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olivLaw · US equity research

Eastman Chemical Company EMN

Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers · SIC 2821 · Vertical: Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821)

67.61USD+3.47% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Eastman Chemical Company is a global specialty materials company based in Kingsport, Tennessee, making polymers, films, additives and fibers used in transportation, construction, packaging and consumer goods. It reported sales revenue of $8.8 billion for fiscal 2025, and its shift toward molecular recycling has become central to its strategy in 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) stock was 67.61 USD (+3.47% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.7 bn USD, P/E 12.4 on diluted EPS of 5.44 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.97%, beta 1.10, 52-week range 56.37–81.36 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.4 bn USD (+8.3% YoY), net income of 252.0 m USD (+265.2% YoY), diluted EPS 2.19 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.7 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.4
Diluted EPS TTM 5.44 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
8.04%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.97%
DPS 12m 3.36
Beta (2y)
1.10
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
56.3781.36

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
61.01 – 68.30
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.91 · band width 11.3%
SMA 50 / 200
66.48 / 70.97
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.30 / -0.16
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.1%−1.1%+5.2 pp—
3 months−7.8%−0.5%−7.4 pp—
6 months−10.7%+4.4%−15.1 pp—
Year to date+5.9%+12.3%−6.4 pp—
1 year+11.3%+13.5%−2.2 pp+17.9%
3 years−12.2%+76.4%−88.6 pp−11.1%
5 years−39.5%+63.7%−103.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−23.7%
11 Feb 2026 → 12 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−55.9%
18 Jan 2022 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.4 bn USD
+8.3% YoY
Net income
252.0 m USD
+265.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.19
+265.0% YoY
net / operating
10.6% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.2 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn2.2 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn
Cost of revenue1.7 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn
Gross profit554.0 m567.0 m506.0 m433.0 m338.0 m431.0 m560.0 m532.0 m
Research & development66.0 m67.0 m67.0 m63.0 m58.0 m60.0 m65.0 m63.0 m
SG&A182.0 m182.0 m157.0 m160.0 m159.0 m178.0 m185.0 m171.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation129.0 m126.0 m127.0 m129.0 m131.0 m131.0 m132.0 m134.0 m
Pre-tax income297.0 m253.0 m169.0 m134.0 m12.0 m136.0 m256.0 m249.0 m
Income tax-34.0 m70.0 m29.0 m65.0 m-71.0 m29.0 m72.0 m-4.0 m
Net income330.0 m182.0 m140.0 m69.0 m83.0 m107.0 m183.0 m252.0 m
Diluted EPS2.83 ≈1.571.200.600.73 ≈0.931.592.19
Operating cash flow540.0 m-167.0 m233.0 m ≈402.0 m ≈502.0 m-137.0 m224.0 m ≈290.0 m ≈
Capex179.0 m147.0 m150.0 m ≈137.0 m ≈112.0 m103.0 m100.0 m ≈95.0 m ≈
Dividends paid94.0 m96.0 m95.0 m ≈96.0 m ≈94.0 m96.0 m96.0 m ≈96.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 40 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 7.8, median 13.2, max 50.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue10.2 bn9.3 bn8.5 bn10.5 bn10.6 bn9.2 bn9.4 bn8.8 bn
Revenue YoY+6.3%−8.6%−8.6%+23.6%+1.0%−12.9%+1.9%−6.7%
Net income1.1 bn759.0 m478.0 m857.0 m793.0 m894.0 m905.0 m474.0 m
Net income YoY−22.0%−29.7%−37.0%+79.3%−7.5%+12.7%+1.2%−47.6%
Diluted EPS7.565.483.506.256.357.497.674.10
Diluted EPS YoY−20.2%−27.5%−36.1%+78.6%+1.6%+18.0%+2.4%−46.5%
net %10.6%8.2%5.6%8.2%7.5%9.7%9.6%5.4%
Free cash flow1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn364.0 m546.0 m688.0 m424.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
566.0 m USD
Financial debt
4.8 bn USD
Net debt
4.2 bn USD
Equity
6.0 bn USD
Total assets
14.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.79x
Current ratio
1.37x
ROE
8.0%
ROA
3.2%
FCF margin
4.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
9.2 bn
2024
9.4 bn
2025
8.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
7.1 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
239.0 m
2024
250.0 m
2025
255.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
727.0 m
2024
736.0 m
2025
658.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
498.0 m
2024
509.0 m
2025
513.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
568.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
191.0 m
2024
170.0 m
2025
93.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
894.0 m
2024
905.0 m
2025
474.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.49
2024
7.67
2025
4.10

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
119.4 m
2024
117.9 m
2025
115.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
3.18
2024
3.26
2025
3.33

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
548.0 m
2024
837.0 m
2025
566.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
826.0 m
2024
791.0 m
2025
737.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.7 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.5 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
970.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
14.6 bn
2024
15.2 bn
2025
14.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
541.0 m
2024
450.0 m
2025
586.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
9.1 bn
2024
9.4 bn
2025
8.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.9 bn
2025
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
117.3 m
2024
115.2 m
2025
114.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
970.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
828.0 m
2024
599.0 m
2025
546.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
546.0 m ≈
2024
688.0 m ≈
2025
424.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-432.0 m
2024
-534.0 m
2025
-462.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-888.0 m
2024
-454.0 m
2025
-797.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
376.0 m
2024
379.0 m
2025
381.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-47.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-46.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-13.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-38.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
61.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
81.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
879.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
410.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
469.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
75.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
105 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
98 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
12.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
12.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

67.61 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 3229derived 243

Score by group

  • Valuation89
  • Returns64
  • Quality70
  • Balance sheet65
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
88.44
USD per share
Mid
125.13
USD per share
High
167.84
USD per share
Price: 67.61 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 85.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 46.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 43.76 – 276.83 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E133.13 – 276.83 (Mid 200.07)
    5 companies used · median multiple 36.8x · quartiles 24.5x – 50.9x
    ALB, AVNT, DD, HXL, ROG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)43.76 – 58.85 (Mid 50.19)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality6.9%75 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality75.0%64 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-6.1%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.6%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x65 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation12.4x100 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation6.1%76 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.9%71 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns81.4%55 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial65/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality70/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns64/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation89/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

EASTMAN CHEMICAL CO (EMN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 8.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -6.7%; net margin 6.9%; ROE 10.4%.

The estimated value range is 88.44–167.84 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 125.13 USD, the price of 67.61 USD leaves a potential of 85.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 46.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 6.9%
  • P/E (TTM): 12.4x
  • FCF yield: 6.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 4.9%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -6.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -13.6%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers (SIC 2821) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
12.4x
vertical median 36.8x
below median (−66.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.1x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−62.0%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−24.4%)
ROE
10.4%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+285.2%)
Net margin
6.9%
vertical median 4.8%
above median (+44.9%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 9.7%
Revenue YoY
-6.7%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.3x
Dividend yield
5.0%
vertical median 3.2%
above median (+55.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DOWDow Inc.23.7 bn—-4.3%-1.7%−7.0%+37% / −37%
DDDupont De Nemours, Inc.20.0 bn73.51.7%4.3%+1.9%+26% / +68%
ALBAlbemarle Corporation11.2 bn21.16.6%11.1%−4.4%−27% / −22%
EMNEastman Chemical Co7.7 bn12.410.4%6.9%−6.7%+11% / −12%
HXLHexcel Corporation6.3 bn36.811.9%8.5%−0.5%+9% / +20%
AVNTAvient Corporation4.4 bn24.57.5%5.3%+0.6%+56% / +39%
ROGRogers Corp2.3 bn50.93.7%5.3%−2.3%+54% / −1%
PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.560.8 m—-432.6%-1,370.9%unavailable−68% / −31%
ASIXAdvanSix Inc.419.2 m—-2.8%-1.4%+0.3%+1% / −41%

1- and 3-year price returns: for EMN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
36.34
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
64.57
Total return 0% · Per year 0%
97.70
Total return 50% · Per year 50%
3 years
28.85
Total return -48% · Per year -19%
58.27
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
97.70
Total return 62% · Per year 17%
5 years
22.91
Total return -52% · Per year -14%
52.59
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
97.70
Total return 73% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 14.57
  • Net margin± 10.20
  • Annual revenue growth± 9.21
  • Annual dilution± 0.86

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Eastman Chemical Company is a global specialty materials company based in Kingsport, Tennessee, making polymers, films, additives and fibers used in transportation, construction, packaging and consumer goods. It reported sales revenue of $8.8 billion for fiscal 2025 1, and its shift toward molecular recycling has become central to its strategy in 2025 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Integrated portfolio of proprietary assets and technologies, with production scale that supports its position in specialty markets 1.
  • Differentiated molecular recycling platform, whose output rose sharply versus the prior year and supports product differentiation 1.
  • A balance sheet the company regards as solid, with emphasis on maintaining an investment grade rating and stable cash flows 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on raw materials and energy with high volatility, which can weigh on margins when costs rise faster than prices 1.
  • Exposure to discretionary end markets, where demand remained weak in certain quarters 3.
  • Pressure on customer receivables amid inflation, which can reduce operating cash flow 3.

Opportunities

  • Wider adoption of circular and recycled products could open new markets for molecular recycling 1.
  • The cost reduction program and disciplined investment could improve margins over the medium term 3.
  • Electric vehicles and acoustic glazing solutions could support growth in the Advanced Materials segment 1.

Threats

  • Supply chain disruptions and regional conflicts can change raw material costs and availability quickly 3.
  • Trade tensions and restrictions on international commerce could reduce demand or raise costs 1.
  • Environmental and regulatory risks tied to chemicals and remediation liabilities could create unexpected costs 1.

Risks

  • Raw material cost volatilityhigh

    Raw material and energy costs could rise faster than selling prices, which could reduce margins.

  • Manufacturing operating riskmedium

    Plant incidents or infrastructure disruptions could interrupt production and affect results.

  • International exposuremedium

    Global operations bring regulatory, currency and trade risks that could affect results if they intensify.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Cyber attacks on information systems could lead to disruptions, data disclosure or loss of intellectual property.

  • Goodwill impairmentlow

    Goodwill of more than 3 billion USD could be impaired if conditions in specialty markets deteriorate, especially in performance films.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If molecular recycling and circular products keep growing, the company could gain lasting differentiation from competitors.
  • Margin improvement in the second quarter of 2026 shows that price discipline and cost reduction can support earnings.
  • Integrated scale and U.S.-based production assets could make the company a reliable supplier in an uncertain environment.

What would break the thesis

  • If demand in discretionary segments stays weak, specialty volumes could stagnate.
  • Growth in Chemical Intermediates depends on Middle East disruptions, which could fade quickly.
  • Pressure on receivables and the lower cash flow outlook could limit financial flexibility.

What to watch

  • Evolution of adjusted EBIT margin in the Advanced Materials segmentQ3 2026
  • Delivery of cost savings of 125 to 150 million USD, net of inflation2026
  • Operating cash flow against the expectation of approaching 900 million USD2026
  • Ramp-up pace of the Kingsport molecular recycling facilitynext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Eastman describes its business as a global specialty materials company producing a broad range of products found in everyday items. The company operates 36 manufacturing facilities and holds equity interests in four joint ventures across 12 countries, and about 55% of 2025 sales revenue came from outside the United States and Canada 1. Its strategy rests on an innovation-driven growth model focused on molecular recycling and biodegradable products 1.

Key technology platforms include cellulosic biopolymers, copolyesters, PVB and polyester films, and acetyl, olefins and alkylamine chemistries 1. The company has committed to reduce scope 1 and scope 2 emissions by 30 percent by 2035 from its 2017 baseline, in order to reach net-zero operations by 2050 1.

In the second quarter of 2026 sales revenue rose compared with the prior year, and the company said it is pursuing cost reduction and disciplined capital spending as priorities for the year 3. These directions show how it tries to balance specialty growth with more cyclical segments 3.

Segments

Advanced Materials

The Advanced Materials segment produces polymers, films and plastics with differentiated properties for transportation, electronics, construction and packaging, including Saflex interlayers and Tritan copolyesters 1. Segment sales rose 5% in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Additives & Functional Products

The Additives & Functional Products segment supplies functional additives for applications such as paper coatings, personal care and agriculture, including bio-based products Solus and Esmeri 1. Sales rose 5% in the second quarter of 2026, mainly on higher selling prices 3.

Chemical Intermediates

Chemical Intermediates reported a 39% rise in sales in the second quarter of 2026, supported by higher volumes and prices amid supply chain disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict 3. The company expects these effects to ease gradually 3.

Market context

Eastman operates in specialty materials markets for transportation, construction, packaging, consumer goods and textiles, where demand depends on economic cycles and raw material costs 1. The company described demand as weak in some discretionary end markets and modest in stable ones 3.

The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, with inflation, higher interest rates and trade tensions that could affect demand and costs 1. The company noted that inflation is putting pressure on receivables, which led it to lower its operating cash flow expectation for 2026 3.

Trends

  • Molecular recyclingtailwind

    The Kingsport polyester molecular recycling facility has moved into large-scale operation, and if adoption of circular products continues it could support the company's specialty growth 13.

  • Middle East tensionsmixed

    The regional conflict raised prices and volumes in Chemical Intermediates but also added logistics costs and uncertainty across the portfolio; the net effect could depend on how long the disruption lasts 3.

  • Weak discretionary demandheadwind

    The company said demand remains weak in certain discretionary industries, which could limit volume growth in specialty segments 3.

  • Inflation and cost pressureheadwind

    Higher raw material, energy and distribution costs have pressured margins, and cost reduction efforts aim to offset this effect 13.

Competitive position

Eastman competes on differentiated technology, application development capabilities and integrated production scale, particularly in interlayers, films and copolyesters 1. Its main rivals include Asian and European specialty materials companies 1.

In fibers and intermediates competition depends more on cost and access to raw materials, and pressure could increase if supply shifts 1. The advantage of integration and a U.S.-based asset footprint may support reliable supply 3.

  • Sekisui Chemical

    Competitor in PVB interlayers for transportation and construction, named in the annual report as a principal rival.

  • Kuraray

    Supplier of PVB interlayers and premium products, listed among competitors in the Advanced Materials segment.

  • 3M Company

    Competitor in protective and window films, named in the Advanced Materials segment discussion.

  • Covestro

    Competitor in plastics and polyurethanes, cited for copolyesters and specialty films.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Eastman Chemical Company · 13 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Eastman Chemical Company · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Eastman Chemical Company · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.