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olivLaw · US equity research

Futu Holdings Limited FUTU

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

97.92USD−4.57% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Futu Holdings operates a digital financial platform offering securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution through its Futubull and Moomoo apps to investors across several markets. In 2025 the company reported total revenues of HK$22.8 billion, and it served approximately 29.2 million users.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) stock was 97.92 USD (−4.57% on the day), with market capitalisation 0 USD, P/E 75.9 on diluted EPS of 1.29 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.61, 52-week range 89.76–188.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
0 USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2019
P/E (TTM)
75.9
Diluted EPS TTM 1.29 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
1.32%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.61
Volatility (1y) 62%
52-week range
89.76188.11

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
95.01 – 114.67
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.15 · band width 18.8%
SMA 50 / 200
110.52 / 124.35
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.81 / -2.58
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−10.7%−1.1%−9.6 pp—
3 months−11.2%−0.5%−10.7 pp—
6 months−41.7%+4.4%−46.1 pp—
Year to date−40.4%+12.3%−52.7 pp—
1 year−45.5%+13.5%−59.0 pp−11.1%
3 years+66.8%+76.4%−9.7 pp+61.7%
5 years+73.3%+63.7%+9.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.3%
12 Jan 2026 → 22 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−60.2%
15 Nov 2021 → 14 Mar 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 7-quarter history (min 111.5, median 127.3, max 516.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenueunavailable136.3 m427.0 m912.3 m976.0 m1.3 bn1.7 bn2.9 bn
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+213.3%+113.6%+7.0%+31.3%+36.5%+67.8%
Net incomeunavailable21.3 m171.0 m360.3 m375.2 m548.1 m700.7 m1.5 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable+703.9%+110.8%+4.1%+46.1%+27.8%+107.9%
Diluted EPSunavailable0.020.160.300.330.490.631.29
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable+700.0%+87.5%+10.0%+48.5%+28.6%+104.8%
net %unavailable15.6%40.0%39.5%38.4%42.8%40.1%49.6%
Free cash flowunavailable237.6 m2.6 bn761.8 m433.8 m-821.3 m4.0 bn5.2 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.3 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
5.2 bn USD
Total assets
29.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.19x
ROE
33.2%
ROA
5.9%
FCF margin
178.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
196.7 m
2024
314.8 m
2025
378.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
184.5 m
2024
192.3 m
2025
245.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
641.1 m
2024
852.5 m
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
7.8 m
2024
9.0 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
648.9 m ≈
2024
861.5 m ≈
2025
1.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
910.8 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Apr 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
645.4 m
2024
841.3 m
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
95.8 m
2024
128.5 m
2025
303.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
548.1 m
2024
700.7 m
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.49
2024
0.63
2025
1.29

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
632.1 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
12.2 bn
2024
20.1 bn
2025
28.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
125.0 m
2024
187.6 m
2025
164.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
110.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
72.1 m
2024
85.6 m
2025
109.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
12.4 bn
2024
20.4 bn
2025
29.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
9.3 bn
2024
16.8 bn
2025
24.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
9.3 bn
2024
16.8 bn
2025
24.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-811.4 m
2024
4.0 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
10.0 m
2024
21.6 m
2025
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-821.3 m ≈
2024
4.0 bn ≈
2025
5.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-312.9 m
2024
13.4 m
2025
-229.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
295.5 m
2024
9.1 m
2025
552.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
276.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
112.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Apr 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
67.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
44.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
47.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
112.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
107.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
57.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
53.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
104.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
57.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
51.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
31.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
87.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
61.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
61.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
49.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
178.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
33.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
34.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
5.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
7.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
5.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
359.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
288.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
75.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
unavailable
insufficient data
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
insufficient data

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 47.9% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

97.92 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 0 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
75.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
33.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
49.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
67.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 15 Apr 2026
verified 204

Score by group

48% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
13.48
USD per share
Mid
18.95
USD per share
High
24.38
USD per share
Price: 97.92 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -80.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -416.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 13.48 – 24.38 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E13.48 – 24.38 (Mid 18.95)
    17 companies used · median multiple 14.7x · quartiles 10.4x – 18.9x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, IBKR, JEF, MIAX, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, SF, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 47.9% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality49.6%92 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality359.3%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth44.3%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth57.5%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x33 (on a fixed band)9%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation75.9x0 (vs peers)22%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns5.3%100 (on a fixed band)9%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial33/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality96/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 67.8%; net margin 49.6%; ROE 33.3%.

The estimated value range is 13.48–24.38 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 18.95 USD, the price of 97.92 USD leaves a potential of -80.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -416.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 47.9% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 49.6%
  • FCF conversion: 359.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 44.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 57.5%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 5.3%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 75.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
75.9x
vertical median 15.6x
above median (+387.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−100.0%)
P/B
0.0x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−100.0%)
ROE
33.3%
vertical median 18.0%
above median (+85.5%)
Net margin
49.6%
vertical median 13.4%
above median (+270.8%)
EBIT margin
61.6%
vertical median 16.5%
above median (+274.1%)
Revenue YoY
67.8%
vertical median 15.4%
above median (+339.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn28.112.2%24.2%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+8% / +60%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn5.216.5%14.6%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
TIGRUp Fintech Holding Limited—63.722.6%28.0%+56.3%−55% / −11%
ETOReToro Group Ltd.—10.41.4%1.6%+9.5%−43% / unavailable
NMRNomura America Finance, LLC————+12.7%+29% / +138%
BULLWebull Corporation———4.3%+46.3%−42% / −50%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FUTU from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 15 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (20 Aug 2026), 6-K (28 May 2026), 6-K (22 May 2026).

    In brief

    Futu Holdings operates a digital financial platform offering securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution through its Futubull and Moomoo apps to investors across several markets. In 2025 the company reported total revenues of HK$22.8 billion, and it served approximately 29.2 million users 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A recognised brand in several markets and a large user base, with an integrated digital platform covering trading, data and community services 1.
    • Proprietary technology allows the company to add new markets with moderate investment and marginal cost 1.
    • Multiple licences and registrations in regulated jurisdictions that support international expansion 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenues depend heavily on trading volume and market conditions, which makes them hard to forecast 1.
    • A large share of revenue comes from one Hong Kong entity, which concentrates exposure in a single regulatory framework 1.
    • The VIE structure for China operations relies on contractual arrangements that may be less effective than direct ownership 1.

    Opportunities

    • Expansion into new markets and diversification into wealth management and corporate services could raise margins 1.
    • Integrating virtual asset trading with conventional securities could give clients unified access 1.
    • AI features could attract new users and deepen engagement with existing ones 1.

    Threats

    • Regulatory restrictions or sanctions in China and the United States could affect market access and licences 1.
    • Intense competition could compress commissions and market share 1.
    • International trade tensions could hit trading volumes and market stability 1.

    Risks

    • Regulation across several jurisdictionshigh

      Operations are subject to strict requirements in Hong Kong, the United States, Singapore and other markets, and non-compliance could lead to fines or loss of licences 1.

    • CSRC inquiry into mainland operationshigh

      The company is under CSRC inquiry over its cross-border operations, and further actions could affect results if the regulator is not satisfied with its remediation 1.

    • Revenue volatilitymedium

      Transaction-based revenues are volatile and difficult to predict, and a fall in trading volume could weigh on profitability 1.

    • Data protectionmedium

      Collecting and storing client data is subject to complex and evolving rules, and a breach could carry financial and reputational costs 1.

    • VIE structuremedium

      Reliance on contractual arrangements for China operations could expose the company to losing control of those entities if the rules change 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If growth in funded accounts and client assets holds, the company could keep expanding commission and interest income 1.
    • Expansion of Moomoo into more markets and diversification into wealth management could improve margins over the longer term 1.
    • Operating costs that do not rise in step with revenue could support profitability if volumes stay high 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If trading volumes fall with market conditions, commission revenue could drop quickly 1.
    • Regulatory inquiries and restrictions in China and other jurisdictions could limit growth and access to new licences 1.
    • Falling average commissions and intense competition could compress margins in the brokerage segment 1.

    What to watch

    • Trend in funded accounts and client asset balanceQ1 2027
    • Movement in blended commission rate and trading volumeQ1 2027
    • Outcome of regulatory proceedings in China and the United Statesnext 10-K
    • Development of virtual asset business through Panthertrade and its integration with Futu Securities2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 15 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (20 Aug 2026), 6-K (28 May 2026), 6-K (22 May 2026).

    The business

    Futu Holdings began as an online brokerage provider and has become an integrated financial platform combining trading, wealth management product distribution, market data, user community, investor education and institutional and corporate services 1. It operates mainly through Futu Securities in Hong Kong, regulated by the SFC, and its international expansion runs through the Moomoo platform, launched in the United States, Singapore, Australia, Japan, Canada, Malaysia and New Zealand 1. As of December 31, 2025 the number of funded accounts was 3,365,414, and total client asset balance reached HK$1,233.0 billion 1.

    The platform runs on a proprietary technology infrastructure integrated across markets, with automated protection mechanisms, data encryption and two-factor authentication 1. The company has also built AI features, including automated stock analysis, announcement summaries and assistants such as Futubull AI and Moomoo AI 1. Growth has relied largely on word-of-mouth referrals, organic traffic and online and offline marketing 1.

    The corporate structure also includes entities in the United States, Singapore, Australia, Japan, Canada, Malaysia and New Zealand, as well as a bank and a virtual asset platform in Hong Kong, and it consolidates PRC entities through contractual arrangements with VIEs 1. This structure carries regulatory implications that the source describes in detail 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in regulated markets where online brokerage is still at an early stage of development, and trading volume depends directly on market conditions and investor sentiment 1. Growth in affluent retail investors and mobile internet use supports demand, while changes in policy and regulation can affect access to services 1.

    Trading volume in securities and options reached HK$14.68 trillion in 2025, up from HK$7.75 trillion in 2024, and futures contracts traded rose to 26.6 million 1. The company notes that trade tensions between the United States and other countries could reduce volumes and activity in global markets 1.

    Trends

    • Growth in retail investingtailwind

      Rising numbers of individual investors and interest in global markets support demand for digital brokerage platforms, according to the company's description 1.

    • Market volatility and trade tensionsheadwind

      Trade tensions and shifts in sentiment could reduce trading volumes, and commission-based revenues could fluctuate significantly 1.

    • Expansion into virtual assets and AImixed

      Virtual asset licences and AI features could broaden the company's offer if client adoption grows 1.

    • Interest rates and margin financingmixed

      Interest income depends on rate levels and funding conditions, which makes this segment sensitive to rate changes 1.

    Competitive position

    The company states that it faces significant competition in online brokerage and wealth management, which could cost it market share if it fails to compete effectively 1. It bases its position on its brand, its technology and its integrated service offering 1.

    The source does not name individual competitors, but online brokers in the markets where Futu operates are the firms it is generally measured against in its risk disclosures 1.

    • Hong Kong online brokers

      Local online brokerage firms competing for the same retail investors, as described in the source's market overview.

    • US retail trading brokers

      American retail trading platforms competing in the Moomoo segment, not individually named in the source.

    • Asian brokerage platforms

      Regional providers active in Singapore, Malaysia and Japan that compete for clients in those markets.

    • Wealth management product providers

      Firms offering funds and investment products that compete with the company's Money Plus distribution.

    News & filings

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.