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olivLaw · US equity research

Raymond James Financial, Inc. RJF

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

168.69USD+4.34% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) is a diversified financial services company providing private client, capital markets, asset management, banking and other services. For fiscal 2025, net revenues were 14.07 billion USD, up 10%, and in fiscal third quarter 2026 net revenues reached 3.93 billion USD, up 16%. The data show solid growth, though the outlook stays conditional on market and interest rate developments.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) stock was 168.69 USD (+4.34% on the day), with market capitalisation 32.4 bn USD, P/E 14.7 on diluted EPS of 11.49 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.26%, beta 0.98, 52-week range 140.89–181.18 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.4 bn USD (+13.5% YoY), net income of 595.0 m USD (+36.5% YoY), diluted EPS 3.01 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
32.4 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.7
Diluted EPS TTM 11.49 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.81%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.26%
DPS 12m 2.12
Beta (2y)
0.98
Volatility (1y) 26%
52-week range
140.89181.18

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
152.28 – 164.71
above the upper band · %B 1.32 · band width 7.8%
SMA 50 / 200
163.93 / 160.03
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.15 / -1.30
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.9%−1.1%+6.0 pp—
3 months−6.6%−0.5%−6.1 pp—
6 months+5.8%+4.4%+1.5 pp—
Year to date+5.0%+12.3%−7.3 pp—
1 year+6.7%+13.5%−6.9 pp−16.4%
3 years+66.6%+76.4%−9.8 pp+64.7%
5 years+68.7%+63.7%+5.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−18.9%
09 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−32.7%
10 Nov 2022 → 04 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.4 bn USD
+13.5% YoY
Net income
595.0 m USD
+36.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.01
+42.0% YoY
net / operating
13.6% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.0 bn4.0 bn3.8 bn3.8 bn4.2 bn4.2 bn4.3 bn4.4 bn
Depreciation & amortisation47.0 m47.0 m47.0 m ≈49.0 m ≈52.0 m49.0 m50.0 m ≈55.0 m ≈
Pre-tax income—749.0 m671.0 m563.0 m————
Income tax158.0 m149.0 m176.0 m127.0 m127.0 m165.0 m191.0 m155.0 m
Net income602.0 m600.0 m495.0 m436.0 m604.0 m563.0 m544.0 m595.0 m
Diluted EPS2.87 ≈2.862.362.122.97 ≈2.792.723.01
Operating cash flow510.0 m830.0 m117.0 m ≈691.0 m ≈796.0 m-10.0 m1.1 bn ≈-246.0 m ≈
Capex50.0 m41.0 m46.0 m ≈57.0 m ≈44.0 m46.0 m45.0 m ≈62.0 m ≈
Dividends paid95.0 m105.0 m106.0 m ≈103.0 m ≈102.0 m112.0 m109.0 m ≈105.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 79 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 7.5, median 13.0, max 16.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue7.5 bn8.0 bn8.2 bn9.9 bn11.3 bn13.0 bn14.9 bn15.9 bn
Revenue YoY+14.6%+7.3%+1.8%+21.3%+14.1%+14.9%+14.9%+6.6%
Net income857.0 m1.0 bn818.0 m1.4 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn2.1 bn2.1 bn
Net income YoY+34.7%+20.7%−20.9%+71.5%+7.6%+15.2%+18.9%+3.2%
Diluted EPS5.754.783.886.636.987.979.7010.30
Diluted EPS YoY+32.8%−16.9%−18.8%+70.9%+5.3%+14.2%+21.7%+6.2%
net %11.5%12.9%10.0%14.2%13.3%13.4%13.9%13.4%
Free cash flow750.0 m439.0 m3.9 bn6.6 bn-19.0 m-3.7 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
11.4 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
12.5 bn USD
Total assets
88.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
17.7%
ROA
2.5%
FCF margin
14.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
13.0 bn
2024
14.9 bn
2025
15.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
165.0 m
2024
179.0 m
2025
195.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Interest expense
2023
1.4 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.3 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2023verified

Income tax
2023
541.0 m
2024
575.0 m
2025
579.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
1.7 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.97
2024
9.70
2025
10.30

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
216.9 m
2024
212.3 m
2025
206.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.68
2024
1.80
2025
2.00

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
9.3 bn
2024
11.0 bn
2025
11.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
561.0 m
2024
635.0 m
2025
670.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
470.0 m
2024
435.0 m
2025
396.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
78.4 bn
2024
83.0 bn
2025
88.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2023verified

Total liabilities
2023
68.2 bn
2024
71.3 bn
2025
75.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
10.2 bn
2024
11.7 bn
2025
12.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-3.5 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
173.0 m
2024
205.0 m
2025
188.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
-3.7 bn ≈
2024
2.0 bn ≈
2025
2.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-274.0 m
2024
-968.0 m
2025
-4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
438.0 m
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
355.0 m
2024
383.0 m
2025
416.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Nov 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
12.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
21.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
21.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
15.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
29.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
197.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
62.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
32.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

168.69 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 32.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
32.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

24/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2430derived 222

Score by group

58% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
120.02
USD per share
Mid
178.78
USD per share
High
224.21
USD per share
Price: 168.69 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 6.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 5.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 120.02 – 224.21 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E120.02 – 224.21 (Mid 178.78)
    17 companies used · median multiple 15.6x · quartiles 10.4x – 19.5x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, IBKR, JEF, MIAX, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, SCHW, SEIC, SF, TIGR, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate26.28 – 35.34 (Mid 30.15)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality13.6%54 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality62.5%46 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth12.1%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth13.8%92 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation14.7x58 (vs peers)18%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.4%56 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.3%19 (on a fixed band)11%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns29.7%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth96/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality50/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns51/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation57/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL, INC. (RJF). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 15.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 6.6%; net margin 13.6%; ROE 18.5%.

The estimated value range is 120.02–224.21 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 178.78 USD, the price of 168.69 USD leaves a potential of 6.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 5.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 12.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 13.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 29.7%

What contradicts it

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.3%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
14.7x
vertical median 16.8x
below median (−12.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−8.0%)
P/B
2.6x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+61.8%)
ROE
18.5%
vertical median 18.0%
at median
Net margin
13.6%
vertical median 13.4%
at median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 22.1%
Revenue YoY
6.6%
vertical median 19.6%
below median (−66.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 1.9%
below median (−34.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn29.512.3%24.1%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+7% / +67%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn10.316.4%14.3%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Corporation1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.040.321.3%39.0%+51.6%−32% / +893%
ETOReToro Group Ltd.—10.41.4%1.6%+9.5%−43% / unavailable
NMRNomura America Finance, LLC————+12.7%+29% / +138%
FUTUFutu Holdings Ltd075.933.3%49.6%+67.8%−42% / +82%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RJF from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
111.97
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
197.29
Total return 18% · Per year 18%
296.26
Total return 77% · Per year 77%
3 years
125.81
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
247.74
Total return 52% · Per year 15%
405.95
Total return 147% · Per year 35%
5 years
141.36
Total return -10% · Per year -2%
311.09
Total return 94% · Per year 14%
556.27
Total return 242% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 61.93
  • Net margin± 43.35
  • Annual revenue growth± 33.18
  • Annual dilution± 3.64

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) is a diversified financial services company providing private client, capital markets, asset management, banking and other services 1. For fiscal 2025, net revenues were 14.07 billion USD, up 10% 1, and in fiscal third quarter 2026 net revenues reached 3.93 billion USD, up 16% 3. The data show solid growth, though the outlook stays conditional on market and interest rate developments.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The diversified model, with complementary segments, reduces dependence on any single revenue type.
  • A large base of assets under management and a high share of fee-based accounts provide recurring revenue.
  • Capital and liquidity are strong, with capital ratios above regulatory requirements.

Weaknesses

  • A high compensation ratio means a large share of revenue goes to advisors and staff.
  • Interest-related revenue depends on rate levels and sweep deposit balances, which can be volatile.
  • Non-compensation costs have risen on legal provisions and technology investment.

Opportunities

  • Advisor recruiting and recent acquisitions could expand assets under management.
  • The investment banking market could benefit from higher M&A and underwriting volumes.
  • Securities-based and bank lending could grow if client demand remains solid.

Threats

  • A market correction could reduce assets under management and fee revenue.
  • Cyber-attacks and data theft could cause financial losses and reputational damage.
  • Regulatory changes and litigation could raise compliance costs.

Risks

  • Reputational riskhigh

    Loss of client confidence due to conduct issues, litigation or sector-wide events could affect the business 1.

  • Cybersecurity riskhigh

    A security breach could expose client data and create financial liability and regulatory penalties 1.

  • Dependence on sweep depositsmedium

    A reduction in RJBDP balances could limit Bank segment growth and affect capital ratios 1.

  • Access to fundingmedium

    Tighter credit markets could limit the firm's access to capital and liquidity during stress periods 1.

  • Legal and regulatory exposurelow

    Litigation provisions and regulatory sanctions can raise expenses and affect quarterly results 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If growth in fee-based assets and advisor recruiting continues, recurring revenue could keep rising.
  • A more active investment banking market could support growth in the Capital Markets segment.
  • Strong capital and high liquidity could allow investment in growth and acquisitions.

What would break the thesis

  • A market correction could reduce assets under management and related fees.
  • Lower interest rates could reduce deposit-related and net interest income.
  • Rising staff costs and legal provisions could compress margins.

What to watch

  • Trend in net revenues and fee-based assetsQ4 2026
  • Pace of advisor recruiting and net asset gathering2027
  • RJBDP sweep balances and net interest margin trajectory2027
  • Next annual 10-K disclosures on litigation and regulationnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Raymond James Financial operates through five reportable segments: Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank and Other 1. As of September 30, 2025, client assets under administration in the PCG segment were 1.67 trillion USD, and the firm had 8,943 financial advisors affiliated with it 1. The company is listed on the NYSE under the symbol RJF and is supervised by the Federal Reserve as a bank and financial holding company 1.

The business model combines recurring revenue from fees on assets under management with transactional and banking income. As of September 30, 2025, assets under administration through the RCS division for third-party firms totaled 217.3 billion USD 1. The Bank segment had total assets of 65.26 billion USD, of which 46% were securities-based and residential mortgage loans 1.

As of September 30, 2025, the firm reported approximately 19,500 associates and 5,065 independent advisors 1. As of June 30, 2026, client assets under administration reached 1.92 trillion USD, and fee-based assets in PCG reached 1.15 trillion USD 3.

Segments

Private Client Group

The PCG segment provides financial planning, investment advisory and securities transaction services through financial advisors 1. Segment net revenues in fiscal 2025 were 10.18 billion USD 1. In fiscal third quarter 2026, net revenues rose 14% year over year to a record level 3.

Bank

The Bank segment provides securities-based, corporate and residential mortgage loans, and FDIC-insured deposits 1. The net interest margin was 2.71% in fiscal third quarter 2026 3. Net bank loans reached 56.2 billion USD as of June 30, 2026 3.

Market context

The firm's results depend on broad economic conditions, equity and fixed income market activity, interest rate levels and corporate finance activity 1. A favorable market environment with tight credit spreads and attractive yields supported the firm's September 2025 senior note issuance 1.

Financial advisor recruiting and net asset gathering are key drivers of PCG growth 3. Lower short-term interest rates can reduce net interest income and sweep-related fees 1.

Competitive position

Raymond James adapts its model by combining employee, independent contractor and RIA affiliation options, supported by custody services 1. Competition in wealth management and advisory services is intense, and the firm's advantage depends on retaining advisors and clients.

In investment banking and trading, the firm competes with other financial services firms offering the same M&A, advisory and underwriting products 1. Differentiation rests on client relationships and service quality rather than price.

  • Morgan StanleyMS

    Direct competitor in wealth management, investment banking and trading, cited as a market reference in the firm's competitive environment.

  • Goldman SachsGS

    Competitor in investment banking, M&A advisory and securities underwriting.

  • Stifel FinancialSF

    Competitor in private client advisory and mid-sized investment banking.

  • LPL FinancialLPLA

    Competitor in independent advisor affiliation and custody services for advisors.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 28 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report23 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure
  • Current report19 Aug 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report22 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report24 Jun 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report19 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Raymond James Financial, Inc. · 25 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Raymond James Financial, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Raymond James Financial, Inc. · 22 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.