services segment provides water transfer, storage, hauling and monitoring, plus automation through its AquaView platform, and through its Peak Rentals subsidiary it offers equipment rental, mobile power and well testing 1. The Chemical Technologies segment manufactures chemicals for fracturing and well completion, including water treatment and FluidMatch testing 1.

During 2025 and early 2026 the company acquired assets in the Permian, Bakken and Northeast, invested in the AV Farms water partnership in Colorado, and evaluated strategic options for Peak Rentals 12. In the second quarter of 2026 it signed a produced water transportation agreement with a major operator, which carried its largest minimum volume commitment to date 2.

Segments

Water Infrastructure

This segment develops and operates permanent recycling and disposal facilities, pipelines, storage and landfills, supported by long-term contracts such as acreage dedications and minimum volume commitments 1. In Northern Delaware, the network includes about 1.7 million barrels per day of active recycling capacity and 22.2 million barrels of storage, according to the second quarter 2026 report 2.

Water Services

This segment offers transfer and monitoring services, but it was reshaped after the Omni transaction through the divestiture of lower-margin trucking operations 1. Peak Rentals has been under a strategic review since August 2025, with no transaction pending as of June 30, 2026 2.

Market context

The shift from trucking to pipelines and recycling, and the concentration of large operators in extensive basins, favors regional and national providers able to offer integrated solutions 1. For the company this could mean steadier demand for infrastructure, but also greater exposure to geopolitical and trade risks that affect oil prices 1.

Trends

  • Shift from trucking to pipelinestailwind

    Operators are moving produced water from truck transport to pipelines and recycling, which lowers lease operating costs and local emissions over the life of a well 1. This shift could strengthen the company's position in contracted infrastructure.

  • Oil price volatilityheadwind

    WTI prices declined in 2025, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East increased volatility in 2026, which could reduce customers' capital budgets 12. If the decline continues, demand for services could weaken.

  • Tariffs and supply chainsheadwind

    Tariffs on imports from China could raise the cost of chemical feedstock and reduce customer demand for services, although alternative sourcing could soften the impact 1.

  • Water reuse and diversificationmixed

    Iodine, lithium and produced water reuse projects, such as the agreement with ISE Chemicals, could open royalty-based income streams if they materialize 2. Outcomes remain uncertain and depend on technology development.

Competitive position

The company competes with smaller local providers that still dominate some trucking and hauling work, but customers are moving toward regional and national providers with scale and technology 1. The company says it operates the largest recycling network and the largest disposal network in Haynesville and the Northeast 1.

In chemicals and water services, competition comes from specialized providers offering treatment and integrated transport, and the company's advantage rests on combining infrastructure with services and long-term contracts 12. The sources do not explicitly identify listed competitors.

  • Local water service providers

    Smaller operators supplying trucking and local services, which customers are leaving in favor of providers with regional or national scale 1.

  • Regional water infrastructure operators

    Companies with networks in the same basins that compete for dedicated acreage and minimum volume contracts 1.

  • Completion chemical producers

    Specialized suppliers of friction reducers and surfactants that compete for contracts with operators in US basins 2.

  • Equipment rental and testing operators

    Providers of equipment, mobile power and well testing comparable to Peak Rentals that operate in the same areas 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Termination of a material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report16 Oct 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report24 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Select Water Solutions, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Select Water Solutions, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Select Water Solutions, Inc. · 13 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.