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olivLaw · US equity research

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. IBKR

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

77.88USD+0.54% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker that routes, executes and custodies trades in stocks, options, futures, forex and other instruments on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries. The company joined the S&P 500 in August 2025 and reported net revenues of 1,914 million USD in the third quarter of 2026, making it relevant for investors and clients interested in electronic access to global markets. Its model rests on low costs and proprietary technology, while revenue depends heavily on trading volumes and interest rate levels.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) stock was 77.88 USD (+0.54% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.3 bn USD, P/E 17.1 on diluted EPS of 4.55 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield -0.06%, beta 1.80, 52-week range 61.05–98.19 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 760.0 m USD (+31.5% YoY), net income of 1.3 bn USD (+33.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.69 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.3 bn USD
shares as of 06 May 2011
P/E (TTM)
17.1
Diluted EPS TTM 4.55 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.84%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
-0.06%
DPS 12m -0.05
Beta (2y)
1.80
Volatility (1y) 40%
52-week range
61.0598.19

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
75.14 – 89.85
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.19 · band width 17.8%
SMA 50 / 200
87.30 / 83.04
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.81 / -2.36
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.5%−1.1%−11.4 pp—
3 months−12.2%−0.5%−11.8 pp—
6 months−10.5%+4.4%−14.9 pp—
Year to date+21.1%+12.3%+8.8 pp—
1 year+10.2%+13.5%−3.4 pp−16.4%
3 years+291.8%+76.4%+215.4 pp+61.7%
5 years+322.0%+63.7%+258.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−23.8%
25 Aug 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−38.7%
18 Feb 2025 → 07 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+33.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
760.0 m USD
+31.5% YoY
Net income
1.3 bn USD
+33.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.69
+35.3% YoY
net / operating
176.1% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue507.0 m558.0 m592.0 m578.0 m603.0 m667.0 m699.0 m760.0 m
SG&A153.0 m59.0 m62.0 m61.0 m62.0 m62.0 m68.0 m68.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.0 m16.0 m15.0 m15.0 m15.0 m16.0 m16.0 m17.0 m
Pre-tax income909.0 m1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn
Income tax75.0 m71.0 m91.0 m98.0 m126.0 m99.0 m117.0 m118.0 m
Net income834.0 m969.0 m964.0 m1.0 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn
Diluted EPS0.422.21 ≈0.480.510.592.68 ≈0.590.69
Operating cash flow3.6 bn ≈1.8 bn2.6 bn7.1 bn ≈4.5 bn ≈1.6 bn3.6 bn6.2 bn ≈
Dividends paid27.0 m ≈27.0 m27.0 m35.0 m36.0 m ≈36.0 m36.0 m39.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 95 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 2.0, median 3.3, max 19.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.4 bn2.6 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn2.0 bn2.4 bn
Revenue YoY+22.8%+9.0%−50.1%+21.8%−4.0%+3.4%+27.0%+23.4%
Net income1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn2.8 bn3.4 bn4.4 bn
Net income YoY+41.9%−3.2%+8.3%+38.8%+12.6%+52.7%+21.2%+27.9%
Diluted EPS2.282.102.423.243.751.421.732.22
Diluted EPS YoY+113.1%−7.9%+15.2%+33.9%+15.7%−62.1%+21.8%+28.3%
net %47.5%42.2%91.6%104.3%122.3%180.6%172.3%178.6%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
5.0 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
20.5 bn USD
Total assets
203.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
23.5%
ROA
2.5%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
211.0 m
2024
314.0 m
2025
247.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
65.0 m
2024
67.0 m
2025
61.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
3.4 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
257.0 m
2024
288.0 m
2025
414.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.42
2024
1.73
2025
2.22

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
423.4 m
2024
436.0 m
2025
443.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.03
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.8 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
81.0 m
2024
59.0 m
2025
60.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
43.0 m
2024
48.0 m
2025
52.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
128.3 bn
2024
150.1 bn
2025
203.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
114.2 bn
2024
133.5 bn
2025
182.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
14.1 bn
2024
16.6 bn
2025
20.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
4.5 bn
2024
8.7 bn
2025
15.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-52.0 m
2024
-44.0 m
2025
-171.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-624.0 m
2024
-833.0 m
2025
-969.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
42.0 m
2024
92.0 m
2025
134.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
17.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
27.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
33.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
29.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
28.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
179.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
91.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
15.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

77.88 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
91.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
179.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

20/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 May 2011
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1844derived 177

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
23.94
USD per share
Mid
33.61
USD per share
High
44.64
USD per share
Price: 77.88 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -56.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -131.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.33 – 88.85 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E47.56 – 88.85 (Mid 66.85)
    17 companies used · median multiple 14.7x · quartiles 10.4x – 19.5x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, JEF, MIAX, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, SF, TIGR, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.33 – 0.44 (Mid 0.38)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality179.4%100 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth17.5%100 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-16.0%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation17.1x42 (vs peers)26%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.5%64 (on a fixed band)16%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial64/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial42/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP, INC. (IBKR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 23.4%; net margin 179.4%; ROE 91.3%.

The estimated value range is 23.94–44.64 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 33.61 USD, the price of 77.88 USD leaves a potential of -56.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -131.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 179.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 17.5%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -16.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
17.1x
vertical median 15.6x
above median (+9.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
1.2x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−43.1%)
P/B
0.6x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−74.5%)
ROE
91.3%
vertical median 18.0%
above median (+408.3%)
Net margin
179.4%
vertical median 13.4%
above median (+1,240.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 22.1%
Revenue YoY
23.4%
vertical median 15.4%
above median (+51.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
-0.1%
vertical median 1.9%
below median (−103.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn28.112.2%24.2%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+8% / +60%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn5.216.5%14.6%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+10% / +292%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.040.321.3%39.0%+51.6%−32% / +893%
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.—8.733.6%13.5%+26.2%+48% / +195%
TIGRUp Fintech Holding Limited—63.722.6%28.0%+56.3%−55% / −11%
FUTUFutu Holdings Ltd075.933.3%49.6%+67.8%−42% / +82%

1- and 3-year price returns: for IBKR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
1,296.25
Total return 1,564% · Per year 1,564%
2,281.21
Total return 2,829% · Per year 2,829%
3,421.81
Total return 4,294% · Per year 4,294%
3 years
1,537.56
Total return 1,874% · Per year 170%
3,016.90
Total return 3,774% · Per year 238%
4,927.41
Total return 6,227% · Per year 298%
5 years
1,823.79
Total return 2,242% · Per year 88%
3,989.85
Total return 5,023% · Per year 120%
7,095.47
Total return 9,011% · Per year 147%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 754.22
  • Net margin± 527.96
  • Annual revenue growth± 393.76
  • Annual dilution± 44.36

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Interactive Brokers Group is an automated global broker that routes, executes and custodies trades in stocks, options, futures, forex and other instruments on more than 170 exchanges in 40 countries. The company joined the S&P 500 in August 2025 and reported net revenues of 1,914 million USD in the third quarter of 2026, making it relevant for investors and clients interested in electronic access to global markets. Its model rests on low costs and proprietary technology, while revenue depends heavily on trading volumes and interest rate levels.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Proprietary technology and extensive automation allow very low costs and a high pretax profit margin. The company trades across many exchanges and currencies from one platform.
  • The client base is diverse and growing, including individual investors, hedge funds and advisors. Inclusion in the S&P 500 has raised the company's visibility.
  • Currency diversification and attractive funding terms for clients reinforce the company's position in the market.

Weaknesses

  • Revenues depend heavily on trading volumes and interest rate levels, which makes them hard to predict and subject to large swings.
  • The founder's majority control of voting power may limit the influence of minority shareholders and discourage takeover attempts.
  • The company does not have fully redundant systems, and system failures could affect operations and reputation.

Opportunities

  • Growing interest in global trading, options and forecast contracts could open new revenue sources.
  • Expansion into new markets and products, such as cryptocurrency trading through third-party providers, could attract new clients.
  • If the recovery of the IPO market continues, trading and financing activity could increase.

Threats

  • Lower interest rates could reduce net interest income, the company's main revenue source.
  • Consolidation of market centers or regulatory changes could affect order routing and execution costs.
  • Competition among brokers could pressure commissions and margins, while legal and regulatory risks could raise costs.

Risks

  • Dependence on trading volumeshigh

    Revenues depend on trading volumes, which can fluctuate widely. A drop in retail activity could reduce commissions and fees.

  • Sensitivity to interest rateshigh

    Lower benchmark rates reduce net interest income, which makes up most of revenue. The effect depends on monetary policy developments.

  • Concentrated controlmedium

    The founder and Chairman controls most of the voting power, which can create conflicts of interest and influence the share price.

  • Operational and technology risksmedium

    Systems are not fully redundant, and failures or cyber-attacks could disrupt services and damage the company's reputation.

  • Regulation and litigationmedium

    Regulatory changes, including those affecting prediction markets and cryptocurrencies, could affect operations and costs.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The automated model with very low costs could sustain high margins even when volumes vary.
  • Growth in accounts and client balances could support interest and commission revenue over the medium term.
  • If markets stay active and interest in technology continues, the company could benefit from higher volumes.

What would break the thesis

  • A sharper decline in interest rates could significantly reduce net interest income.
  • Retail volumes are hard to predict, and a quieter market could reduce commissions.
  • Concentrated control and dependence on one major shareholder may limit the influence of minority investors.

What to watch

  • Trend in net interest margin and net interest incomeQ4 2026
  • Trading volume trends in stocks and optionsQ4 2026
  • Federal Reserve decisions on the benchmark rate2027
  • Annual results and any changes to the IBG LLC structurenext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company operates as an automated global broker with proprietary platforms such as TWS, IBKR Desktop, the mobile app and APIs, through which institutional and individual clients can trade across many markets from one account. Net interest income of 3563 million USD in 2025 was the main revenue source, followed by commissions of 2149 million USD. Products also include ForecastTrader, fractional share trading and an insured bank deposit sweep program for cash balances.

The legal structure is a holding company: IBG, Inc. owned about 26.5% of IBG LLC as of June 30, 2026, while about 73.5% is held by IBG Holdings LLC, controlled by the founder and Chairman. This structure affects dividend distribution and voting rights, topics discussed in the SEC filings 12.

The company serves customers in over 200 countries and territories, including hedge funds, financial advisors, proprietary trading firms and introducing brokers. It reported that customer accounts grew 35% in the third quarter of 2026 to 5.58 million 3.

Segments

Net interest income

The largest revenue segment comes from net interest income, generated by margin loans, customer credit balances and securities lending. In 2025 net interest income rose 13%, while net interest margin fell to 2.08% due to lower rates 1.

Commissions and fees

Commissions rose 27% in 2025 to 2149 million USD, driven by higher stock, options and futures volumes. In the third quarter of 2026 commissions reached 602 million USD, with DARTs up 18% 13.

Other fees and services

This segment includes risk exposure fees, payments for order flow and market data fees, and other income includes the effect of the currency diversification strategy. It is smaller but sensitive to policy changes and trading volumes 13.

Market context

The electronic brokerage market is shaped by global trading volumes, volatility and interest rate levels. In 2025 average daily volume in US listed cash equities rose 45%, and the average VIX rose 22% to 18.9 1. In the second quarter of 2026 average daily equity volumes rose 10% and equity options volumes rose 27% 2.

The rate environment has shifted: the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark rate by 75 basis points in the second half of 2025 and held it unchanged in the first half of 2026 12. Lower rates reduce interest income but also funding costs, and the net effect depends on market developments.

Trends

  • Retail trading volumesmixed

    Retail participation in equity and options markets has stayed elevated, but the company notes these volumes can fluctuate with investor sentiment and market conditions. If retail interest declines, commission revenue could be affected.

  • Interest ratesmixed

    Lower benchmark rates reduce interest earned on segregated cash and margin loans, as well as interest paid to customers. The net effect on margins depends on monetary policy in the US and other countries.

  • Consolidation of market centersheadwind

    Consolidation among market centers could reduce the value of the IB SmartRouting software, since there would be fewer venues to choose from for best prices. The company flags this risk in its discussion of trends 1.

  • Interest in AI and IPO activitytailwind

    Investor interest in artificial intelligence related companies and the recovery of the IPO market supported trading activity in 2025 and 2026, particularly in technology 12.

Competitive position

The company notes competition among broker-dealers may continue to intensify, particularly in direct market access and non-clearing brokerage. Competitors include large online brokers with trading platforms and firms offering commission-free or low-cost trading. The SEC filings do not name direct competitors.

Its stated competitive edge rests on low costs, automated technology and access to more than 170 exchanges. The company argues that low margin lending rates and attractive customer cash rates draw clients, but competition could erode these advantages 12.

  • Other US online brokers

    Brokers offering electronic trading to individual and institutional clients, competing directly on commissions and trading platforms; the company does not name them in the reviewed documents.

  • Stock exchanges and execution venues

    Exchanges and market centers that concentrate volumes; their consolidation could affect the value of automated order routing, according to the company.

  • Zero-commission trading apps

    Mobile apps offering commission-free trading to individual investors, competing for retail clients.

  • Institutional brokers and proprietary trading firms

    Firms competing on execution services for hedge funds and proprietary trading firms, an important segment for the company.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 15 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. · 15 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.