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olivLaw · US equity research

Miami International Holdings, Inc. MIAX

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

34.97USD+3.28% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Miami International Holdings operates regulated exchanges for options, equities, futures and international markets, built on its own technology. The company reported net revenue of 141.1 million USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 35% year over year, amid elevated volatility in the options market.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Miami International Holdings, Inc. (MIAX) stock was 34.97 USD (+3.28% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.5 bn USD, P/E 12.5 on diluted EPS of 2.80 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.46, 52-week range 29.55–56.84 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 376.2 m USD (+10.7% YoY), net income of 52.5 m USD, diluted EPS 0.47 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.5 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.5
Diluted EPS TTM 2.80 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
8.01%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.46
Volatility (1y) 43%
52-week range
29.5556.84

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
28.80 – 35.75
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.89 · band width 21.5%
SMA 50 / 200
35.94 / 41.25
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.27 / -0.84
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.9%−1.1%+3.0 pp—
3 months−23.9%−0.5%−23.5 pp—
6 months−26.7%+4.4%−31.1 pp—
Year to date−21.2%+12.3%−33.5 pp—
1 year−21.1%+13.5%−34.7 pp−11.1%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+63.0%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−48.0%
14 May 2026 → 13 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−48.0%
14 May 2026 → 13 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
376.2 m USD
+10.7% YoY
Net income
52.5 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.47
unavailable YoY
net / operating
13.9% / 12.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue323.9 m327.1 m327.8 m339.8 m369.4 m369.7 m387.6 m376.2 m
Cost of revenue242.2 m235.2 m223.1 m230.3 m244.9 m241.1 m246.5 m245.2 m
Gross profit81.7 m91.9 m104.7 m109.5 m124.5 m128.6 m141.1 m131.0 m
Operating income7.2 m22.3 m27.3 m-305.0 k42.7 m46.0 m27.8 m47.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.3 m6.2 m6.9 m8.2 m8.0 m8.1 m8.8 m9.5 m
Interest expense4.4 m4.4 m4.9 m3.4 m176.0 k45.0 k44.0 k42.0 k
Pre-tax income3.3 m-21.2 m24.7 m-102.9 m30.9 m100.0 m28.8 m64.1 m
Income tax374.0 k210.0 k1.1 m-810.0 k922.0 k-70.2 m-15.4 m11.6 m
Net income2.9 m-21.4 m23.5 m-102.1 m29.9 m170.2 m44.2 m52.5 m
Diluted EPS0.04 ≈-0.340.30-1.460.37 ≈1.560.400.47
Operating cash flow39.0 m11.2 m55.0 m ≈54.7 m ≈47.0 m60.9 m122.8 m ≈23.1 m ≈
Capex6.1 m4.7 m12.2 m ≈1.7 m ≈4.1 m11.7 m16.3 m ≈1.4 m ≈
Share repurchases318.0 k1.9 m0 ≈19.9 m ≈013.3 m3.8 m ≈8.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 12.0, median 42.7, max 50.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenue1.0 bn1.1 bn1.4 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+9.5%+19.6%
Net income-20.9 m102.1 m-70.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−168.6%
Diluted EPS-0.371.39-1.00
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−171.9%
net %-2.0%9.0%-5.1%
Free cash flow-65.4 m84.7 m145.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
433.6 m USD
Financial debt
1.5 m USD
Net debt
-432.1 m USD
Equity
881.0 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
2.54x
ROE
-11.2%
ROA
-6.3%
FCF margin
10.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
808.5 m
2024
864.4 m
2025
933.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
232.5 m
2024
275.6 m
2025
430.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-2.9 m
2024
-2.8 m
2025
92.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
21.0 m
2024
23.4 m
2025
29.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
18.2 m ≈
2024
20.5 m ≈
2025
121.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
18.9 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
12.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-22.1 m
2024
105.1 m
2025
-68.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-697.0 k
2024
3.1 m
2025
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-20.9 m
2024
102.1 m
2025
-70.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.37
2024
1.39
2025
-1.00

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
56.5 m
2024
74.6 m
2025
69.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
59.3 m
2024
150.3 m
2025
433.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
92.4 m
2025
98.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
—
2024
572.8 m
2025
855.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
44.5 m
2025
46.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
46.8 m
2024
46.8 m
2025
62.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
114.7 m
2024
114.2 m
2025
170.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
—
2024
973.7 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
12.8 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
4.8 m
2025
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
32.3 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
—
2024
405.2 m
2025
337.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
—
2024
606.0 m
2025
378.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
163.8 m
2024
367.6 m
2025
881.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-49.2 m
2024
111.4 m
2025
167.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
16.2 m
2024
26.7 m
2025
22.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-65.4 m ≈
2024
84.7 m ≈
2025
145.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-64.1 m
2024
-40.6 m
2025
-101.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-16.6 m
2024
29.4 m
2025
214.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
3.3 m
2024
12.4 m
2025
21.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
-168.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
-171.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
71.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
34.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
13.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
19.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
14.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
28.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
28.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-697.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
533.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
253.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
33.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
220.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
74.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
128.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
24 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
3 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
2.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
17.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
15.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 65 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

34.97 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
28.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
19.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 344derived 28

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation48
  • Returns11
  • Quality71

Estimated value range

Low
29.27
USD per share
Mid
43.60
USD per share
High
54.68
USD per share
Price: 34.97 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 24.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 19.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 20.38 – 62.30 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)43.26 – 62.30 (Mid 50.69)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 220.4 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -4.8%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA20.38 – 38.92 (Mid 33.19)
    3 companies used · median multiple 13.2x · quartiles 6.8x – 16.1x
    BLK, COHN, MKTX
  • Peers: P/E29.27 – 54.68 (Mid 43.60)
    17 companies used · median multiple 15.6x · quartiles 10.4x – 19.5x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, IBKR, JEF, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, SF, TIGR, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 65/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality28.6%80 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality19.8%65 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality74.2%63 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-3.5x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet533.1x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.1x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation12.5x63 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.1x8 (on a fixed band)13%
FCF yield · Valuation6.3%79 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.7%11 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality71/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial11/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation48/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Miami International Holdings, Inc. (MIAX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 19.6%; net margin 19.8%; ROE 28.9%; net debt/EBITDA -3.5x.

The estimated value range is 29.27–54.68 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 43.60 USD, the price of 34.97 USD leaves a potential of 24.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 19.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 65/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 28.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -3.5x
  • Interest coverage: 533.1x
  • Current ratio: 3.1x
  • FCF yield: 6.3%

What contradicts it

  • EV/EBITDA: 14.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
12.5x
vertical median 16.8x
below median (−25.7%)
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
vertical median 16.1x
below median (−12.4%)
P/S
2.3x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+24.6%)
P/B
2.9x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+81.6%)
ROE
28.9%
vertical median 18.0%
above median (+61.1%)
Net margin
19.8%
vertical median 13.4%
above median (+47.6%)
EBIT margin
10.9%
vertical median 25.8%
below median (−57.7%)
Revenue YoY
19.6%
vertical median 15.4%
above median (+27.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-3.5x
vertical median -0.2x
below median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn28.112.2%24.2%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+8% / +60%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn5.216.5%14.6%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−21% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.040.321.3%39.0%+51.6%−32% / +893%
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.—8.733.6%13.5%+26.2%+48% / +195%
TIGRUp Fintech Holding Limited—63.722.6%28.0%+56.3%−55% / −11%
FUTUFutu Holdings Ltd075.933.3%49.6%+67.8%−42% / +82%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MIAX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
24.20
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
42.60
Total return 22% · Per year 22%
63.89
Total return 83% · Per year 83%
3 years
28.71
Total return -18% · Per year -6%
56.33
Total return 61% · Per year 17%
92.01
Total return 163% · Per year 38%
5 years
34.06
Total return -3% · Per year -1%
74.50
Total return 113% · Per year 16%
132.49
Total return 279% · Per year 31%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 14.08
  • Net margin± 9.86
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.35
  • Annual dilution± 0.83

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Miami International Holdings operates regulated exchanges for options, equities, futures and international markets, built on its own technology. The company reported net revenue of 141.1 million USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 35% year over year, amid elevated volatility in the options market.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Proprietary trading technology that the company describes as fast and reliable, and that customers value 1.
  • Strong position in the options market, with share and volume growth in 2025 and 2026 13.
  • A balance sheet with minimal debt at 30 June 2026 3.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends heavily on trading and clearing volumes, making results sensitive to volume declines 1.
  • The Futures and Equities segments show weak or negative operating results in the second quarter of 2026 3.
  • A largely fixed cost base could reduce profitability if revenue falls 1.

Opportunities

  • The launch of Bloomberg-based products could open new revenue sources 13.
  • Integrating TISE could extend activity in European listings 1.
  • Demand for outsourced clearing services could grow MIAX Futures activity 1.

Threats

  • A fall in market volatility could reduce options volumes 1.
  • Rising competition in clearing and options could reduce market share 1.
  • Regulatory changes and legal risks could impose additional costs 13.

Risks

  • Dependence on trading volumehigh

    Revenue comes mainly from transaction and clearing fees; volume declines could weigh on results 1.

  • Clearing riskmedium

    Default by clearing members could leave the clearing house with losses 1.

  • Litigation riskmedium

    A litigation settlement charge in the second quarter of 2026 shows exposure to legal proceedings 3.

  • Fixed costsmedium

    The cost structure is largely fixed; if revenue falls, profitability could fall quickly 1.

  • Intellectual property risklow

    Rights to the technology and licences could be challenged or difficult to defend 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If options volumes stay elevated and Bloomberg products gain traction, revenue growth could continue and margins could hold up 13.
  • A balance sheet with little debt and substantial cash provides flexibility for investment in new products 3.
  • Integrating TISE and international licences could diversify revenue beyond the US market 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If market volatility falls, options revenue could return quickly to lower levels 1.
  • The Futures and Equities segments do not yet show positive operating results, which could limit the benefit of diversification 3.
  • Higher expenses and one-off charges could reduce profitability if revenue does not cover them 3.

What to watch

  • Trend in options volumes and market shareQ3 2026
  • Effect of the Rothera launch on clearing activity2026
  • Adjusted operating expense guidance for 2026Q3 2026
  • Results of Bloomberg products in futuresnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

MIAX describes its business as building and operating regulated financial marketplaces across multiple asset classes and geographies. Its infrastructure rests on proprietary technology, which the company says sets it apart from competitors on speed and reliability. The portfolio includes four US options exchanges, one equities exchange, a futures exchange and clearing house, an FCM (Dorman Trading) and international markets via the Bermuda Stock Exchange and TISE 13. In 2025 multi-listed US options volume reached 2.4 billion contracts, a 41.1% increase on 2024 1.

The options market remains the main driver: in the second quarter of 2026 the Options segment generated 124.4 million USD of net revenue 3. In January 2026 the company sold 90% of MIAXdx and retained 10%, which was renamed Rothera 1. The TISE acquisition, closed in June 2025, added listing activity in Europe 1.

On 30 June 2026 the company held 660.5 million USD of cash and equivalents against total debt of only 1.5 million USD 3. The adjusted EBITDA margin reached 54% in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Segments

Options

The Options segment covers MIAX Options, Pearl, Emerald and Sapphire and accounts for most revenue. In the second quarter of 2026 net revenue grew 34% to 124.4 million USD 3.

Market context

The company operates mainly in the US options market, where its share was 17.1% in 2025 1 and 16.5% in the second quarter of 2026 3. High market volatility supported volumes, but the company says it cannot predict whether this will continue into 2026 1.

In futures, MIAX Futures remains under 1% of total US contracts, but competition in clearing services is rising and demand for outsourced clearing could support the company 1.

Trends

  • Market volatilitymixed

    Elevated volatility in 2025 and 2026 lifted options volumes and revenue; if volatility falls, volumes could decline as well 13.

  • New Bloomberg productstailwind

    The exclusive Bloomberg licence allows listing of index contracts across several exchanges; the B500 index futures launched in the second quarter of 2026 13.

  • Technology and staff costsheadwind

    Higher spending on staff, technology and marketing could compress margins if revenue does not grow at the same pace 3.

  • Clearing competition and AIheadwind

    Competition in clearing services is increasing, and supply chains affected by AI development are cited as a risk 1.

Competitive position

The company describes its competitors as other US options and equities exchanges and clearing houses, and lists competition risks explicitly in its risk factors 1. Share of multi-listed options depends on each exchange's allocation and pricing models 1.

In futures clearing, competition has grown and clearing houses with unrestricted licences are described as valuable 1. Direct comparisons with individual competitors are not quantified in the sources reviewed.

  • Other US options exchanges

    Compete for order flow in multi-listed options, mainly through different allocation and pricing models 1.

  • Clearing houses and FCMs

    Compete for futures and options-on-futures clearing, where outsourcing demand is rising 1.

  • Alternative equities platforms

    Pearl Equities competes with established US equities platforms, which it describes as incumbents 1.

  • European and offshore exchanges

    Compete for international listings of bonds and funds, particularly via TISE and BSX 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Miami International Holdings, Inc. · 06 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Miami International Holdings, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Miami International Holdings, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Miami International Holdings, Inc. (MIAX): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw