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olivLaw · US equity research

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. XHR

Hotels & Motels · SIC 7011 · Vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

21.90USD+2.29% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Xenia Hotels & Resorts is a US REIT that owns and invests in luxury and upper upscale hotels and resorts, focused on the top 25 US lodging markets and key leisure destinations. The company currently runs a portfolio of 30 hotels with 8,868 rooms, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reported higher same-property RevPAR while Adjusted EBITDAre edged down. The figures point to a sector in recovery, but demand remains sensitive to economic cycles.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (XHR) stock was 21.90 USD (+2.29% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.0 bn USD, P/E 628.9 on diluted EPS of 0.03 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.56%, beta 1.11, 52-week range 12.82–21.90 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 263.8 m USD (+11.6% YoY), net income of -2.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.03 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.0 bn USD
shares as of 02 Nov 2026
P/E (TTM)
628.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.03 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.16%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.56%
DPS 12m 0.56
Beta (2y)
1.11
Volatility (1y) 27%
52-week range
12.8221.90

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
83.3
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
17.34 – 21.88
above the upper band · %B 1.00 · band width 23.2%
SMA 50 / 200
18.71 / 17.68
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.78 / 0.55
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+20.7%−1.1%+21.8 pp—
3 months+7.0%−0.5%+7.5 pp—
6 months+30.8%+4.4%+26.4 pp—
Year to date+54.9%+12.3%+42.6 pp—
1 year+74.8%+13.5%+61.2 pp+1.1%
3 years+76.8%+76.4%+0.3 pp+9.1%
5 years+8.8%+63.7%−54.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−19.8%
28 Jul 2026 → 15 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.0%
28 Apr 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+1.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
263.8 m USD
+11.6% YoY
Net income
-2.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.03
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.0% / 6.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue261.8 m288.9 m287.6 m236.4 m265.6 m295.4 m295.5 m263.8 m
Cost of revenue185.9 m195.5 m191.0 m177.1 m185.0 m195.6 m198.2 m191.3 m
Operating income21.4 m35.9 m40.2 m4.7 m26.7 m41.6 m31.0 k16.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation33.1 m33.2 m32.6 m32.6 m32.3 m31.9 m31.8 m31.2 m
Interest expense20.1 m21.1 m21.9 m21.8 m21.9 m20.9 m20.5 m20.3 m
Pre-tax income-490.0 k17.4 m59.9 m-15.2 m6.2 m22.2 m-19.7 m-3.5 m
Income tax287.0 k870.0 k1.4 m-684.0 k-174.0 k1.0 m1.1 m-603.0 k
Net income-638.0 k15.6 m55.2 m-13.7 m6.1 m19.8 m-19.3 m-2.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.01 ≈0.150.56-0.140.06 ≈0.21-0.21-0.03
Operating cash flow30.6 m54.8 m36.3 m ≈64.0 m ≈21.4 m45.0 m51.4 m ≈70.6 m ≈
Dividends paid0477.0 k99.0 k ≈0 ≈-1.0 k763.0 k0 ≈0 ≈
Share repurchases7.6 m35.8 m35.7 m ≈12.3 m ≈36.6 m00 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 22-quarter history (min 9.9, median 26.2, max 518.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.1 bn1.1 bn369.8 m616.2 m997.6 m1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn
Revenue YoY+11.9%+8.6%−67.8%+66.6%+61.9%+2.8%+1.3%+3.8%
Net income193.7 m55.4 m-163.3 m-143.5 m55.9 m19.1 m16.1 m63.1 m
Net income YoY+95.9%−71.4%−394.8%unavailableunavailable−65.8%−15.7%+290.8%
Diluted EPS1.750.49-1.44-1.260.490.170.150.64
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−72.0%−393.9%unavailableunavailable−65.3%−11.8%+326.7%
net %18.3%4.8%-44.2%-23.3%5.6%1.9%1.6%5.8%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
140.4 m USD
Financial debt
1.4 bn USD
Net debt
1.3 bn USD
Equity
1.2 bn USD
Total assets
2.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.20x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
5.1%
ROA
2.2%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
703.8 m
2024
730.4 m
2025
748.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
321.7 m ≈
2024
308.6 m ≈
2025
329.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
97.6 m
2024
86.8 m
2025
107.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
132.0 m
2024
128.7 m
2025
130.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
229.6 m ≈
2024
215.6 m ≈
2025
238.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
85.0 m
2024
80.9 m
2025
86.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
21.3 m
2024
13.1 m
2025
68.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.4 m
2024
-3.7 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
19.1 m
2024
16.1 m
2025
63.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.17
2024
0.15
2025
0.64

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
108.4 m
2024
102.3 m
2025
97.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.40
2024
0.48
2025
0.56

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
164.7 m
2024
78.2 m
2025
140.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
4.9 m
2024
4.9 m
2025
4.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
48.0 k
2024
6.0 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
198.1 m
2024
163.7 m
2025
176.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-118.8 m
2024
-108.2 m
2025
-7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-222.2 m
2024
-135.0 m
2025
-89.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
578.0 k
2024
351.0 k
2025
575.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
132.7 m
2024
15.9 m
2025
120.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
23.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
23.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
290.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
326.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
31.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
18.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
1,608.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
188.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
88.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
529.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
628.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
38.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 26 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

21.90 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
628.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 02 Nov 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 1609derived 142

Score by group

  • Balance sheet13
  • Valuation22
  • Quality28
  • Growth42
  • Returns26

Estimated value range

Low
0.96
USD per share
Mid
8.44
USD per share
High
9.90
USD per share
Price: 21.90 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -61.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -159.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.66 – 24.80 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.96 – 24.80 (Mid 10.37)
    14 companies used · median multiple 10.2x · quartiles 6.1x – 16.4x
    BYD, CHH, CNTY, CZR, FLL, HLT, IHG, LVS, MGM, MLCO, PK, TNL, WH, WYNN
  • Peers: P/E0.66 – 1.37 (Mid 1.01)
    15 companies used · median multiple 29.1x · quartiles 18.8x – 39.3x
    ATAT, BYD, CHH, HLT, IHG, LVS, MAR, MCRI, MGM, MLCO, RRR, SHO, TNL, WH, WYNN
  • Dividend discount (DDM)7.36 – 9.90 (Mid 8.44)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 26/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.6%27 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality0.3%28 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth2.6%22 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth9.3%62 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.7x21 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.0x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation628.9x0 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation15.2x44 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.8%26 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet13/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth42/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality28/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial26/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation22/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (XHR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.8%; net margin 0.3%; ROE 0.3%; net debt/EBITDA 5.7x.

The estimated value range is 0.96–9.90 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 8.44 USD, the price of 21.90 USD leaves a potential of -61.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -159.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 26/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 2.6%
  • Net margin: 0.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 2.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 5.7x
  • Interest coverage: 1.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 628.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.8%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, Current ratio, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 26 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
628.9x
vertical median 29.8x
above median (+2,010.0%)
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
vertical median 11.3x
above median (+34.6%)
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+11.9%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−33.6%)
ROE
0.3%
vertical median 15.4%
below median (−97.8%)
Net margin
0.3%
vertical median 5.8%
below median (−94.1%)
EBIT margin
7.6%
vertical median 15.7%
below median (−51.9%)
Revenue YoY
3.8%
vertical median 4.2%
below median (−10.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.7x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+69.8%)
Dividend yield
2.6%
vertical median 1.0%
above median (+160.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
HTHTH World Group Ltd154.3 bn218.441.5%20.1%+10.5%+9% / +37%
MARMarriott International Inc109.4 bn42.4—9.7%+4.3%+39% / +110%
HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.83.8 bn50.8—13.4%+7.7%+32% / +125%
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC29.0 bn36.2—14.6%+5.4%+31% / +124%
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.25.5 bn16.7262.8%11.8%+15.2%−40% / −12%
ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings Limited14.5 bn63.750.5%16.6%+41.0%−9% / +97%
WYNNWynn Resorts, Limited8.5 bn19.7—6.1%+0.1%−36% / −2%
MGMMGM Resorts International8.3 bn12.726.8%3.9%+1.7%−7% / −17%
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.6.0 bn—-15.1%-4.5%+2.1%+26% / −34%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.9 bn29.838.2%14.0%+1.5%+10% / +4%
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited5.7 bn30.6—3.6%+11.3%−48% / −33%
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp5.5 bn11.719.6%12.3%+4.1%−7% / +32%
CHHChoice Hotels International Inc5.4 bn26.7146.5%12.7%+0.8%+32% / +9%
TNLTravel & Leisure Co.4.7 bn20.7—5.7%+4.1%+13% / +118%
PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.3.4 bn—-5.0%-6.4%−2.2%+57% / +14%
SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.2.4 bn54.72.8%5.3%+6.0%+39% / +32%
PENNPenn Entertainment, Inc.2.3 bn—-37.4%-12.7%+5.8%+18% / −29%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.0 bn628.90.3%0.3%+3.8%+75% / +77%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.2.0 bn17.920.4%20.4%+4.4%+17% / +80%
BALYBally’s Corporation680.3 m———+0.1%−23% / unavailable
FLLFull House Resorts Inc29.1 m—-936.4%-12.1%+3.5%−70% / −84%
CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.16.9 m——-9.6%−0.5%−61% / −86%
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.—29.160.8%5.8%+3.7%−17% / +9%
MRNOMurano Global Investments Plc——-54.7%-488.8%+154.6%−88% / −98%
HHyatt Hotels Corporation—98.65.6%2.6%+6.8%+16% / +66%

1- and 3-year price returns: for XHR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
15.09
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
26.70
Total return 22% · Per year 22%
40.26
Total return 84% · Per year 84%
3 years
14.10
Total return -35% · Per year -13%
28.13
Total return 29% · Per year 9%
46.64
Total return 114% · Per year 29%
5 years
13.18
Total return -39% · Per year -9%
29.63
Total return 36% · Per year 6%
54.03
Total return 148% · Per year 20%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 7.03
  • Net margin± 4.92
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.11
  • Annual dilution± 0.41

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Xenia Hotels & Resorts is a US REIT that owns and invests in luxury and upper upscale hotels and resorts, focused on the top 25 US lodging markets and key leisure destinations. The company currently runs a portfolio of 30 hotels with 8,868 rooms 1, and in the second quarter of 2026 it reported higher same-property RevPAR while Adjusted EBITDAre edged down 3. The figures point to a sector in recovery, but demand remains sensitive to economic cycles.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of luxury and upper upscale hotels affiliated with recognised brands, within a clearly defined REIT structure 1.
  • An in-house project management and active asset management team, which the company regards as a competitive advantage in renovations 1.
  • Solid liquidity and access to a revolving credit facility, supported by recent same-property results 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a small number of hotel management companies and brand families exposes the company to their decisions 1.
  • High fixed hotel costs can magnify revenue declines during periods of economic slowdown 1.
  • The company reported a net loss in the second quarter of 2026, driven by non-cash impairment charges 3.

Opportunities

  • Stronger group demand and higher average room rates could support revenue in the second half of the year 3.
  • Renovations and upbranding of selected hotels could raise asset values if projects are completed on schedule 3.
  • Selective acquisitions in urban and leisure markets could expand the portfolio if conditions are favourable 1.

Threats

  • An economic slowdown or lower corporate travel spending could reduce demand 1.
  • New hotel supply and alternative online accommodation could put pressure on occupancy and rates 1.
  • Rising labour costs, tariffs on imported goods and insurance premiums could reduce margins 2.

Risks

  • Cyclicality of the industryhigh

    Hotel revenue is volatile because demand depends on the economy and business travel, and losses can be amplified by high fixed costs 1.

  • Concentration in a few brands and regionsmedium

    Most hotels operate under a small number of brand families and are concentrated in a few states, which exposes the company to regional events 1.

  • Debt and refinancingmedium

    The company carries significant interest-bearing debt with maturities that must be refinanced, and credit conditions could tighten 13.

  • REIT status constraintsmedium

    To keep REIT status the company must distribute income and meet strict rules, which can limit financial flexibility 1.

  • External events and climatelow

    Natural disasters, pandemics, geopolitical conflict and climate-related events can reduce lodging demand over short periods, with significant effects 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If luxury and upper upscale demand keeps improving, higher RevPAR and average rates could support earnings in the second half of the year 3.
  • A premium hotel portfolio with scheduled renovations and an in-house project team could create additional long-term value 13.
  • Available liquidity and the ability to make selective transactions could allow attractive acquisitions if the market offers opportunities 3.

What would break the thesis

  • A slowdown in the economy or in business travel could cut demand quickly, and high fixed costs could deepen losses at the hotel level 1.
  • The net loss in the second quarter, influenced by impairments, shows that the value of certain assets can be written down 3.
  • Growing hotel supply and competition from alternative accommodation could limit occupancy and rates in key markets 1.

What to watch

  • Same-property RevPAR trends and the July 2026 estimateQ3 2026
  • Completion of asset transactions and use of net sale proceedsQ3 2026
  • Start of renovations at Andaz Napa and The Ritz-Carlton, Denver and their impact on revenueQ4 2026
  • Update to full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDAre guidance and group demand trendsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Xenia is organised as a Maryland REIT and conducts its operations through the Operating Partnership, XHR LP, which holds substantially all of its assets. To keep REIT status, the company does not operate its hotels directly; they are leased to XHR Holding, its TRS, which engages third-party eligible independent contractors to manage them 1. The strategy rests on selective acquisitions, active asset management and capital investment, supported by an in-house project management team 1.

The company aims to keep leverage modest and debt maturities staggered. At 31 December 2025 its total debt carried a weighted-average interest rate of 5.51% 1, and at 30 June 2026 total debt was about 1.4 billion dollars at 5.49%, with total liquidity of roughly 612 million dollars 3. Xenia also kept its share repurchase program, with about 97.5 million dollars remaining under the authorization 3.

In 2025 the company sold the 545-room Fairmont Dallas and invested in portfolio improvements; after the second quarter of 2026 it sold the Kimpton RiverPlace Hotel and recorded a non-cash impairment of 38.8 million dollars on it 13. These steps show active portfolio management that can be adjusted through transactions as market conditions change.

Segments

Luxury and upper upscale hotels

The core segment consists of luxury and upper upscale hotels affiliated with leading brands such as Marriott, Hyatt, Kimpton, Fairmont, Loews, Hilton and The Kessler Collection 1. Revenue comes mainly from room sales, which make up the large majority of total revenue, followed by food and beverage and other ancillary revenue 1.

Resort and leisure properties

The portfolio also includes leisure destinations and resorts such as Grand Hyatt Scottsdale Resort, which is undergoing a renovation and upbranding that management calls transformational 3. The company says group demand is strong this year, which could support further growth if those trends hold 3.

Market context

Demand for US lodging is closely linked to GDP, which grew at an annual rate of about 2.2% during 2025 1. Still, overall industry lodging demand fell 0.5% in 2025 while new hotel supply rose 0.7% 1. In the second quarter of 2026 same-property RevPAR grew 5.6%, and management estimates roughly 10% growth in July 2026 compared with July 2025 3.

The luxury and upper upscale segment appears more resilient than economy lodging, but it remains sensitive to a slowing economy, to operating costs and to competition from new hotels and alternative accommodation 1. Higher average daily rates have supported recent performance, and group demand will be an important factor for the second half of the year.

Trends

  • Recovery in luxury and upper upscale demandtailwind

    Management says sector fundamentals have improved, with steady demand for luxury travel, and RevPAR rose in the first half of 2026 3. If this continues, it could support revenue across the premium hotel portfolio.

  • New supply and competitionheadwind

    Growth in new hotel rooms, even at a moderate pace, can limit the ability of existing hotels to raise RevPAR 1. This pressure is especially relevant in large urban markets.

  • Costs and debtmixed

    Labour, insurance and renovation costs can rise faster than revenue, and floating-rate debt exposes the company to rate changes 12. Refinancing debt with near-term maturities remains a point to watch.

  • Portfolio transactionsmixed

    The company has sold assets and invested in major renovations, such as at Andaz Napa and The Ritz-Carlton, Denver, which are scheduled to start in the fourth quarter of 2026 3. These projects may raise long-term value but could temporarily weigh on revenue.

Competitive position

The US lodging industry is highly competitive, with hotels competing on room rates, quality, service, location, brand affiliation and reservation systems, and also with alternatives such as short-term home rentals listed on online platforms 1. Competition is specific to each local market where the company operates 1.

When acquiring hotels, the company competes with other REITs, private equity firms, institutional investors, hedge funds and foreign investors, some of which have greater financial resources 1. This competition can reduce the number of suitable opportunities and raise acquisition prices 1.

  • Other hotel REITs

    Compete for hotel acquisitions and for financing through the same channels, in some cases with greater financial resources 1.

  • Private equity funds

    Take part in hotel acquisitions and may have superior capital and knowledge in certain markets 1.

  • Institutional investors and hedge funds

    Compete for the same investment opportunities and financing, including through shared financing channels 1.

  • Hotels and online alternative accommodation

    Compete directly for guests in local markets through rates, services and short-term home rentals 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.