olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

PENN Entertainment, Inc. PENN

Hotels & Motels · SIC 7011 · Vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

17.44USD+2.17% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

PENN Entertainment runs a diversified network of casinos, racetracks and online sports betting across 28 jurisdictions in North America. In the second quarter of 2026 its Retail segment reported record revenues, while the company refocused its digital push on iCasino and Canada after ending its ESPN partnership.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) stock was 17.44 USD (+2.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.3 bn USD, beta 1.32, 52-week range 11.76–22.06 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.9 bn USD (+5.2% YoY), net income of 33.1 m USD, diluted EPS 0.24 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.3 bn USD
shares as of 29 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -6.35 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-36.44%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.32
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
11.7622.06

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
66.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
13.76 – 17.08
above the upper band · %B 1.11 · band width 21.5%
SMA 50 / 200
16.02 / 16.85
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.19 / -0.17
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+15.5%−1.1%+16.6 pp—
3 months−11.1%−0.5%−10.7 pp—
6 months+4.1%+4.4%−0.3 pp—
Year to date+18.2%+12.3%+5.9 pp—
1 year+7.8%+13.5%−5.8 pp+1.1%
3 years−23.2%+76.4%−99.7 pp+9.3%
5 years−71.8%+63.7%−135.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.3%
29 Jun 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−80.1%
09 Nov 2021 → 13 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−22.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.9 bn USD
+5.2% YoY
Net income
33.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.24
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.8% / 7.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn
Operating income67.5 m-48.1 m42.8 m77.5 m-776.4 m-17.5 m97.1 m131.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation108.7 m107.1 m108.0 m110.5 m114.2 m114.2 m117.0 m117.8 m
Interest expense123.2 m121.0 m120.3 m107.6 m110.4 m109.3 m108.0 m108.1 m
Pre-tax income-34.7 m-148.8 m159.2 m-11.9 m-859.8 m-108.2 m5.9 m39.7 m
Income tax2.8 m-15.0 m47.7 m6.4 m5.3 m-34.8 m8.7 m7.1 m
Net income-36.7 m-133.3 m111.8 m-17.4 m-864.6 m-72.9 m-2.3 m33.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.24-0.88 ≈0.68-0.12-6.03-0.54 ≈-0.020.24
Operating cash flow174.7 m ≈102.9 m41.9 m178.2 m ≈180.9 m ≈107.2 m122.4 m240.7 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈025.0 m90.3 m ≈154.1 m ≈85.0 m00 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.6 bn5.3 bn3.6 bn5.9 bn6.4 bn6.4 bn6.6 bn7.0 bn
Revenue YoY+14.0%+47.8%−32.5%+65.0%+8.4%−0.6%+3.4%+5.8%
Net income93.5 m43.9 m-669.5 m420.8 m222.1 m-490.0 m-311.5 m-843.1 m
Net income YoY−80.2%−53.0%−1,625.1%unavailable−47.2%−320.6%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.930.37-5.002.481.29-3.22-2.05-5.83
Diluted EPS YoY−81.7%−60.2%−1,451.4%unavailable−48.0%−349.6%unavailableunavailable
net %2.6%0.8%-18.7%7.1%3.5%-7.7%-4.7%-12.1%
Free cash flow260.2 m513.3 m201.8 m652.0 m614.8 munavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
686.6 m USD
Financial debt
2.9 bn USD
Net debt
2.2 bn USD
Equity
1.8 bn USD
Total assets
14.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.58x
Current ratio
0.79x
ROE
-36.0%
ROA
-5.7%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.4 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
7.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-690.2 m
2024
72.5 m
2025
-673.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
435.1 m
2024
433.6 m
2025
446.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-255.1 m ≈
2024
506.1 m ≈
2025
-226.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
469.6 m
2024
487.1 m
2025
447.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-499.6 m
2024
-341.3 m
2025
-820.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-8.2 m
2024
-28.0 m
2025
24.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-490.0 m
2024
-311.5 m
2025
-843.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-3.22
2024
-2.05
2025
-5.83

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
152.1 m
2024
152.1 m
2025
144.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
706.6 m
2025
686.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
319.0 m
2024
256.8 m
2025
254.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 May 2023verified

Current assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
16.1 bn
2024
15.3 bn
2025
14.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
36.6 m
2024
50.8 m
2025
54.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
47.6 m
2024
38.2 m
2025
38.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
12.9 bn
2024
12.4 bn
2025
12.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.2 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
455.9 m
2024
359.3 m
2025
508.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2023verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-742.6 m
2024
-541.2 m
2025
-351.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-262.6 m
2024
-186.5 m
2025
-165.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
149.8 m
2024
0
2025
354.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-1,029.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-37.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
651.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
13 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
4.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-36.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

17.44 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-37.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2381derived 146

Score by group

42% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-10.7%0 (vs peers)25%
Net margin · Quality-12.7%4 (vs peers)15%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth2.8%24 (on a fixed band)20%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1.3x0 (on a fixed band)15%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x7 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns10.2%100 (on a fixed band)15%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet3/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial24/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality2/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

PENN ENTERTAINMENT, INC. (PENN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.8%; net margin -12.7%; ROE -37.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 10.2%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -10.7%
  • Net margin: -12.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 2.8%
  • Interest coverage: -1.3x
  • Current ratio: 0.9x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Hotels & Motels (SIC 7011) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 26 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.2x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.0x
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−82.3%)
P/B
1.3x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−54.8%)
ROE
-37.4%
vertical median 15.4%
below median (−342.5%)
Net margin
-12.7%
vertical median 5.8%
below median (−318.9%)
EBIT margin
-7.9%
vertical median 15.7%
below median (−150.2%)
Revenue YoY
5.8%
vertical median 4.1%
above median (+42.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
HTHTH World Group Ltd154.3 bn218.441.5%20.1%+10.5%+9% / +37%
MARMarriott International Inc109.4 bn42.4—9.7%+4.3%+39% / +110%
HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.83.8 bn50.8—13.4%+7.7%+32% / +125%
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC29.0 bn36.2—14.6%+5.4%+31% / +124%
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.25.5 bn16.7262.8%11.8%+15.2%−40% / −12%
ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings Limited14.5 bn63.750.5%16.6%+41.0%−9% / +97%
WYNNWynn Resorts, Limited8.5 bn19.7—6.1%+0.1%−36% / −2%
MGMMGM Resorts International8.3 bn12.726.8%3.9%+1.7%−7% / −17%
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.6.0 bn—-15.1%-4.5%+2.1%+26% / −34%
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.9 bn29.838.2%14.0%+1.5%+10% / +4%
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited5.7 bn30.6—3.6%+11.3%−48% / −33%
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp5.5 bn11.719.6%12.3%+4.1%−7% / +32%
CHHChoice Hotels International Inc5.4 bn26.7146.5%12.7%+0.8%+32% / +9%
TNLTravel & Leisure Co.4.7 bn20.7—5.7%+4.1%+13% / +118%
PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.3.4 bn—-5.0%-6.4%−2.2%+57% / +14%
SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.2.4 bn54.72.8%5.3%+6.0%+39% / +32%
PENNPenn Entertainment, Inc.2.3 bn—-37.4%-12.7%+5.8%+8% / −23%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.2.0 bn628.90.3%0.3%+3.8%+57% / +79%
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.2.0 bn17.920.4%20.4%+4.4%+17% / +80%
BALYBally’s Corporation680.3 m———+0.1%−23% / unavailable
FLLFull House Resorts Inc29.1 m—-936.4%-12.1%+3.5%−70% / −84%
CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.16.9 m——-9.6%−0.5%−61% / −86%
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.—29.160.8%5.8%+3.7%−17% / +9%
HHyatt Hotels Corporation—98.65.6%2.6%+6.8%+16% / +66%
MSCStudio City International Holdings Limited——-10.5%-8.5%+8.7%−75% / −83%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PENN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    PENN Entertainment runs a diversified network of casinos, racetracks and online sports betting across 28 jurisdictions in North America. In the second quarter of 2026 its Retail segment reported record revenues, while the company refocused its digital push on iCasino and Canada after ending its ESPN partnership.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The portfolio is geographically diversified across many states, and cash flows partly offset each other across regions 12.
    • The PENN Play loyalty program and its member base offer a cross-sell advantage between physical and online gaming 12.
    • Total liquidity at mid-2026 was high, and debt was refinanced and extended to longer maturities 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company relies heavily on triple net leases with REIT landlords, which keeps cost pressure constant 13.
    • The Interactive segment still posts adjusted losses, and its results depend on betting win rates and customer acquisition costs 13.
    • Revenues are sensitive to seasonality, weather and unexpected events, and business interruption insurance may not cover all losses 1.

    Opportunities

    • Relocation and expansion projects that are completed or under way could add revenue if demand in those areas holds 23.
    • Growth in iCasino in the US and operations in Canada could offset pressure on sports betting if the digital strategy works 23.
    • Third-party partnerships and the loyalty program could open new revenue streams through cross-sell across the ecosystem 1.

    Threats

    • Competition from sports betting and prediction markets could reduce market share and pressure margins in the Interactive segment 1.
    • Changes in regulation, gaming taxes, smoking restrictions or privacy law could raise costs or limit operations 1.
    • An economic slowdown could reduce discretionary spending and weigh on demand across all segments 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on REIT lease paymentshigh

      A significant share of cash goes to rent and interest payments, which could limit investment if revenues fall 13.

    • Competition in online bettinghigh

      Pressure from large-scale operators and prediction markets could reduce the Interactive segment's market share 1.

    • Sensitivity to the economymedium

      Discretionary spending by local customers can fall in periods of inflation or uncertainty, affecting retail revenues 1.

    • Regulation and taxesmedium

      Higher gaming taxes, new restrictions or regulation of prediction markets could affect margins and the business model 1.

    • Technology and cyber risklow

      Cloud service outages or data security breaches could disrupt online operations and harm the company's reputation 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If retail revenues keep growing and margins hold, cash flow could support debt reduction and investment in new properties 3.
    • Relocation projects completed in 2025 and 2026 could add revenue, particularly if VIP customers respond favorably 23.
    • If iCasino and the PENN Play program deliver effective cross-sell, the Interactive segment could reach profitability 23.

    What would break the thesis

    • If discretionary spending falls, retail revenues could come in below expectations, and debt and rent would remain a burden 1.
    • The Interactive segment continues to post losses, and intense competition could keep declared targets out of reach 13.
    • Prediction markets and regulatory changes could reduce the market share of sports betting and raise compliance costs 1.

    What to watch

    • Revenue trend and Segment Adjusted EBITDAR margin in the Retail segmentQ3 2026
    • Adjusted loss in the Interactive segment and iCasino growth in the USQ3 2026
    • Performance of the new Aurora and Columbus properties after opening2026
    • Progress of the Council Bluffs relocation project and GLPI financing2028

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    PENN Entertainment, Inc. (Nasdaq: PENN) operates in 28 jurisdictions across North America with casinos, racetracks, online sports betting (OSB) and iCasino 1. It has five reportable segments: Northeast, South, West, Midwest and Interactive; the first four form the retail segments, and Interactive covers online operations and media 1. The PENN Play loyalty program had over 34 million members by mid-2026 2.

    Most real estate used in operations is leased under triple net master leases, the most significant with Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) and VICI, making rent payments to these REITs a major cost element 13. The company reported second-quarter 2026 results on 6 August 2026, with total revenues of 1,857.4 million USD 3.

    Strategy aims at growth through capital investment in existing properties, relocation and development projects, and expansion of iCasino and sports betting in Canada and the US under the theScore Bet brand, after the ESPN agreement ended on 1 December 2025 12.

    Segments

    Retail segments

    The four retail segments (Northeast, South, West, Midwest) earn revenue from gaming, food and beverage and hotel stays 1. In the second quarter of 2026 Retail revenues reached 1.5 billion USD, with a Segment Adjusted EBITDAR margin of 34.4% 3.

    Interactive segment

    Interactive includes online sports betting, iCasino, social gaming and media 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it had revenues of 349.4 million USD, including a tax gross-up of 185.5 million USD, and an Adjusted EBITDA loss of 9.5 million USD 3.

    Market context

    The North American gaming market is highly competitive, with rivals from state lotteries, bar and truck-stop gaming, third-party online platforms and increasingly prediction markets 1. Demand depends on discretionary spending, which is sensitive to economic slowdowns and tariffs 1. The company describes its retail market as mature, with growth coming mainly from online and new-property investment 1.

    In online betting competition is intensifying, and rivals with greater scale can offer more aggressive pricing; PENN relies on its connection to the theScore app and the PENN Play program to retain customers 1.

    Trends

    • Property relocations and expansionstailwind

      Completed projects at Joliet, M Resort, Aurora and Columbus added new gaming and hotel space, and management reported record revenues at several properties; the effect could persist if demand stays solid 23.

    • Digital redirection after ESPNmixed

      Ending the ESPN agreement on 1 December 2025 changed the role of OSB, which now acts as an acquisition channel for iCasino and Canada; the outcome depends on whether the new strategy succeeds 12.

    • Lease cost pressureheadwind

      Payments to REIT landlords remain large, and a significant share of cash flow goes to rent and interest, limiting financial flexibility 13.

    • Prediction markets and regulationheadwind

      Prediction markets increasingly compete with sports betting, and their legal framework is still evolving, with possible overlap between federal and state oversight 1.

    Competitive position

    Competition comes from local casinos, state-sponsored online lotteries, bar and truck-stop gaming, licensed and unlicensed online sports betting, and prediction markets 1. Operators with economies of scale can offer cheaper products and win larger market shares 1.

    In digital the competition is intense, and rivals using artificial intelligence for products and marketing may reach the market faster; if PENN falls behind, the Interactive segment could be affected 1.

    • Regional casinos and racetracks

      Local operators competing directly with retail properties in the same markets 1.

    • State-sponsored online lotteries and sweepstakes

      Alternative gaming options, legal or quasi-legal, that draw discretionary spending 1.

    • Third-party online sports betting and iCasino operators

      Legal and illegal online platforms competing in the Interactive segment 1.

    • Prediction market platforms

      New forms of betting on sports and political events with evolving regulation 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / PENN Entertainment, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / PENN Entertainment, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / PENN Entertainment, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.