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olivLaw · US equity research

Hyliion Holdings Corp. HYLN

Truck & Bus Bodies · SIC 3713 · Vertical: Transportation equipment (SIC 371x)

2.99USD+13.69% · 1 dayClose 06 Nov 2026

Hyliion Holdings Corp. develops the modular KARNO Power Module, powered by a heat-driven linear generator that can run on many fuel types. The company is still in development and early deliveries, and its revenue comes almost entirely from research contracts with the U.S. government, so the progress of military contracts and first commercial deliveries matters in the coming period. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to about 15 million USD, from 3.5 million USD in fiscal 2025.

At the close of 06 Nov 2026, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (HYLN) stock was 2.99 USD (+13.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 534.0 m USD, beta 2.14, 52-week range 1.58–8.10 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 4.9 m USD (+226.3% YoY), net income of -13.9 m USD, diluted EPS -0.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
534.0 m USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.30 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-10.19%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.14
Volatility (1y) 100%
52-week range
1.588.10

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.71 – 3.69
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.29 · band width 30.8%
SMA 50 / 200
3.66 / 3.46
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.21 / -0.20
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−22.3%−5.9%−16.4 pp—
3 months−22.7%−4.6%−18.1 pp—
6 months+21.5%+0.2%+21.3 pp—
Year to date+62.5%+7.4%+55.1 pp—
1 year+43.8%+8.2%+35.5 pp−31.2%
3 years+372.4%+68.4%+303.9 pp−49.2%
5 years−65.2%+56.5%−121.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−67.5%
18 Jun 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.0%
08 Nov 2021 → 09 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−19.0%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.9 m USD
+226.3% YoY
Net income
-13.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.08
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-281.7% / -309.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue01.5 m489.0 k1.5 m759.0 k712.0 k2.8 m4.9 m
Cost of revenue01.4 m477.0 k1.4 m806.0 k638.0 k2.6 m4.6 m
Gross profit094.0 k12.0 k131.0 k-47.0 k74.0 k210.0 k366.0 k
Research & development9.5 m11.3 m12.2 m10.1 m10.1 m10.0 m7.7 m9.5 m
SG&A5.6 m5.9 m6.1 m6.0 m5.2 m5.5 m6.2 m6.4 m
Operating income-14.2 m-17.1 m-19.7 m-15.6 m-15.3 m-14.9 m-13.2 m-15.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation855.0 k ≈1.0 m1.1 m1.3 m ≈1.6 m ≈1.9 m2.1 m2.1 m ≈
Net income-11.2 m-14.4 m-17.3 m-13.4 m-13.3 m-13.2 m-11.7 m-13.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.06-0.08 ≈-0.10-0.08-0.08-0.07 ≈-0.07-0.08
Operating cash flow-9.9 m ≈-13.4 m-14.0 m-10.0 m ≈-10.7 m ≈-11.9 m-12.7 m-7.1 m ≈
Capex2.5 m ≈6.0 m7.3 m4.2 m ≈10.4 m ≈1.7 m1.9 m212.0 k ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈0——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue00200.0 k2.1 m672.0 k1.5 m3.5 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+953.0%−68.1%+124.6%+130.3%
Net income-14.1 m324.1 m-96.0 m-153.4 m-123.5 m-52.0 m-57.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−129.6%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.16-0.35-0.56-0.87-0.68-0.30-0.33
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %unavailableunavailable-48,024.0%-7,281.9%-18,379.5%-3,449.2%-1,645.7%
Free cash flow-11.4 m-23.3 m-82.9 m-119.8 m-124.4 m-73.3 m-70.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
22.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
192.0 m USD
Total assets
203.6 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
10.00x
ROE
-26.2%
ROA
-24.5%
FCF margin
-2,022.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
672.0 k
2024
1.5 m
2025
3.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.7 m
2024
1.4 m
2025
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
-1.0 m
2024
94.0 k
2025
170.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
82.2 m
2024
37.0 m
2025
42.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
42.6 m
2024
24.4 m
2025
22.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-137.4 m
2024
-64.3 m
2025
-65.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
3.5 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-133.9 m ≈
2024
-61.2 m ≈
2025
-59.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Income tax
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-123.5 m
2024
-52.0 m
2025
-57.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.68
2024
-0.30
2025
-0.33

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
181.4 m
2024
174.9 m
2025
175.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
12.9 m
2024
9.2 m
2025
22.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
40.0 k
2024
1.9 m
2025
489.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
0
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 12 May 2026verified

Current assets
2023
181.7 m
2024
131.0 m
2025
98.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
10.0 m
2024
25.9 m
2025
40.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2024verified

Total assets
2023
328.4 m
2024
263.0 m
2025
203.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
4.2 m
2024
5.2 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2021verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 17 May 2021verified

Current liabilities
2023
15.1 m
2024
14.3 m
2025
9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
22.1 m
2024
18.7 m
2025
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
306.3 m †
2024
244.4 m †
2025
192.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-117.0 m
2024
-56.7 m
2025
-46.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
7.4 m
2024
16.5 m
2025
23.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-124.4 m ≈
2024
-73.3 m ≈
2025
-70.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
18.3 m
2024
59.5 m
2025
60.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-15.0 k
2024
-14.3 m
2025
-670.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
33.0 k
2024
14.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
130.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-551.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-635.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-564.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-612.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-27.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-25.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-34.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
7.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
7.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-42.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
14.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-56.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
76 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
88 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
37 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
534.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
57.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
29.46
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.99 USD

06 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 534.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
534.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-27.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-564.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
130.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 969derived 81

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Transportation equipment (SIC 371x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-564.3%8 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth18.2%100 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet7.6x100 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-10.6%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial8/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

HYLIION HOLDINGS CORP. (HYLN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 130.3%; net margin -564.3%; ROE -27.1%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 18.2%
  • Current ratio: 7.6x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -564.3%
  • FCF yield: -10.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Transportation equipment (SIC 371x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 19.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.9x
P/S
57.7x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+9,870.3%)
P/B
3.1x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+174.8%)
ROE
-27.1%
vertical median -7.5%
below median
Net margin
-564.3%
vertical median -4.2%
below median
EBIT margin
-635.2%
vertical median -10.4%
below median
Revenue YoY
130.3%
vertical median -0.2%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.6x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TSLATesla, Inc.1,358.5 bn378.93.8%3.1%−2.9%−20% / +43%
GMGeneral Motors Company75.4 bn19.96.1%2.1%−1.3%+22% / +183%
PCARPACCAR Inc55.0 bn19.913.7%9.5%−15.5%−1% / +14%
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.19.4 bn—-55.0%-45.9%+8.4%−21% / −21%
BWABorgwarner Inc.9.8 bn20.88.2%3.4%+1.6%+13% / +45%
NIONIO Inc.8.4 bn—-302.6%-17.1%+38.9%−38% / −53%
OSKOshkosh Corporation8.2 bn16.411.0%4.6%−2.9%+5% / +38%
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.7.6 bn——-175.5%+54.7%+0% / −62%
FSSFederal Signal Corporation6.9 bn23.520.5%11.7%+17.1%−0% / +65%
LEALear Corp5.3 bn9.611.6%2.5%−0.2%+3% / −18%
MODModine Manufacturing Co5.1 bn40.511.4%3.6%+23.1%−40% / +96%
GNTXGentex Corporation4.2 bn10.516.4%15.5%+9.6%−13% / −35%
GTXGarrett Motion Inc.3.7 bn10.3—10.0%+3.1%+22% / +172%
VCVisteon Corp1.9 bn13.010.8%4.1%−2.5%−27% / −36%
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.1.3 bn—-571.4%-249.2%+67.6%−76% / −92%
ADNTAdient plc1.3 bn27.02.7%0.3%−1.0%−16% / −49%
DCHDauch Corporation1.1 bn—-15.2%-2.0%−4.7%−31% / −35%
WGOWinnebago Industries, Inc.891.4 m25.92.8%1.3%−3.4%−13% / −52%
HYLNHyliion Holdings Corp.534.0 m—-27.1%-564.3%+130.3%+44% / +372%
WNCWabash National Corporation444.5 m—-40.2%-9.1%−20.8%+29% / −50%
CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.318.6 m——-2.5%+0.4%−43% / +1%
HLLYHolley Inc.255.5 m13.84.2%3.1%+1.9%−51% / −49%
MPAAMotorcar Parts Of America, Inc.199.2 m—-1.6%-0.5%+4.3%−20% / +9%
SRIStoneridge, Inc.142.5 m—-70.8%-14.6%−5.2%−13% / −69%
CVGICommercial Vehicle Group, Inc.127.9 m—-7.5%-1.4%−10.3%+78% / −52%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HYLN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Hyliion Holdings Corp. develops the modular KARNO Power Module, powered by a heat-driven linear generator that can run on many fuel types. The company is still in development and early deliveries, and its revenue comes almost entirely from research contracts with the U.S. government, so the progress of military contracts and first commercial deliveries matters in the coming period. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to about 15 million USD, from 3.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 13.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The technology has few moving parts, high fuel flexibility and low emissions, which supports its positioning against conventional generators 1.
    • The company has a solid financial position relative to its spending, with investments that allow it to fund development 13.
    • Navy contracts provide technical validation and a revenue channel in the defense sector 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has recurring net losses and revenue remains very small compared with development spending 13.
    • Dependence on a single government customer makes revenue vulnerable to budget or program changes 1.
    • Large-scale production has not been demonstrated, and the company relies on single suppliers for critical components 1.

    Opportunities

    • Demand from data centers could become one of the largest markets if multi-megawatt systems are validated 3.
    • Additional military contracts could raise revenue and the technology's standing in defense 3.
    • If production lowers cost per megawatt, the company could develop variants for waste heat, vehicles or marine use 1.

    Threats

    • Delays in design, production or launch could postpone revenue and weaken customer confidence 1.
    • More mature competing technologies such as gas turbines or fuel cells could limit adoption 1.
    • If equipment financing is not completed, the company could be forced to delay printer investments 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on ONR contractshigh

      Revenue comes almost entirely from Office of Naval Research contracts, and losing or not renewing them would directly affect turnover 1.

    • Persistent losseshigh

      The company expects continued operating and net losses until positive gross margins become possible, which could take longer than estimated 1.

    • Production scale-upmedium

      Production at scale has not been demonstrated, and the needed printers could arrive late or prove insufficient 1.

    • Delayed commercializationmedium

      Commercialization of the 200 kW module was pushed to 2027, which could delay commercial revenue and data center adoption 3.

    • Single-source suppliersmedium

      Key components come from single suppliers, and delivery or performance problems there could halt production 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the first early adopter units perform well in the field, the company could quickly convert data center interest into larger orders 3.
    • Navy and military contracts could provide stable revenue and validate the technology at larger scale 3.
    • If the capital cost per megawatt is confirmed, production scale-up could be cheaper than previously estimated 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company has had no significant commercial sales, and the transition to private customers could take longer than expected 13.
    • Revenue depends on government funding, and a tighter budget could sharply reduce activity 1.
    • Continued losses and the need for additional funding could dilute shareholders or limit financial flexibility 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the first early adopter units to customer sitesQ3 2026
    • New military contract awards and their total value2026
    • Completion of the 10-15 million USD equipment financing transaction2026
    • First commercial orders from data centers and the commercialization of the 200 kW module2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Hyliion, headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas, designs power generators for stationary and mobile applications and provides R&D services 1. Its main product, the KARNO Power Module, uses the KARNO Core, a heat-powered linear generator, and is initially targeted at data centers, commercial, industrial and defense customers 1. The company wound down its powertrain operations and refocused on commercializing this module as a standalone product 1.

    The company is loss-making and consumes cash for development, production and investment in additive printers 1. At June 30, 2026 it held 132.4 million USD in cash and investments, and its year-end 2026 outlook was raised to 115-120 million USD 3. The 41.7 million USD Navy award and higher revenue guidance point to an early shift from research toward sales 3.

    Hyliion remains at an early stage: first early adopter units were planned for 2026, while commercialization of the 200 kW module was pushed to 2027 as military contracts take priority 3. Interest from data center operators is growing, and the company reports non-binding letters of intent covering approximately 750 KARNO Cores 3.

    Segments

    Government research and services

    Current revenue comes from R&D contracts with the Office of Naval Research, with a ceiling of up to 16 million USD on the 2024 contract and a new 41.7 million USD award for multi-megawatt modules 13. This dependence on one government customer makes revenue sensitive to funding timing 1.

    KARNO modules for commercial and data center customers

    The 200 kW module, with an initially expected electrical efficiency of approximately 45%, is aimed at data centers and commercial and industrial customers, with a native DC architecture 1. The company is working on multi-megawatt systems for data centers, but commercialization of the 200 kW module has been moved to 2027 3.

    Additive manufacturing and scale-up

    Hyliion has invested in additive printers and estimates that about 1.5 million USD of capital can support one megawatt of annual production capacity 3. The company said it could raise printer speed by up to three times, though these estimates remain subject to testing 3.

    Market context

    The distributed power generation market is driven by rising electricity demand, aging grid infrastructure and the need for power close to consumption, and Hyliion positions itself in this emerging segment 1. The company sees data centers and defense as channels that could reach demand from tens to hundreds of megawatts, though these views depend on real customer adoption 13.

    The market depends on customers accepting distributed generation, a segment still unproven at scale, and on fuel costs and regulation in the sector 1. If these conditions change, demand for Hyliion generators could grow more slowly than currently estimated 1.

    Trends

    • Data center expansiontailwind

      Rapid growth in cloud computing and artificial intelligence could make data centers one of the most important customers for onsite generation, and Hyliion has reported accelerating interest from them 13.

    • Military demand for onsite energytailwind

      Defense organizations are seeking mobile, efficient power sources that run on diverse fuels, and Navy contracts give the company a revenue base and a path to larger products 13.

    • Dependence on government fundingheadwind

      Revenue depends entirely on government contracts, so budget cuts or delayed awards could directly affect results 1.

    • Cost and availability of additive printersmixed

      Scaling production depends on buying printers and on components from few suppliers, which could slow expansion or raise costs 13.

    Competitive position

    Hyliion compares KARNO with conventional generators using internal combustion engines or gas turbines, with fuel cells, and with other linear generators 1. The company argues its edge lies in efficiency, low emissions, low maintenance and fuel flexibility 1.

    Customers might prefer conventional solutions or the grid, especially if Hyliion's technology remains unproven at large scale 1. Its competitive position depends on validating the early units in the field 3.

    • Internal combustion engine generator makers

      Diesel and natural gas generators are the main alternative on the market, with the advantage of maturity and service networks 1.

    • Gas turbine power producers

      Gas turbines are cited as a benchmark for power plants, with good efficiency at large scale 1.

    • Fuel cell developers

      Fuel cells are described as a newer alternative technology whose efficiency falls at high output 1.

    • Other linear generator developers

      The company names other linear generator makers as technology rivals in the same niche 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 08 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hyliion Holdings Corp. · 25 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Hyliion Holdings Corp. · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hyliion Holdings Corp. · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.