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olivLaw · US equity research

Robinhood Markets, Inc. HOOD

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

87.41USD+2.02% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Robinhood Markets is a mobile financial platform offering commission-free investing in stocks, options, crypto, futures and event contracts, and expanding into banking, retirement and credit cards. The company reported total net revenues of 4.47 billion USD in fiscal 2025 and 1.31 billion USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 32%, which makes it relevant to how market access for the general public is changing.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) stock was 87.41 USD (+2.02% on the day), with market capitalisation 0 USD, P/E 40.3 on diluted EPS of 2.17 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.92, 52-week range 65.16–142.48 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.4 bn USD (+11.8% YoY), net income of 468.0 m USD (−15.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.51 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
0 USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2021
P/E (TTM)
40.3
Diluted EPS TTM 2.17 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.48%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.92
Volatility (1y) 71%
52-week range
65.16142.48

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.9
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
80.91 – 113.12
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.20 · band width 33.2%
SMA 50 / 200
107.15 / 92.25
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-6.25 / -5.20
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−23.4%−1.1%−22.3 pp—
3 months−5.8%−0.5%−5.4 pp—
6 months+10.6%+4.4%+6.2 pp—
Year to date−22.7%+12.3%−35.0 pp—
1 year−36.1%+13.5%−49.6 pp−11.1%
3 years+802.1%+76.4%+725.7 pp+61.7%
5 years+136.2%+63.7%+72.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−54.3%
05 Nov 2025 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.9%
08 Nov 2021 → 16 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+18.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.4 bn USD
+11.8% YoY
Net income
468.0 m USD
−15.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.51
−16.4% YoY
net / operating
32.9% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.0 bn927.0 m989.0 m1.3 bn1.3 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn
Depreciation & amortisation22.0 m20.0 m21.0 m ≈22.0 m ≈23.0 m23.0 m23.0 m ≈26.0 m ≈
Pre-tax income558.0 m371.0 m442.0 m634.0 m661.0 m411.0 m709.0 m625.0 m
Income tax-358.0 m35.0 m56.0 m78.0 m56.0 m65.0 m136.0 m149.0 m
Net income916.0 m336.0 m386.0 m556.0 m605.0 m350.0 m561.0 m468.0 m
Diluted EPS1.00 ≈0.370.420.610.66 ≈0.380.620.51
Operating cash flow-1.4 bn642.0 m3.5 bn ≈-1.6 bn ≈-937.0 m2.0 bn720.0 m ≈1.2 bn ≈
Share repurchases160.0 m322.0 m124.0 m ≈107.0 m ≈100.0 m250.0 m414.0 m ≈25.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 36 percentile of its own 11-quarter history (min 23.8, median 47.7, max 130.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue277.5 m958.0 m1.8 bn1.4 bn1.9 bn3.0 bn4.5 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+245.2%+89.5%−25.2%+37.3%+58.2%+51.6%
Net income-106.6 m7.0 m-3.7 bn-1.0 bn-541.0 m1.4 bn1.9 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−52,771.4%unavailableunavailableunavailable+33.5%
Diluted EPS-0.480.01-7.49-1.17-0.611.562.05
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−75,000.0%unavailableunavailableunavailable+31.4%
net %-38.4%0.7%-203.1%-75.7%-29.0%47.8%42.1%
Free cash flow1.3 bn1.9 bn-948.0 m-880.0 munavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
4.3 bn USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-4.3 bn USD
Equity
9.2 bn USD
Total assets
38.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
1.26x
ROE
22.0%
ROA
5.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.9 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
349.0 m
2024
323.0 m
2025
355.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
71.0 m
2024
77.0 m
2025
86.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-533.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
8.0 m
2024
-347.0 m
2025
225.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-541.0 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.61
2024
1.56
2025
2.05

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
890.9 m
2024
906.2 m
2025
918.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
4.8 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
17.1 bn
2024
25.1 bn
2025
36.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
120.0 m
2024
139.0 m
2025
154.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
175.0 m
2024
179.0 m
2025
385.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
48.0 m
2024
38.0 m
2025
168.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
17.6 bn
2024
26.2 bn
2025
38.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
384.0 m
2024
397.0 m
2025
463.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Oct 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
10.8 bn
2024
18.1 bn
2025
28.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
10.9 bn
2024
18.2 bn
2025
29.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
6.7 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
9.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.2 bn
2024
-157.0 m
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2023verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-582.0 m
2024
-148.0 m
2025
141.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-610.0 m
2024
-345.0 m
2025
-590.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
608.0 m
2024
257.0 m
2025
653.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
51.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
48.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
36.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
33.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
206.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
31.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
190.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
39.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
21.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
-3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
-0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
insufficient data

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

87.41 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 0 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
21.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
39.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
51.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 746derived 61

Score by group

29% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
21.69
USD per share
Mid
29.47
USD per share
High
38.08
USD per share
Price: 87.41 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -66.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -196.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 21.69 – 38.08 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E21.69 – 38.08 (Mid 29.47)
    16 companies used · median multiple 13.6x · quartiles 10.0x – 17.6x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, IBKR, JEF, MIAX, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, SF, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality39.0%88 (vs peers)21%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth48.8%100 (on a fixed band)29%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x37 (on a fixed band)14%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation40.3x16 (vs peers)36%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial37/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial88/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial16/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 51.6%; net margin 39.0%; ROE 21.3%.

The estimated value range is 21.69–38.08 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 29.47 USD, the price of 87.41 USD leaves a potential of -66.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -196.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 39.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 48.8%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 40.3x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
40.3x
vertical median 15.6x
above median (+158.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−100.0%)
P/B
0.0x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−100.0%)
ROE
21.3%
vertical median 18.0%
above median (+18.5%)
Net margin
39.0%
vertical median 13.4%
above median (+191.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 22.1%
Revenue YoY
51.6%
vertical median 15.4%
above median (+234.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn28.112.2%24.2%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+8% / +60%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn5.216.5%14.6%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.040.321.3%39.0%+51.6%−36% / +802%
ETOReToro Group Ltd.—10.41.4%1.6%+9.5%−43% / unavailable
NMRNomura America Finance, LLC————+12.7%+29% / +138%
FUTUFutu Holdings Ltd075.933.3%49.6%+67.8%−42% / +82%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HOOD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (28 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Robinhood Markets is a mobile financial platform offering commission-free investing in stocks, options, crypto, futures and event contracts, and expanding into banking, retirement and credit cards. The company reported total net revenues of 4.47 billion USD in fiscal 2025 and 1.31 billion USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 32%, which makes it relevant to how market access for the general public is changing.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a large base of active customers and a recognized brand among new investors, which lets it launch new products quickly.
    • Diversification of revenue across several business lines, including cards and retirement, reduces dependence on any single type of transaction.
    • Its technology platform allows operations to scale at relatively controlled cost, and net deposit inflows are strong.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenues depend heavily on trading volume, which can fall quickly in quieter market periods.
    • The company has had restructurings and workforce reductions in the past, showing how sensitive its costs are to economic cycles.
    • The multi-class share structure concentrates voting power with founders, limiting shareholders' influence over decisions.

    Opportunities

    • International expansion, including in Canada, the UK and Asia, could bring new customers and revenue from different markets.
    • Banking, retirement and card products could raise average value per customer if adoption continues.
    • If event contract activity stabilizes through the Rothera platform, it could become a significant recurring revenue source.

    Threats

    • Regulation of payment for order flow, crypto and event contracts could restrict the company's core products.
    • Competition from platforms with greater resources could reduce market share and pressure commissions.
    • Cybersecurity incidents or operational errors could damage customer trust and financial results.

    Risks

    • Dependence on trading volumehigh

      Revenues are sensitive to trading activity, which can vary widely from quarter to quarter. The company notes that these fluctuations are largely outside its control.

    • Regulation of event contractshigh

      The ability to offer event contracts depends on regulatory enforcement actions and ongoing litigation. A change in law could stop these products.

    • Crypto volatility and regulationmedium

      The status of some cryptocurrencies as securities is uncertain in the US, and a misclassification could lead to investigations and fines. The legal framework is changing rapidly.

    • Interest rate exposuremedium

      Net interest revenues depend on the level of rates, and rapid rate changes could reduce profitability.

    • Joint venture control of Rotheralow

      The company does not wholly own or operationally control Rothera, and actions taken by Rothera could affect Robinhood's reputation and results.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If revenue and platform asset growth continue, the company could demonstrate that its diversified financial services model works at large scale.
    • Adoption of banking and retirement products could reduce dependence on trading and help stabilize revenue in weaker periods.
    • Adjusted EBITDA grew sharply in 2025, showing that operating margins can improve as the business scales.

    What would break the thesis

    • If trading volumes fall or crypto remains weak, revenue could slow sharply from its current pace.
    • Regulation of event contracts or payment for order flow could directly reduce revenue and raise compliance costs.
    • Marketing and new product investment could remain high, which could limit profitability gains.

    What to watch

    • Event contract revenue trends and the regulatory status of RotheraQ3 2026
    • Updated 2026 adjusted operating expense outlook and costs excluded for pending acquisitionsQ3 2026
    • Adoption of Trump Accounts and banking services, including deposits and sign-ups2026
    • Bitstamp results and crypto revenues in the EU and UKnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (28 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

    The business

    Robinhood was founded in 2013 on the belief that everyone should be welcome to participate in the financial system, regardless of wealth, income or background. The company describes its mission as democratizing finance for all and started with commission-free stock trading on mobile. It has since extended its range to options, futures, crypto, event contracts and banking services, and at the end of 2025 it had 27.0 million Funded Customers 1.

    Segments

    Brokerage and trading

    The brokerage segment includes trading in US-listed stocks and ETFs, options, futures, margin, securities lending and the Cash Sweep program. Transaction revenues come mainly from payments received from market makers for routing orders, and in the second quarter of 2026 event contracts revenue rose more than tenfold year-over-year 3.

    Crypto

    Robinhood offers crypto trading in the US through RHC and in the EU through RHEU, along with the self-custody Robinhood Wallet and staking for selected assets. Through the June 2025 acquisition of Bitstamp, the company extended its activity to institutional clients and digital asset exchanges in Europe 1.

    Market context

    The US and European retail brokerage markets are competitive, and the company's revenues depend heavily on trading volume, interest rate levels and net deposit inflows. Total Platform Assets reached 368.7 billion USD at the end of the second quarter of 2026, showing how much the company depends on capital market and crypto valuations 2.

    Customer growth is moderate, but revenue per user has grown much faster. ARPU reached 187 USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 24%, suggesting the customer base is diversifying into more products with higher revenue 3.

    Trends

    • Event contract tradingmixed

      Event contracts have grown very fast, and Robinhood launched the CFTC-licensed exchange Rothera with Susquehanna International Group. If regulators or courts restrict these products, revenue from this segment could fall quickly.

    • Adoption of savings and retirement productstailwind

      Retirement, Robinhood Banking and Robinhood Strategies are expanding and attracting new deposits, which could stabilize revenues against market swings. These products, however, require substantial marketing and operating investment.

    • Crypto volatilityheadwind

      Crypto revenues fell 38% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026, and crypto asset valuations declined. If the crypto market stays weak, this segment could weigh on overall results.

    • Regulation of payment for order flow and new productsheadwind

      Payment for order flow and new products such as stock tokens are subject to changing regulation. Changes could reduce revenue or raise compliance costs.

    Competitive position

    Robinhood competes with retail brokers and trading platforms that offer low commissions, similar products and banking services. The company says it is holding market share in active trading and event contracts, but its annual report acknowledges that many competitors have greater resources 13.

    The European and UK markets have strong local competitors in crypto and brokerage, and international expansion, including the WonderFi acquisition in Canada, could take time and additional investment to reach the desired scale 23.

    • Charles SchwabSCHW

      Retail and institutional broker with a broad range of investment services, a direct competitor in trading and individual investor accounts.

    • Interactive BrokersIBKR

      Brokerage platform focused on active trading and professional clients, with low costs and access to global markets.

    • CoinbaseCOIN

      Crypto exchange competing with Robinhood in crypto trading in the US and abroad.

    • SoFi TechnologiesSOFI

      Financial platform combining banking, lending and investing, competing with Robinhood on banking and savings products.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Robinhood Markets, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Robinhood Markets, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Robinhood Markets, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.