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olivLaw · US equity research

Resideo Technologies, Inc. REZI

Wholesale-Hardware · SIC 5072 · Vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 50xx)

20.51USD+6.60% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Resideo makes sensing and control products for comfort, safety and security in homes and commercial buildings, sold mainly through a professional installer channel. After the ADI Global Distribution separation in August 2026, the company presents itself as a standalone business focused on Products and Solutions, with a standalone 2026 outlook aimed at profitable growth.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) stock was 20.51 USD (+6.60% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.1 bn USD, P/E 8.4 on diluted EPS of 2.44 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.56, 52-week range 16.21–28.79 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 2.0 bn USD (+2.0% YoY), net income of 97.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.51 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.1 bn USD
shares as of 05 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.4
Diluted EPS TTM 2.44 · TTM to 04 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
11.91%
TTM to 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.56
Volatility (1y) 61%
52-week range
16.2128.79

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
73.8
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
15.47 – 19.98
above the upper band · %B 1.12 · band width 25.4%
SMA 50 / 200
18.44 / 22.66
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.31 / -0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+10.5%−1.1%+11.6 pp—
3 months−21.8%−0.5%−21.4 pp—
6 months−28.3%+4.4%−32.7 pp—
Year to date−16.1%+12.3%−28.4 pp—
1 year−28.9%+13.5%−42.4 pp+16.8%
3 years+85.8%+76.4%+9.4 pp+33.6%
5 years+11.4%+63.7%−52.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.7%
30 Apr 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−48.6%
16 Nov 2021 → 27 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 04 Jul 2026

Revenue
2.0 bn USD
+2.0% YoY
Net income
97.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.51
unavailable YoY
net / operating
4.9% / 6.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.8 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn
Gross profit524.0 m530.0 m511.0 m569.0 m556.0 m560.0 m551.0 m595.0 m
Research & development23.0 m42.0 m35.0 m41.0 m44.0 m47.0 m48.0 m48.0 m
SG&A317.0 m310.0 m306.0 m319.0 m324.0 m317.0 m340.0 m332.0 m
Operating income126.0 m144.0 m136.0 m177.0 m154.0 m140.0 m102.0 m131.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation46.0 m ≈46.0 m47.0 m49.0 m ≈49.0 m ≈50.0 m51.0 m50.0 m ≈
Interest expense27.0 m26.0 m25.0 m24.0 m37.0 m49.0 m47.0 m46.0 m
Pre-tax income44.0 m45.0 m15.0 m-738.0 m110.0 m156.0 m55.0 m166.0 m
Income tax24.0 m22.0 m9.0 m87.0 m-46.0 m20.0 m17.0 m69.0 m
Net income20.0 m23.0 m6.0 m-825.0 m156.0 m136.0 m38.0 m97.0 m
Diluted EPS0.070.15 ≈-0.02-5.590.850.91 ≈0.170.51
Operating cash flow147.0 m ≈203.0 m-65.0 m200.0 m ≈-1.6 bn ≈299.0 m-145.0 m148.0 m ≈
Capex22.0 m ≈22.0 m31.0 m20.0 m ≈28.0 m ≈37.0 m36.0 m29.0 m ≈
Share repurchases—0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 29 percentile of its own 24-quarter history (min 4.0, median 10.3, max 59.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.8 bn5.0 bn5.1 bn5.8 bn6.4 bn6.2 bn6.8 bn7.5 bn
Revenue YoY+6.8%+3.3%+1.7%+15.3%+9.0%−2.0%+8.3%+10.5%
Net income405.0 m36.0 m37.0 m242.0 m283.0 m210.0 m116.0 m-527.0 m
Net income YoYunavailable−91.1%+2.8%+554.1%+16.9%−25.8%−44.8%−554.3%
Diluted EPS3.300.290.291.631.901.420.61-3.77
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−91.2%0.0%+462.1%+16.6%−25.3%−57.0%−718.0%
net %8.4%0.7%0.7%4.1%4.4%3.4%1.7%-7.1%
Free cash flow398.0 munavailable174.0 m252.0 m67.0 m335.0 m364.0 m-1.3 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
661.0 m USD
Financial debt
3.2 bn USD
Net debt
2.5 bn USD
Equity
2.9 bn USD
Total assets
8.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.09x
Current ratio
1.91x
ROE
-16.9%
ROA
-6.3%
FCF margin
-16.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.2 bn
2024
6.8 bn
2025
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
4.5 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
109.0 m
2024
111.0 m
2025
167.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
960.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
547.0 m
2024
520.0 m
2025
607.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
98.0 m
2024
144.0 m
2025
195.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
645.0 m ≈
2024
664.0 m ≈
2025
802.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
65.0 m
2024
81.0 m
2025
135.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
313.0 m
2024
221.0 m
2025
-457.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
103.0 m
2024
105.0 m
2025
70.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
210.0 m
2024
116.0 m
2025
-527.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.42
2024
0.61
2025
-3.77

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
148.0 m
2024
149.0 m
2025
149.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
636.0 m
2024
692.0 m
2025
661.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Feb 2022verified

Inventories
2023
941.0 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.7 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
390.0 m
2024
410.0 m
2025
447.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.7 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
461.0 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.6 bn
2024
8.2 bn
2025
8.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
905.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
12.0 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.4 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.7 bn †
2024
3.3 bn †
2025
2.9 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
440.0 m
2024
444.0 m
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
105.0 m
2024
80.0 m
2025
116.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
335.0 m ≈
2024
364.0 m ≈
2025
-1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-44.0 m
2024
-1.4 bn
2025
-39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-64.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
41.0 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
16.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-554.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-718.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-444.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
29.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF margin
-18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
15.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROA
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROIC
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROCE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
130.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
-1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
-327.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
-174.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
90 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
6.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
11.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-44.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 42 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

20.51 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROE
15.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 04 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 04 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 05 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 12 Aug 2026
verified 1526derived 121

Score by group

  • Valuation63
  • Returns0
  • Quality34
  • Balance sheet33
  • Growth46

Estimated value range

Low
36.44
USD per share
Mid
48.16
USD per share
High
61.11
USD per share
Price: 20.51 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 134.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 57.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 24.48 – 67.33 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA24.48 – 54.88 (Mid 40.32)
    15 companies used · median multiple 12.6x · quartiles 9.3x – 15.6x
    ACH, ARW, AVT, CLMB, DSGR, FERG, GWW, HSIC, JXG, MSM, RS, SCSC, SNX, TEL, WCC
  • Peers: P/E48.40 – 67.33 (Mid 56.00)
    24 companies used · median multiple 22.9x · quartiles 19.8x – 27.6x
    AIT, ARW, AVT, CLMB, CNXN, DXPE, FERG, GIC, GWW, HDSN, HSIC, JXG, MSM, PLUS, POOL, RELL, RS, SCSC, SITE, SNX, TEL, TLIH, WCC, WSO
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 50xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 42/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.3%32 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality5.6%72 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality-327.6%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.5%46 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.2x12 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.9x22 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8.4x96 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.5x81 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation-44.9%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet33/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial46/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality34/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation63/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-04.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 10.5%; net margin 5.6%; ROE 15.2%; net debt/EBITDA 4.2x.

The estimated value range is 36.44–61.11 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 48.16 USD, the price of 20.51 USD leaves a potential of 134.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 57.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 42/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 5.6%
  • Current ratio: 2.2x
  • P/E (TTM): 8.4x
  • EV/EBITDA: 8.5x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -327.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.2x
  • Interest coverage: 2.9x
  • FCF yield: -44.9%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 50xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8.4x
vertical median 24.5x
below median (−65.7%)
EV/EBITDA
8.5x
vertical median 12.9x
below median (−34.6%)
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−59.4%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−58.1%)
ROE
15.2%
vertical median 12.0%
above median (+26.8%)
Net margin
5.6%
vertical median 3.1%
above median (+82.0%)
EBIT margin
6.9%
vertical median 4.0%
above median (+71.3%)
Revenue YoY
10.5%
vertical median 4.5%
above median (+133.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.2x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+432.0%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.69.7 bn32.754.7%11.2%+4.5%+57% / +89%
TELTe Connectivity PLC63.8 bn27.518.5%12.6%+8.9%−3% / +68%
FERGFerguson Enterprises Inc.48.1 bn25.132.8%6.3%+3.8%−1% / +45%
RSReliance, Inc.22.5 bn20.614.7%6.4%+3.3%+58% / +61%
SNXTd Synnex Corporation18.4 bn14.014.9%1.8%+6.9%+51% / +134%
GPCGenuine Parts Co17.4 bn481.80.7%0.1%+3.5%−3% / −5%
WCCWESCO International, Inc.15.4 bn19.815.4%3.0%+7.8%+18% / +103%
QXOQxo, Inc.13.1 bn—-2.8%-4.1%+11,925.0%−32% / −57%
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.10.9 bn26.422.5%8.4%+8.8%+15% / +86%
ARWArrow Electronics, Inc.10.3 bn12.912.2%2.3%+10.5%+88% / +71%
HSICHenry Schein, Inc.9.8 bn24.212.9%3.1%+4.0%+18% / +32%
POOLPool Corporation7.8 bn20.230.4%7.3%−0.4%−10% / −37%
AVTAvnet, Inc.7.0 bn21.46.7%1.2%+24.5%+80% / +83%
MSMMsc Industrial Direct Co., Inc.6.5 bn29.215.8%5.6%+6.4%+30% / +19%
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.5.1 bn31.99.6%3.4%+3.6%−12% / −16%
REZIResideo Technologies, Inc.3.1 bn8.415.2%5.6%+10.5%−29% / +86%
DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc.2.5 bn27.918.5%4.4%+11.9%+69% / +441%
PLUSePlus inc.2.4 bn19.012.0%5.1%+22.1%+1% / +43%
CNXNPc Connection, Inc.2.2 bn21.710.9%3.3%+2.5%+51% / +47%
GICGlobal Industrial Co1.8 bn19.827.6%6.3%+4.8%+66% / +34%
DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc.1.6 bn180.01.4%0.4%+9.8%+26% / +38%
SCSCScanSource, Inc.1.1 bn15.78.7%2.4%+6.1%+39% / +70%
CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc.803.2 m33.819.5%3.1%+40.1%+70% / +261%
ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.398.3 m—-50.4%-62.4%−40.1%+49% / −54%
RELLRichardson Electronics, Ltd.211.2 m24.75.2%3.6%+9.4%+87% / +50%

1- and 3-year price returns: for REZI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
14.09
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
24.90
Total return 21% · Per year 21%
37.49
Total return 83% · Per year 83%
3 years
13.94
Total return -32% · Per year -12%
27.70
Total return 35% · Per year 11%
45.75
Total return 123% · Per year 31%
5 years
13.79
Total return -33% · Per year -8%
30.80
Total return 50% · Per year 8%
55.82
Total return 172% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.92
  • Net margin± 4.85
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.94
  • Annual dilution± 0.41

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Resideo makes sensing and control products for comfort, safety and security in homes and commercial buildings, sold mainly through a professional installer channel. After the ADI Global Distribution separation in August 2026, the company presents itself as a standalone business focused on Products and Solutions, with a standalone 2026 outlook aimed at profitable growth.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Established brands and a broad base of professional partners recognized by customers and the market.
  • Rising gross margins and a track record of margin expansion in the Products and Solutions segment.
  • A large patent portfolio that supports the company's own innovation.

Weaknesses

  • High total debt that limits financial flexibility and generates interest costs.
  • Dependence on single or limited source suppliers for certain components and finished products.
  • Sensitivity to seasonality and construction cycles that can affect the predictability of results.

Opportunities

  • Demand for connected solutions and energy efficiency in homes and commercial buildings.
  • Expanding the professional channel through new products and partnerships with installers and integrators.
  • Focus on one core segment after the separation could simplify strategic execution.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade instability could raise import costs and reduce orders.
  • Pricing pressure from technology companies and new market entrants.
  • Intellectual property disputes and product liability claims could generate unforeseen costs.

Risks

  • Intense and changing competitionhigh

    The markets the company serves are changing rapidly, and the entry of nontraditional players could reduce market share and margins.

  • Supplier dependencehigh

    Supply chain disruptions or problems with single-source suppliers could affect the ability to meet customer commitments.

  • Debt and financing costsmedium

    The high level of debt and related interest could limit investment and financial flexibility if credit conditions worsen.

  • Tariffs and trade policymedium

    Changes in tariff regimes and trade agreements could alter material costs and sales volumes.

  • Intellectual property and litigationlow

    Patent litigation and indemnification claims from customers could generate costs and divert management attention.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the margins recorded in the second quarter of 2026 hold, the company could show that its new standalone profile is more profitable.
  • A large installed base and relationships with professionals could support revenue growth over the medium term.
  • Simplifying the portfolio after the separation could allow a more efficient allocation of innovation investment.

What would break the thesis

  • Weakness in the U.S. residential housing market could slow volume growth, especially if interest rates remain high.
  • Import costs and tariffs could erode margins if they cannot be passed on to customers.
  • Remaining debt and separation costs could limit the company's capacity to fund growth.

What to watch

  • Third-quarter results, the first reported as continuing operations without ADIQ3 2026
  • Delivery against the standalone 2026 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA outlook2026
  • Debt reduction through the further Term Loan B repayment and interest cost trendsQ3 2026
  • Evolution of tariffs and their impact on import costs from Mexiconext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Resideo is a global manufacturer and distributor of sensing and control products covering HVAC controls, smoke and carbon monoxide detection, security and connected home solutions. It serves mainly its professional partners, approximately 100 thousand contractors, installers, dealers and integrators 1, and its solutions are found in over 150 million residential and commercial spaces 1. Brands such as First Alert, Braukmann, BRK and Honeywell Home support its commercial position 1.

In fiscal 2025, net revenue reached 7.47 billion dollars, up 10.5% from the prior year, with a gross profit margin of 29.4% 1. Growth was supported in part by the Snap One acquisition, which added 446 million dollars of revenue 1. The company also reported a net loss of 527 million dollars in 2025, influenced by costs tied to the termination of the Honeywell indemnification agreement 1.

Beginning with the third quarter of 2026, ADI Global Distribution results will be reported as discontinued operations, while Products and Solutions will appear as continuing operations 3. Management said the standalone company intends to leverage its competitive strengths and increase the value it delivers to customers 3.

Segments

Products and Solutions

The Products and Solutions segment includes temperature and humidity control, water and air solutions, smoke and carbon monoxide detection products, residential and small business security products and video 1. In fiscal 2025 it generated 2688 million dollars of revenue, up 4.8% 1. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue was 695 million dollars and gross margin 43.6%, a record 3.

ADI Global Distribution

ADI Global Distribution is a specialty distributor of low-voltage products for security and audio-visual solutions, separated from Resideo on August 3, 2026 13. In fiscal 2025 it generated 4784 million dollars of revenue, up 14% 1. Until the separation the segment was consolidated within Resideo 3.

Market context

The company operates in large markets at the intersection of long-term growth trends such as energy efficiency and smart safety solutions 1. The U.S. residential housing market was described as growing slowly in 2026, and non-residential construction could moderate 1. The revenue outlook for 2026 assumes growth in the mid-single-digit range 1.

Demand depends on repair and remodeling activity, residential and commercial construction, home sales, interest rates and employment levels 2. Tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty can affect costs and customer order levels 1. The company notes that seasonality, intensified by extreme weather, can shift typical sales patterns 1.

Trends

  • Demand for connected productstailwind

    Demand for connected comfort and safety solutions supported revenue and margin gains in the Products and Solutions segment in the second quarter of 2026 3. With over 14 million connected customers, the company strengthens its relationship with end users 1.

  • Tariffs and import costsmixed

    Tariffs on products outside USMCA or other exceptions could raise costs, and higher prices could lower customer purchase levels 1. The company received tariff refunds in the second quarter of 2026 that temporarily supported margins 3.

  • U.S. residential housingheadwind

    Companies have described slow growth in the U.S. residential housing market, and weakness in residential audio-visual affected ADI in 2026 13. If mortgage rates stay elevated, demand for renovation and installation could remain under pressure.

  • Investment in new productsmixed

    Research and development spending rose in 2025 with new product launches and the Snap One acquisition 13. Continued innovation spending can support long-term growth but adds near-term operating costs.

Competitive position

The company competes with manufacturers, distributors, software and service providers, retailers and online platforms, as well as new entrants with nontraditional business models 1. Technology and telecommunications companies in the connected home space exert pricing pressure and could reduce Resideo's market share if customer preferences shift toward their services 1.

The main competitive factors are innovation, brand reputation, customer relationships, product performance, availability and price 1. In low-voltage distribution, competition comes from suppliers and online sales channels that may develop their own exclusive brands 1.

  • Connected home technology companies

    Named generically in the 10-K as a source of pricing pressure and shifting customer preferences, without specific names.

  • Cable and telecommunications providers

    Described as players competing in the connected space with existing customer bases for services.

  • Low-voltage product distributors and retailers

    Direct competitors of ADI Global Distribution, including online merchants that may expand in wholesale distribution.

  • New entrants with disruptive business models

    Companies using nontraditional service models or new technologies, cited as potential sources of competitive pressure.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report12 Aug 2026
  • Current report12 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report07 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Item 3.03 · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Jul 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report24 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Jun 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Current report04 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report12 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Resideo Technologies, Inc. · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-04 · SEC / Resideo Technologies, Inc. · 12 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Resideo Technologies, Inc. · 12 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.