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olivLaw · US equity research

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. JEF

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

51.17USD+5.37% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Jefferies Financial Group is a U.S.-headquartered global investment banking and capital markets firm whose advisory, underwriting, equities and fixed income businesses expanded strongly in 2026. Net revenues rose 22.2 percent in the first nine months of fiscal 2026 (after 4.4 percent growth in fiscal 2025), and third quarter 2026 net revenues reached 2.22 billion USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock was 51.17 USD (+5.37% on the day), with market capitalisation 10.5 bn USD, P/E 16.7 on diluted EPS of 3.06 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.13%, beta 1.79, 52-week range 36.02–66.26 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.2 bn USD (+11.1% YoY), net income of 288.3 m USD (+18.9% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
10.5 bn USD
shares as of 30 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.7
Diluted EPS TTM 3.06 · TTM to 28 Feb 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.97%
TTM to 28 Feb 2026
Dividend yield
3.13%
DPS 12m 1.60
Beta (2y)
1.79
Volatility (1y) 42%
52-week range
36.0266.26

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
42.07 – 49.80
above the upper band · %B 1.18 · band width 16.8%
SMA 50 / 200
48.11 / 50.73
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.44 / -0.33
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.6%−1.1%+12.7 pp—
3 months−8.9%−0.5%−8.5 pp—
6 months−1.1%+4.4%−5.5 pp—
Year to date−17.4%+12.3%−29.7 pp—
1 year−3.5%+13.5%−17.0 pp−16.4%
3 years+46.7%+76.4%−29.7 pp+64.7%
5 years+23.4%+63.7%−40.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−45.6%
06 Jan 2026 → 12 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−55.9%
16 Dec 2024 → 12 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+4.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 31 Aug 2026

Revenue
3.2 bn USD
+11.1% YoY
Net income
288.3 m USD
+18.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
8.9% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.9 bn2.5 bn2.5 bn2.9 bn2.9 bn2.9 bn3.1 bn3.2 bn
Cost of revenue96.8 m41.6 m43.0 m34.4 m72.0 m29.9 m31.3 m22.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation51.2 m31.0 m52.3 m53.2 m55.8 m56.9 m47.3 m43.3 m
Pre-tax income304.9 m151.1 m134.9 m331.8 m253.2 m212.2 m315.5 m351.0 m
Income tax86.1 m14.2 m43.5 m89.3 m37.5 m52.9 m65.6 m62.8 m
Net income223.9 m136.8 m91.4 m242.5 m211.3 m159.3 m250.0 m288.3 m
Diluted EPS1.01 ≈0.570.401.010.95 ≈0.70——
Operating cash flow—-2.7 bn-978.3 m ≈184.2 m ≈—-1.7 bn1.6 bn ≈2.6 bn ≈
Capex69.9 m49.6 m43.7 m ≈58.2 m ≈56.0 m64.9 m48.0 m ≈49.3 m ≈
Dividends paid81.6 m92.7 m94.3 m ≈93.5 m ≈93.5 m92.8 m91.8 m ≈91.9 m ≈
Share repurchases1.0 k56.3 m1.3 m ≈918.0 k ≈29.0 k174.3 m197.4 m ≈68.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 61 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 5.5, median 14.5, max 63.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.0 bn5.4 bn6.9 bn8.9 bn7.1 bn7.4 bn10.5 bn10.8 bn
Revenue YoY+31.2%unavailable+28.4%+30.0%−20.1%+4.1%+41.3%+2.9%
Net income167.4 m959.6 m769.6 m1.7 bn781.7 m262.4 m716.0 m682.0 m
Net income YoY+32.9%unavailable−19.8%+116.7%−53.1%−66.4%+172.9%−4.7%
Diluted EPS0.453.032.656.133.061.102.992.83
Diluted EPS YoY+32.4%unavailable−12.5%+131.3%−50.1%−64.1%+171.8%−5.4%
net %3.3%17.9%11.2%18.6%10.9%3.5%6.8%6.3%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailable1.9 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn-1.9 bnunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Nov 2025

Cash
14.0 bn USD
Financial debt
17.7 bn USD
Net debt
3.6 bn USD
Equity
10.6 bn USD
Total assets
76.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.66x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
6.5%
ROA
1.0%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
7.4 bn
2024
10.5 bn
2025
10.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
29.4 m
2024
206.3 m
2025
190.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
7.4 bn ≈
2024
10.3 bn ≈
2025
10.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026derived

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
112.2 m
2024
190.3 m
2025
192.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
2.7 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jan 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
354.3 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
871.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Income tax
2023
91.9 m
2024
293.2 m
2025
184.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Net income
2023
262.4 m
2024
716.0 m
2025
682.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.10
2024
2.99
2025
2.83

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
236.6 m
2024
223.7 m
2025
222.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.20
2024
1.30
2025
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
8.5 bn
2024
12.2 bn
2025
14.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
196.9 m
2024
226.4 m
2025
202.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Total assets
2023
57.9 bn
2024
64.4 bn
2025
76.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
989.7 m
2024
443.2 m
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
9.7 bn
2024
13.5 bn
2025
15.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
48.1 bn
2024
54.1 bn
2025
65.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.8 bn
2024
10.2 bn
2025
10.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-1.9 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jan 2024verified

Capex
2023
1.2 m
2024
250.6 m
2025
207.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-1.9 bn ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jan 2024derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-12.2 m
2024
210.3 m
2025
-298.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
1.1 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Jan 2024verified

Dividends paid
2023
278.6 m
2024
303.0 m
2025
374.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
169.4 m
2024
44.3 m
2025
58.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jan 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
98.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROA
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
52.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Capital expenditure
218.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
10.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
12.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

51.17 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 10.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
10.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Mar 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 09 Oct 2026
verified 2517derived 186

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
33.74
USD per share
Mid
46.66
USD per share
High
57.53
USD per share
Price: 51.17 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -8.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -9.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 21.03 – 86.78 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E46.46 – 86.78 (Mid 69.20)
    17 companies used · median multiple 15.6x · quartiles 10.4x – 19.5x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, IBKR, MIAX, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, SF, TIGR, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)21.03 – 28.28 (Mid 24.12)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality7.5%42 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.8%100 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.6%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.5x74 (vs peers)26%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.7%100 (on a fixed band)16%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial42/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial74/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-08-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 10.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.9%; net margin 7.5%; ROE 8.6%.

The estimated value range is 33.74–57.53 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 46.66 USD, the price of 51.17 USD leaves a potential of -8.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -9.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.8%
  • P/E (TTM): 11.5x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.7%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -2.6%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.5x
vertical median 16.8x
below median (−31.5%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−59.4%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−55.4%)
ROE
8.6%
vertical median 18.5%
below median (−53.5%)
Net margin
7.5%
vertical median 13.5%
below median (−44.8%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 22.1%
Revenue YoY
2.9%
vertical median 19.6%
below median (−85.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
3.1%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+68.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn28.112.2%24.2%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+8% / +60%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−3% / +47%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn5.216.5%14.6%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.—8.733.6%13.5%+26.2%+48% / +195%
NMRNomura America Finance, LLC————+12.7%+29% / +138%
ETOReToro Group Ltd.—10.41.4%1.6%+9.5%−43% / unavailable
OPYOppenheimer Holdings Inc.—12.49.1%4.9%+14.4%+35% / +131%

1- and 3-year price returns: for JEF from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
33.38
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
58.76
Total return 20% · Per year 20%
88.14
Total return 79% · Per year 79%
3 years
39.47
Total return -10% · Per year -3%
77.47
Total return 70% · Per year 19%
126.55
Total return 170% · Per year 39%
5 years
46.67
Total return 15% · Per year 3%
102.14
Total return 135% · Per year 19%
181.71
Total return 302% · Per year 32%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 19.37
  • Net margin± 13.56
  • Annual revenue growth± 10.13
  • Annual dilution± 1.14

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Jefferies Financial Group is a U.S.-headquartered global investment banking and capital markets firm whose advisory, underwriting, equities and fixed income businesses expanded strongly in 2026. Net revenues rose 22.2 percent in the first nine months of fiscal 2026 (after 4.4 percent growth in fiscal 2025), and third quarter 2026 net revenues reached 2.22 billion USD 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A strong advisory franchise with recently gained market share and record quarterly results 3.
  • An extended strategic alliance with a major shareholder that supports client access and capital in Japan and Europe 13.

Weaknesses

  • Fixed income trading revenues are volatile and fell significantly in 2026 3.
  • The Asset Management segment is sensitive to fund performance, and its revenues fell in the latest quarter 3.
  • As a holding company, it depends on payments from subsidiaries, some of which are subject to regulatory restrictions 1.

Opportunities

  • The Japanese joint venture with SMBC could extend equities and capital markets activity in the region 13.
  • Reducing legacy direct investments could improve operating margins and the consistency of revenues 3.
  • If merger and acquisition activity holds up, advisory revenues could continue to grow 3.

Threats

  • Market volatility and economic uncertainty can quickly reduce transaction volumes and investment banking revenues 1.
  • A possible credit rating downgrade could raise funding costs and affect client relationships 1.
  • Geopolitical risks and unforeseen events could disrupt financial markets and the firm's activity 1.

Risks

  • Credit and counterparty riskmedium

    Settlement and financing activities expose the firm to customer or counterparty nonperformance, even when transactions are collateralized 1.

  • Market risk of principal positionshigh

    A considerable portion of revenues comes from principal trading, and adverse price movements could reduce revenues and profits 1.

  • Credit rating downgrade riskmedium

    A downgrade could raise borrowing costs and require additional collateral to counterparties 1.

  • Dependence on subsidiary liquiditylow

    The holding company relies on dividends and payments from subsidiaries, which may be restricted by regulation or capital requirements 1.

  • Catastrophic and geopolitical eventsmedium

    Military conflicts, cyberattacks, pandemics and climate events could disrupt operations and client activity 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong growth in advisory and underwriting during 2026, with record third quarter results, suggests the firm has gained share in favorable conditions 3.
  • Equities activity, supported by electronic trading and prime services, reached record levels and could provide steadier revenues 3.
  • The SMBC alliance and the planned Japanese joint venture could open new revenue sources if implemented successfully 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Fixed income revenues fell 26 percent in third quarter 2026, showing exposure to market conditions 3.
  • Asset Management reported lower revenues due to weaker performance in several funds, and reducing allocated capital could add pressure on revenues 3.
  • The business remains sensitive to economic cycles, and a return of uncertainty could quickly reduce advisory and trading activity 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in advisory and underwriting revenuesQ4 2026
  • Completion of the Tessellis sale and wind-down of legacy investments2027
  • Launch of the SMBC Japanese joint ventureJanuary 2027
  • Performance of fixed income sales and trading revenuesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Jefferies is a U.S.-headquartered investment banking and capital markets firm whose largest subsidiary, Jefferies LLC, is a U.S. broker-dealer founded in 1962. Its stated strategy centers on growing investment banking, executing in capital markets sales and trading, and growing its credit and alternative asset management platforms 1. The firm reports two segments: Investment Banking and Capital Markets, and Asset Management 1.

In fiscal 2025, Investment Banking and Capital Markets generated 89.9 percent of net revenues and Asset Management 9.7 percent 1. Headcount was 7,787 at November 30, 2025 and 7,065 at August 31, 2026, following the wind-down of legacy merchant banking holdings 12.

The strategic alliance with Japan's SMBC group is a central element: SMBC holds roughly 20 percent economic ownership, and a planned Japanese joint venture is expected to begin serving clients in January 2027 13.

Segments

Investment Banking and Capital Markets

This segment includes mergers and acquisitions advisory, debt advisory and restructuring, equity and debt underwriting, and sales and trading in equities and fixed income 1. In fiscal 2025, advisory revenues rose 18.4 percent to 2.15 billion USD 1. In third quarter 2026, advisory revenues reached a record 818 million USD 3.

Asset Management

This segment offers alternative investment strategies through directly owned and affiliated managers and holds investments in public and private companies, including the legacy merchant banking portfolio 1. Revenues fell in third quarter 2026 from the prior year, reflecting weaker performance across several fund strategies, and the firm announced it is reducing capital allocated to certain existing funds 3.

Market context

Advisory and underwriting revenues depend directly on general economic conditions and financial market activity: when the outlook is uncertain, transaction volumes tend to decline 1. The company describes the first nine months of fiscal 2026 as supported by stronger market momentum and a larger pipeline of merger and acquisition transactions 23.

The fixed income market remained weaker, with fixed income revenues down 26 percent in third quarter 2026 3. Competition and price volatility affect results, and the level of market activity remains the main external factor 1.

Trends

  • Recovery in merger and acquisition advisorytailwind

    Advisory revenues reached record levels in third quarter 2026, supported by market share gains and sponsor-led activity in healthcare, industrials and energy 3. If this activity persists, it could support revenues in coming quarters.

  • Market volatility and subdued fixed income activityheadwind

    The firm notes that a volatile market can affect investment banking and sales and trading transactions, and lower activity in fixed income reduced revenues in third quarter 2026 13.

  • SMBC alliance and the Japanese joint venturetailwind

    The strategic alliance with SMBC is expanding, and the planned Japanese joint venture, expected to start in January 2027, could extend the firm's equities activity in Japan 13.

  • Legacy portfolio reduction and fund performancemixed

    Efforts to wind down legacy merchant banking investments and reallocate capital from certain funds could weigh on Asset Management revenues in the short term, but could improve operating margins if successful 3.

Competitive position

Jefferies operates in investment banking, capital markets and alternative asset management, where it competes with global investment banks and specialist firms in mergers and acquisitions, underwriting and trading. The supplied sources do not explicitly name competitors, so this profile does not list them with certainty.

The firm's position is supported by market share gains in advisory and its global equities trading platform, but competition intensifies in volatile periods when clients reduce activity 13.

  • Global investment banks

    Compete in mergers and acquisitions advisory and underwriting, an area where Jefferies gained market share in 2026 3.

  • Brokerage and equities trading firms

    Compete in equities sales and trading and in prime brokerage services for hedge funds 1.

  • Alternative asset managers

    Compete for institutional investor capital in credit and alternative strategies 1.

  • Fixed income dealers

    Compete in fixed income trading and financing, a segment where Jefferies saw declines in 2026 3.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-11-30 · SEC / Jefferies Financial Group Inc. · 28 Jan 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-31 · SEC / Jefferies Financial Group Inc. · 09 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Jefferies Financial Group Inc. · 28 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.