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olivLaw · US equity research

Jacobs Solutions Inc. J

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600 · Vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

160.11USD+0.16% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Jacobs Solutions Inc. is a global consulting and technical services company with revenue of 12.03 bn USD in fiscal 2025. In fiscal Q3 2026 gross revenue rose 34.5 percent year on year and the backlog reached 28.9 bn USD. The Challenge Accepted strategy and the I&AF segment support growth, but results remain exposed to public and private spending cycles.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) stock was 160.11 USD (+0.16% on the day), with market capitalisation 18.7 bn USD, P/E 54.3 on diluted EPS of 2.95 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.85%, beta 0.83, 52-week range 107.27–160.24 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.1 bn USD (+34.5% YoY), net income of 136.6 m USD (−24.0% YoY), diluted EPS 1.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
18.7 bn USD
shares as of 24 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
54.3
Diluted EPS TTM 2.95 · TTM to 26 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.84%
TTM to 26 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.85%
DPS 12m 1.36
Beta (2y)
0.83
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
107.27160.24

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
76.8
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
131.90 – 161.12
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.97 · band width 19.9%
SMA 50 / 200
144.26 / 134.13
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
4.66 / 2.74
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+15.5%−1.1%+16.6 pp—
3 months+10.7%−0.5%+11.1 pp—
6 months+26.4%+4.4%+22.1 pp—
Year to date+20.9%+12.3%+8.6 pp—
1 year+3.6%+13.5%−10.0 pp−9.5%
3 years+44.5%+76.4%−31.9 pp+63.3%
5 years+35.7%+63.7%−28.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.2%
05 Nov 2025 → 13 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−34.8%
21 Oct 2025 → 13 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.1 bn USD
+34.5% YoY
Net income
136.6 m USD
−24.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.15
−25.8% YoY
net / operating
3.3% / 7.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.0 bn2.9 bn2.9 bn3.0 bn3.2 bn3.3 bn3.7 bn4.1 bn
Cost of revenue2.2 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.9 bn3.3 bn
Gross profit735.1 m721.3 m738.3 m758.4 m766.9 m765.3 m794.9 m810.7 m
SG&A538.9 m512.8 m529.7 m523.4 m555.4 m532.7 m876.1 m524.0 m
Operating income196.2 m208.4 m208.6 m235.0 m211.6 m232.6 m-81.2 m286.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation25.1 m20.9 m20.0 m ≈21.1 m ≈20.0 m21.6 m22.2 m ≈23.7 m ≈
Interest expense35.7 m34.8 m38.6 m37.1 m35.3 m34.3 m41.1 m54.7 m
Pre-tax income393.6 m53.1 m55.8 m245.1 m189.4 m206.2 m-130.6 m241.2 m
Income tax74.5 m57.1 m50.6 m53.8 m54.1 m73.1 m-45.1 m104.6 m
Net income325.4 m-18.1 m5.6 m179.6 m122.3 m125.5 m-45.9 m136.6 m
Diluted EPS2.51-0.110.061.551.02 ≈1.12-0.341.15
Operating cash flow196.5 m107.5 m-96.4 m ≈292.6 m ≈383.1 m380.8 m-484.1 m ≈456.1 m ≈
Capex38.3 m10.3 m17.3 m ≈22.1 m ≈29.6 m15.8 m20.8 m ≈25.1 m ≈
Dividends paid36.3 m36.5 m39.4 m ≈38.9 m ≈38.2 m38.6 m42.6 m ≈42.2 m ≈
Share repurchases56.3 m201.6 m350.8 m ≈100.8 m ≈100.9 m252.1 m219.8 m ≈142.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 95 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 10.2, median 24.0, max 58.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue15.0 bn12.7 bn13.6 bn14.1 bn9.8 bn10.9 bn11.5 bn12.0 bn
Revenue YoY+49.5%−15.0%+6.5%+3.9%−30.6%+10.9%+6.0%+4.6%
Net income163.4 m848.0 m491.8 m477.0 m644.0 m665.8 m806.1 m289.3 m
Net income YoY−44.4%+418.9%−42.0%−3.0%+35.0%+3.4%+21.1%−64.1%
Diluted EPS1.186.083.713.204.985.306.322.38
Diluted EPS YoY−51.2%+415.3%−39.0%−13.7%+55.6%+6.4%+19.2%−62.3%
net %1.1%6.7%3.6%3.4%6.6%6.1%7.0%2.4%
Free cash flow386.3 m-502.4 m688.6 m633.5 m347.1 m837.3 m933.6 m607.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 26 Sept 2025

Cash
1.2 bn USD
Financial debt
2.2 bn USD
Net debt
1.0 bn USD
Equity
3.6 bn USD
Total assets
11.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.61x
Current ratio
1.30x
ROE
7.0%
ROA
2.5%
FCF margin
5.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
10.9 bn
2024
11.5 bn
2025
12.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
8.1 bn
2024
8.7 bn
2025
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
676.5 m
2024
692.4 m
2025
863.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
103.3 m
2024
99.2 m
2025
82.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
779.8 m ≈
2024
791.7 m ≈
2025
945.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
168.1 m
2024
169.1 m
2025
145.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
521.0 m
2024
777.3 m
2025
543.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
101.3 m
2024
131.5 m
2025
215.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
665.8 m
2024
806.1 m
2025
289.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
5.30
2024
6.32
2025
2.38

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
127.2 m
2024
125.9 m
2025
121.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.26
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
770.9 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
4.7 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
279.7 m
2024
315.6 m
2025
311.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
950.8 m
2024
874.9 m
2025
717.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
14.6 bn
2024
11.8 bn
2025
11.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
922.4 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
51.8 m
2024
870.4 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.8 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.4 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
6.6 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
974.8 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
686.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
137.5 m
2024
121.1 m
2025
79.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
837.3 m ≈
2024
933.6 m ≈
2025
607.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-145.7 m
2024
-127.2 m
2025
-75.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-751.6 m
2025
-525.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
128.4 m
2024
142.8 m
2025
153.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
265.7 m
2024
402.7 m
2025
754.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
24.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-64.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-62.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-34.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
22.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
FCF margin
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROA
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROIC
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROCE
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
46.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
25.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
735.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
91.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
644.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
190.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
99.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
18.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
21.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
55.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
54.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
P/B
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
P/S
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
28.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
32.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
P/FCF
29.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 41 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

160.11 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 18.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
18.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
54.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
P/B
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
28.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
ROE
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jun 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 24 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 2816derived 185

Score by group

  • Balance sheet44
  • Valuation18
  • Quality56
  • Growth30
  • Returns80

Estimated value range

Low
36.49
USD per share
Mid
60.62
USD per share
High
89.15
USD per share
Price: 160.11 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -62.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -164.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.42 – 141.81 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)79.21 – 141.81 (Mid 102.62)
    WACC 8.4% · starting FCFF 748.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 25.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA29.41 – 54.63 (Mid 40.34)
    5 companies used · median multiple 9.7x · quartiles 7.9x – 11.9x
    GVA, KBR, ORN, ROAD, STRL
  • Peers: P/E43.57 – 123.68 (Mid 80.90)
    4 companies used · median multiple 27.4x · quartiles 14.8x – 41.9x
    KBR, ORN, ROAD, STRL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)3.42 – 4.59 (Mid 3.92)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 41/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.7%33 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality2.4%50 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality190.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.1%59 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-21.8%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.3x50 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.9x37 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x41 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation54.3x0 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation28.7x17 (vs peers)10%
FCF yield · Valuation3.4%43 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.7%67 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns25.1%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet44/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth30/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality56/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns80/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation18/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC. (J). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 12.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.6%; net margin 2.4%; ROE 9.6%; net debt/EBITDA 3.3x.

The estimated value range is 36.49–89.15 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 60.62 USD, the price of 160.11 USD leaves a potential of -62.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -164.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 41/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 190.5%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 25.1%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -21.8%
  • P/E (TTM): 54.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 28.7x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
54.3x
vertical median 27.4x
above median (+97.9%)
EV/EBITDA
28.7x
vertical median 10.8x
above median (+165.5%)
P/S
1.3x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+175.3%)
P/B
5.7x
vertical median 2.6x
above median (+120.6%)
ROE
9.6%
vertical median 11.1%
below median (−14.0%)
Net margin
2.4%
vertical median 1.7%
above median (+41.7%)
EBIT margin
4.6%
vertical median 7.6%
below median (−39.7%)
Revenue YoY
4.6%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−24.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.3x
vertical median 2.9x
above median (+13.3%)
Dividend yield
0.8%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−49.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JJacobs Solutions Inc.18.7 bn54.39.6%2.4%+4.6%+4% / +44%
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.8.7 bn15.943.3%12.9%+17.7%−18% / +347%
FLRFluor Corporation6.4 bn—-46.2%-12.8%−5.0%+11% / +25%
GVAGranite Construction Inc5.8 bn—-25.2%-5.0%+10.4%+23% / +188%
KBRKBR, Inc.5.0 bn11.427.4%5.7%+1.0%−4% / −23%
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.1.9 bn38.915.0%4.1%+54.2%−9% / +137%
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.318.8 m50.93.5%0.6%+7.0%−22% / +63%
SHIMShimmick Corporation98.8 m——-3.8%+2.6%−9% / −61%
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.40.8 m——-67.0%−21.2%−76% / −86%
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc——7.4%2.7%+44.7%unavailable / unavailable
FERFerrovial N.V.——14.8%9.2%+5.2%−10% / +79%

1- and 3-year price returns: for J from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
95.26
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
168.20
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
253.07
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
97.41
Total return -37% · Per year -14%
193.05
Total return 23% · Per year 7%
318.21
Total return 102% · Per year 26%
5 years
99.61
Total return -34% · Per year -8%
221.58
Total return 44% · Per year 7%
400.12
Total return 157% · Per year 21%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 48.26
  • Net margin± 33.78
  • Annual revenue growth± 27.05
  • Annual dilution± 2.84

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Jacobs Solutions Inc. is a global consulting and technical services company with revenue of 12.03 bn USD in fiscal 2025 1. In fiscal Q3 2026 gross revenue rose 34.5 percent year on year and the backlog reached 28.9 bn USD 3. The Challenge Accepted strategy and the I&AF segment support growth, but results remain exposed to public and private spending cycles.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A record backlog and a book-to-bill ratio above one give visibility into future revenue 3.
  • Operating cash generation in fiscal Q3 2026 supported lower net leverage and share repurchases 3.

Weaknesses

  • Part of the portfolio is fixed-price, and cost overruns could reduce project profitability 1.
  • Revenue depends on awards of large projects whose timing is hard to predict, causing quarterly fluctuations 1.
  • Variable-rate debt exposes the company to rising financing costs 1.

Opportunities

  • Growth in data center, semiconductor and energy investment could extend demand for the I&AF segment 3.
  • Full integration of PA Consulting could open transformation consulting opportunities for public and private clients 12.
  • Interest in decarbonization and climate resilience solutions could support new contract wins 1.

Threats

  • Government budget cuts or policy shifts could delay or cancel projects 12.
  • Trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions could affect costs and demand across several markets 12.
  • Cybersecurity incidents or IT system failures could cause financial and reputational losses 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on public contractshigh

    A meaningful share of revenue comes from government agencies, and contracts can be terminated or suspended, which could affect results 1.

  • Fixed-price contractsmedium

    Cost overruns or delays could reduce margins, and the company bears most of the inflation risk on these contracts 1.

  • Backlog can be adjustedmedium

    Contracts in the backlog can be adjusted, cancelled or suspended by clients, so backlog is not necessarily an accurate measure of future revenue 1.

  • Acquisition and integration exposuremedium

    Acquisitions and strategic stakes, including the PA Consulting transaction, could face integration difficulties or goodwill impairment 12.

  • Compliance and security riskslow

    Violations of anti-corruption, environmental or workplace safety laws could bring significant penalties and liabilities 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A record backlog and strong organic growth in I&AF could support revenue in coming quarters if private investment stays elevated 3.
  • Fiscal 2026 guidance has been raised three times this year, which could signal solid execution if the trend holds 3.
  • Digital and data capabilities, combined with PA Consulting, could differentiate the company on complex transformation projects 12.

What would break the thesis

  • A significant part of revenue depends on public spending, and reduced funding could slow new contract awards 12.
  • Gross revenue has grown much faster than adjusted net revenue, which could point to reliance on pass-through costs 3.
  • Intense competition and fixed-price contracts could compress margins if costs rise faster than prices 1.

What to watch

  • Pace of organic growth in I&AF and new order intakeQ4 2026
  • Completion of the transaction for the remaining PA Consulting stake2026
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance and trajectory of adjusted EBITDA marginnext 10-K
  • Share of fixed-price contracts and exposure to inflationnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Jacobs delivers end-to-end services across advanced manufacturing, cities and places, energy, environmental, life sciences, transportation and water, from advisory and planning through design, program delivery and lifecycle management 1. The company had about 43,000 people at fiscal 2025 year-end and about 47,000 in the quarter ended June 26, 2026 12. The multi-year Challenge Accepted strategy, launched in February 2025, targets profitable growth in water and environmental, life sciences, advanced manufacturing and critical infrastructure 1.

After the September 2024 separation, in which the CMS and C&I businesses moved to Amentum, continuing operations were reorganized into the Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities segment and the majority stake in PA Consulting 1. Jacobs held 65 percent of PA Consulting from 2021 and, in fiscal Q3 2026, referred to a transaction to acquire the remaining stake 13. In fiscal 2025 operating profit was 863.6 million USD and net earnings attributable to Jacobs were 289.3 million USD, weighed down by discontinued operations 1.

In fiscal 2025 about 68 percent of revenue came from cost-reimbursable contracts and 32 percent from fixed-price, limited risk contracts 1. U.S. federal government agencies accounted for 8 percent of revenue from continuing operations 1. This contract mix and reliance on a few public clients are factors that could influence margins and revenue stability.

Segments

PA Consulting

PA Consulting is a global innovation and transformation consultancy with about 4,000 people working across seven sectors, including defense and security, energy and utilities, financial services and health 1. Jacobs has held a majority stake of 65 percent since 2021, and a transaction for the remaining stake is referenced in the latest quarterly report 12. Combining it with engineering delivery could support digital transformation work for public and private clients.

Market context

The engineering and consulting services market is competitive, with regional, national and multinational firms competing on price, schedule and technical depth 1. Demand is shaped by government budgets, private investment and geopolitical tensions, and many contracts are awarded through competitive procurement 12. Demand linked to data centers and energy infrastructure grew in 2026, according to the results release 3.

Trends

  • Investment in AI-related infrastructuretailwind

    Rising spending on data centers and semiconductor facilities supported I&AF revenue in fiscal Q3 2026 3. If this investment cycle slows, the pace of order growth could decline.

  • Inflation and construction costsheadwind

    Persistent inflation and high interest rates could reduce demand and squeeze margins on fixed-price contracts, which form part of the portfolio 1. The company flags this risk in several places in its annual report 12.

  • Public and federal spendingmixed

    Lower federal funding and tighter government budgets could delay contract awards 12. However, infrastructure programs and long-term projects can support public-sector revenue.

  • Private and utility demandtailwind

    Private clients and utilities have accelerated capital spending, according to management, which contributed to organic growth in I&AF 3. Continuation of this trend depends on economic conditions and access to financing.

Competitive position

Jacobs competes with a large number of engineering, construction and consulting firms across regions and sectors, and competitive pressure can lower contract prices and margins 1. Some competitors may accept riskier terms to win work, which could affect profitability 1.

The company differentiates on digital capabilities, data and AI, and an integrated portfolio from strategy through execution 12. If competitors replicate these advantages, the competitive position could be harder to sustain.

  • AmentumAMTM

    Independent company formed from the separation of the CMS and C&I businesses from Jacobs in September 2024, listed on the New York Stock Exchange 1.

  • Regional and multinational engineering and construction firms

    The sources refer to a large number of regional, national and multinational competitors without naming them individually 1.

  • Innovation and transformation consultancies

    Transformation consulting is a competitive segment in which PA Consulting operates, serving clients in defense, energy and the public sector 1.

  • Digital and data service providers for infrastructure

    Competition in data and digital analytics is noted in the context of the company's technology capabilities 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Sept 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-26 · SEC / Jacobs Solutions Inc. · 20 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-26 · SEC / Jacobs Solutions Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Jacobs Solutions Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.