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olivLaw · US equity research

KBR, Inc. KBR

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600 · Vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

39.64USD−0.30% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

KBR delivers engineering, technology and logistics support to the U.S. government, allies and commercial clients, combining defense work with proprietary process technologies for energy and specialty chemicals. The company is preparing to spin off its Mission Technology Solutions business, with a backlog of 16,864 million USD at the end of fiscal 2025 and 57% of revenues coming from the U.S. government.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, KBR, Inc. (KBR) stock was 39.64 USD (−0.30% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.0 bn USD, P/E 11.4 on diluted EPS of 3.49 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.66%, beta 0.75, 52-week range 30.06–44.98 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2027): revenue of 2.0 bn USD (+5.0% YoY), net income of 133.0 m USD (+15.7% YoY), diluted EPS 1.06 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.0 bn USD
shares as of 21 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.4
Diluted EPS TTM 3.49 · TTM to 02 Oct 2026
E/P (TTM)
8.81%
TTM to 02 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
1.66%
DPS 12m 0.66
Beta (2y)
0.75
Volatility (1y) 34%
52-week range
30.0644.98

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
63.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
33.99 – 41.54
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.75 · band width 20.0%
SMA 50 / 200
36.74 / 37.07
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.03 / 0.86
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+14.8%−1.1%+15.9 pp—
3 months+9.1%−0.5%+9.6 pp—
6 months+12.9%+4.4%+8.5 pp—
Year to date−1.4%+12.3%−13.7 pp—
1 year−6.5%+13.5%−20.1 pp−9.5%
3 years−21.9%+76.4%−98.3 pp+63.3%
5 years−8.6%+63.7%−72.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.2%
15 Jan 2026 → 15 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−58.3%
11 Nov 2024 → 15 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−1.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2027 · 02 Oct 2026

Revenue
2.0 bn USD
+5.0% YoY
Net income
133.0 m USD
+15.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.06
+17.8% YoY
net / operating
6.6% / 9.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27Q3 '27
Revenue2.1 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.8 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Gross profit291.0 m300.0 m290.0 m270.0 m290.0 m265.0 m293.0 m301.0 m
SG&A153.0 m140.0 m146.0 m145.0 m147.0 m133.0 m143.0 m154.0 m
Operating income140.0 m202.0 m194.0 m191.0 m191.0 m180.0 m172.0 m186.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation44.0 m41.0 m45.0 m43.0 m40.0 m41.0 m42.0 m43.0 m
Interest expense44.0 m41.0 m41.0 m39.0 m37.0 m37.0 m35.0 m36.0 m
Pre-tax income99.0 m164.0 m145.0 m152.0 m153.0 m143.0 m135.0 m150.0 m
Income tax22.0 m43.0 m39.0 m34.0 m40.0 m40.0 m38.0 m18.0 m
Net income76.0 m116.0 m73.0 m115.0 m111.0 m102.0 m96.0 m133.0 m
Diluted EPS0.57 ≈0.880.560.900.88 ≈0.800.751.06
Operating cash flow40.0 m98.0 m——————
Capex16.0 m2.0 m14.0 m ≈8.0 m ≈18.0 m12.0 m16.0 m ≈8.0 m ≈
Dividends paid20.0 m20.0 m21.0 m ≈22.0 m ≈21.0 m21.0 m21.0 m ≈21.0 m ≈
Share repurchases51.0 m156.0 m48.0 m ≈100.0 m ≈25.0 m4.0 m25.0 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 28 percentile of its own 25-quarter history (min 4.3, median 17.3, max 325.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320252026
Revenue4.9 bn5.6 bn5.8 bn7.3 bn6.6 bn7.0 bn7.7 bn7.8 bn
Revenue YoY+17.8%+14.8%+2.3%+27.3%−10.6%+6.0%unavailable+1.0%
Net income281.0 m202.0 m-63.0 m27.0 m190.0 m-265.0 m375.0 m415.0 m
Net income YoY−35.0%−28.1%−131.2%unavailable+603.7%−239.5%unavailable+10.7%
Diluted EPS1.991.41-0.440.191.26-1.962.793.21
Diluted EPS YoY−34.8%−29.1%−131.2%unavailable+563.2%−255.6%unavailable+15.1%
net %5.7%3.6%-1.1%0.4%2.9%-3.8%4.9%5.3%
Free cash flow148.0 m236.0 m347.0 m248.0 m325.0 m269.0 m410.0 munavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 02 Jan 2026

Cash
500.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.6 bn USD
Net debt
2.1 bn USD
Equity
1.5 bn USD
Total assets
6.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.72x
Current ratio
1.22x
ROE
27.9%
ROA
6.3%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
7.0 bn
2025
7.7 bn
2026
7.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.0 bn
2025
6.6 bn
2026
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
977.0 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
487.0 m
2025
543.0 m
2026
578.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
449.0 m
2025
659.0 m
2026
778.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
141.0 m
2025
156.0 m
2026
169.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
590.0 m ≈
2025
815.0 m ≈
2026
947.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
115.0 m
2025
144.0 m
2026
158.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-165.0 m
2025
508.0 m
2026
614.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
95.0 m
2025
129.0 m
2026
156.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-265.0 m
2025
375.0 m
2026
415.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.96
2025
2.79
2026
3.21

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
135.0 m
2025
134.0 m
2026
129.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.54
2025
0.60
2026
0.66

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
304.0 m
2025
342.0 m
2026
500.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2021verified

Goodwill
2023
2.1 bn
2025
2.6 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
618.0 m
2025
763.0 m
2026
727.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
5.6 bn
2025
6.7 bn
2026
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
593.0 m
2025
772.0 m
2026
712.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
31.0 m
2025
36.0 m
2026
49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.8 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.2 bn
2025
5.2 bn
2026
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
331.0 m
2025
462.0 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2025verified

Capex
2023
62.0 m
2025
52.0 m
2026
42.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
269.0 m ≈
2025
410.0 m ≈
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-70.0 m
2025
-776.0 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-359.0 m
2025
374.0 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
72.0 m
2025
79.0 m
2026
84.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
138.0 m
2025
218.0 m
2026
329.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
72.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
76.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
EBITDA margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
EBIT margin
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
27.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROA
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROIC
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROCE
15.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
18.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Debt / equity
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Interest coverage
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Capital expenditure
54.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Enterprise value
7.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Earnings yield
8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/B
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBIT
9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/Sales
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.40
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 62 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

39.64 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/B
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROE
27.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 02 Oct 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 02 Oct 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 21 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2895derived 206

Score by group

  • Balance sheet52
  • Valuation84
  • Quality72
  • Growth32
  • Returns39

Estimated value range

Low
82.17
USD per share
Mid
108.43
USD per share
High
126.16
USD per share
Price: 39.64 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 173.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 63.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 48.48 – 180.69 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA48.48 – 71.64 (Mid 60.00)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.8x · quartiles 9.2x – 12.4x
    GVA, ORN, ROAD, STRL
  • Peers: P/E115.87 – 180.69 (Mid 156.85)
    4 companies used · median multiple 44.9x · quartiles 33.2x – 51.8x
    J, ORN, ROAD, STRL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate8.67 – 11.66 (Mid 9.95)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 62/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality15.1%67 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality5.7%80 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.8%32 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.3x67 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.0x54 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x12 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.4x85 (on a fixed band)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation7.9x83 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.8%39 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial32/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality72/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial39/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation84/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

KBR, Inc. (KBR). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-10-02.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.8 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 1.0%; net margin 5.7%; ROE 27.4%; net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.

The estimated value range is 82.17–126.16 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 108.43 USD, the price of 39.64 USD leaves a potential of 173.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 63.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 62/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 5.7%
  • P/E (TTM): 11.4x
  • EV/EBITDA: 7.9x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (SIC 1600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.4x
vertical median 44.9x
below median (−74.7%)
EV/EBITDA
7.9x
vertical median 12.9x
below median (−38.7%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+33.6%)
P/B
2.8x
vertical median 4.1x
below median (−30.1%)
ROE
27.4%
vertical median 8.5%
above median (+223.1%)
Net margin
5.7%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+276.5%)
EBIT margin
9.3%
vertical median 6.0%
above median (+55.1%)
Revenue YoY
1.0%
vertical median 6.1%
below median (−83.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.3x
vertical median 3.3x
below median (−29.6%)
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median 0.8%
above median (+96.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JJacobs Solutions Inc.18.7 bn54.39.6%2.4%+4.6%+19% / +52%
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.8.7 bn15.943.3%12.9%+17.7%−18% / +347%
FLRFluor Corporation6.4 bn—-46.2%-12.8%−5.0%+11% / +25%
GVAGranite Construction Inc5.8 bn—-25.2%-5.0%+10.4%+23% / +188%
KBRKBR, Inc.5.0 bn11.427.4%5.7%+1.0%−7% / −22%
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.1.9 bn38.915.0%4.1%+54.2%−9% / +137%
ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.318.8 m50.93.5%0.6%+7.0%−22% / +63%
SHIMShimmick Corporation98.8 m——-3.8%+2.6%−9% / −61%
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.40.8 m——-67.0%−21.2%−76% / −86%
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group Inc——7.4%2.7%+44.7%unavailable / unavailable
FERFerrovial N.V.——14.8%9.2%+5.2%−10% / +79%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KBR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
23.37
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
41.32
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
62.26
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
22.37
Total return -40% · Per year -16%
44.55
Total return 18% · Per year 6%
73.74
Total return 93% · Per year 24%
5 years
21.42
Total return -40% · Per year -10%
48.02
Total return 31% · Per year 5%
87.34
Total return 133% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.14
  • Net margin± 7.80
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.44
  • Annual dilution± 0.66

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

KBR delivers engineering, technology and logistics support to the U.S. government, allies and commercial clients, combining defense work with proprietary process technologies for energy and specialty chemicals. The company is preparing to spin off its Mission Technology Solutions business, with a backlog of 16,864 million USD at the end of fiscal 2025 and 57% of revenues coming from the U.S. government.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of proprietary technologies and recognized technical expertise, backed by long relationships with government clients 1.
  • A large and stable backlog of multi-year contracts, which provides visibility on revenues 1.
  • A low capital intensity business model that generates favorable operating cash flows 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on the U.S. government, which accounts for a large share of revenues and exposes the company to budget cuts 1.
  • Delays in contract awards and government payments can weigh on cash flow 3.
  • Costs linked to the planned separation of Mission Technology Solutions reduced operating results in the latest quarter 3.

Opportunities

  • Higher defense budgets in the U.S., the U.K. and Australia could open new opportunities in intelligence and space programs 2.
  • Demand for energy security and decarbonization could support the expansion of the STS segment 1.
  • Separating the two businesses could allow each to pursue its own growth strategy 3.

Threats

  • Reforms of government procurement and executive orders may change or cancel existing contracts 2.
  • Contract protests and legal proceedings can delay important projects, including those now under protest 3.
  • Tariffs and geopolitical conflicts could raise costs on fixed-price contracts 1.

Risks

  • Concentration on government clientshigh

    Revenues depend heavily on U.S. government contracts; an interruption or reduction in funding could affect financial results 1.

  • Delayed or cancelled contractshigh

    Contract awards and funding may be postponed or cancelled, while costs for staff kept ready in advance can remain fixed 1.

  • Separation of the businessesmedium

    The separation process involves one-time costs and execution risks that could affect short-term operating results 3.

  • Tariffs and international conflictsmedium

    Tariffs, sanctions and instability in the Middle East and Eastern Europe could raise costs and complicate international operations 1.

  • Protection of intellectual propertylow

    If proprietary technologies cannot be protected, the company's competitive advantage could weaken 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A high backlog and growing activity in the sustainable technology segment could support revenues over the medium term 3.
  • Higher proposed defense budgets and NATO commitments could open additional opportunities in the U.K. and Australia 2.
  • Separating the businesses could let each company focus its resources and improve efficiency 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on government budgets and delays in contract awards could limit revenue growth in defense 1.
  • Lower EUCOM contingency activity and separation costs have already weighed on operating results in 2026 3.
  • Contract protests and tariffs could prolong projects and raise costs, affecting short-term margins 2.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Mission Technology Solutions separation and its effect on the financial structuresecond half of 2026
  • Resolution of protests against contracts awarded but not yet in backlogQ3 2026
  • Development of backlog and book-to-bill in the STS segmentQ3 2026
  • Effect of government procurement reform on the award of new contractsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

KBR, Inc., a Delaware corporation, delivers science, technology, engineering and logistics support solutions to governments, allies and companies around the world 1. Its activity rests on long-term programs with technical, scientific or mission-specific differentiation, and on an operating model oriented toward agile, digitally enabled delivery 1. Its areas span defense, space, intelligence, energy and industrial technologies, supported by a portfolio of over 85 proprietary process technologies 1.

In fiscal 2025, revenues rose slightly to 7,786 million USD from 7,710 million USD a year earlier, helped by the LinQuest acquisition and engineering services in STS 1. In September 2025 the company announced its intention to spin off Mission Technology Solutions into a separately listed company, targeted for completion in the second half of fiscal 2026 1. The first half of 2026 showed revenues of 3.9 billion USD, down 2%, due to lower EUCOM contingency activity, while total backlog and options reached 23.0 billion USD 3.

The reporting structure includes two core segments, Mission Technology Solutions and Sustainable Technology Solutions, plus a non-core Corporate segment for unallocated costs 1. The company also operates through significant joint ventures accounted for under the equity method, such as Aspire Defence and the LNG projects in Australia and Louisiana 1.

Segments

Mission Technology Solutions

The segment provides full life-cycle support for defense, intelligence, space and aviation programs, mainly for the U.S., the U.K. and Australia 1. Segment revenues were 5,581 million USD in fiscal 2025 with operating income of 463 million USD, while in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 revenues fell 2% to 1.3 billion USD due to lower EUCOM activity 3.

Sustainable Technology Solutions

The segment relies on more than 85 proprietary sustainability-focused technologies for ammonia, petrochemicals, clean refining and circular economy, complemented by advisory and engineering services for energy transition 1. Revenues were 2,205 million USD in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 they grew 10% to 676 million USD, with a record backlog of 5.5 billion USD 3.

Market context

U.S. defense demand depends on annual budget appropriations; for fiscal 2026 Congress provided 839 billion USD in discretionary defense spending and the NDAA supports up to about 901 billion USD 2. The proposed fiscal 2027 budget envisages 1.5 trillion USD for defense, but it remains subject to political debate 2. In energy, structural demand is supported by energy security and decarbonization needs, and companies are evaluating options such as hydrogen and green ammonia 1.

Work for the U.K. and Australian governments is supported by NATO commitments to invest 5% of GDP in defense by 2035, and Australia plans to reach 3.00% of GDP by 2033 2. However, budget delays and U.S. acquisition reforms could postpone contract awards 1.

Trends

  • Rising defense budgetstailwind

    Appropriations and NATO commitments suggest sustained demand for defense and intelligence programs, which could support the company's backlog 2.

  • U.S. acquisition reformheadwind

    The executive order on reviewing private-sector contracts and the acquisition transformation strategy could delay contract awards or change program funding 2.

  • Energy security and decarbonization demandmixed

    Concern about energy security and the shift to cleaner energy supports demand for the STS segment's proprietary technologies, although client investment could be delayed by tariffs and inflation 1.

  • Geopolitical conflicts and tariffsheadwind

    Conflicts involving Russia, Ukraine and the Middle East, together with tariffs, could raise costs on fixed-price contracts, and their full effects cannot be predicted 1.

Competitive position

The reviewed sources do not explicitly name the company's competitors, so the list below reflects only categories of firms implied by its engineering and defense activity. The market for government and energy services is fragmented, and KBR's advantages rest on technical expertise, proprietary technologies and long-standing client relationships 1.

The company differentiates itself as a capability integrator independent of original equipment manufacturers, a position that the Department of War's acquisition strategy also emphasizes 2. Without an official competitor list, however, the intensity of competition is hard to assess precisely 1.

  • Defense systems integrators

    Firms competing for systems engineering and integration contracts, not named in the reviewed sources.

  • Energy engineering companies

    Providers of engineering and process licensing for the energy and chemical industries, not named in the sources.

  • Government services providers

    Contractors offering logistics and technical support to governments, not named in the documents reviewed.

  • Joint-venture partners

    Partners such as Elbit Systems in the Affinity venture can also be competitors on certain projects, depending on contract structure 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-02 · SEC / KBR, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / KBR, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / KBR, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.