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olivLaw · US equity research

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited MLCO

Hotels & Motels · SIC 7011 · Vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

4.71USD+12.14% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Melco Resorts & Entertainment is a developer and operator of integrated resort facilities in Asia and Europe, with most of its revenue generated in Macau. Total operating revenues rose 11.3% in 2025, suggesting the gaming and hospitality business regained momentum after a weaker period. The topic matters because heavy exposure to Macau and to Chinese regulation means results depend on factors that are hard to control.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) stock was 4.71 USD (+12.14% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.7 bn USD, P/E 30.6 on diluted EPS of 0.15 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.94, 52-week range 3.73–9.39 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.7 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
30.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.15 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
3.27%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
0.94
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
3.739.39

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.63 – 4.54
above the upper band · %B 1.18 · band width 22.5%
SMA 50 / 200
4.50 / 5.36
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.09 / -0.18
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.3%−1.1%+12.4 pp—
3 months−16.6%−0.5%−16.2 pp—
6 months−13.7%+4.4%−18.1 pp—
Year to date−37.8%+12.3%−50.1 pp—
1 year−41.7%+13.5%−55.3 pp+9.5%
3 years−45.0%+76.4%−121.5 pp+9.3%
5 years−58.9%+63.7%−122.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−60.3%
01 Dec 2025 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−74.1%
21 Apr 2023 → 23 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−16.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 6-quarter history (min 49.2, median 110.0, max 170.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.2 bn5.7 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn1.3 bn3.8 bn4.6 bn5.2 bn
Revenue YoY−1.8%+10.6%−69.9%+16.5%−32.9%+179.7%+22.9%+11.3%
Net income340.3 m373.2 m-1.3 bn-811.8 m-930.5 m-326.9 m43.5 m185.0 m
Net income YoY−1.3%+9.7%−438.6%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+325.0%
Diluted EPS0.220.26-0.88-0.57-0.67-0.250.030.15
Diluted EPS YoY−2.6%+15.2%−442.6%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+352.9%
net %6.6%6.5%-73.1%-40.3%-68.9%-8.7%0.9%3.6%
Free cash flowunavailable827.5 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.0 bn USD
Financial debt
6.7 bn USD
Net debt
5.7 bn USD
Equity
-903.6 m USD
Total assets
7.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.07x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
2.4%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
488.1 m
2024
568.7 m
2025
657.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
65.0 m
2024
484.6 m
2025
600.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
482.6 m
2024
487.3 m
2025
486.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
547.5 m ≈
2024
972.0 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
492.4 m
2024
486.7 m
2025
464.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-401.9 m
2024
-6.3 m
2025
148.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
13.4 m
2024
21.6 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-326.9 m
2024
43.5 m
2025
185.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.25
2024
0.03
2025
0.15

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.00
2024
0.00
2025
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
91.6 m
2024
144.2 m
2025
126.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
29.4 m
2024
32.5 m
2025
36.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
81.6 m
2024
82.1 m
2025
23.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
304.7 m
2024
288.7 m
2025
270.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
8.3 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
7.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.8 m
2024
24.8 m
2025
25.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
21.6 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
7.5 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
6.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
9.2 bn
2024
8.9 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
-840.1 m
2024
-940.0 m
2025
-903.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
622.7 m
2024
626.7 m
2025
818.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-48.5 m
2024
-300.8 m
2025
-341.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-478.3 m
2025
-603.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
314.0 k
2024
344.0 k
2025
78.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
11.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
56.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
24.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
23.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
325.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
352.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
21.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
11.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
5.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
1.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
818.1 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
75.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
10 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
11.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
31.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
30.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
10.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
19.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
2.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 41 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.71 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
30.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
10.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Mar 2026
verified 573derived 7

Score by group

  • Balance sheet20
  • Growth100
  • Quality36
  • Returns0
  • Valuation52

Estimated value range

Low
1.77
USD per share
Mid
4.65
USD per share
High
8.12
USD per share
Price: 4.71 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -1.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -1.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.72 – 9.96 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.72 – 9.96 (Mid 5.01)
    14 companies used · median multiple 10.9x · quartiles 6.1x – 16.4x
    BYD, CHH, CNTY, CZR, FLL, HLT, IHG, LVS, MGM, PK, TNL, WH, WYNN, XHR
  • Peers: P/E2.83 – 6.29 (Mid 4.30)
    14 companies used · median multiple 27.9x · quartiles 18.4x – 40.8x
    ATAT, BYD, CHH, HLT, IHG, LVS, MAR, MCRI, MGM, RRR, SHO, TNL, WH, WYNN
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate0.00 – 0.00 (Mid 0.00)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 41/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality3.6%36 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth56.4%100 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.3x32 (vs peers)17%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.3x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x23 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation30.6x47 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.6x56 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet20/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial36/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation52/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED (MLCO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 11.3%; net margin 3.6%; net debt/EBITDA 5.3x.

The estimated value range is 1.77–8.12 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 4.65 USD, the price of 4.71 USD leaves a potential of -1.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -1.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 41/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, quality, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 56.4%

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: 1.3x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 26 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
30.6x
vertical median 29.8x
at median
EV/EBITDA
10.6x
vertical median 13.6x
below median (−22.3%)
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−39.5%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.2x
ROE
—
vertical median 11.2%
Net margin
3.6%
vertical median 5.8%
below median (−38.1%)
EBIT margin
11.6%
vertical median 15.7%
below median (−26.0%)
Revenue YoY
11.3%
vertical median 4.1%
above median (+176.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.3x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+58.2%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−99.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
HTHTH World Group Ltd154.3 bn218.441.5%20.1%+10.5%+9% / +37%
MARMarriott International Inc109.4 bn42.4—9.7%+4.3%+39% / +110%
HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.83.8 bn50.8—13.4%+7.7%+32% / +125%
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC29.0 bn36.2—14.6%+5.4%+31% / +124%
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.25.5 bn16.7262.8%11.8%+15.2%−40% / −12%
ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings Limited14.5 bn63.750.5%16.6%+41.0%−9% / +97%
WYNNWynn Resorts, Limited8.5 bn19.7—6.1%+0.1%−36% / −2%
MGMMGM Resorts International8.3 bn12.726.8%3.9%+1.7%−7% / −17%
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.6.0 bn—-15.1%-4.5%+2.1%+26% / −34%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.9 bn29.838.2%14.0%+1.5%+10% / +4%
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited5.7 bn30.6—3.6%+11.3%−42% / −45%
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp5.5 bn11.719.6%12.3%+4.1%−7% / +32%
CHHChoice Hotels International Inc5.4 bn26.7146.5%12.7%+0.8%+32% / +9%
TNLTravel & Leisure Co.4.7 bn20.7—5.7%+4.1%+13% / +118%
PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.3.4 bn—-5.0%-6.4%−2.2%+57% / +14%
SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.2.4 bn54.72.8%5.3%+6.0%+39% / +32%
PENNPenn Entertainment, Inc.2.3 bn—-37.4%-12.7%+5.8%+18% / −29%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.0 bn628.90.3%0.3%+3.8%+57% / +79%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.2.0 bn17.920.4%20.4%+4.4%+17% / +80%
BALYBally’s Corporation680.3 m———+0.1%−23% / unavailable
FLLFull House Resorts Inc29.1 m—-936.4%-12.1%+3.5%−70% / −84%
CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.16.9 m——-9.6%−0.5%−61% / −86%
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.—29.160.8%5.8%+3.7%−17% / +9%
MSCStudio City International Holdings Limited——-10.5%-8.5%+8.7%−75% / −83%
HHyatt Hotels Corporation—98.65.6%2.6%+6.8%+16% / +66%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MLCO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
3.03
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
5.33
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
8.00
Total return 70% · Per year 70%
3 years
3.59
Total return -24% · Per year -9%
7.05
Total return 50% · Per year 14%
11.52
Total return 145% · Per year 35%
5 years
4.26
Total return -9% · Per year -2%
9.33
Total return 98% · Per year 15%
16.59
Total return 252% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.76
  • Net margin± 1.23
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.92
  • Annual dilution± 0.10

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Aug 2026), 6-K (24 Aug 2026), 6-K (14 Aug 2026).

In brief

Melco Resorts & Entertainment is a developer and operator of integrated resort facilities in Asia and Europe, with most of its revenue generated in Macau. Total operating revenues rose 11.3% in 2025 1, suggesting the gaming and hospitality business regained momentum after a weaker period. The topic matters because heavy exposure to Macau and to Chinese regulation means results depend on factors that are hard to control.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Diversified portfolio of premium and mass-market integrated resorts across several Asian and European jurisdictions 1.
  • Revenue and net income grew in 2025 compared with the prior year 1.
  • Numerous internationally recognised hotel and dining awards across its properties 1.

Weaknesses

  • Majority dependence on Macau revenue concentrates geographic risk 1.
  • Holding company structure with cash flows passing through intercompany loans and distribution restrictions 1.
  • Philippines revenue has declined from earlier years 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion in Cyprus and Sri Lanka could add new revenue sources 1.
  • Growth in non-gaming offerings such as shows and hotels could diversify revenue 1.
  • A rise in travel from China, if policies become more favourable, could support demand 1.

Threats

  • Chinese and Macau regulation that could restrict travel or gaming marketing 1.
  • Intense competition in the Macau market with high casino capacity 1.
  • Debt and refinancing requirements that could affect financial flexibility 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on Macauhigh

    Most revenue comes from Macau, so any change in local regulation could directly affect results 1.

  • Chinese regulationhigh

    Measures by the Chinese and Macau governments could restrict travel, currency transfers or gaming marketing with material effects on operations 1.

  • Indebtednessmedium

    The company has debt and credit facilities with restrictive covenants, and failure to generate enough cash could pressure debt service 1.

  • Intense competitionmedium

    Competition in Macau and other markets could affect market share and pricing, especially in the premium segment 1.

  • Project and construction risklow

    Projects in various development phases face construction risks that could affect timelines and costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the 2025 revenue growth and rising net income continue, the company could show a stronger ability to support operations and debt 1.
  • Geographic diversification through Cyprus and Sri Lanka could reduce long-term dependence on Macau 1.
  • International recognition of hotels and restaurants could support demand in the premium segment 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If policies in China become more restrictive, the company could see fewer visitors from its most important client source 1.
  • Concentration in Macau means any regional shock could have an amplified effect on total revenue 1.
  • Debt and covenants in credit facilities could limit dividends and investment flexibility if cash flows decline 1.

What to watch

  • Macau revenue trend and City of Dreams share of revenueQ1 2027
  • Effects of Chinese and Macau regulation on travel and gaming marketing2027
  • Operating results of the Cyprus and Sri Lanka operations2027
  • Refinancing timetable and evolution of indebtednessnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Aug 2026), 6-K (24 Aug 2026), 6-K (14 Aug 2026).

The business

The company develops, owns and operates integrated resort facilities in Asia and Europe, with three major casino operations in Macau (City of Dreams, Studio City and Altira Macau), non-casino Mocha Clubs and a casino in the Philippines, City of Dreams Manila 1. After acquiring 75% of ICR Cyprus in 2019 it expanded into Cyprus, and the Sri Lanka casino opened in 2025 1. It targets a broad range of patrons, from high-stakes rolling chip players to those seeking a wider entertainment experience 1.

Revenue is organised by property and geography: City of Dreams generated 53.0% of total operating revenues in 2025 1 and Studio City 28.6% 1. The rest comes from Cyprus, the Philippines, Altira Macau, Mocha Clubs and other operations 1. The company is a Cayman Islands holding company with principal executive offices in Singapore and Hong Kong 1.

Cash moves between operating subsidiaries through intercompany loans and equity contributions, and Melco Resorts Macau faces notification duties and legal limits on profit distributions 1. Dividend payments depend on financial results, market conditions and the covenants of existing credit facilities, and the company cannot assure future payments 1.

Segments

City of Dreams

City of Dreams is a premium-focused integrated resort in Cotai, Macau, targeting high-end customers and rolling chip patrons from the region 1. The segment generated US$2,736.8 million in 2025 1, or 53.0% of total revenues 1.

Studio City

Studio City is a cinematically-themed integrated resort focused on the mass market, with luxury hotels, a water park and a live performance arena 1. It generated US$1,478.4 million in 2025, or 28.6% of revenue 1. The company owned about 54.9% of SCI, whose ADSs are listed on the New York Stock Exchange 1.

Cyprus and Philippines

Cyprus operations, including City of Dreams Mediterranean and three satellite casinos, generated US$300.2 million in 2025 1, while City of Dreams Manila brought in US$411.1 million 1. The two markets complete the geographic footprint, though Philippines revenue fell from US$472.3 million in 2024 1.

Market context

The company operates mainly in the Macau gaming market, which provides most of its revenue 1. Competition is intense and demand depends heavily on visitors from mainland China, whose behaviour is shaped by policies of the Chinese and Macau governments 1. Expansion in Asia and Europe partly diversifies that dependence.

The Macau gaming market is regulated through concessions and an amended gaming law, and changes in interpretation or enforcement can alter operating conditions 1. The company closed several Mocha Clubs in 2025 in line with local law, showing how sensitive the business model is to regulatory decisions 1.

Trends

  • Revenue recoverytailwind

    Total revenues grew in 2025 and net income attributable to the company reached US$185.0 million, up from US$43.5 million in 2024, mainly due to better gaming and non-gaming performance 1. If this trend holds, margins could benefit from spreading fixed costs, although higher business activity also brought higher operating costs 1.

  • Chinese and Macau regulationheadwind

    The company notes that policies and measures of the Chinese and Macau governments could restrict travel or gaming marketing, and greater control over foreign investment could affect operations 1. This regulatory pressure could limit the flow of visitors.

  • Expansion in Asia and Europemixed

    The Sri Lanka casino opening in 2025 and the Cyprus development extend the geographic base, and City of Dreams Mediterranean opened in 2023 1. Expansion can diversify income but also brings execution and local regulatory risks 1.

Competitive position

The company competes with other casino operators in Macau and the wider region, and the source flags intensity of competition as a major risk to its operations 1. Each property's positioning, from premium to mass market, determines how far it overlaps with rivals.

Outside Asia, competition comes from local operators and from groups already present in Europe, and advantages depend on licences, partnerships and the quality of non-gaming offerings 1. The company aims to attract visitors from across Asia, especially China 1.

  • Sands China

    Casino operator in Macau, cited as a competing market participant in the source; US ticker not confirmed by the source.

  • Wynn Macau

    Casino operator in Macau, relevant to the premium segment; US ticker not confirmed by the source.

  • MGM China

    Casino operator in Macau active in the same market; US ticker not confirmed by the source.

  • Local operators in Cyprus

    Local casinos competing for clients in Cyprus, in the European market where the company operates.

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited · 13 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.