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olivLaw · US equity research

Aptiv PLC APTV

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories · SIC 3714 · Vertical: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714)

43.26USD+4.64% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Aptiv PLC is a global industrial technology company supplying software, sensors and connection systems, mainly to the automotive industry but also to aerospace, defense and telecom. In 2026 it completed the spin-off of its electrical distribution business, now Versigent, leaving a remaining business that focuses increasingly on non-automotive markets.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Aptiv PLC (APTV) stock was 43.26 USD (+4.64% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.8 bn USD, P/E 11.9 on diluted EPS of 3.63 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.21, 52-week range 41.34–88.67 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.2 bn USD (+2.3% YoY), net income of 194.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.94 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.8 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.9
Diluted EPS TTM 3.63 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
8.39%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.21
Volatility (1y) 45%
52-week range
41.3488.67

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
42.27 – 45.59
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.30 · band width 7.6%
SMA 50 / 200
44.36 / 59.16
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.44 / -0.38
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.4%−1.1%−0.3 pp—
3 months−8.0%−0.5%−7.5 pp—
6 months−23.8%+4.4%−28.2 pp—
Year to date−43.1%+12.3%−55.5 pp—
1 year−46.5%+13.5%−60.0 pp−10.2%
3 years−44.2%+76.4%−120.6 pp+9.8%
5 years−75.3%+63.7%−139.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−53.4%
09 Jan 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.6%
17 Nov 2021 → 03 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.2 bn USD
+2.3% YoY
Net income
194.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.94
unavailable YoY
net / operating
6.1% / 8.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.9 bn4.8 bn3.2 bn3.1 bn5.2 bn5.1 bn3.3 bn3.2 bn
Cost of revenue3.9 bn3.9 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn4.2 bn4.2 bn2.5 bn2.5 bn
Gross profit962.0 m———963.0 m———
SG&A363.0 m384.0 m327.0 m333.0 m704.0 m427.0 m332.0 m294.0 m
Operating income479.0 m448.0 m325.0 m-353.0 m425.0 m378.0 m367.0 m281.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation245.0 m242.0 m190.0 m193.0 m419.0 m250.0 m195.0 m247.0 m
Interest expense107.0 m93.0 m92.0 m88.0 m88.0 m89.0 m62.0 m59.0 m
Pre-tax income347.0 m355.0 m294.0 m-420.0 m845.0 m285.0 m366.0 m246.0 m
Income tax64.0 m356.0 m16.0 m59.0 m299.0 m81.0 m52.0 m36.0 m
Net income268.0 m-11.0 m393.0 m-355.0 m138.0 m189.0 m248.0 m194.0 m
Diluted EPS1.14-0.051.80-1.630.640.881.170.94
Operating cash flow1.1 bn273.0 m510.0 m ≈584.0 m ≈818.0 m-143.0 m92.0 m ≈320.0 m ≈
Capex166.0 m197.0 m70.0 m ≈99.0 m ≈290.0 m219.0 m59.0 m ≈126.0 m ≈
Share repurchases000 ≈96.0 m ≈301.0 m76.0 m246.0 m ≈236.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 23 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 5.3, median 19.4, max 212.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue14.4 bn14.4 bn13.1 bn15.6 bn17.5 bn20.1 bn19.7 bn20.4 bn
Revenue YoY+12.0%−0.5%−9.0%+19.5%+12.0%+14.6%−1.7%+3.5%
Net income1.1 bn990.0 m1.8 bn590.0 m594.0 m2.9 bn1.8 bn165.0 m
Net income YoY−21.3%−7.2%+82.2%−67.3%+0.7%+394.6%−39.2%−90.8%
Diluted EPS4.023.856.661.941.9610.396.960.75
Diluted EPS YoY−20.6%−4.2%+73.0%−70.9%+1.0%+430.1%−33.0%−89.2%
net %7.4%6.9%13.8%3.8%3.4%14.7%9.1%0.8%
Free cash flow782.0 m843.0 m829.0 m611.0 m419.0 m990.0 m1.6 bn1.5 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.6 bn USD
Financial debt
7.5 bn USD
Net debt
5.9 bn USD
Equity
9.4 bn USD
Total assets
23.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.80x
Current ratio
1.74x
ROE
1.8%
ROA
0.7%
FCF margin
7.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
20.1 bn
2024
19.7 bn
2025
20.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
16.6 bn
2024
16.0 bn
2025
16.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.4 bn ≈
2024
3.7 bn ≈
2025
3.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
912.0 m
2024
964.0 m
2025
991.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.5 bn ≈
2024
2.8 bn ≈
2025
2.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
285.0 m
2024
337.0 m
2025
361.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
919.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-1.9 bn
2024
223.0 m
2025
700.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
165.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
10.39
2024
6.96
2025
0.75

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
282.9 m
2024
256.7 m
2025
220.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Feb 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2023
8.2 bn
2024
7.8 bn
2025
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.8 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
5.2 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2023
24.4 bn
2024
23.5 bn
2025
23.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.2 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
9.0 m
2024
509.0 m
2025
23.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
6.2 bn
2024
7.8 bn
2025
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
4.8 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
12.6 bn
2024
14.4 bn
2025
13.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
11.7 bn
2024
9.0 bn
2025
9.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
906.0 m
2024
830.0 m
2025
656.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
990.0 m ≈
2024
1.6 bn ≈
2025
1.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.0 bn
2024
-507.0 m
2025
-498.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-807.0 m
2024
-2.0 bn
2025
-1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Feb 2023verified

Share repurchases
2023
398.0 m
2024
4.1 bn
2025
397.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-35.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-90.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-34.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-38.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-89.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-27.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-35.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
15.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
4.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
694.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
393.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
51.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
42.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
66 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
70 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
64 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
13.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
9.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
22.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.38
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

43.26 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2865derived 150

Score by group

  • Valuation72
  • Balance sheet48
  • Quality43
  • Growth22
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
41.95
USD per share
Mid
54.77
USD per share
High
74.94
USD per share
Price: 43.26 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 26.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 21.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 28.91 – 114.43 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)28.91 – 71.18 (Mid 43.65)
    WACC 7.4% · starting FCFF 610.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 5.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA64.79 – 114.43 (Mid 72.14)
    14 companies used · median multiple 7.5x · quartiles 6.9x – 10.9x
    ALV, ATMU, BWA, CPS, DCH, DORM, GNTX, LCII, LEA, MOD, PATK, PHIN, SMP, THRM
  • Peers: P/E41.95 – 74.94 (Mid 54.77)
    19 companies used · median multiple 15.1x · quartiles 11.6x – 20.6x
    ADNT, ALSN, ALV, ATMU, BWA, CAAS, DAN, DORM, GNTX, GTX, HLLY, LCII, LEA, MGA, PATK, PHIN, SMP, STRT, VC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.3%33 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality4.6%71 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality51.1%30 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.3%44 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-27.4%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.8x27 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.9x52 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x98 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.9x76 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.2x80 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation4.5%56 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns9.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet48/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth22/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality43/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation72/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

APTIV PLC (APTV). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 20.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.5%; net margin 4.6%; ROE 8.5%; net debt/EBITDA 1.8x.

The estimated value range is 41.95–74.94 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 54.77 USD, the price of 43.26 USD leaves a potential of 26.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 21.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 4.6%
  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 11.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 5.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 9.8%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -27.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.8x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 34 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.9x
vertical median 15.6x
below median (−23.5%)
EV/EBITDA
5.2x
vertical median 7.5x
below median (−30.1%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−25.2%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.4x
below median (−29.3%)
ROE
8.5%
vertical median 8.2%
at median
Net margin
4.6%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+107.8%)
EBIT margin
8.7%
vertical median 3.8%
above median (+128.6%)
Revenue YoY
3.5%
vertical median 2.9%
above median (+19.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.8x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+78.3%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MGAMagna International Inc.18.4 bn22.46.9%2.0%−1.9%+34% / +22%
BWABorgwarner Inc.10.1 bn21.58.2%3.4%+1.6%+17% / +50%
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn17.429.7%11.1%−6.7%+36% / +125%
ALVAutoliv, Inc.9.0 bn15.124.8%5.6%+4.1%+7% / +21%
APTVAptiv PLC8.8 bn11.98.5%4.6%+3.5%−46% / −44%
LEALear Corp5.7 bn10.411.6%2.5%−0.2%+11% / −11%
MODModine Manufacturing Co5.2 bn41.311.4%3.6%+23.1%−39% / +100%
GNTXGentex Corporation4.4 bn11.016.4%15.5%+9.6%−9% / −32%
DORMDorman Products, Inc.4.2 bn21.213.3%9.3%+6.0%+8% / +98%
ATMUAtmus Filtration Technologies Inc.3.9 bn18.355.8%11.3%+5.7%−5% / +119%
GTXGarrett Motion Inc.3.6 bn10.1—10.0%+3.1%+20% / +167%
PATKPatrick Industries Inc2.7 bn20.113.0%3.7%+6.3%−22% / +55%
PHINPhinia Inc.2.6 bn14.512.2%5.2%+2.4%+33% / +181%
DANDana Incorporated2.6 bn2.471.4%14.6%−3.0%+6% / +80%
LCIILci Industries2.5 bn12.115.0%5.2%+10.2%−8% / −4%
VCVisteon Corp2.0 bn13.810.8%4.1%−2.5%−22% / −32%
THRMGentherm Incorporated1.6 bn105.31.3%0.6%+2.9%−13% / −32%
ADNTAdient plc1.3 bn28.52.7%0.3%−1.0%−12% / −47%
DCHDauch Corporation1.1 bn—-15.2%-2.0%−4.7%−27% / −31%
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.1.0 bn15.19.9%3.8%+22.4%+22% / +28%
AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.661.5 m——-150.1%+99.4%−15% / +240%
CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.391.6 m——-2.0%+0.4%−29% / +24%
HLLYHolley Inc.351.6 m35.32.3%1.7%+1.9%−32% / −30%
KNDIKandi Technologies Group, Inc.287.8 m—-30.5%-107.4%−31.5%−63% / −88%
STRTStrattec Security Corp258.5 m15.67.2%2.9%+2.5%−14% / +201%

1- and 3-year price returns: for APTV from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
26.96
Total return -38% · Per year -38%
47.65
Total return 10% · Per year 10%
71.76
Total return 66% · Per year 66%
3 years
26.57
Total return -39% · Per year -15%
52.80
Total return 22% · Per year 7%
87.24
Total return 102% · Per year 26%
5 years
26.19
Total return -39% · Per year -10%
58.51
Total return 35% · Per year 6%
106.07
Total return 145% · Per year 20%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 13.20
  • Net margin± 9.24
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.53
  • Annual dilution± 0.78

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Aptiv PLC is a global industrial technology company supplying software, sensors and connection systems, mainly to the automotive industry but also to aerospace, defense and telecom. In 2026 it completed the spin-off of its electrical distribution business, now Versigent, leaving a remaining business that focuses increasingly on non-automotive markets 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a broad customer base in the auto industry and a strong global presence in manufacturing and engineering 1.
  • A flexible cost structure and a workforce largely based in lower cost countries let it stay profitable in periods of weaker production 12.
  • A solid balance sheet supports share repurchases and debt reduction after the separation 23.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue still depends on auto production, which is cyclical and sensitive to demand and macroeconomic factors 1.
  • Operating cash flow was weak in the first half of 2026, showing sensitivity to working capital 3.
  • Concentration on a few large customers means the loss of one major program could have a significant effect 1.

Opportunities

  • Growth in non-automotive markets such as robotics, drones and aerospace could reduce dependence on the auto cycle 13.
  • The move to software-defined vehicles may increase software and services content per vehicle 1.
  • Partnerships with technology companies could speed up commercialization of the portfolio 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and changes in trade agreements could reduce production or move plants to more expensive regions 2.
  • Competition in China and entry by new players could put pressure on prices and margins 1.
  • Supply chain disruptions could halt customer production and trigger compensation claims 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on auto productionhigh

    A fall in global auto sales could reduce customer programs and the company's revenue 1.

  • Supply chain disruptionshigh

    The lack of a single component could force a production stop and high recovery costs 1.

  • Tariffs and trademedium

    Changes in trade policy could affect costs and the location of production 2.

  • Competition in Chinamedium

    Local competitive pressure could reduce share and margins in the largest regional market 1.

  • Separation costslow

    Separation-related expenses may continue, and the remaining business may face operational challenges during integration 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If non-automotive segments keep growing at double digits, the company could reduce its dependence on the auto cycle and improve margins 3.
  • A commitment to returning capital to shareholders, with repurchases already under way, could support per-share value in coming years 3.
  • Its position in vehicle software and compute could become more valuable as vehicles become more software-defined 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If global auto production stays weak, revenue and cash flow could remain under pressure 12.
  • If competition in China and tariffs keep increasing, margins could come under pressure 12.
  • Negative free cash flow in the first half could limit the company's ability to continue repurchases without reducing debt 3.

What to watch

  • Third quarter 2026 results and full year 2026 guidanceQ3 2026
  • Development of revenue from non-automotive segments2026
  • Effects of tariffs and changes to the USMCA agreement2026
  • Next annual report with cost and capital allocation targetsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Aptiv presents itself as a global industrial technology company oriented toward automation, electrification and digitalization. It supplies both hardware and software, from sensor to cloud, and serves 25 of the largest automotive manufacturers in the world 1. The company operates 139 major manufacturing facilities and has about 20700 scientists, engineers and technicians 1. From 2026 its reported segments are Intelligent Systems and Engineered Components, after the electrical distribution business was presented as discontinued operations 23.

In 2025 the company reached record revenue, with strong growth also from non-automotive industrial markets, and its adjusted operating income margin was 12.1% 1. Results of the divested business are reported separately, so comparisons after the spin-off need care 2.

The strategy rests on a portfolio tied to the shift toward software-defined vehicles, on expansion into robotics and drones, and on a flexible cost structure, with almost all hourly workforce in best cost countries 13.

Segments

Intelligent Systems

Formerly called Advanced Safety and User Experience, the segment supplies software and services, intelligent sensors and high-performance compute platforms for safety and comfort, and from 2026 is organized into the Sensors and Compute and Software and Services product lines 12.

Engineered Components

Formerly the Engineered Components Group, the segment provides connection systems, high-performance interconnects and cable management and protection solutions for power, signal and data distribution 12.

Market context

Global vehicle production rose 4% in 2025, but weighted to the regions where Aptiv earns revenue the increase was only 1% 1. In the first half of 2026 volumes grew slightly by 1% while global production fell 1% 2.

Diversification into aerospace and defense, telecom and industrial markets is the main reason the company hopes to reduce its dependence on automotive cycles, though demand size in these markets is not quantified in the sources analyzed 13.

Trends

  • Automation, electrification and digitalizationtailwind

    These trends define demand for sensors, compute and software, and their extension beyond cars opens new markets for the company 1.

  • Volatility of auto productionheadwind

    Cyclical auto sales and production can reduce customer volumes, and shifts in vehicle mix affect revenue 12.

  • Tariffs and international tradeheadwind

    Changes in trade agreements and tariffs can reduce production in some regions or move production toward higher cost areas 2.

  • Shift toward software and roboticsmixed

    The move to software-defined vehicles and the commercialization of robotics and drone solutions could support growth in non-automotive revenue, but the timing remains uncertain 13.

Competitive position

The automotive component market is highly competitive, with competition based on price, technology, quality and delivery 1. In China local competition has grown, and some traditional foreign manufacturers have reduced operations, which could affect margins 1.

New entrants from outside traditional automotive supply, especially in autonomous driving and software, are also appearing, which could reduce the company's share if it does not keep innovating 1.

  • Global automotive component suppliers

    Companies competing on price, technology and delivery capacity, referred to generically in the company's risk factors 1.

  • Domestic automakers in China

    They have expanded their share in China, reducing revenue for some traditional customers of the company 1.

  • New entrants from outside the auto industry

    Software and technology firms moving into autonomous driving and vehicle architecture, according to the source 1.

  • VersigentVGNT

    The former electrical distribution business, separated in April 2026, now an independent company listed on the NYSE 23.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Aptiv PLC · 06 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Aptiv PLC · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Aptiv PLC · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.