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olivLaw · US equity research

Adient plc ADNT

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories · SIC 3714 · Vertical: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714)

17.19USD+1.60% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Adient plc is one of the largest global suppliers of automotive seating, with operations in 29 countries and customers among nearly all major automakers. The company is going through a difficult period, marked by pressure from Chinese competitors, cost volatility and impairment of assets in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Adient plc (ADNT) stock was 17.19 USD (+1.60% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.3 bn USD, P/E 28.5 on diluted EPS of 0.60 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.37, 52-week range 16.61–27.09 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.9 bn USD (+5.0% YoY), net income of 25.0 m USD (−30.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.32 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.3 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.5
Diluted EPS TTM 0.60 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.51%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.37
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
16.6127.09

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
47.7
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
16.47 – 18.18
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.42 · band width 9.8%
SMA 50 / 200
17.85 / 20.49
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.23 / -0.26
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−0.3%−1.1%+0.8 pp—
3 months−16.2%−0.5%−15.8 pp—
6 months−23.0%+4.4%−27.4 pp—
Year to date−10.3%+12.3%−22.6 pp—
1 year−28.3%+13.5%−41.9 pp−10.8%
3 years−52.1%+76.4%−128.5 pp+9.8%
5 years−62.7%+63.7%−126.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−38.7%
13 Feb 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−79.5%
14 Jan 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−17.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
3.9 bn USD
+5.0% YoY
Net income
25.0 m USD
−30.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.32
−25.6% YoY
net / operating
0.6% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.6 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.7 bn3.7 bn3.6 bn3.9 bn3.9 bn
Cost of revenue3.3 bn3.3 bn3.4 bn3.5 bn3.4 bn3.4 bn3.6 bn3.7 bn
Gross profit245.0 m216.0 m261.0 m237.0 m247.0 m217.0 m257.0 m235.0 m
SG&A124.0 m125.0 m144.0 m129.0 m124.0 m130.0 m138.0 m136.0 m
Interest expense37.0 m52.0 m32.0 m ≈53.0 m ≈46.0 m53.0 m42.0 m ≈52.0 m ≈
Pre-tax income64.0 m47.0 m-265.0 m66.0 m64.0 m41.0 m76.0 m65.0 m
Income tax-36.0 m22.0 m48.0 m7.0 m26.0 m42.0 m32.0 m23.0 m
Net income79.0 m0-335.0 m36.0 m18.0 m-22.0 m27.0 m25.0 m
Diluted EPS0.89 ≈0.00-3.990.430.22 ≈-0.280.340.32
Operating cash flow263.0 m109.0 m-45.0 m ≈172.0 m ≈213.0 m80.0 m81.0 m ≈205.0 m ≈
Capex72.0 m64.0 m45.0 m57.0 m ≈79.0 m65.0 m73.0 m67.0 m ≈
Share repurchases50.0 m25.0 m0 ≈50.0 m ≈50.0 m25.0 m0 ≈30.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 53 percentile of its own 19-quarter history (min 3.6, median 28.3, max 3,790.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue17.4 bn16.5 bn12.7 bn13.7 bn14.1 bn15.4 bn14.7 bn14.5 bn
Revenue YoY+7.6%−5.2%−23.3%+8.0%+3.2%+9.0%−4.6%−1.0%
Net income-1.7 bn-491.0 m-547.0 m1.1 bn-120.0 m205.0 m18.0 m-281.0 m
Net income YoY−292.1%unavailableunavailableunavailable−110.8%unavailable−91.2%−1,661.1%
Diluted EPS-18.06-5.25-5.8311.58-1.272.150.20-3.39
Diluted EPS YoY−293.4%unavailableunavailableunavailable−111.0%unavailable−90.7%−1,795.0%
net %-9.7%-3.0%-4.3%8.1%-0.8%1.3%0.1%-1.9%
Free cash flow143.0 m-160.0 m-80.0 m047.0 m415.0 m277.0 m204.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
958.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.0 m USD
Net debt
-956.0 m USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
9.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
1.12x
ROE
-12.5%
ROA
-3.1%
FCF margin
1.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
15.4 bn
2024
14.7 bn
2025
14.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
14.4 bn
2024
13.8 bn
2025
13.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
1.0 bn
2024
928.0 m
2025
961.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Research & development
2023
362.0 m
2024
372.0 m
2025
387.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
554.0 m
2024
507.0 m
2025
522.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Interest expense
2023
132.0 m
2024
187.0 m
2025
183.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
295.0 m
2024
133.0 m
2025
-88.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
0
2024
32.0 m
2025
103.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
205.0 m
2024
18.0 m
2025
-281.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.15
2024
0.20
2025
-3.39

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
95.4 m
2024
90.1 m
2025
83.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Nov 2021derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
945.0 m
2025
958.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
841.0 m
2024
758.0 m
2025
695.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
408.0 m
2024
371.0 m
2025
319.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
9.4 bn
2024
9.4 bn
2025
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.0 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
93.7 m
2024
84.9 m
2025
79.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
667.0 m
2024
543.0 m
2025
449.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
252.0 m
2024
266.0 m
2025
245.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
415.0 m ≈
2024
277.0 m ≈
2025
204.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-229.0 m
2024
-253.0 m
2025
-186.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-271.0 m
2024
-502.0 m
2025
-267.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Nov 2021verified

Share repurchases
2023
65.0 m
2024
275.0 m
2025
125.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-1,661.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-1,795.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-26.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-924.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
579.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
284.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
295.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
614.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
19 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
401.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
27.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
4.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
22.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

17.19 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1630derived 138

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
40.15
USD per share
Mid
47.40
USD per share
High
58.01
USD per share
Price: 17.19 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 175.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 63.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 6.78 – 105.13 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)73.53 – 105.13 (Mid 85.87)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 391.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E6.78 – 10.89 (Mid 8.92)
    18 companies used · median multiple 14.8x · quartiles 11.2x – 18.0x
    ALSN, ALV, APTV, ATMU, BWA, CAAS, DAN, DORM, GNTX, GTX, LCII, LEA, MGA, PATK, PHIN, SMP, STRT, VC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.3%38 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality614.6%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.0%8 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x25 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation28.5x14 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation22.3%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial25/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial8/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality69/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation52/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Adient plc (ADNT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 14.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.0%; net margin 0.3%; ROE 2.7%.

The estimated value range is 40.15–58.01 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 47.40 USD, the price of 17.19 USD leaves a potential of 175.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 63.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 614.6%
  • FCF yield: 22.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.9%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.0%
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 28.5x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 34 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
28.5x
vertical median 15.1x
above median (+88.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.5x
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−87.5%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 1.4x
below median (−45.6%)
ROE
2.7%
vertical median 8.5%
below median (−67.9%)
Net margin
0.3%
vertical median 2.7%
below median (−88.2%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 3.9%
Revenue YoY
-1.0%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−133.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.1x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MGAMagna International Inc.18.4 bn22.46.9%2.0%−1.9%+34% / +22%
BWABorgwarner Inc.10.1 bn21.58.2%3.4%+1.6%+17% / +50%
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn17.429.7%11.1%−6.7%+36% / +125%
ALVAutoliv, Inc.9.0 bn15.124.8%5.6%+4.1%+7% / +21%
APTVAptiv PLC8.8 bn11.98.5%4.6%+3.5%−44% / −48%
LEALear Corp5.7 bn10.411.6%2.5%−0.2%+11% / −11%
MODModine Manufacturing Co5.2 bn41.311.4%3.6%+23.1%−39% / +100%
GNTXGentex Corporation4.4 bn11.016.4%15.5%+9.6%−9% / −32%
DORMDorman Products, Inc.4.2 bn21.213.3%9.3%+6.0%+8% / +98%
ATMUAtmus Filtration Technologies Inc.3.9 bn18.355.8%11.3%+5.7%−5% / +119%
GTXGarrett Motion Inc.3.6 bn10.1—10.0%+3.1%+20% / +167%
PATKPatrick Industries Inc2.7 bn20.113.0%3.7%+6.3%−22% / +55%
PHINPhinia Inc.2.6 bn14.512.2%5.2%+2.4%+33% / +181%
DANDana Incorporated2.6 bn2.471.4%14.6%−3.0%+6% / +80%
LCIILci Industries2.5 bn12.115.0%5.2%+10.2%−8% / −4%
VCVisteon Corp2.0 bn13.810.8%4.1%−2.5%−22% / −32%
THRMGentherm Incorporated1.6 bn105.31.3%0.6%+2.9%−13% / −32%
ADNTAdient plc1.3 bn28.52.7%0.3%−1.0%−28% / −52%
DCHDauch Corporation1.1 bn—-15.2%-2.0%−4.7%−27% / −31%
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.1.0 bn15.19.9%3.8%+22.4%+22% / +28%
AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.661.5 m——-150.1%+99.4%−15% / +240%
CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.391.6 m——-2.0%+0.4%−29% / +24%
HLLYHolley Inc.351.6 m35.32.3%1.7%+1.9%−32% / −30%
KNDIKandi Technologies Group, Inc.287.8 m—-30.5%-107.4%−31.5%−63% / −88%
STRTStrattec Security Corp258.5 m15.67.2%2.9%+2.5%−14% / +201%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ADNT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
10.10
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
17.89
Total return 4% · Per year 4%
26.99
Total return 57% · Per year 57%
3 years
9.12
Total return -47% · Per year -19%
18.24
Total return 6% · Per year 2%
30.31
Total return 76% · Per year 21%
5 years
8.23
Total return -52% · Per year -14%
18.59
Total return 8% · Per year 2%
34.03
Total return 98% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.56
  • Net margin± 3.19
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.71
  • Annual dilution± 0.27

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Adient plc is one of the largest global suppliers of automotive seating, with operations in 29 countries and customers among nearly all major automakers. The company is going through a difficult period, marked by pressure from Chinese competitors, cost volatility and impairment of assets in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Global scale, a broad manufacturing footprint and deep vertical integration that allow delivery of complete seat systems in every major producing region 1.
  • Long relationships with nearly all major automakers and many regional manufacturers, including in China 1.
  • A standardized product portfolio and engineering platform that can reduce costs and speed launches of new models 1.

Weaknesses

  • Margins are thin, and results are sensitive to production volumes and raw material costs that cannot always be fully passed on to customers 1.
  • The company recorded a goodwill impairment and a net loss in fiscal 2025, showing vulnerability in certain segments, especially EMEA 1.
  • Debt and costly restructuring limit financial flexibility in periods when production falls 12.

Opportunities

  • Greater seating content per vehicle, linked to advanced driver assistance and autonomous vehicles, could open new revenue streams 1.
  • Winning contracts with local Chinese automakers and expanding into other Southeast Asian markets could support growth 1.
  • If the trend toward component sourcing continues, suppliers able to deliver individual parts could gain market share 1.

Threats

  • Price pressure from low-cost Chinese automakers could reduce margins in all regions 1.
  • Tariffs, geopolitical instability and volatile energy and raw material prices can disrupt supply chains 12.
  • Overcapacity in Europe and weak demand could prolong pressure on volumes and prices 1.

Risks

  • Pressure from Chinese automakershigh

    Competition from China and Europe could reduce prices and margins, and losing share at foreign customers could weigh further on results 1.

  • Asset impairmenthigh

    The EMEA goodwill impairment showed that asset values can fall if volume prospects weaken, and further impairments could follow 1.

  • Tariffs and international trademedium

    Trade policies of the US and other countries can change costs and sales flows, and refunds may be partial or delayed 2.

  • Supply chain disruptionsmedium

    Shortages of components or labor can halt plants with little warning, creating inefficiencies that are hard to offset 1.

  • Tax risklow

    Tax authorities have become more aggressive in audits, which could increase uncertainty over tax liabilities and the value of deferred tax assets 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If vehicle production recovers and margins improve in profitable segments, global scale and customer relationships could support a return to profitability 13.
  • Winning contracts with Chinese automakers and expanding advanced driver assistance content could bring new long-term revenue 1.
  • The automation and artificial intelligence program could lower labor costs and improve operating consistency 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If price pressure from China and overcapacity in Europe persist, margins could stay low and results could remain weak 13.
  • Debt and restructuring costs could limit flexibility, especially if production falls again 12.
  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensions could disrupt supply chains and reduce customer volumes 12.

What to watch

  • Trend in adjusted EBITDA margin in EMEA and AsiaQ1 2027
  • Sales and profitability guidance for fiscal 20272027
  • IEEPA tariff refunds and their effect on costsnext 10-K
  • Development of contracts with Chinese automakers and price pressure2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Adient designs, manufactures and delivers complete seating systems and components for passenger cars, commercial vehicles and light trucks, with operations in 29 countries and approximately 200 manufacturing, assembly or sequencing facilities 1. It supplies seats on a 'just-in-time' or 'in-sequence' basis directly to customer assembly lines, so long-term relationships with automakers are central to its model 1. Adient also has partially owned affiliates in China, Asia, Europe and North America that add to its global capacity 1.

Its integrated production structure, from metals and foam to full seat assembly, lets the company control costs and quality across the value chain 1. Adient invests in automation and artificial intelligence to reduce direct labor costs and improve accuracy 1.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, net sales were 3,929 million USD and adjusted EBITDA was 225 million USD, a margin of 5.7% 23. For fiscal 2025, net sales were 14,535 million USD, down 1.0%, and the company reported a net loss attributable to Adient of 281 million USD after a non-cash goodwill impairment of 333 million USD in EMEA 1.

Segments

Americas

The Americas segment includes North America and South America. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026 it generated net sales of 1,928 million USD and adjusted EBITDA of 125 million USD 3.

EMEA

The EMEA segment has been the most affected by overcapacity and pricing pressure. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026 net sales were 1,211 million USD, and the adjusted EBITDA margin only 1.2% 3.

Market context

Global light vehicle production rose 3.0% in fiscal 2025, supported by better vehicle sales and exports from China, while production fell in North America and EMEA 1. Demand depends on macroeconomic factors such as credit availability, interest rates and consumer confidence, and electric vehicle adoption has slowed 1.

The automotive seating market is concentrated, and suppliers could gain share if they combine technology, global scale and engineering capacity, especially as automakers shift from complete systems to separate component sourcing 1.

Trends

  • Competition from Chinese automakersheadwind

    Local Chinese automakers offer vehicles at lower cost, which puts pressure on supplier prices and could reduce margins, while Adient wins new business with these customers 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policymixed

    US and other tariffs affect costs and sales, and the Supreme Court decision on IEEPA tariffs could produce refunds that the company considers probable 2.

  • Electric vehicles and advanced driver assistancemixed

    The shift to electric vehicles changes seat design, and the growth of advanced driver assistance systems could add seating content for suppliers with strong engineering 1.

  • Raw material and energy costsheadwind

    Volatility in steel, aluminum, chemicals and energy, along with freight costs, can raise expenses, and recovery strategies offset only part of the impact 12.

Competitive position

Adient competes with other automotive suppliers and, for certain products, with automakers that make components themselves. The principal independent competitors it names are Lear, Toyota Boshoku, Forvia, Magna and Yanfeng 1. The company says its vertical integration and global footprint differentiate it from traditional Tier-1 suppliers and component specialists 1.

Competition is based on technology, quality, supply reliability and price, and pricing pressure from Chinese automakers intensifies rivalry in every region 1.

  • Lear CorporationLEA

    Independent seating and interior systems supplier named by Adient as a principal competitor.

  • Toyota Boshoku Corporation

    Seating supplier linked to the Toyota group, named by Adient as a principal competitor.

  • Forvia SE

    European automotive components supplier including interiors, named by Adient as a principal competitor.

  • Magna InternationalMGA

    Global Tier-1 automotive components supplier, named by Adient as a principal competitor.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Material agreement · Item 3.03 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation
  • Current report13 Aug 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report10 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report20 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Adient plc · 18 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Adient plc · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Adient plc · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.