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olivLaw · US equity research

Fluor Corporation FLR

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600 · Vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

47.61USD−0.79% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Fluor is one of the largest global professional services firms, providing design, procurement and EPC construction to clients in energy, infrastructure, life sciences and the U.S. federal sector. Its current relevance rests on a backlog above 26 billion USD, mostly reimbursable, and on a recent past marked by losses and asset divestitures, which makes margin trends worth close watching.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Fluor Corporation (FLR) stock was 47.61 USD (−0.79% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.4 bn USD, dividend yield 34.13%, beta 1.65, 52-week range 39.63–57.50 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 4.3 bn USD (+8.8% YoY), net income of 114.0 m USD (−95.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.81 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -12.55 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-26.36%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
34.13%
DPS 12m 16.25
Beta (2y)
1.65
Volatility (1y) 48%
52-week range
39.6357.50

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
48.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
43.24 – 51.11
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.56 · band width 16.7%
SMA 50 / 200
50.72 / 49.41
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.97 / -1.35
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.9%−1.1%−4.8 pp—
3 months−5.6%−0.5%−5.1 pp—
6 months−12.2%+4.4%−16.6 pp—
Year to date+20.1%+12.3%+7.8 pp—
1 year+3.0%+13.5%−10.5 pp−9.5%
3 years+29.9%+76.4%−46.5 pp+63.3%
5 years+106.2%+63.7%+42.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−24.5%
03 Sept 2026 → 22 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−47.6%
07 Nov 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+15.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.3 bn USD
+8.8% YoY
Net income
114.0 m USD
−95.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.81
−94.5% YoY
net / operating
2.6% / 3.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue4.1 bn4.3 bn4.0 bn4.0 bn3.4 bn4.2 bn3.7 bn4.3 bn
Cost of revenue4.0 bn4.1 bn3.8 bn3.9 bn3.8 bn4.0 bn3.7 bn4.2 bn
Gross profit88.0 m208.0 m140.0 m56.0 m-449.0 m133.0 m13.0 m179.0 m
Operating income49.0 m186.0 m91.0 m-26.0 m-496.0 m53.0 m92.0 m135.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation19.0 m ≈20.0 m18.0 m17.0 m ≈17.0 m ≈16.0 m16.0 m16.0 m ≈
Interest expense11.0 m11.0 m12.0 m9.0 m11.0 m11.0 m10.0 m11.0 m
Pre-tax income86.0 m2.3 bn108.0 m-9.0 m-483.0 m282.0 m107.0 m156.0 m
Income tax61.0 m462.0 m-53.0 m765.0 m-177.0 m-575.0 m-7.0 m25.0 m
Net income54.0 m1.9 bn-241.0 m2.5 bn-697.0 m-1.6 bn160.0 m114.0 m
Diluted EPS0.3110.71 ≈-1.4214.81-4.30-10.14 ≈1.080.81
Operating cash flow330.0 m ≈327.0 m-286.0 m-21.0 m ≈286.0 m ≈-366.0 m110.0 m-317.0 m ≈
Capex51.0 m ≈31.0 m11.0 m14.0 m ≈13.0 m ≈12.0 m11.0 m7.0 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈125.0 m142.0 m153.0 m ≈70.0 m ≈389.0 m516.0 m300.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue18.9 bn15.5 bn15.8 bn14.2 bn13.7 bn15.5 bn16.3 bn15.5 bn
Revenue YoY+27.3%−18.0%+2.2%−10.3%−2.9%+12.6%+5.4%−5.0%
Net income173.5 m-1.5 bn-435.0 m-440.0 m145.0 m139.0 m2.1 bn-51.0 m
Net income YoY+12.9%−977.5%unavailableunavailableunavailable−4.1%+1,443.2%−102.4%
Diluted EPS1.23-10.87-3.10unavailable0.730.5412.30-0.31
Diluted EPS YoY+12.8%−983.7%unavailableunavailableunavailable−26.0%+2,177.8%−102.5%
net %0.9%-9.8%-2.8%-3.1%1.1%0.9%13.1%-0.3%
Free cash flow-48.8 m38.2 m73.0 m-50.0 m-44.0 m106.0 m664.0 m-437.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.1 bn USD
Financial debt
1.1 bn USD
Net debt
-1.1 bn USD
Equity
3.3 bn USD
Total assets
8.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.33x
Current ratio
1.91x
ROE
-1.4%
ROA
-0.6%
FCF margin
-2.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
15.5 bn
2024
16.3 bn
2025
15.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
15.0 bn
2024
15.7 bn
2025
15.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
477.0 m
2024
574.0 m
2025
-120.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
147.0 m
2024
463.0 m
2025
-378.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
74.0 m
2024
73.0 m
2025
68.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
221.0 m ≈
2024
536.0 m ≈
2025
-310.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
60.0 m
2024
46.0 m
2025
42.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
315.0 m
2024
2.7 bn
2025
-101.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
236.0 m
2024
634.0 m
2025
-39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
139.0 m
2024
2.1 bn
2025
-51.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.54
2024
12.30
2025
-0.31

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
153.0 m
2024
174.0 m
2025
164.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
5.1 bn
2024
5.2 bn
2025
6.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
458.0 m
2024
494.0 m
2025
464.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
206.0 m
2024
199.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2021verified

Total assets
2023
7.0 bn
2024
9.1 bn
2025
8.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.1 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
212.0 m
2024
828.0 m
2025
-387.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
106.0 m
2024
164.0 m
2025
50.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
106.0 m ≈
2024
664.0 m ≈
2025
-437.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-277.0 m
2024
-333.0 m
2025
437.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
127.0 m
2024
-116.0 m
2025
-797.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2021verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
125.0 m
2025
754.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-181.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-102.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-102.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-165.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
-0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-46.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-20.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-287.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
43.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-330.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
37 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
4.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-26.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
34.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

47.61 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-46.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
34.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2560derived 161

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
213.54
USD per share
Mid
244.94
USD per share
High
287.18
USD per share
Price: 47.61 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 414.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 80.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 213.54 – 287.18 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)213.54 – 287.18 (Mid 244.94)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-6.2%0 (vs peers)21%
Net margin · Quality-12.8%10 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.1%34 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-5.0x0 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x83 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-5.2%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns20.0%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet33/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial34/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality4/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FLUOR CORPORATION (FLR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 15.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.0%; net margin -12.8%; ROE -46.2%.

The estimated value range is 213.54–287.18 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 244.94 USD, the price of 47.61 USD leaves a potential of 414.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 80.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 20.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -6.2%
  • Net margin: -12.8%
  • Interest coverage: -5.0x
  • FCF yield: -5.2%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 38.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.9x
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 0.6x
below median (−30.9%)
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 4.3x
below median (−44.7%)
ROE
-46.2%
vertical median 12.2%
below median (−479.4%)
Net margin
-12.8%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−602.1%)
EBIT margin
-1.4%
vertical median 7.6%
below median (−118.4%)
Revenue YoY
-5.0%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−181.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.3x
Dividend yield
34.1%
vertical median 0.8%
above median (+3,918.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JJacobs Solutions Inc.18.7 bn54.39.6%2.4%+4.6%+19% / +52%
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.8.7 bn15.943.3%12.9%+17.7%−18% / +347%
FLRFluor Corporation6.4 bn—-46.2%-12.8%−5.0%+3% / +30%
GVAGranite Construction Inc5.8 bn—-25.2%-5.0%+10.4%+23% / +188%
KBRKBR, Inc.5.0 bn11.427.4%5.7%+1.0%−4% / −23%
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.1.9 bn38.915.0%4.1%+54.2%−9% / +137%
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.318.8 m50.93.5%0.6%+7.0%−22% / +63%
SHIMShimmick Corporation98.8 m——-3.8%+2.6%−9% / −61%
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.40.8 m——-67.0%−21.2%−76% / −86%
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc——7.4%2.7%+44.7%unavailable / unavailable
FERFerrovial N.V.——14.8%9.2%+5.2%−10% / +79%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FLR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Fluor is one of the largest global professional services firms, providing design, procurement and EPC construction to clients in energy, infrastructure, life sciences and the U.S. federal sector. Its current relevance rests on a backlog above 26 billion USD, mostly reimbursable, and on a recent past marked by losses and asset divestitures, which makes margin trends worth close watching 123.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A large backlog with a high share of reimbursable contracts, which reduces cost risk for the company 12.
    • Global presence and execution experience on complex projects in difficult locations, which the company cites as a distinct advantage 1.
    • Ability to generate liquidity from asset sales, as with NuScale, which brought significant proceeds 2.

    Weaknesses

    • Volatile operating results, with losses in 2025 driven by the Santos judgment and cost adjustments on infrastructure projects 1.
    • Exposure to lump-sum contracts, where cost overruns stay with the company and may be hard to recover 1.
    • Dependence on new awards for revenue, with backlog declining in 2025 before recovering in 2026 12.

    Opportunities

    • Demand for LNG, nuclear power and energy transition, where the company recently won major projects 23.
    • Contracts with the U.S. government in nuclear and defense, where new awards rose in 2026 3.
    • Refinancing and share repurchases could strengthen investor confidence if execution remains stable 3.

    Threats

    • Pressure from non-traditional competitors accepting lower prices and higher risk, which may compress margins 1.
    • Geopolitical uncertainty and tariffs, which may change costs and project timing 12.
    • Legal and litigation risks, including judgments and client claims, which could have a material effect 1.

    Risks

    • Cost overruns on lump-sum contractshigh

      Lump-sum contracts expose the company to delays and cost overruns that may not be recoverable, which could reduce profits or cause losses 1.

    • Litigation and judgmentshigh

      The Santos judgment led to a revenue reversal and an appeal; the final outcome and insurer obligations remain uncertain 1.

    • Dependence on new awardsmedium

      Revenue depends on the timing of large contract awards, which is hard to predict and can delay results 1.

    • International and currency exposuremedium

      A significant part of the backlog is outside the U.S., and currency swings and political risks can affect margins and projects 12.

    • Cybersecurity riskslow

      System breaches and outages can disrupt operations and create unplanned costs 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If project execution stays disciplined, margins in Energy Solutions could recover, as second quarter 2026 results suggest 3.
    • A large backlog and a high share of reimbursable contracts provide a relatively predictable revenue base, relevant to long-term investors 13.
    • Monetizing the NuScale stake and other divestments could strengthen the balance sheet and support share repurchase programs 23.

    What would break the thesis

    • Margins remain low in key segments, and the 2025 losses show vulnerability to cost overruns, especially on fixed-price contracts 1.
    • The 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance was narrowed, which may point to execution difficulties or the loss of JV contributions 3.
    • The NuScale contribution and other divested assets will not repeat, so part of the recent gains is not recurring 2.

    What to watch

    • Energy Solutions margin trend after the second quarter resultsQ3 2026
    • Delivery against the adjusted EBITDA guidance of 500 - 525 million USD2026
    • Pace of share repurchases against the 1.4 billion USD target2026
    • Outcome of the Santos appeal and insurer recoveriesnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Fluor Corporation, headquartered in Irving, Texas, operates through subsidiaries and joint ventures offering EPC and project management services across industries from life sciences and data centers to mining, LNG and nuclear power 1. Revenue was 15,503 million USD in 2025, down from 16,315 million USD in 2024, mainly due to a 643 million USD revenue reversal tied to the Santos judgment in Australia 1. The company describes six service categories, from engineering and procurement to operations and maintenance, and says risk management and safety are competitive advantages 1.

    Contract structure is central to the model: 81% of the backlog at December 31, 2025 was reimbursable, and the strategy seeks more balanced terms and fixed-price work only where the company has a strong position 1. In the first half of 2026 the reimbursable share reached 85% of backlog, according to the quarterly filing and release 23. For shareholders, capital allocation also matters, including debt reduction and share repurchases 13.

    Segments

    Energy Solutions

    A segment under pressure: revenue fell to 3,554 million USD in 2025 and profit turned into a loss of 414 million USD, reflecting the Santos judgment 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the segment returned to a profit of 88 million USD, with favorable close-out items including from the former Mexico JV 3.

    Mission Solutions

    The segment serving the U.S. government, with 2025 revenue of 2,720 million USD and segment profit of 94 million USD 1. New awards rose sharply in the second quarter of 2026 to 2.2 billion USD, including a reimbursable EPC contract for a nuclear fuel enrichment facility 3.

    Market context

    Demand stems from client capital investment, which depends on hydrocarbon prices, financing costs and trade policy 1. The company points to energy transition, LNG, data centers, semiconductors and critical minerals as growth areas, but warns that oil and gas markets could cool if prices fall 1. If Middle East tensions escalate, they could affect opportunities and costs, as the company notes 2.

    Competition is intense, with non-traditional entrants offering below-market prices and accepting greater risk, which compresses margins 1. The share of new awards outside the U.S. was 26% in 2025 and the share of backlog outside the U.S. reached 42% at June 30, 2026, highlighting exposure to political and currency risk 12.

    Trends

    • Demand for energy and digital infrastructuretailwind

      Investment in LNG, data centers, semiconductors and critical minerals could support new awards, as the rise in second quarter 2026 awards suggests 13.

    • Energy price volatilityheadwind

      Lower oil and gas prices may delay client investment decisions, which already affected Energy Solutions activity in 2025 1.

    • Trade policy and tariffsmixed

      Tariffs and trade policy shifts increase cost uncertainty for lump-sum contracts and can delay projects, though they may also create demand for reshored production 1.

    • Monetization of non-core assetsmixed

      Sales of the NuScale stake and the Mexico JV brought liquidity but reduce these assets' contribution to future results, which may change the profit mix 2.

    Competitive position

    Fluor competes with large multinational EPC firms and newer competitors that may accept riskier terms 1. Price and margin pressure is a risk the company states openly, and differentiation rests on safety, execution in difficult locations and client relationships 1.

    In government and nuclear services, competition is limited by security requirements and specialized expertise, but rivals can offer more aggressive terms in bids 1. The company argues its leading position in nuclear remediation gives it an edge, though winning contracts also depends on client perception of execution capability 1.

    • Jacobs SolutionsJ

      General competitor named in the professional services market context, relevant in infrastructure and government work.

    • AECOMACM

      Design and construction firm with a global presence competing in infrastructure and public services; the sources do not detail it specifically.

    • KBRKBR

      Competitor in technical and government services, relevant mainly for energy and defense segments under the general competition category.

    • Bechtel

      Privately held EPC company with an important role in large energy and infrastructure projects, within the global competitor category named in the company's risk disclosures.

    News & filings

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Fluor Corporation · 17 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Fluor Corporation · 07 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Fluor Corporation · 07 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.