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olivLaw · US equity research

AdvanSix Inc. ASIX

Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers · SIC 2821 · Vertical: Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821)

15.52USD−0.39% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

AdvanSix is a U.S.-based integrated chemistry company making nylon 6, caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer and chemical intermediates from five domestic plants. Its second quarter 2026 profit fell sharply on weaker fertilizer volumes, while sales edged up to 421 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) stock was 15.52 USD (−0.39% on the day), with market capitalisation 419.2 m USD, dividend yield 4.11%, beta 0.83, 52-week range 14.30–26.17 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 430.8 m USD (+15.0% YoY), net income of -7.6 m USD, diluted EPS -0.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
419.2 m USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.84 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-5.42%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.11%
Beta (2y)
0.83
Volatility (1y) 53%
52-week range
14.3026.17

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
14.93 – 16.81
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.31 · band width 11.8%
SMA 50 / 200
16.27 / 19.50
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.28 / -0.28
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.8%−1.1%−4.7 pp—
3 months−22.5%−0.5%−22.1 pp—
6 months−38.3%+4.4%−42.7 pp—
Year to date−10.3%+12.3%−22.6 pp—
1 year−16.5%+13.5%−30.0 pp+17.9%
3 years−40.0%+76.4%−116.4 pp−9.9%
5 years−67.7%+63.7%−131.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−42.6%
05 May 2026 → 29 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−74.8%
17 Mar 2022 → 18 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−20.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
430.8 m USD
+15.0% YoY
Net income
-7.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.28
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.8% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue329.1 m377.8 m410.0 m374.5 m359.9 m404.2 m421.3 m430.8 m
Cost of revenue317.8 m324.3 m351.3 m349.1 m332.6 m400.4 m390.2 m419.6 m
SG&A21.7 m23.4 m25.4 m27.4 m28.5 m22.5 m22.1 m19.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation19.0 m19.2 m19.5 m ≈20.3 m ≈20.8 m21.0 m20.8 m ≈21.1 m ≈
Pre-tax income-12.8 m28.9 m31.7 m-3.5 m-2.6 m-20.7 m6.7 m-11.1 m
Income tax-13.2 m5.6 m279.0 k-909.0 k190.0 k-5.1 m3.4 m-3.6 m
Net income352.0 k23.3 m31.4 m-2.6 m-2.8 m-15.5 m3.2 m-7.6 m
Diluted EPS0.01 ≈0.861.15-0.10-0.10 ≈-0.580.12-0.28
Operating cash flow64.2 m11.4 m21.1 m ≈26.6 m ≈63.7 m-15.3 m10.0 m ≈48.0 m ≈
Capex34.3 m34.1 m28.3 m ≈26.5 m ≈27.6 m35.9 m20.7 m ≈18.3 m ≈
Dividends paid4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m ≈4.3 m ≈4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m ≈4.3 m ≈
Share repurchases1.0 k1.5 m51.0 k ≈121.0 k ≈01.3 m122.0 k ≈41.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.5 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn
Revenue YoY+2.7%−14.4%−10.8%+45.5%+15.5%−21.2%−1.0%+0.3%
Net income66.2 m41.3 m46.1 m139.8 m171.9 m54.6 m44.1 m49.3 m
Net income YoY−54.8%−37.6%+11.4%+203.4%+23.0%−68.2%−19.2%+11.6%
Diluted EPS2.141.431.644.815.921.951.621.80
Diluted EPS YoY−54.7%−33.2%+14.7%+193.3%+23.1%−67.1%−16.9%+11.1%
net %4.4%3.2%4.0%8.3%8.8%3.6%2.9%3.2%
Free cash flow64.2 m-29.9 m28.9 m162.0 m184.2 m10.2 m1.7 m6.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
19.8 m USD
Financial debt
215.0 m USD
Net debt
195.2 m USD
Equity
815.2 m USD
Total assets
1.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.26x
Current ratio
1.13x
ROE
6.2%
ROA
3.0%
FCF margin
0.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
165.1 m ≈
2024
152.9 m ≈
2025
164.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
9.8 m
2024
8.8 m
2025
8.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
95.5 m
2024
94.0 m
2025
104.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
73.0 m
2024
76.2 m
2025
79.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
69.2 m
2024
45.6 m
2025
54.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
14.6 m
2024
1.4 m
2025
5.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
54.6 m
2024
44.1 m
2025
49.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.95
2024
1.62
2025
1.80

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
28.0 m
2024
27.3 m
2025
27.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
29.8 m
2024
19.6 m
2025
19.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
211.8 m
2024
212.4 m
2025
236.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
419.8 m
2024
387.1 m
2025
440.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2023verified

Goodwill
2023
56.2 m
2024
56.2 m
2025
56.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
46.2 m
2024
43.1 m
2025
40.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
259.1 m
2024
228.8 m
2025
284.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Nov 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
215.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Nov 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
358.9 m
2024
357.1 m
2025
390.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
756.8 m
2024
820.3 m
2025
890.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
739.2 m
2024
774.7 m
2025
815.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
117.6 m
2024
135.4 m
2025
122.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
107.4 m
2024
133.7 m
2025
116.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
10.2 m ≈
2024
1.7 m ≈
2025
6.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-110.9 m
2024
-142.9 m
2025
-122.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-7.9 m
2024
-2.7 m
2025
-47.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
16.7 m
2024
17.1 m
2025
17.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
46.2 m
2024
10.4 m
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
11.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-34.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
11.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-32.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
279.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
445.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
245.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
106.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
102.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
3.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
46 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
62 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
419.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
665.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
108.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 45.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

15.52 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 419.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
419.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 1664derived 130

Score by group

46% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 45.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-1.4%25 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-7.9%0 (on a fixed band)18%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-32.8%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x33 (on a fixed band)9%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation0.9%12 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.5%64 (on a fixed band)14%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns445.8%0 (on a fixed band)9%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial33/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial25/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns38/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial12/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.3%; net margin -1.4%; ROE -2.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 45.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -1.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -7.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -32.8%
  • FCF yield: 0.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 445.8%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.1x
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−88.5%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−67.2%)
ROE
-2.8%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−154.4%)
Net margin
-1.4%
vertical median 5.3%
below median (−126.5%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 9.7%
Revenue YoY
0.3%
vertical median -2.3%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.3x
Dividend yield
4.1%
vertical median 3.3%
above median (+25.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DOWDow Inc.23.7 bn—-4.3%-1.7%−7.0%+37% / −37%
DDDupont De Nemours, Inc.20.0 bn73.51.7%4.3%+1.9%+26% / +68%
ALBAlbemarle Corporation11.2 bn21.16.6%11.1%−4.4%−27% / −22%
EMNEastman Chemical Co7.7 bn12.410.4%6.9%−6.7%+9% / −19%
HXLHexcel Corporation6.3 bn36.811.9%8.5%−0.5%+9% / +20%
AVNTAvient Corporation4.4 bn24.57.5%5.3%+0.6%+56% / +39%
ROGRogers Corp2.3 bn50.93.7%5.3%−2.3%+54% / −1%
PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.560.8 m—-432.6%-1,370.9%unavailable−68% / −31%
ASIXAdvanSix Inc.419.2 m—-2.8%-1.4%+0.3%−16% / −40%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ASIX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    AdvanSix is a U.S.-based integrated chemistry company making nylon 6, caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer and chemical intermediates from five domestic plants. Its second quarter 2026 profit fell sharply on weaker fertilizer volumes, while sales edged up to 421 million USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Low-cost position is supported by vertical integration, plant scale and access to low-cost U.S. natural gas 1.
    • Diversification across four product lines reduces dependence on a single cycle, which the company sees as an advantage 1.
    • Long-term customer relationships and contracts allow high plant utilization across cycles 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Results are sensitive to pricing cycles and volume swings, as the sharp fall in second quarter 2026 profit shows 3.
    • Geographic concentration in U.S. plants and dependence on a few raw materials such as cumene and sulfur expose the company to volatile costs 1.
    • Selling and administrative costs rose in 2025, partly due to legal costs and an abandoned transaction 1.

    Opportunities

    • If granular ammonium sulfate output grows through the SUSTAIN program, the company could capture better prices on higher-value products 1.
    • Section 45Q carbon capture credits could support cash flow in coming years 3.
    • Demand for crops such as soybeans that respond to nitrogen and sulfur could grow if growers adopt this practice 1.

    Threats

    • Global oversupply of Nylon 6, particularly from Asia, could keep prices under pressure 1.
    • Trade tariffs and government policies could affect customers and sales volumes 1.
    • Unplanned plant outages or transport disruptions could affect production and deliveries 1.

    Risks

    • Industry cyclicalityhigh

      The company warns that demand and supply cycles can cause large swings in cash flow and margins 1.

    • Unplanned production interruptionshigh

      Tight integration means an outage at one plant can affect the whole production chain, and insurance may not cover all losses 1.

    • Raw material volatilitymedium

      Prices of cumene, natural gas and sulfur could rise faster than selling prices, which already weighed on margins in the second quarter of 2026 13.

    • Economic conditions and access to financemedium

      A recession or capital market volatility could reduce demand and make refinancing debt more difficult 1.

    • Litigation and regulationlow

      The company refers to lawsuits and regulatory requirements tied to manufacturing and the environment, some of which could carry unexpected financial effects 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If nylon oversupply eases and industrial demand recovers, the company could benefit from its low-cost position.
    • Growth in granular ammonium sulfate output and 45Q credits could improve cash flow and margins.
    • Diversification across several product lines could cushion shocks in any single segment.

    What would break the thesis

    • If farm demand stays weak and growers cut spending, fertilizer volumes could keep falling.
    • The low quarterly profit and negative free cash flow in the second quarter of 2026 could limit financial flexibility.
    • Cyclicality and Asian oversupply could keep nylon and caprolactam prices under pressure over the medium term.

    What to watch

    • Effect of the North American ammonium sulfate fill season on domestic pricingQ3 2026
    • Delivery against the planned capital expenditure range of 75 to 95 million USD2026
    • Whether cash flow improves in the second half as guided2H 2026
    • Nylon demand as industrial end markets remain softQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    AdvanSix Inc. describes itself as an integrated chemistry company producing essential materials for diverse end markets, from construction and agriculture to packaging, paints and electronics 1. Its value chain includes five U.S. plants, the most important being Hopewell, Virginia, which the company describes as one of the world's largest single-site caprolactam producers 1. For fiscal 2025 it reported sales of 1522 million USD and net income of 49 million USD 1. The company serves about 375 customers a year, primarily in the United States 1.

    The business model rests on vertical integration: cumene, the main raw material, is converted into phenol, acetone and alpha-methylstyrene, and phenol is processed further into caprolactam and ammonium sulfate 1. For every pound of caprolactam produced, roughly four pounds of ammonium sulfate are made, a fertilizer used by farmers worldwide 1. The company argues that this integration, its scale and access to low-cost U.S. natural gas give it the lowest-cost position in caprolactam 1.

    Segments

    Plant nutrients (ammonium sulfate)

    Ammonium sulfate, made from integrated operations at Hopewell, accounted for 37% of 2025 sales and is sold mainly in North and South America 1. Demand is seasonal, and industry prices in the corn belt have fallen by about 12% on average from the second to the third quarter since 2016 1. In the second quarter of 2026 plant nutrient sales fell 16% year on year on lower volumes 3.

    Market context

    The company describes its markets as cyclical, with periods of strong demand followed by oversupply and falling prices 1. In 2026 industrial end markets stayed soft, and farmers cut in-season fertilizer buying because of weak crop economics 3. The company believes urbanization, digital transformation and demand for greener chemicals support long-term growth 1.

    Trends

    • Cyclical nylon and caprolactam pricingheadwind

      Nylon prices generally follow a spread over caprolactam, which depends on global supply and demand cycles 1. If oversupply from Asia persists, prices could stay under pressure.

    • Farm demand and grower economicsmixed

      Ammonium sulfate sales depend on farmer profitability and in-season spending, and the company reported weaker demand in the spring of 2026 3. If farm economics improve, volumes could recover.

    • Raw material and energy costsmixed

      The company reported higher costs for benzene, propylene and sulfur, partly offset through formula-based pricing 3. Low-cost U.S. natural gas remains a structural advantage 1.

    • Tax credits for carbon capturetailwind

      Section 45Q carbon capture tax credits played a material role in the effective tax rate in earlier years 1. The company continues to pursue these credits for periods after 2020 1.

    Competitive position

    Competition in fertilizers is intense, and in the second quarter of 2026 the company noted heightened competitive dynamics during the North American fill season 3. In acetone the company is among the largest suppliers in North America 1.

    • European caprolactam producers

      European operators run at lower utilization and face higher energy costs, which leaves them more exposed than U.S. plants 1.

    • Urea and other nitrogen fertilizer suppliers

      Urea, the most widely used nitrogen source, directly influences ammonium sulfate pricing and competes for the same farm demand 1.

    • North American acetone producers

      The company is among the largest acetone suppliers in North America, and competition depends on supply dynamics and propylene costs 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
    • Current report04 Nov 2026
      Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
    • Current report07 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report23 Jun 2026
      Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report08 May 2026
    • Current report08 May 2026
      Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Proxy statement29 Apr 2026
    • Current report13 Apr 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / AdvanSix Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / AdvanSix Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / AdvanSix Inc. · 07 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.