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olivLaw · US equity research

Agilysys, Inc. AGYS

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design · SIC 7373 · Vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

122.64USD+2.31% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Agilysys builds cloud and on-premise software for the hospitality industry, from PMS and POS to inventory and payments, with a growing emphasis on subscriptions. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 total revenue reached a record 93.4 million USD, and the company raised its full-year guidance, suggesting that demand for modern solutions in this sector remains strong.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Agilysys, Inc. (AGYS) stock was 122.64 USD (+2.31% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.5 bn USD, P/E 78.5 on diluted EPS of 1.56 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.05%, beta 0.88, 52-week range 62.19–129.50 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 93.4 m USD (+17.7% YoY), net income of 13.2 m USD (+12.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.46 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.5 bn USD
shares as of 16 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
78.5
Diluted EPS TTM 1.56 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.27%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.05%
DPS 12m 0.06
Beta (2y)
0.88
Volatility (1y) 51%
52-week range
62.19129.50

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
66.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
102.59 – 125.93
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.86 · band width 20.4%
SMA 50 / 200
108.86 / 91.96
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.82 / 3.38
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+23.3%−1.1%+24.4 pp—
3 months+10.7%−0.5%+11.2 pp—
6 months+78.9%+4.4%+74.5 pp—
Year to date+3.2%+12.3%−9.1 pp—
1 year+0.5%+13.5%−13.0 pp−34.8%
3 years+36.2%+76.4%−40.2 pp−27.7%
5 years+146.2%+63.7%+82.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.0%
14 Nov 2025 → 10 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−56.1%
17 Dec 2024 → 10 Apr 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+19.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
93.4 m USD
+17.7% YoY
Net income
13.2 m USD
+12.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.46
+12.2% YoY
net / operating
14.1% / 16.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue69.6 m74.3 m76.7 m79.3 m80.4 m82.9 m87.7 m93.4 m
Cost of revenue25.7 m29.2 m29.4 m30.3 m30.1 m29.5 m32.0 m33.1 m
Gross profit43.9 m45.1 m47.3 m49.0 m50.2 m53.4 m55.7 m60.3 m
Research & development15.0 m16.5 m17.5 m17.8 m18.9 m18.5 m20.2 m19.8 m
SG&A36.4 m———————
Operating income7.4 m5.3 m4.5 m14.1 m11.7 m12.6 m9.7 m15.2 m
Interest expense657.0 k413.0 k217.0 k56.0 k30.0 k190.0 k70.0 k73.0 k
Pre-tax income7.7 m5.4 m4.8 m15.7 m12.9 m15.0 m10.8 m16.7 m
Income tax3.9 m1.4 m-41.0 k4.0 m3.0 m2.7 m1.8 m3.6 m
Net income3.8 m3.9 m4.9 m11.7 m9.9 m12.3 m9.0 m13.2 m
Diluted EPS0.140.14 ≈0.170.410.350.43 ≈0.320.46
Operating cash flow20.3 m ≈27.2 m-4.3 m15.2 m ≈23.3 m ≈35.8 m7.8 m15.2 m ≈
Capex562.0 k ≈701.0 k633.0 k217.0 k ≈574.0 k ≈424.0 k520.0 k356.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 37 percentile of its own 19-quarter history (min 26.5, median 122.6, max 229.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue140.8 m160.8 m137.2 m162.6 m198.1 m237.5 m275.6 m319.3 m
Revenue YoY+10.6%+14.1%−14.7%+18.6%+21.8%+19.9%+16.1%+15.9%
Net income-13.2 m-34.1 m-21.0 m6.5 m14.6 m86.2 m23.2 m38.8 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+125.1%+491.1%−73.1%+67.0%
Diluted EPSunavailable-1.47-1.010.180.493.170.821.37
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+172.2%+546.9%−74.1%+67.1%
net %-9.3%-21.2%-15.3%4.0%7.4%36.3%8.4%12.1%
Free cash flow3.9 m7.2 m27.0 m27.3 m27.2 m40.1 m52.3 m68.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
116.9 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-116.9 m USD
Equity
326.8 m USD
Total assets
481.5 m USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
1.47x
ROE
13.1%
ROA
8.5%
FCF margin
21.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
237.5 m
2025
275.6 m
2026
319.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
93.2 m
2025
103.6 m
2026
119.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
144.3 m
2025
172.0 m
2026
199.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Research & development
2024
56.7 m
2025
62.4 m
2026
72.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
128.5 m
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 May 2024verified

Operating income
2024
15.8 m
2025
22.6 m
2026
43.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Interest expense
2024
0
2025
1.5 m
2026
493.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
20.7 m
2025
25.6 m
2026
48.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-65.5 m
2025
2.4 m
2026
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
86.2 m
2025
23.2 m
2026
38.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.17
2025
0.82
2026
1.37

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
26.8 m
2025
28.3 m
2026
28.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
144.9 m
2025
73.0 m
2026
116.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
29.4 m
2025
31.5 m
2026
43.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
4.6 m
2025
5.2 m
2026
7.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
188.9 m
2025
123.5 m
2026
184.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
17.9 m
2025
16.7 m
2026
14.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
32.8 m
2025
130.6 m
2026
133.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
17.0 m
2025
70.8 m
2026
66.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
350.4 m
2025
434.4 m
2026
481.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
9.4 m
2025
12.4 m
2026
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
0
2025
24.0 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
89.4 m
2025
111.0 m
2026
125.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
236.5 m †
2025
265.9 m †
2026
326.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
48.2 m
2025
55.1 m
2026
70.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
8.1 m
2025
2.8 m
2026
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
40.1 m ≈
2025
52.3 m ≈
2026
68.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-7.6 m
2025
-148.6 m
2026
-1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-8.6 m
2025
21.9 m
2026
-24.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
17.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
90.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
67.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
38.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
67.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
40.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
30.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
63.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
135.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
82.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
1.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
80.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
180.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
78.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
78.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
9.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
10.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
43.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

122.64 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
78.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
9.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 16 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 26 Oct 2026
verified 2373derived 188

Score by group

72% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality63.8%59 (on a fixed band)15%
EBIT margin · Quality14.3%79 (vs peers)12%
FCF margin · Quality23.3%93 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth17.3%69 (on a fixed band)24%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth15.9%68 (vs peers)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.9x66 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation2.3%46 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial66/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth69/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality76/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial46/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AGILYSYS, INC. (AGYS). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 319.3 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 15.9%; net margin 12.9%; ROE 13.6%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 14.3%
  • FCF margin: 23.3%

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
78.5x
vertical median 22.9x
above median (+243.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.9x
P/S
10.0x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+331.4%)
P/B
9.7x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+467.8%)
ROE
13.6%
vertical median -10.3%
above median
Net margin
12.9%
vertical median -11.0%
above median
EBIT margin
14.3%
vertical median -11.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
15.9%
vertical median 7.1%
above median (+122.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.6x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.3%
below median (−96.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.16.6 bn12.228.2%8.0%+3.1%−29% / +26%
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.14.3 bn16.2—18.6%+8.3%−7% / +18%
CACICACI International Inc14.0 bn25.912.5%5.5%+10.9%+2% / +97%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.12.6 bn25.724.0%19.8%+7.1%+3% / +13%
IONQIonQ, Inc.11.3 bn—-60.8%-553.3%+201.9%−40% / +142%
OTEXOpen Text Corp6.4 bn10.316.2%12.3%+1.5%−21% / −34%
SAICScience Applications International Corporation6.3 bn17.625.7%5.1%−2.9%+75% / +28%
WAYWaystar Holding Corp.5.7 bn42.93.7%10.7%+16.5%−20% / unavailable
KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc3.7 bn48.96.8%0.5%+0.2%−35% / −7%
AGYSAgilysys, Inc.3.5 bn78.513.6%12.9%+15.9%+1% / +36%
NTCTNetscout Systems Inc2.8 bn23.37.5%13.7%+4.5%+42% / +90%
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.2.6 bn—-45.7%-13,328.6%unavailable−3% / +86%
PONYPony AI Inc.2.1 bn—-10.3%-148.9%+20.0%−65% / unavailable
OSPNOneSpan Inc.872.9 m13.226.8%27.5%+0.0%+94% / +136%
TLSTelos Corporation378.2 m—-14.9%-8.1%+52.2%−12% / +23%
SLPSimulations Plus, Inc.374.2 m46.76.2%9.9%+13.1%unavailable / unavailable
SMRTSmartrent, Inc.307.5 m—-7.6%-11.0%−12.9%−6% / −48%
ASURAsure Software, Inc.293.6 m—-1.9%—+24.3%+22% / +22%
VEEAVeea Inc.281.2 m——-2,491.9%+56.6%−55% / −98%
RBBNRibbon Communications Inc.275.9 m22.55.0%2.3%+1.3%−46% / −28%
KDKKodiak AI, Inc.220.7 m——-4,259.6%−74.6%−82% / unavailable
AIOSAIOS Tech Inc.138.9 m—-208.9%-4,359.1%−98.5%−87% / −86%
MRLNMerlin, Inc.91.5 m———unavailable−92% / unavailable
CSPICSP Inc75.4 m—-1.5%-1.2%+6.4%−35% / −40%
HCTIHealthcare Triangle, Inc.69.2 m—-57.4%-66.3%+18.8%−97% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AGYS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
80.63
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
141.90
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
212.85
Total return 74% · Per year 74%
3 years
95.64
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
187.66
Total return 53% · Per year 15%
306.51
Total return 150% · Per year 36%
5 years
113.45
Total return -7% · Per year -2%
248.19
Total return 102% · Per year 15%
441.37
Total return 260% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 46.92
  • Net margin± 32.84
  • Annual revenue growth± 24.49
  • Annual dilution± 2.76

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Agilysys builds cloud and on-premise software for the hospitality industry, from PMS and POS to inventory and payments, with a growing emphasis on subscriptions. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 total revenue reached a record 93.4 million USD 2, and the company raised its full-year guidance, suggesting that demand for modern solutions in this sector remains strong 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Fast-growing recurring revenue and high gross margins, which provide predictability 23.
  • A record order backlog and a raised revenue guidance for fiscal 2027 3.

Weaknesses

  • Product and professional services revenue is more volatile and carries lower margins than subscriptions 1.
  • Reliance on a concentrated set of hardware and software suppliers can affect margins 1.
  • Research and development spending has risen considerably, weighing on short-term profitability 1.

Opportunities

  • International expansion and a broader product range could increase share in new segments 1.
  • Industry POS modernisation and AI adoption could generate new demand for the platform 3.
  • Integrating recent acquisitions such as Book4Time could open new vertical markets 1.

Threats

  • A global economic slowdown and lower travel could reduce customers' IT budgets 1.
  • AI could let competitors offer cheaper alternatives to subscriptions 1.
  • Changing AI regulation and immigration policy could raise compliance and staffing costs 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on macroeconomic conditionshigh

    Lower customer spending caused by conflicts, tariffs and inflation could delay or cancel software purchases 12.

  • Competitive pricing pressuremedium

    If competitors reduce prices, the company could be forced to follow, which would reduce margins 1.

  • AI-related risksmedium

    Errors in AI-generated analyses, changing regulation and cost pressure from model providers could create legal liability or margin pressure 1.

  • Supplier dependencemedium

    A concentrated set of hardware and software suppliers could limit product availability or raise costs 1.

  • Attracting and retaining stafflow

    A competitive market for developers and immigration restrictions could slow growth and raise salary costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Fast growth in subscription revenue and the raised fiscal 2027 guidance point to an increasingly recurring business model 23.
  • Rising gross margins and adjusted profitability in the second quarter suggest that scaling operations could bring larger gains 3.
  • Industry POS modernisation and a record order backlog could support growth in the period ahead 3.

What would break the thesis

  • One-time product revenue is volatile, and a sudden shift in demand could affect quarterly results 23.
  • Macroeconomic and trade conditions could slow customer investment, particularly outside the United States 12.
  • AI could reduce the value of the traditional subscription model if competitors offer cheaper alternatives 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the 374-378 million USD revenue guidance and subscription growth of at least 34%2027
  • Trajectory of gross margin and adjusted EBITDA, guided at 25% of revenue2027
  • Evolution of the order backlog and professional services revenueQ3 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The business model has gradually shifted from perpetual licences and hardware toward subscriptions, which slightly reduced product revenue in fiscal 2026 while gross margin rose to 62.6% 1. This transition can bring more predictable recurring revenue, but it may also weigh on one-time revenue in the short term.

Segments

Products

Product revenue, covering software licences and third-party hardware, declined slightly in fiscal 2026 1 but rose in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 on hardware fulfilment 2. The company said one-time product revenue was higher than expected 3.

Market context

The hospitality software market is moving toward integrated cloud solutions that combine operations, guest services and back-office functions on one data platform 1. The company says the industry continues to invest in modern POS technology and cloud ecosystems 3. Demand remains sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, supplier pricing and lower travel, factors that could slow customer investment 12.

The market is global, with operations across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia-Pacific and India 1. Trade pressures, currency movements and labour shortages could push demand down, particularly outside the United States 12.

Trends

  • Shift to subscriptionstailwind

    Customers increasingly prefer subscription licences over perpetual ones, which reduces one-time revenue but raises recurring revenue and its predictability 1. If the trend continues, it could support more stable margins over the long term.

  • Artificial intelligence in productsmixed

    The company is integrating AI and machine learning into its platform to optimise pricing, inventory and workforce efficiency 1. The same technology could, however, reduce the value of traditional subscriptions if competitors offer cheaper alternatives 1.

  • Macroeconomic and trade conditionsheadwind

    Armed conflicts, tariff changes, currency fluctuations and labour shortages affect customer spending and supplier pricing, leading to lower demand and reduced margins in some regions 12. These pressures could persist.

  • Sustained demand for POS modernisationtailwind

    The hospitality industry keeps investing in modern POS technology and cloud solutions, and the company reported a record backlog 3. If this demand holds, it could sustain growth in implementation revenue.

Competitive position

The company acknowledges that several competitors offer similar products and that rapid technological change could bring in new entrants from outside the industry 1. Competition plays out on price, integration capability and customer service quality 1. Price pressure could reduce margins if competitors cut their prices 1.

  • Hospitality PMS and POS vendors

    The sources refer generally to competitors with similar products without naming them, so they cannot be identified from the text provided.

  • AI-enabled newcomers and SaaS platforms

    The company warns that AI could let new entrants build cheaper alternatives, without naming them 1.

  • Hospitality payment platforms

    The Agilysys Pay gateway competes with other payment processors, but the sources do not name them 1.

  • POS hardware suppliers

    Third-party hardware depends on a concentrated set of suppliers, and losing them could affect margins 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Agilysys, Inc. · 21 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Agilysys, Inc. · 26 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Agilysys, Inc. · 26 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.