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olivLaw · US equity research

Equinox Gold Corp. EQX

Gold and Silver Ores · SIC 1040 · Vertical: Gold and Silver Ores (SIC 1040)

11.28USD+12.80% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Equinox Gold Corp. is a gold mining company that reports in US dollars and is listed on the NYSE American. Its 2026 filings describe operations in several countries and a development plan for the Castle Mountain project, which makes its operational progress worth close attention.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Equinox Gold Corp. (EQX) stock was 11.28 USD (+12.80% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.9 bn USD, P/E 32.2 on diluted EPS of 0.35 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.98, 52-week range 8.62–18.76 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.9 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
32.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.35 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
3.10%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.98
Volatility (1y) 64%
52-week range
8.6218.76

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.62 – 11.68
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.80 · band width 19.4%
SMA 50 / 200
11.59 / 12.72
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.31 / -0.36
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.4%−1.1%+1.5 pp—
3 months+9.3%−0.5%+9.8 pp—
6 months−21.5%+4.4%−25.9 pp—
Year to date−19.7%+12.3%−32.0 pp—
1 year+8.8%+13.5%−4.8 pp−9.2%
3 years+131.1%+76.4%+54.7 pp+144.6%
5 years+45.2%+63.7%−18.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−54.1%
27 Feb 2026 → 17 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−71.6%
14 Apr 2022 → 03 Nov 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+7.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 40 percentile of its own 5-quarter history (min 4.0, median 40.1, max 103.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019⚠ 202020212022202320242025
Revenue30.2 m281.7 m845.4 m1.1 bn952.2 m1.1 bn912.8 m1.8 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+834.0%—+28.0%−12.0%+14.3%−16.1%+99.1%
Net income-65.5 m-18.4 m20.7 m554.9 m-106.0 m28.9 m339.3 m221.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable—+2,578.0%−119.1%unavailable+1,074.7%−34.7%
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.160.101.69-0.350.090.750.35
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable—+1,590.0%−120.7%unavailable+733.3%−53.3%
net %-217.3%-6.5%2.5%51.3%-11.1%2.7%37.2%12.2%
Free cash flow-126.0 m-37.9 m81.0 m-23.4 m-500.6 m-164.8 m-39.9 m126.0 m

The series breaks before 2020: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
430.0 m USD
Financial debt
1.6 bn USD
Net debt
1.1 bn USD
Equity
5.8 bn USD
Total assets
10.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.27x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
4.8%
ROA
2.6%
FCF margin
6.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
912.8 m
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
979.2 m
2024
706.7 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
109.0 m
2024
206.1 m
2025
642.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
49.6 m
2024
151.7 m
2025
432.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
215.0 m
2024
109.8 m
2025
339.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
264.6 m ≈
2024
261.5 m ≈
2025
772.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
60.2 m
2024
91.3 m
2025
179.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
14.8 m
2024
533.3 m
2025
131.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-14.1 m
2024
273.0 m
2025
150.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
28.9 m
2024
339.3 m
2025
221.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.09
2024
0.75
2025
0.35

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
316.3 m
2024
473.5 m
2025
630.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
192.0 m
2024
239.3 m
2025
430.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
82.3 m
2024
70.0 m
2025
65.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
412.0 m
2024
417.5 m
2025
369.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2021verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2023verified

Total assets
2023
4.4 bn
2024
6.7 bn
2025
10.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
246.5 m
2024
258.3 m
2025
302.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
138.6 m
2024
135.6 m
2025
181.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
786.4 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
479.6 m
2024
689.1 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.9 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.4 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
318.0 m
2024
455.2 m
2025
785.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
358.5 m
2024
372.2 m
2025
818.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
523.3 m
2024
412.1 m
2025
692.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-164.8 m ≈
2024
-39.9 m ≈
2025
126.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-462.7 m
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-458.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
92.5 m
2024
792.5 m
2025
-171.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
99.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
24.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
185.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-34.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
60.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-53.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
28.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
35.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
42.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
23.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
6.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
2.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
818.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
692.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
126.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
56.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
106.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
14 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
122 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
87 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion cycle
49 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
10.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
40.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
32.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
4.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
12.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
23.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
5.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
70.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 30 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

11.28 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
32.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
12.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
99.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 31 Mar 2026
verified 228

Score by group

  • Balance sheet5
  • Growth100
  • Valuation19
  • Quality37

Estimated value range

Low
4.86
USD per share
Mid
6.29
USD per share
High
8.63
USD per share
Price: 11.28 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -44.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -79.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.78 – 8.86 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)4.86 – 8.63 (Mid 6.29)
    WACC 8.7% · starting FCFF 276.6 m USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA5.23 – 8.86 (Mid 7.23)
    8 companies used · median multiple 8.8x · quartiles 6.8x – 10.5x
    AG, CDE, EGO, IDR, ITRG, KGC, MUX, PAAS
  • Peers: P/E4.78 – 7.77 (Mid 5.30)
    16 companies used · median multiple 15.1x · quartiles 13.7x – 22.2x
    AEM, AG, AGI, ARIS, AU, B, CDE, EGO, FNV, GFI, IDR, KGC, MUX, NAMM, NEM, PAAS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Gold and Silver Ores (SIC 1040)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 30/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.4%31 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality12.2%47 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality56.9%38 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth24.0%100 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.5x0 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.4x14 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation32.2x28 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation12.9x11 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuation1.4%18 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet5/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality37/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation19/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Equinox Gold Corp. (EQX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 99.1%; net margin 12.2%; ROE 4.8%; net debt/EBITDA 1.5x.

The estimated value range is 4.86–8.63 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 6.29 USD, the price of 11.28 USD leaves a potential of -44.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -79.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 30/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 24.0%

What contradicts it

  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.5x
  • Interest coverage: 2.4x
  • P/E (TTM): 32.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 12.9x
  • FCF yield: 1.4%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Current ratio, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Gold and Silver Ores (SIC 1040) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
32.2x
vertical median 16.1x
above median (+100.2%)
EV/EBITDA
12.9x
vertical median 9.8x
above median (+31.6%)
P/S
4.9x
vertical median 4.8x
at median
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−46.7%)
ROE
4.8%
vertical median 0.8%
above median (+507.0%)
Net margin
12.2%
vertical median 16.2%
below median (−24.7%)
EBIT margin
23.8%
vertical median 26.4%
below median (−9.9%)
Revenue YoY
99.1%
vertical median 34.3%
above median (+188.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.5x
vertical median -0.3x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEMNewmont Corporation122.7 bn13.726.8%34.7%+21.3%+30% / +194%
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Limited91.7 bn20.719.6%37.5%+43.7%+5% / +242%
BBarrick Mining Corp67.2 bn13.719.6%29.4%+31.2%−3% / +128%
FNVFRANCO NEVADA Corp46.7 bn42.016.3%61.0%+63.7%+15% / +116%
AUAngloGold Ashanti plc44.4 bn17.043.1%32.1%+70.8%+3% / +357%
GFIGold Fields Limited32.9 bn26.625.7%23.9%+15.6%−14% / +140%
KGCKinross Gold Corp25.7 bn11.031.0%33.9%+36.9%−24% / +264%
PAASPan American Silver Corp.17.5 bn16.216.8%27.1%+28.4%−9% / +165%
CDECoeur Mining, Inc.14.9 bn16.010.3%19.2%+96.4%−16% / +378%
AGIAlamos Gold Inc.12.6 bn14.322.1%49.0%+34.3%−20% / +103%
HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company Limited10.4 bn———+25.8%−17% / +163%
EQXEquinox Gold Corp.8.9 bn32.24.8%12.2%+99.1%+9% / +131%
AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.7.6 bn45.38.0%13.1%+124.3%+1% / +158%
EGOEldorado Gold Corp6.7 bn13.612.4%27.9%+37.5%+7% / +155%
CGAUCenterra Gold Inc.4.3 bn—-4.7%-7.4%+28.8%+61% / +249%
ARISAris Mining Corp3.2 bn38.37.0%8.4%+81.7%+12% / +396%
NGNovagold Resources Inc.2.7 bn—-32.8%—unavailable−40% / +45%
AAUCAllied Gold Corporation2.5 bn—-13.8%-3.9%+82.3%−3% / unavailable
EXKEndeavour Silver Corp.2.1 bn—-22.4%-25.5%+114.8%−21% / +259%
HYMCHycroft Mining Holding Corporation1.6 bn—-72.3%—−100.0%+49% / +716%
IAUXi-80 GOLD CORP.1.2 bn—-81.9%-202.7%+89.1%+18% / −15%
NEWPNew Pacific Metals Corp.952.3 m—-2.8%—−19.1%+101% / +181%
MUXMcEWEN INC.916.1 m12.813.5%32.5%+13.2%−20% / +94%
MTAMetalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd.732.0 m—-1.7%-36.1%+99.6%+6% / +145%
GROYGold Royalty Corp.648.9 m—-0.7%-26.5%+54.5%−34% / +86%

1- and 3-year price returns: for EQX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
5.94
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
10.45
Total return -7% · Per year -7%
15.67
Total return 39% · Per year 39%
3 years
7.04
Total return -38% · Per year -15%
13.82
Total return 22% · Per year 7%
22.57
Total return 100% · Per year 26%
5 years
8.35
Total return -26% · Per year -6%
18.27
Total return 62% · Per year 10%
32.50
Total return 188% · Per year 24%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.45
  • Net margin± 2.42
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.80
  • Annual dilution± 0.20

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (13 Oct 2026), 6-K (29 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Sept 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026), 6-K (06 Aug 2026), 6-K (05 Aug 2026).

In brief

Equinox Gold Corp. is a gold mining company that reports in US dollars and is listed on the NYSE American. Its 2026 filings describe operations in several countries and a development plan for the Castle Mountain project, which makes its operational progress worth close attention.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company reports internal control over financial reporting that management considers effective, with an audit of internal control by KPMG LLP.
  • The Greenstone and Valentine operations provide an existing production base, which management expects to bring to project capacity.
  • The dividend policy and shareholder return mechanisms are presented as part of the financial strategy.

Weaknesses

  • Operations at Los Filos are suspended, meaning part of the production potential is not currently active.
  • Differences between Canadian resource standards and SEC standards limit the comparability of information with US companies.
  • Dependence on reaching project capacity and keeping production costs under control makes results sensitive to execution.

Opportunities

  • The restart of Los Filos operations with a CIL plant could add new production if agreements with communities are respected.
  • Exploration and expansion potential around Valentine could generate new resources over the long term.
  • Rapid receipt of permits for Castle Mountain could accelerate the development of a major project.

Threats

  • A fall in the gold price could reduce cash flow and the self-funding capacity of projects.
  • Delays in authorisations or tensions with local communities could push back development schedules.
  • Funding conditions and entry costs could become more difficult, affecting investment plans.

Risks

  • Gold price volatilityhigh

    The assumption of stable gold prices is essential to the projections; an unfavourable change could affect revenues and margins.

  • Restart of Los Filos operationshigh

    The restart depends on agreements with communities and on building a CIL plant; delays could postpone production.

  • Permits for Castle Mountainmedium

    Project development depends on obtaining the necessary permits and approvals, and the timetable could be affected.

  • Reaching project capacitymedium

    The assumption that Greenstone and Valentine reach project capacity may not materialise, which would affect the production guidance.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If production at Greenstone and Valentine reaches project capacity, cash flow could support dividends and project funding.
  • The Los Filos restart and the advance of the Castle Mountain project could add production growth over the medium term.
  • Internal control considered effective and external audit could help build investor confidence in the company's reporting.

What would break the thesis

  • If the gold price falls, margins could be squeezed and the capacity to fund projects could be limited.
  • Delays in permits or in agreements with communities could postpone production growth and could raise costs.
  • Differences in resource reporting standards limit comparability, which could make valuing the company harder for investors.

What to watch

  • Reaching project capacity at Greenstone and Valentine2026
  • Progress on the Los Filos restart and CIL plant construction2026
  • Receipt of approvals for Castle Mountain Phase 2next 10-K
  • Realisation of the contingent consideration from the Brazil sale2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (13 Oct 2026), 6-K (29 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Sept 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026), 6-K (06 Aug 2026), 6-K (05 Aug 2026).

The business

According to the annual report for 2025 1, Equinox Gold Corp. (referred to as 'Equinox Gold' or 'the Company') files with the SEC under the multijurisdictional disclosure system between the US and Canada, and its financial statements are prepared under IFRS. The Company presents results in US dollars, with reference to the exchange rate as of 31 December 2025.

The core activity involves mineral properties and gold production, and the document explicitly mentions the Greenstone and Valentine operations, as well as the suspension of operations at Los Filos and the plan to restart them, which includes building a CIL plant. The Company also includes the Castle Mountain Phase 2 project, which is going through permitting, indicating a growth strategy based on developing new resources.

The document also shows that Equinox Gold sold its Brazil operations, with contingent cash consideration, and management believes this could help improve cash flow. The dividend policy is mentioned as part of the strategy to return value to shareholders, without the document specifying an amount for 2026.

Segments

Producing operations

The Greenstone and Valentine operations are the most important producing assets mentioned in the report. The document emphasises reaching project capacity at both operations as a premise of the 2026 production guidance 1.

Development and restart projects

Castle Mountain Phase 2 is a project whose development depends on obtaining the required approvals and permits, including the effect of the FAST-41 designation. The restart of Los Filos operations, with a CIL plant construction, is a second development commitment, conditional on agreements with local communities.

Sale of the Brazil operations

The sale of the Brazil assets generated contingent cash consideration, whose realisation is cited as an assumption in the forward-looking statements. The document does not quantify future receipts from this mechanism.

Market context

The report does not describe the size of the global gold market, but confirms that the gold price is a key assumption in the company's projections, alongside entry costs and funding availability 1. On this basis, Equinox Gold's results depend directly on the macroeconomic conditions that influence the price of the precious metal.

The market in which the company operates is one with strict rules on mineral reserves and resources, because Equinox Gold reports under the Canadian NI 43-101 standard, which differs from SEC requirements for US companies. This means resource information is not directly comparable with that of US companies.

Trends

  • Gold price as a core factormixed

    The document includes the stability of gold prices among the core assumptions of the projections. If the gold price stays at favourable levels, revenues and self-funding capacity could be supported, whereas a decline would compress margins.

  • New project development and resource expansiontailwind

    The exploration and expansion potential around Valentine, as well as Castle Mountain Phase 2, suggests a growth orientation. Realising these projects depends on authorisations and adherence to construction schedules.

  • Obtaining permits and approvalsheadwind

    Delays in the authorisation process, including for Castle Mountain, could postpone the point at which projects add further production. The FAST-41 designation is mentioned as an element that could speed up the process.

  • Relations with communities and Indigenous partnersmixed

    Agreements with the communities around Los Filos and collaboration with Indigenous partners are cited as essential assumptions. If these relations become strained, the restart of operations could be delayed.

Competitive position

The report does not name competitors and contains no comparative analysis of market share. According to the document, the company operates in a context where comparisons with other producers are limited by differences in mineral resource reporting standards.

The competitive structure of the gold mining sector is not described in the documents provided. Any comparison with other producers should be made on the basis of their own reports, taking into account the differences in standards noted by Equinox Gold 1.

  • Other gold producers listed in the US

    The source document names no competitors; comparison with other gold producers requires additional sources.

  • Canadian mining companies active in gold

    Not identified in the source; a comparison could be made on the basis of the NI 43-101 reporting standard.

  • Operators in US development projects

    The source does not describe competitors for the Castle Mountain project; the situation remains unclarified.

  • Potential buyers of mining assets

    The document does not mention such entities; the context of the Brazil transaction is not detailed.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 13 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 40-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Equinox Gold Corp. · 31 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.