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olivLaw · US equity research

Albemarle Corporation ALB

Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers · SIC 2821 · Vertical: Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821)

94.97USD+5.30% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Albemarle is a world leader in turning essential resources, especially lithium and bromine, into critical ingredients for mobility, energy, connectivity and health. Demand for energy storage and electric vehicles has returned the company to focus, with the second quarter of 2026 far stronger than the prior year. The sale of the Ketjen Refining Solutions business and debt reduction have made it more concentrated on lithium and specialties.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Albemarle Corporation (ALB) stock was 94.97 USD (+5.30% on the day), with market capitalisation 11.2 bn USD, P/E 21.1 on diluted EPS of 4.49 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.71%, beta 1.55, 52-week range 90.19–215.62 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.6 bn USD (+18.8% YoY), net income of 296.8 m USD, diluted EPS 2.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
11.2 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.1
Diluted EPS TTM 4.49 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.73%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.71%
DPS 12m 1.63
Beta (2y)
1.55
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
90.19215.62

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
89.03 – 102.12
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.45 · band width 13.7%
SMA 50 / 200
109.00 / 148.81
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-4.42 / -5.00
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.0%−1.1%−7.9 pp—
3 months−20.1%−0.5%−19.6 pp—
6 months−50.7%+4.4%−55.1 pp—
Year to date−32.9%+12.3%−45.2 pp—
1 year+7.4%+13.5%−6.2 pp+17.9%
3 years−25.8%+76.4%−102.2 pp−9.9%
5 years−65.1%+63.7%−128.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−58.2%
16 Apr 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−84.4%
11 Nov 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−19.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.6 bn USD
+18.8% YoY
Net income
296.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
2.15
unavailable YoY
net / operating
19.1% / 9.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.2 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn
Cost of revenue1.1 bn920.6 m1.1 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn927.8 m1.2 bn1.3 bn
Gross profit138.2 m156.3 m196.9 m117.6 m197.9 m501.0 m590.3 m300.7 m
Research & development20.0 m14.1 m12.4 m12.7 m12.2 m9.2 m3.7 m8.2 m
SG&A136.0 m123.5 m132.5 m138.6 m155.5 m137.4 m126.4 m136.4 m
Operating income4.4 m19.8 m47.5 m-217.0 m-217.4 m233.5 m452.9 m148.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation163.1 m161.8 m168.7 m164.5 m163.7 m157.8 m155.8 m168.4 m
Interest expense44.7 m49.0 m49.9 m51.0 m57.8 m33.1 m30.9 m27.8 m
Pre-tax income76.7 m-19.0 m-9.0 m-239.1 m-285.0 m254.2 m441.6 m133.2 m
Income tax10.6 m-4.0 m34.1 m-30.6 m157.3 m21.5 m94.0 m21.9 m
Net income75.3 m41.3 m22.9 m-160.7 m-414.2 m319.1 m480.0 m296.8 m
Diluted EPS0.64 ≈0.00-0.16-1.72-3.52 ≈2.343.522.15
Operating cash flow-4.4 m547.2 m-9.0 m ≈355.6 m ≈388.5 m346.2 m710.0 m ≈405.8 m ≈
Capex342.8 m182.6 m119.6 m ≈132.2 m ≈155.4 m98.7 m71.7 m ≈80.4 m ≈
Dividends paid47.6 m47.6 m47.6 m ≈47.7 m ≈47.6 m47.7 m47.7 m ≈47.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 32-quarter history (min 6.0, median 21.8, max 264.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.4 bn3.6 bn3.1 bn3.3 bn7.3 bn9.6 bn5.4 bn5.1 bn
Revenue YoY+9.9%+6.4%−12.8%+6.4%+120.0%+31.4%−44.1%−4.4%
Net income693.6 m533.2 m375.8 m123.7 m2.7 bn1.6 bn-1.2 bn-510.6 m
Net income YoY+1,164.5%−23.1%−29.5%−67.1%+2,075.0%−41.5%−175.0%unavailable
Diluted EPS6.345.023.521.0622.8413.36-11.20-5.76
Diluted EPS YoY+1,193.9%−20.8%−29.9%−69.9%+2,054.7%−41.5%−183.8%unavailable
net %20.6%14.9%12.0%3.7%36.7%16.4%-21.9%-9.9%
Free cash flow-153.8 m-132.4 m-51.6 m-609.4 m646.2 m-828.0 m-992.7 m692.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.6 bn USD
Financial debt
3.2 bn USD
Net debt
1.6 bn USD
Equity
9.8 bn USD
Total assets
16.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.33x
Current ratio
2.23x
ROE
-5.1%
ROA
-3.1%
FCF margin
13.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
9.6 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
8.4 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.2 bn
2024
62.5 m
2025
668.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
85.7 m
2024
86.7 m
2025
51.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
910.0 m
2024
618.0 m
2025
550.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
251.9 m
2024
-1.8 bn
2025
-367.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
429.9 m
2024
588.6 m
2025
658.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
681.8 m ≈
2024
-1.2 bn ≈
2025
291.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
116.1 m
2024
165.6 m
2025
207.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
246.7 m
2024
-1.8 bn
2025
-552.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
430.3 m
2024
87.1 m
2025
156.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.6 bn
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-510.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
13.36
2024
-11.20
2025
-5.76

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
117.8 m
2024
117.5 m
2025
117.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.60
2024
1.61
2025
1.62

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
889.9 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.2 bn
2024
742.2 m
2025
593.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
5.2 bn
2024
3.8 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
9.5 bn
2024
9.3 bn
2025
8.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
261.9 m
2024
230.8 m
2025
214.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.3 bn
2024
16.6 bn
2025
16.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Feb 2023verified

Short-term debt
2023
625.8 m
2024
398.0 m
2025
74.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.6 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.7 bn
2024
10.2 bn
2025
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.3 bn
2024
687.9 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
589.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-828.0 m ≈
2024
-992.7 m ≈
2025
692.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.6 bn
2024
-1.6 bn
2025
-146.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
623.9 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
-834.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
187.2 m
2024
188.5 m
2025
190.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-11.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
20.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
23.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
36.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
13.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
35.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
406.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
211.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
146.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
117 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
11.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
11.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
7.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 65 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

94.97 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 11.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
11.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 3173derived 252

Score by group

  • Valuation77
  • Returns55
  • Quality63
  • Balance sheet82
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
110.00
USD per share
Mid
165.32
USD per share
High
228.74
USD per share
Price: 94.97 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 74.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 42.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 21.29 – 238.55 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)151.03 – 238.55 (Mid 184.26)
    WACC 8.7% · starting FCFF 1.6 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -29.6%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E110.00 – 228.74 (Mid 165.32)
    5 companies used · median multiple 36.8x · quartiles 24.5x – 50.9x
    AVNT, DD, EMN, HXL, ROG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)21.29 – 28.63 (Mid 24.42)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 65/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.5%20 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality11.1%100 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality211.9%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-11.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.0x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.1x40 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.1x80 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.9x55 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation12.9%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.7%24 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns13.2%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet82/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality63/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns55/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation77/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ALBEMARLE CORPORATION (ALB). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -4.4%; net margin 11.1%; ROE 6.6%; net debt/EBITDA 0.0x.

The estimated value range is 110.00–228.74 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 165.32 USD, the price of 94.97 USD leaves a potential of 74.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 42.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 65/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 11.1%
  • FCF conversion: 211.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.0x
  • Current ratio: 2.3x
  • P/E (TTM): 21.1x
  • FCF yield: 12.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 13.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 4.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -11.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.1x
vertical median 36.8x
below median (−42.6%)
EV/EBITDA
8.9x
vertical median —
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−8.1%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−34.8%)
ROE
6.6%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+146.4%)
Net margin
11.1%
vertical median 4.8%
above median (+132.4%)
EBIT margin
10.0%
vertical median 8.8%
above median (+13.9%)
Revenue YoY
-4.4%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
0.0x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median 4.2%
below median (−59.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DOWDow Inc.23.7 bn—-4.3%-1.7%−7.0%+37% / −37%
DDDupont De Nemours, Inc.20.0 bn73.51.7%4.3%+1.9%+26% / +68%
ALBAlbemarle Corporation11.2 bn21.16.6%11.1%−4.4%+7% / −26%
EMNEastman Chemical Co7.7 bn12.410.4%6.9%−6.7%+9% / −19%
HXLHexcel Corporation6.3 bn36.811.9%8.5%−0.5%+9% / +20%
AVNTAvient Corporation4.4 bn24.57.5%5.3%+0.6%+56% / +39%
ROGRogers Corp2.3 bn50.93.7%5.3%−2.3%+54% / −1%
PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.560.8 m—-432.6%-1,370.9%unavailable−68% / −31%
ASIXAdvanSix Inc.419.2 m—-2.8%-1.4%+0.3%+1% / −41%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ALB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
65.30
Total return -30% · Per year -30%
116.03
Total return 24% · Per year 24%
175.58
Total return 87% · Per year 87%
3 years
51.85
Total return -41% · Per year -16%
104.72
Total return 16% · Per year 5%
175.58
Total return 92% · Per year 24%
5 years
41.17
Total return -50% · Per year -13%
94.51
Total return 9% · Per year 2%
175.58
Total return 98% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 26.18
  • Net margin± 18.33
  • Annual revenue growth± 16.55
  • Annual dilution± 1.54

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Albemarle is a world leader in turning essential resources, especially lithium and bromine, into critical ingredients for mobility, energy, connectivity and health. Demand for energy storage and electric vehicles has returned the company to focus, with the second quarter of 2026 far stronger than the prior year 3. The sale of the Ketjen Refining Solutions business and debt reduction have made it more concentrated on lithium and specialties 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a leading position in lithium and bromine, with its own resources and long-term agreements with strategic customers 2.
  • Operating cash flow has improved significantly, and debt has been reduced after the asset sales 23.
  • Operations are spread geographically, giving a diversified base of customers and markets 1.

Weaknesses

  • Results depend heavily on lithium prices, which are volatile and can fall quickly 12.
  • A large share of activity is conducted abroad, exposing the company to currency and political risks 1.
  • Some assets have been placed on care and maintenance or stopped, showing difficulty keeping capacity in weak periods 2.

Opportunities

  • Rising demand for energy storage and electric vehicles could expand the lithium market in the coming years 2.
  • Cost reduction and productivity programs could improve margins if they are sustained 3.
  • Demand for semiconductors, fire safety and pharmaceuticals could support growth in the Specialties segment 23.

Threats

  • Strong competition from Asia, including Chinese producers, can press prices 1.
  • Trade tariffs and Middle East tensions can raise transport and raw material costs 2.
  • Development of non-lithium battery technologies could reduce demand for the company's products 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on lithium priceshigh

    Financial results depend largely on index-linked lithium prices, which can fluctuate significantly 12.

  • Talison CGP3 firemedium

    A fire at the CGP3 plant in Greenbushes delayed production growth, and recovery is expected in the second half of the year 23.

  • International exposuremedium

    Activity across many countries exposes the company to political, currency and regulatory risks, including in regions with instability 1.

  • Debt and financinglow

    The company needs significant cash to service its debt, and its ability to generate cash depends on factors beyond its control 1.

  • Product regulationmedium

    Regulation of products, including environmental and safety rules, can affect sales and profitability 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for electric vehicles and energy storage stays strong, lithium revenues could keep improving 23.
  • Cost reductions and the sale of non-lithium assets could strengthen financial flexibility and margins 23.
  • The Specialties segment could keep growing if bromine and fire safety volumes are maintained 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If lithium prices fall again, results could return to much weaker levels, as in earlier years 12.
  • Competition from Chinese producers and other large mining companies could pressure margins over time 1.
  • Delays in recovering from the Talison fire could reduce delivered volumes 2.

What to watch

  • Evolution of the average lithium price and its effect on Energy Storage salesQ3 2026
  • Completion of the Talison CGP3 remediation and return to normal productionsecond half of 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Albemarle operates through the Energy Storage and Specialties segments, after the sale of the Refining Solutions business within Ketjen was completed in the first quarter of 2026 12. The company recorded net sales of 5.1 billion dollars in 2025 1 and 1.7 billion dollars in the second quarter of 2026, up 31% 3. It operates in about 70 countries, with about 83% of net sales to foreign countries 1.

Segments

Energy Storage

The Energy Storage segment produces lithium compounds such as carbonate, hydroxide and chloride for batteries used in electric vehicles, grid storage and solar panels 1. In the second quarter of 2026 segment net sales reached 1276.7 million dollars 3. Its revenue depends strongly on lithium prices, which are volatile, with many contracts indexed to market prices 2.

Specialties

The Specialties segment optimizes bromine and specialty lithium solutions for fire safety, tires, pharmaceuticals and pyrotechnic applications 1. Net sales in the second quarter of 2026 were 423.5 million dollars 3, and the full-year outlook was raised to 1.4-1.6 billion dollars 3.

Market context

The lithium market is highly competitive and growing rapidly, with producers in the Americas, Africa, Asia and Australia 1. Management expects demand for batteries and energy storage, especially for electric vehicles and storage systems, to continue to grow 2. Index-based lithium prices remain volatile, though they began rebounding from low levels at the end of 2025 1.

Trends

  • Electric vehicle and energy storage demandtailwind

    Rising demand for electric vehicles and storage systems could support lithium volumes and prices if the trend holds 2.

  • Lithium price volatilitymixed

    Lithium prices fluctuate widely and many contracts are linked to indices, which makes results sensitive to the market 12.

  • Expansion costs and capital efficiencymixed

    The high cost of expanding capacity has led companies to reduce capital spending, and pressure for efficiency could continue 23.

  • Geopolitics and tradeheadwind

    The situation in the Middle East, tariffs and shipping delays can raise costs and affect supply chains 2.

Competitive position

In lithium, the main competitors include Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile, Sichuan Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium, Rio Tinto, Pilbara Minerals and Tesla, along with many Chinese producers 1. In specialties, competition comes from Lanxess, Israel Chemicals and Rio Tinto, as well as producers in India and China 1.

  • Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile

    Major lithium compound producer, named as a principal competitor in lithium 1.

  • Rio Tinto

    Competitor in both lithium and specialties according to the sources 1.

  • Lanxess AG

    Competitor in specialties and in the organometallic products of the Ketjen segment 1.

  • Pilbara Minerals

    Australian lithium producer, named among the main competitors 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report23 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Albemarle Corporation · 11 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Albemarle Corporation · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Albemarle Corporation · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.