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olivLaw · US equity research

Orthofix Medical Inc. OFIX

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

9.72USD+10.96% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Orthofix Medical Inc. is a global medical technology company headquartered in Lewisville, Texas, offering spinal implants, bone growth stimulation therapies, limb reconstruction systems, biologics and the 7D FLASH navigation system. The company is in a period of operational transformation, and sales in the second quarter of 2026 reached $210.9 million, up 4% on a reported basis. The raised 2026 guidance suggests that cost measures are beginning to show in results.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) stock was 9.72 USD (+10.96% on the day), with market capitalisation 395.9 m USD, beta 0.89, 52-week range 8.64–16.20 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 210.9 m USD (+3.8% YoY), net income of -15.8 m USD, diluted EPS -0.39 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
395.9 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.54 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-15.80%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.89
Volatility (1y) 50%
52-week range
8.6416.20

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
53.2
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.68 – 10.32
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.63 · band width 17.3%
SMA 50 / 200
9.34 / 11.02
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.02 / 0.04
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+2.3%−2.0%+4.3 pp—
3 months−6.7%−2.2%−4.6 pp—
6 months−20.3%+4.3%−24.5 pp—
Year to date−35.9%+10.6%−46.5 pp—
1 year−34.6%+10.5%−45.1 pp−5.6%
3 years−20.8%+73.7%−94.5 pp+6.7%
5 years−73.1%+61.7%−134.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−46.7%
08 Jan 2026 → 17 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−75.9%
04 Mar 2022 → 17 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−23.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
210.9 m USD
+3.8% YoY
Net income
-15.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.39
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-7.5% / -3.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue196.6 m215.7 m193.6 m203.1 m205.6 m219.9 m196.7 m210.9 m
Cost of revenue61.6 m66.8 m72.0 m63.6 m57.1 m63.6 m57.2 m61.2 m
Gross profit135.1 m148.8 m121.6 m139.5 m148.5 m156.3 m139.5 m149.7 m
Research & development17.3 m18.8 m19.8 m15.9 m14.8 m15.4 m15.3 m15.9 m
SG&A130.1 m136.5 m133.0 m136.5 m148.1 m136.8 m134.9 m138.0 m
Operating income-18.9 m-11.5 m-48.9 m-16.0 m-17.0 m494.0 k-14.4 m-8.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation15.2 m16.0 m34.4 m16.9 m12.9 m13.1 m13.5 m13.3 m
Pre-tax income-26.6 m-29.7 m-52.1 m-14.2 m-22.3 m-2.2 m-20.8 m-15.0 m
Income tax751.0 k-564.0 k961.0 k-142.0 k533.0 k30.0 k74.0 k801.0 k
Net income-27.4 m-29.1 m-53.1 m-14.1 m-22.8 m-2.2 m-20.9 m-15.8 m
Diluted EPS-0.71-0.75 ≈-1.35-0.36-0.57-0.06 ≈-0.52-0.39
Operating cash flow11.7 m ≈23.7 m-18.4 m11.6 m ≈12.4 m ≈27.7 m-17.6 m-6.2 m ≈
Capex5.3 m ≈9.7 m6.7 m7.1 m ≈9.9 m ≈10.9 m10.7 m12.6 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue453.0 m460.0 m406.6 m464.5 m460.7 m746.6 m799.5 m822.3 m
Revenue YoY+4.4%+1.5%−11.6%+14.2%−0.8%+62.1%+7.1%+2.9%
Net income13.8 m-28.5 m2.5 m-38.4 m-19.7 m-151.4 m-126.0 m-92.2 m
Net income YoY+121.9%−306.1%unavailable−1,624.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.72-1.510.13-1.95-0.98-4.12-3.30-2.33
Diluted EPS YoY+111.8%−309.7%unavailable−1,600.0%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %3.0%-6.2%0.6%-8.3%-4.3%-20.3%-15.8%-11.2%
Free cash flow36.3 m13.0 m58.8 m690.0 k-32.9 m-106.0 m-9.1 m-1.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
82.0 m USD
Financial debt
157.4 m USD
Net debt
75.4 m USD
Equity
450.0 m USD
Total assets
850.6 m USD
Debt / equity
0.35x
Current ratio
2.45x
ROE
-19.3%
ROA
-10.6%
FCF margin
-0.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
746.6 m
2024
799.5 m
2025
822.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
260.4 m
2024
253.6 m
2025
256.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
486.3 m
2024
545.9 m
2025
566.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
80.2 m
2024
73.6 m
2025
65.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
530.4 m
2024
532.5 m
2025
554.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-139.1 m
2024
-84.6 m
2025
-81.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
53.1 m
2024
60.1 m
2025
77.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-86.0 m ≈
2024
-24.6 m ≈
2025
-4.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-148.7 m
2024
-123.9 m
2025
-90.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.7 m
2024
2.1 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-151.4 m
2024
-126.0 m
2025
-92.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-4.12
2024
-3.30
2025
-2.33

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
36.7 m
2024
38.1 m
2025
39.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
33.1 m
2024
83.2 m
2025
82.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
128.1 m
2024
134.7 m
2025
135.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
222.2 m
2024
189.5 m
2025
172.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
420.4 m
2024
433.3 m
2025
416.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
159.1 m
2024
139.8 m
2025
129.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
194.9 m
2024
194.9 m
2025
194.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
117.5 m
2024
98.8 m
2025
72.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
925.3 m
2024
893.3 m
2025
850.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
58.4 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
58.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
1.3 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
93.1 m
2024
157.0 m
2025
157.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
165.2 m
2024
168.6 m
2025
170.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
326.6 m
2024
390.2 m
2025
400.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
598.7 m †
2024
503.1 m †
2025
450.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-45.8 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
33.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
60.3 m
2024
34.9 m
2025
34.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-106.0 m ≈
2024
-9.1 m ≈
2025
-1.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-33.1 m
2024
-27.6 m
2025
-34.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
65.3 m
2024
50.7 m
2025
-786.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
21.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
71.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
117.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
8.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
16.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
44.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-27.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
119.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
273 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
83 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
248 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
395.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
513.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
37.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

9.72 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 395.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
395.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
37.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2544derived 172

Score by group

58% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
1.27
USD per share
Mid
2.39
USD per share
High
3.13
USD per share
Price: 9.72 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -75.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -306.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.27 – 3.13 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA1.27 – 3.13 (Mid 2.39)
    10 companies used · median multiple 15.8x · quartiles 12.4x – 18.0x
    BDX, BSX, EMBC, HAE, ICUI, MMM, MMSI, RMD, SOLV, SYK
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-6.0%33 (vs peers)18%
Net margin · Quality-7.4%46 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth21.3%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet8.6x8 (vs peers)18%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.8x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation37.6x8 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation-7.0%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet35/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality38/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation5/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 822.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.9%; net margin -7.4%; ROE -13.9%; net debt/EBITDA 8.6x.

The estimated value range is 1.27–3.13 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 2.39 USD, the price of 9.72 USD leaves a potential of -75.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -306.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 21.3%
  • Current ratio: 2.8x

What contradicts it

  • Net debt / EBITDA: 8.6x
  • EV/EBITDA: 37.6x
  • FCF yield: -7.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 32.9x
EV/EBITDA
37.6x
vertical median 16.5x
above median (+127.6%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 3.4x
below median (−85.9%)
P/B
0.9x
vertical median 5.0x
below median (−81.7%)
ROE
-13.9%
vertical median -2.8%
below median
Net margin
-7.4%
vertical median -4.0%
below median
EBIT margin
-4.7%
vertical median -0.8%
below median
Revenue YoY
2.9%
vertical median 12.1%
below median (−76.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
8.6x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+397.5%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp118.2 bn33.116.0%13.8%+11.2%−16% / +5%
MMM3m Company91.5 bn26.480.8%14.0%+1.5%+3% / +114%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation63.1 bn18.414.3%16.6%+19.9%−57% / −22%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company54.0 bn59.83.8%4.0%+8.2%+30% / +7%
RMDResMed Inc.31.9 bn20.726.4%27.8%+9.9%−11% / +44%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.30.9 bn32.737.7%19.4%+15.6%+31% / −28%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.4 bn45.721.2%18.8%+6.3%+47% / +16%
SOLVSolventum Corporation15.2 bn10.934.0%17.3%+0.9%+5% / unavailable
PENPenumbra, Inc12.7 bn81.210.7%10.1%+17.5%+10% / +45%
GMEDGlobus Medical, Inc.11.7 bn22.311.8%17.0%+16.7%−4% / +94%
TFXTeleflex Incorporated6.4 bn—-28.9%-45.8%+17.2%+31% / −34%
HAEHaemonetics Corporation5.8 bn62.311.2%7.1%−2.0%+57% / +58%
MMSIMerit Medical Systems Inc5.4 bn34.09.8%9.9%+11.8%+5% / +27%
HTFLHeartflow, Inc.4.9 bn——-55.8%+39.9%+75% / unavailable
ICUIIcu Medical Inc4.3 bn144.21.4%1.4%−6.3%+16% / +97%
LMATLemaitre Vascular, Inc.2.0 bn30.916.8%25.0%+13.5%+6% / +67%
TNDMTandem Diabetes Care, Inc.1.3 bn—-48.0%-6.1%+7.9%−9% / −6%
IARTIntegra Lifesciences Holdings Corp1.2 bn88.31.2%0.8%+1.5%+13% / −62%
BBNXBeta Bionics, Inc.921.5 m—-23.9%-65.3%+53.9%−46% / unavailable
SSIISs Innovations International, Inc.454.9 m—-26.1%-23.7%+105.7%−66% / unavailable
CARLCarlsmed, Inc.439.3 m—-6,196.9%-57.4%+85.9%−1% / unavailable
BWAYBrainsway Ltd.439.0 m224.25.6%7.1%+29.0%+28% / +258%
OFIXOrthofix Medical Inc.395.9 m—-13.9%-7.4%+2.9%−35% / −21%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.369.4 m4.4—8.6%−3.8%−49% / −64%
CLPTClearPoint Neuro, Inc.325.7 m—-167.5%-79.4%+17.8%−30% / +76%

1- and 3-year price returns: for OFIX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

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Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Orthofix Medical Inc. is a global medical technology company headquartered in Lewisville, Texas, offering spinal implants, bone growth stimulation therapies, limb reconstruction systems, biologics and the 7D FLASH navigation system. The company is in a period of operational transformation, and sales in the second quarter of 2026 reached $210.9 million, up 4% on a reported basis. The raised 2026 guidance suggests that cost measures are beginning to show in results.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A diversified portfolio spanning implants, bone stimulation, biologics, limb reconstruction and navigation, with a strong position in bone growth stimulation 1.
    • Solid international growth in the second quarter of 2026 for Global Spine Fixation and Global Limb Reconstruction 3.
    • A high gross margin that has improved in recent years supports capacity to invest in innovation 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Net losses reported in 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026, along with high integration and litigation costs 12.
    • Reliance on Medicare reimbursement for stimulation therapies creates exposure to policy changes 2.
    • Biologics sales declined for a period, and selling and administrative expenses remain high relative to sales 12.

    Opportunities

    • If international expansion continues, growth in the implant and limb reconstruction segments could accelerate 3.
    • A biologics recovery and the use of navigation technology could open new revenue streams 23.
    • Raised adjusted EBITDA guidance could strengthen profitability if cost discipline holds 3.

    Threats

    • Pricing pressure from purchasing groups and integrated networks can reduce margins and exclude suppliers 1.
    • Larger competitors with superior resources may launch competitive products or offer more favorable commercial terms 1.
    • Regulatory and reimbursement changes, along with supply chain disruptions, could affect operations 12.

    Risks

    • Pricing pressure from large purchasershigh

      Consolidation in healthcare can lead to price reductions and exclusion from certain market segments, with effects on profitability.

    • Litigation and arbitrationhigh

      Arbitration proceedings with former executives and securities class actions have generated significant expenses and payments that affect liquidity.

    • Reimbursement dependencemedium

      Changes in public reimbursement schedules can directly affect sales of bone growth stimulation therapies.

    • Integration of acquired businessesmedium

      The SeaSpine integration has not yet achieved all intended synergies, and expected savings are not certain.

    • Supply chainlow

      Reliance on a limited number of suppliers and the risk of component shortages could delay production and raise costs.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If international growth and recent launches continue, the Global Spine and Global Limb Reconstruction segments could support sustained sales growth 23.
    • The raised 2026 guidance and improving adjusted EBITDA margin could signal a gradual path to profitability if cost discipline holds 3.
    • A recovery in biologics and restored reimbursement for stimulators could remove part of the recent pressure on revenue 23.

    What would break the thesis

    • Persistent net losses and high costs for litigation and integration could limit the company's ability to generate cash 12.
    • If reimbursement changes or pressure from purchasing groups intensify, margins could be eroded 12.
    • Larger competitors with superior financial and distribution resources could regain share if Orthofix does not sustain its pace of innovation 1.

    What to watch

    • Sales trend of Therapeutic Solutions after restored reimbursementQ3 2026
    • Delivery against 2026 guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA2026
    • Performance of biologics and navigation technologiesQ3 2026
    • Outcome of arbitration and litigation with former executivesnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Orthofix operates through two reporting segments, Global Spine and Global Limb Reconstruction, which accounted for 84% and 16% of net sales in 2025, respectively 1. Global Spine covers bone growth therapies, spinal implants, biologics and navigation technologies, while Global Limb Reconstruction focuses on deformity correction, limb lengthening, complex fracture management and limb preservation 1. The company was founded in Verona, Italy, in 1980 and merged with SeaSpine in January 2023 in an all-stock transaction, trading on NASDAQ under OFIX 1.

    The sales model combines distributors and direct sales channels, mainly in the United States for stimulation therapies, while spinal implants and navigation technologies are distributed globally through distributor networks and sales representatives to hospitals, ambulatory centers and clinics 1. Biologics, including demineralized bone matrices and cellular allografts, are sold primarily in the U.S. 1. The company discontinued its M6 artificial disc line in 2025 to focus resources on more profitable growth opportunities 1.

    Bone growth stimulator sales are almost entirely American, while international expansion was cited as a growth source in the second quarter of 2026 for Global Spine Fixation and Global Limb Reconstruction 2. The company intends to grow through organic and inorganic innovation, physician collaboration and partnerships with dedicated commercial channels 1.

    Segments

    Global Spine

    Global Spine includes Therapeutic Solutions (formerly Bone Growth Therapies), which generated $247.2 million in 2025 with growth of 5.9% 1, and Spinal Implants, Biologics and Enabling Technologies, covering spine fixation, biologics and the 7D FLASH navigation system 1. In the second quarter of 2026, Global Spine sales rose 2.0% on a reported basis, despite a temporary Medicare reimbursement headwind 2.

    Market context

    The spinal and orthopedic device market is described in the annual report as highly competitive and characterized by rapid technological change 1. Healthcare consolidation and the influence of group purchasing organizations and integrated delivery networks create pricing pressure 1. Consolidated net sales of $822.3 million in 2025 grew 2.9% on a reported basis, and 2026 guidance of $845 million to $855 million implies about 5% pro forma constant currency growth at the midpoint 13.

    Revenue is sensitive to reimbursement policy, in particular Medicare, which temporarily changed rates for bone growth stimulators in May 2026 before the changes were withdrawn 2. If pricing pressure from large purchasers intensifies, margins could be affected 1.

    Trends

    • Healthcare purchasing consolidationheadwind

      Group purchasing organizations and integrated networks exert pricing pressure and can exclude suppliers from segments, which could affect sales 1.

    • Navigation and implant innovationtailwind

      The 7D FLASH system and radiation-free navigation technologies may open opportunities in spine and cranial surgery, and international sales expansion supports Global Spine growth 12.

    • Reimbursement regulationmixed

      Medicare fee changes for bone growth stimulators temporarily affected sales in the second quarter of 2026, although CMS later withdrew them 2.

    • SeaSpine integration and efficiencymixed

      Integrating SeaSpine and rationalizing products may bring savings, but integration costs have been substantial and the benefits are not assured 1.

    Competitive position

    The company states that many competitors have greater financial, manufacturing and distribution resources and that some specialize in a single product or segment 1. Competition can create pricing pressure, and frequent launches of new products can make differentiation harder 1.

    Orthofix highlights that it is the only manufacturer offering both PEMF and LIPUS bone stimulation technologies and that its sacroiliac fixation offering is a differentiator against many competitors 1. Direct competitors are not named explicitly in the sources reviewed.

    • Larger spinal device manufacturers

      The company describes competitors with greater financial and distribution resources, without naming them in the sources reviewed 1.

    • Broad orthopedic portfolio manufacturers

      Large companies with multiple product lines can negotiate high-volume contracts and limit access to customers 1.

    • Single-segment specialist companies

      Competitors focused on one product category may win share in those segments 1.

    • Biologics and bone graft suppliers

      In the biologics market, competitors offer alternatives that can influence price and market share 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Orthofix Medical Inc. · 24 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Orthofix Medical Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Orthofix Medical Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Orthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw