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olivLaw · US equity research

Applied Digital Corporation APLD

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation · SIC 7374 · Vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

14.17USD−14.69% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Applied Digital (APLD) designs, builds and operates large data centers for high-performance computing, including artificial intelligence, and leases the capacity long term to hyperscalers with investment-grade ratings. Its executed lease portfolio reaches about 1,410 MW and roughly 36.2 billion dollars of contracted revenue over the base terms, while quarterly revenue rose 322% in fiscal first quarter 2027.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) stock was 14.17 USD (−14.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.3 bn USD, beta 2.96, 52-week range 14.17–49.65 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 341.9 m USD (+322.4% YoY), net income of -184.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.82 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.3 bn USD
shares as of 06 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.54 · TTM to 31 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
-10.86%
TTM to 31 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.96
Volatility (1y) 103%
52-week range
14.1749.65

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
31.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
14.70 – 23.78
below the lower band · %B -0.06 · band width 47.2%
SMA 50 / 200
23.16 / 30.94
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.11 / -1.87
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−44.1%−5.9%−38.1 pp—
3 months−50.9%−4.6%−46.3 pp—
6 months−65.9%+0.2%−66.1 pp—
Year to date−42.2%+7.4%−49.6 pp—
1 year−57.2%+8.2%−65.4 pp−25.0%
3 years+164.4%+68.4%+95.9 pp−34.4%
5 yearsunavailable+56.5%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−71.5%
28 May 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.9%
01 Jun 2022 → 13 Jul 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 31 Aug 2026

Revenue
341.9 m USD
+322.4% YoY
Net income
-184.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.82
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-53.8% / -18.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue36.2 m52.9 m51.1 m80.9 m126.6 m126.6 m258.7 m341.9 m
Cost of revenue22.7 m49.1 m54.2 m58.8 m100.6 m72.8 m161.5 m245.7 m
SG&A26.0 m22.7 m41.0 m29.5 m57.0 m79.7 m165.3 m114.7 m
Operating income-12.8 m-18.9 m-44.1 m-9.8 m-31.0 m-85.7 m-124.8 m-62.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.7 m18.8 m55.1 m4.2 m8.6 m20.8 m33.8 m41.9 m
Interest expense2.9 m8.9 m8.5 m8.0 m11.5 m-2.4 m10.6 m77.4 m
Pre-tax income-128.4 m-35.4 m-52.6 m-16.9 m-26.5 m-70.6 m-79.6 m-166.1 m
Income tax1.0 k117.0 k-16.0 k8.0 k15.0 k-2.0 k1.8 m1.9 m
Net income-138.7 m-35.6 m-52.5 m-16.9 m-14.5 m-70.6 m-82.4 m-184.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.66-0.16-0.23 ≈-0.07-0.07-0.36-0.29 ≈-0.82
Operating cash flow-52.3 m ≈5.9 m ≈6.9 m-81.5 m-16.3 m ≈55.0 m ≈132.5 m63.9 m
Capex171.0 m ≈257.5 m ≈198.3 m249.9 m551.6 m ≈775.2 m ≈1.3 bn2.1 bn
Share repurchases—0 ≈0——0 ≈0—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202120222023⚠ 202420252026
Revenue08.5 m55.4 m165.6 m228.6 m611.3 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+547.9%—+38.0%+167.5%
Net income-568.0 k-23.5 m-44.6 m-149.3 m-231.1 m-184.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.38-0.41-0.47-1.31-1.16-0.91
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailable
net %unavailable-275.1%-80.6%-90.2%-101.1%-30.2%
Free cash flow-103.0 k-59.1 m-72.5 m-128.0 m-797.0 m-2.8 bn

The series breaks before 2024: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 May 2026

Cash
1.6 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.7 bn USD
Total assets
9.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
4.01x
ROE
-16.6%
ROA
-3.1%
FCF margin
-454.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
165.6 m
2025
228.6 m
2026
611.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
148.3 m
2025
216.8 m
2026
396.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
17.2 m ≈
2025
11.8 m ≈
2026
214.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026derived

SG&A
2024
97.8 m
2025
107.9 m
2026
332.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-98.3 m
2025
-72.2 m
2026
-236.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
79.4 m
2025
134.7 m
2026
67.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-19.0 m ≈
2025
62.5 m ≈
2026
-169.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
26.8 m
2025
32.1 m
2026
29.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-149.6 m
2025
-231.0 m
2026
-181.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Income tax
2024
96.0 k
2025
102.0 k
2026
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Net income
2024
-149.3 m
2025
-231.1 m
2026
-184.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-1.31
2025
-1.16
2026
-0.91

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
114.1 m
2025
201.2 m
2026
275.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
3.3 m
2025
44.0 m
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Receivables
2024
3.8 m
2025
6.8 m
2026
56.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Current assets
2024
404.1 m
2025
132.8 m
2026
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
329.1 m
2025
1.3 bn
2026
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
—
2025
0
2026
54.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Total assets
2024
762.9 m
2025
1.9 bn
2026
9.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
104.5 m
2025
251.5 m
2026
395.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Aug 2022verified

Current liabilities
2024
554.1 m
2025
499.7 m
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
638.0 m
2025
1.2 bn
2026
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Equity
2024
124.8 m
2025
497.7 m
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2022verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
13.8 m
2025
-115.4 m
2026
89.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Capex
2024
141.8 m
2025
681.6 m
2026
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-128.0 m ≈
2025
-797.0 m ≈
2026
-2.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-172.4 m
2025
-667.7 m
2026
-2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
146.8 m
2025
874.7 m
2026
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
31.3 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
167.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
122.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
32.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
-23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
-35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
-41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF margin
-521.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
-26.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROA
-5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-3.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
235.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
4.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
-4.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
160 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/S
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-104.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.17 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-26.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
-41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
167.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Oct 2026
verified 789derived 81

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality32.0%0 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality-35.6%37 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality-521.8%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth122.6%100 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth167.5%92 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.6x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-104.0%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%33 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth97/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality11/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns33/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

APPLIED DIGITAL CORPORATION (APLD). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 611.3 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 167.5%; net margin -41.2%; ROE -26.6%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 122.6%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 167.5%
  • Current ratio: 2.6x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 32.0%
  • FCF margin: -521.8%
  • FCF yield: -104.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.1x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 9.6x
P/S
5.0x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+205.1%)
P/B
2.7x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+45.4%)
ROE
-26.6%
vertical median 7.3%
below median (−465.5%)
Net margin
-41.2%
vertical median 2.0%
below median (−2,113.8%)
EBIT margin
-35.6%
vertical median -1.3%
below median
Revenue YoY
167.5%
vertical median 8.1%
above median (+1,971.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.8x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.121.2 bn28.177.0%20.1%+6.7%+20% / +34%
WDAYWorkday, Inc.44.0 bn40.616.0%12.3%+13.1%−7% / −26%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.27.1 bn32.1—27.7%+6.6%−6% / −12%
APLDApplied Digital Corporation4.3 bn—-26.6%-41.2%+167.5%−57% / +164%
FIVNFive9, Inc.2.6 bn51.06.9%4.5%+10.3%+74% / −55%
DXCDxc Technology Company2.4 bn22.33.7%0.9%−1.8%+15% / −34%
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn15.816.2%18.7%+9.0%+41% / +39%
GLOBGlobant S.A.2.2 bn21.55.1%4.2%+1.6%−23% / −78%
EVTCEVERTEC, Inc.2.0 bn22.414.4%9.0%+10.2%+18% / −8%
CLVTClarivate PLC1.5 bn—-8.2%-15.1%−4.0%−38% / −70%
INODInnodata Inc.1.3 bn28.235.4%13.8%+47.6%−33% / +471%
LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.983.5 m48.412.1%2.6%+10.9%−36% / −48%
PLTKPlaytika Holding Corp.884.0 m——-9.8%+8.1%−43% / −73%
YEXTYext, Inc.757.2 m39.727.8%5.9%+6.1%−9% / +15%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc.723.4 m14.714.4%6.1%+21.7%−24% / −3%
CARSCars.com, Inc.706.1 m18.19.3%5.9%+0.6%+17% / −27%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.668.7 m—-59.4%-2,356.0%+545.3%−99% / −100%
OOMAOoma, Inc.484.7 m46.011.7%3.6%+6.5%+56% / +51%
SOPHSOPHiA GENETICS SA453.4 m—-110.0%-102.2%+18.6%+35% / +65%
EGHT8x8, Inc.328.3 m44.45.1%1.0%+2.9%+16% / −27%
MOVECorvex, Inc.145.4 m—-9.6%-623.5%−57.3%−32% / −94%
TCXTucows Inc.133.8 m——-17.9%+7.7%−45% / −44%
BIRDSmartbird, Inc.73.5 m—-164.0%-72.8%−19.7%−74% / −93%
DTCXDatacentrex, Inc.40.1 m—-36.2%-165.4%+939,640.5%−75% / −81%
GLEGlobal Engine Group Holding Limited39.4 m—-27.2%-72.8%−4.7%−51% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for APLD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Applied Digital (APLD) designs, builds and operates large data centers for high-performance computing, including artificial intelligence, and leases the capacity long term to hyperscalers with investment-grade ratings. Its executed lease portfolio reaches about 1,410 MW and roughly 36.2 billion dollars of contracted revenue over the base terms, while quarterly revenue rose 322% in fiscal first quarter 2027.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has long-term contracts with top-tier investment-grade customers, which gives high visibility on future revenue 1. It holds large sites with access to power and a standardized construction model that can shorten delivery times 1.
    • Revenue growth in fiscal first quarter 2027 shows that deliveries at new campuses are already turning into reported figures 3. Relationships with several hyperscalers and with CoreWeave reduce reliance on any single large customer 13.
    • The company has shown it can finish buildings on time, including at Polaris Forge 1, where live capacity rose during fiscal first quarter 2027 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The business relies heavily on borrowed capital and bond issues, and high debt can limit financial flexibility 1. The company also guarantees subsidiary obligations, which could create liquidity pressure 1.
    • The legacy hosting segment depends on one mining customer whose contract is nearing its end, and its revenue, though stable, is limited 1. The fiscal first quarter 2027 net result was a significant loss attributable to common stockholders 3.
    • The company has reported material internal control weaknesses in the past, since remediated, which raises questions about the quality of its reporting processes 1.

    Opportunities

    • Expansion into Finland and other markets could open new growth sources if projects follow plan 3. Power agreements in North Dakota could expand capacity available to existing campuses 3.
    • If hyperscalers shift demand toward regions with cheap power, the campuses already under control could become more valuable 3. The ChronoScale partnership and GPU compute deals could add revenue streams 3.
    • Renewal options in the contracts could substantially extend revenue duration if customers exercise them 1.

    Threats

    • Delays in construction, the supply chain or permitting could push back capacity delivery and revenue recognition 1. Trade tariffs could raise the cost of electrical and cooling equipment 1.
    • Competition from hyperscalers and established operators could lower pricing or market share 1. Energy-use rules and local moratoriums could block new projects 2.
    • Dependence on a small number of suppliers and on power could expose the company to outages or price increases 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on large customershigh

      Revenue is concentrated in a few customers, and losing or renegotiating a contract could materially affect results 1. An internal transfer of the CoreWeave contract showed that contract structures can change 1.

    • Heavy funding and debt needshigh

      Building campuses requires large capital, and the company might not find financing on acceptable terms 1. Refinancing debt at maturity could become more expensive 1.

    • Construction and delivery delaysmedium

      If building deliveries slip, contracted revenue could start later, while penalties or extra costs could rise 13.

    • Geographic concentration in North Dakotamedium

      Operations are concentrated in North Dakota, so changes in state regulation, climate or the grid could affect the whole portfolio 1.

    • Regulation of AI and energymedium

      New rules on AI and energy use could impose efficiency requirements or moratoriums on new centers, with hard-to-predict effects 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If hyperscaler demand for HPC capacity stays strong, the contracted portfolio could keep growing and revenue could follow the same path 13.
    • Long-duration contracts with investment-grade customers offer a predictable revenue base, if deliveries follow the schedule 1.
    • Control over power and sites in North Dakota could become more valuable as new capacity becomes hard to obtain elsewhere 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • Heavy debt and continuing financing needs could limit flexibility if capital markets become more expensive 1.
    • Concentration of customers and sites could amplify the impact of any delay or contract change 1.
    • The net loss in fiscal first quarter 2027 shows that profitability still depends on finishing projects, not only on revenue 3.

    What to watch

    • Delivery pace of the third building at Polaris Forge 1 and of the Polaris Forge 2 campus2027
    • Trend in net loss and cash flow from construction spendingfiscal 2028 quarters
    • New customer contracts or the expansion into Finlandnext annual report
    • Any federal or state rules on AI and energy use for data centers2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Applied Digital presents itself as a designer, developer, owner and operator of data centers built specifically for high-performance computing workloads, including artificial intelligence and machine learning 1. The company calls these campuses AI factories and delivers the capacity to investment-grade hyperscalers and other large compute customers through long-term lease and hosting contracts 1. Its standardized model covers site selection, design, construction and operations, and the company has moved from blockchain hosting toward a dedicated HPC platform 1.

    The company focuses on controlling large sites with cheap power and interconnection rights, which it regards as the main constraint on new HPC capacity 1. Campuses are designed for high density with liquid cooling, and revenue is tied to long-duration contracts, many with investment-grade hyperscalers 1. Since May 2026 the cloud business has been separated into a listed entity, ChronoScale, which Applied Digital consolidates as a majority-owned subsidiary 13.

    The reporting structure has two segments: HPC Hosting, the growth direction, and Data Center Hosting, a legacy line with a single crypto-mining customer that could make up a shrinking share as HPC expands 1. On development, Polaris Forge 1 in Ellendale is the flagship campus, and in fiscal first quarter 2027 the company reported further buildings coming into service and a new bond issue to fund construction 23.

    Segments

    HPC Hosting

    The HPC Hosting segment began generating revenue in fiscal 2026, with 385.3 million dollars recognized that year from services and data center rental 1. In fiscal first quarter 2027 segment revenue was 262.6 million dollars and segment operating profit was 33.4 million dollars 3. Quarterly revenue is largely tenant fit-out services, so results are sensitive to construction timing 3.

    Data Center Hosting

    The Data Center Hosting segment brought in 154.4 million dollars in fiscal 2026 and ran at full capacity at its Jamestown and Ellendale facilities in North Dakota 1. In fiscal first quarter 2027 revenue was 37.8 million dollars, roughly flat year over year 3. The company describes the segment as tied to a single customer with about one and a half years left on its contract, so it is a source of income that could decline gradually 1.

    Market context

    Power remains the gating factor, and the company argues that the northern US, especially North Dakota, can add new capacity at scale 3. Over the long term part of the growth could depend on rules for energy use and scrutiny of data centers now under discussion at federal and state level 2. The blockchain hosting market is smaller and more competitive, and the company does not expect growth there 1.

    Trends

    • Rising demand for HPC and AI capacitytailwind

      Hyperscaler demand for high-density capacity could support the company's long-term contracts, which are already largely with investment-grade customers 1. If this demand holds, the contracted portfolio could keep growing 1.

    • Power scarcity and grid accessmixed

      Energy and interconnection are seen as the biggest constraints on new capacity, and the company holds sites with access to power 1. An agreement with an independent power producer in North Dakota could open additional capacity, but project delivery depends on permits and grid infrastructure 3.

    • Regulation and scrutiny of energy useheadwind

      US and EU authorities are weighing new rules on AI and on data center energy consumption, and some states have moved toward moratoriums on new centers 2. If these rules expand, they could delay projects or raise development costs 12.

    • Geographic expansion and construction budgetsmixed

      The company is extending its portfolio to Louisiana, Alabama and Finland, which could reduce dependence on a single state but adds construction and financing complexity 13. Rising equipment and supply chain costs could weigh on margins of new projects 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes for power-advantaged sites, large customers and capital with established data center operators, hyperscalers building their own capacity, and independent developers 1. An important group comes from former crypto-mining operators that have expanded into HPC, and rivalry is intense for sites with affordable power 1.

    The company's stated advantage is control of large sites with interconnection rights and contracts with top-tier customers, which could make its position harder for rivals to replicate 13. The lack of a long track record of large-scale operation could, however, be a disadvantage against established operators 1.

    • Digital Realty TrustDLR

      Established data center owner and operator, named by the company as a direct rival in building and running data center capacity 1.

    • EquinixEQIX

      Large data center and colocation operator, named as a rival for large-customer infrastructure 1.

    • Hyperscalers building their own data centers

      Potential customers can develop their own capacity, which reduces demand for outside hosting 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 23 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 07 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-05-31 · SEC / Applied Digital Corporation · 29 Jul 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-31 · SEC / Applied Digital Corporation · 07 Oct 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Applied Digital Corporation · 07 Oct 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.