olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Pegasystems Inc. PEGA

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation · SIC 7374 · Vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

34.36USD+0.03% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Pegasystems (PEGA) develops enterprise software for AI-driven decisioning and workflow automation, used by large companies and government agencies. The company is going through a difficult 2026 with slowed ACV growth, so its relevance depends on whether it can capture demand for governed AI solutions.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) stock was 34.36 USD (+0.03% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.6 bn USD, P/E 21.3 on diluted EPS of 1.61 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.35%, beta 1.23, 52-week range 25.99–62.63 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 393.4 m USD (+3.1% YoY), net income of 14.1 m USD (−67.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.6 bn USD
shares as of 12 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3
Diluted EPS TTM 1.61 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.70%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.35%
DPS 12m 0.12
Beta (2y)
1.23
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
25.9962.63

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
33.39 – 36.91
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.28 · band width 10.0%
SMA 50 / 200
35.32 / 36.81
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.10 / 0.07
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−0.5%−1.1%+0.6 pp—
3 months+8.0%−0.5%+8.5 pp—
6 months−5.5%+4.4%−9.9 pp—
Year to date−42.5%+12.3%−54.8 pp—
1 year−43.7%+13.5%−57.3 pp−24.6%
3 years+50.8%+76.4%−25.6 pp−23.4%
5 years−42.8%+63.7%−106.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−58.5%
23 Dec 2025 → 22 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−74.9%
09 Nov 2021 → 11 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−10.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
393.4 m USD
+3.1% YoY
Net income
14.1 m USD
−67.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.08
−66.7% YoY
net / operating
3.6% / 3.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue490.8 m475.6 m384.5 m381.4 m504.3 m430.0 m420.7 m393.4 m
Cost of revenue102.4 m102.5 m109.6 m105.9 m103.5 m106.8 m108.0 m103.8 m
Gross profit388.5 m373.2 m274.9 m275.5 m400.9 m323.2 m312.7 m289.5 m
Research & development76.4 m74.3 m78.8 m78.8 m80.9 m82.0 m84.2 m74.3 m
Operating income143.0 m127.0 m17.3 m14.5 m104.4 m37.1 m16.6 m14.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.3 m3.1 m3.2 m ≈3.1 m ≈4.3 m2.9 m2.9 m ≈3.5 m ≈
Interest expense1.8 m1.0 m1.0 k144.0 k113.0 k44.0 k45.0 k64.0 k
Pre-tax income154.2 m126.3 m25.2 m24.1 m105.0 m39.7 m18.5 m17.8 m
Income tax35.1 m40.9 m-4.8 m-19.3 m-129.6 m6.9 m5.2 m3.7 m
Net income119.1 m85.4 m30.1 m43.4 m234.6 m32.8 m13.3 m14.1 m
Diluted EPS0.58 ≈0.460.170.241.27 ≈0.180.080.08
Operating cash flow95.2 m204.2 m86.3 m ≈56.3 m ≈158.4 m212.3 m86.0 m ≈6.1 m ≈
Capex2.8 m1.9 m2.1 m ≈4.5 m ≈6.0 m5.7 m4.2 m ≈4.5 m ≈
Dividends paid2.6 m2.6 m2.6 m ≈5.2 m ≈5.1 m5.1 m5.1 m ≈4.9 m ≈
Share repurchases56.8 m117.2 m134.5 m ≈143.0 m ≈105.0 m167.3 m200.4 m ≈65.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 15 percentile of its own 20-quarter history (min 16.9, median 41.9, max 436.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue891.6 m911.4 m1.0 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn
Revenue YoY+0.4%+2.2%+11.6%+19.1%+8.8%+8.7%+4.5%+16.6%
Net income10.6 m-90.4 m-61.4 m-63.0 m-345.6 m67.8 m99.2 m393.4 m
Net income YoY−89.2%−951.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+46.3%+296.7%
Diluted EPS0.13-1.14-0.76-0.77-4.220.370.552.13
Diluted EPS YoY−89.1%−976.9%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+48.6%+287.3%
net %1.2%-9.9%-6.0%-5.2%-26.2%4.7%6.6%22.5%
Free cash flow92.5 m-52.8 m-25.9 m28.7 m-13.0 m201.0 m338.2 m490.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
212.4 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
787.4 m USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.33x
ROE
57.3%
ROA
23.1%
FCF margin
28.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
378.5 m
2024
390.7 m
2025
421.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
295.5 m
2024
298.1 m
2025
312.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
81.0 m
2024
123.9 m
2025
263.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
18.7 m
2024
17.6 m
2025
13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
99.7 m ≈
2024
141.5 m ≈
2025
276.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
6.9 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
95.4 m
2024
142.6 m
2025
280.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
27.6 m
2024
43.4 m
2025
-112.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
67.8 m
2024
99.2 m
2025
393.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.37
2024
0.55
2025
2.13

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
169.8 m
2024
179.3 m
2025
184.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.06
2024
0.06
2025
0.11

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
229.9 m
2024
337.1 m
2025
212.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
300.2 m
2024
305.5 m
2025
264.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
978.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
47.3 m
2024
41.8 m
2025
45.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
81.6 m
2024
81.1 m
2025
81.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
7.0 m
2024
3.8 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.3 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
12.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
577.1 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
737.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
844.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
353.8 m †
2024
585.5 m †
2025
787.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
217.8 m
2024
345.9 m
2025
505.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
16.8 m
2024
7.7 m
2025
14.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
201.0 m ≈
2024
338.2 m ≈
2025
490.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-50.8 m
2024
-202.6 m
2025
197.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-82.0 m
2024
-30.2 m
2025
-834.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
10.0 m
2024
10.2 m
2025
15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
68.1 m
2025
499.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
112.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
296.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
287.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
45.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
75.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
16.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
25.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
51.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
22.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
26.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
650.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
462.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
20.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
442.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
150.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
248.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
30 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
19.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
10.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

34.36 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
10.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
51.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
16.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 12 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 20 Oct 2026
verified 2614derived 190

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality75.9%90 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality9.9%59 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality25.3%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth9.8%39 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth16.6%55 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x14 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation7.9%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns9.9%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial14/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth45/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality84/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

PEGASYSTEMS INC. (PEGA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 16.6%; net margin 16.9%; ROE 51.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 75.9%
  • FCF margin: 25.3%
  • FCF yield: 7.9%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 9.9%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.0x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.3x
vertical median 21.7x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.0x
P/S
3.2x
vertical median 1.2x
above median (+171.5%)
P/B
10.2x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+342.3%)
ROE
51.4%
vertical median 12.0%
above median (+329.9%)
Net margin
16.9%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+256.7%)
EBIT margin
9.9%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+167.1%)
Revenue YoY
16.6%
vertical median 13.5%
above median (+22.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
0.3%
vertical median 4.3%
below median (−91.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.119.8 bn27.777.0%20.1%+6.7%+19% / +32%
WDAYWorkday, Inc.44.4 bn40.916.0%12.3%+13.1%−6% / −25%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.25.9 bn30.1—29.3%+6.6%−12% / −18%
ATHMAutohome Inc.10.4 bn53.56.3%443.2%+11.1%−5% / −18%
PEGAPegasystems Inc.5.6 bn21.351.4%16.9%+16.6%−44% / +51%
FAFirst Advantage Corp3.9 bn160.51.9%1.5%+83.0%+62% / +45%
QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc.3.8 bn—-28.0%-2,001.6%+178.5%−54% / +1,166%
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn15.816.2%18.7%+9.0%+41% / +39%
GLOBGlobant S.A.2.1 bn21.05.1%4.2%+1.6%−25% / −78%
INODInnodata Inc1.5 bn32.837.7%14.7%+47.6%−25% / +541%
LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.1.1 bn56.012.1%2.6%+10.9%−26% / −40%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc.754.4 m13.318.2%7.6%+21.7%−21% / +1%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.736.5 m—-59.4%-2,356.0%+545.3%−99% / −100%
CARSCars.com Inc.682.5 m22.47.4%4.7%+0.6%+10% / −32%
IBEXIBEX Limited593.6 m14.330.4%7.2%+15.4%+27% / +152%
SOPHSOPHiA GENETICS SA477.3 m—-110.0%-102.2%+18.6%+42% / +73%
GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.475.7 m0.016.5%17.0%−31.0%+19% / −6%
EGHT8x8, Inc.326.4 m55.53.5%0.6%+2.9%+16% / −27%
TCXTucows Inc140.3 m——-21.2%+7.7%−42% / −41%
TRAKRepositrak, Inc.132.7 m18.714.9%32.5%+3.0%−46% / −29%
BIRDSmartbird, Inc.92.1 m—-164.0%-72.8%−19.7%−68% / −91%
VERIVeritone, Inc.56.7 m—-517.7%-117.5%−0.5%−87% / −73%
GMHSGamehaus Holdings Inc.51.4 m8.511.8%4.1%−11.3%−35% / −93%
DGNXDiginex Limited38.7 m——-255.5%+57.0%−99% / unavailable
CHRCheer Holding, Inc.14.0 m0.17.6%17.2%+1.1%−77% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PEGA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
23.88
Total return -30% · Per year -30%
42.11
Total return 23% · Per year 23%
63.30
Total return 85% · Per year 85%
3 years
25.72
Total return -24% · Per year -9%
50.80
Total return 49% · Per year 14%
83.46
Total return 145% · Per year 35%
5 years
27.71
Total return -18% · Per year -4%
61.27
Total return 81% · Per year 13%
110.04
Total return 224% · Per year 26%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 12.70
  • Net margin± 8.89
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.94
  • Annual dilution± 0.75

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Pegasystems (PEGA) develops enterprise software for AI-driven decisioning and workflow automation, used by large companies and government agencies. The company is going through a difficult 2026 with slowed ACV growth, so its relevance depends on whether it can capture demand for governed AI solutions.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A unified platform for decisioning and automation, with recurring Pega Cloud revenue that is growing 1.
  • Long experience in governing AI for regulated organizations, stressed by management 3.
  • A broad global partner base that supports sales and implementations 1.

Weaknesses

  • ACV growth slowed sharply in 2026, and execution in the go-to-market effort was cited as a problem 3.
  • Free cash flow fell in the first nine months of 2026 compared with the prior year 2.
  • Revenue from licenses and consulting declined, making profitability more sensitive to product mix 3.

Opportunities

  • Demand for governed AI solutions could grow if clients choose platforms that combine external models with operational control 3.
  • Expanding partnerships with cloud providers and integrators could accelerate sales 1.
  • If legacy modernization becomes a priority, the legacy transformation offering could generate new revenue 1.

Threats

  • Competitors may adopt AI faster and offer similar products at lower cost 1.
  • Ongoing litigation and legal costs could affect financial results 2.
  • AI regulation could limit certain offerings or raise compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • Slowing ACV growthhigh

    If commercial execution does not improve, ACV growth could remain below management's expectations 3.

  • Appian litigationmedium

    Ongoing proceedings and related legal costs could add expenses and affect the company's reputation 2.

  • Dependence on key personnelmedium

    The company relies on highly skilled technical and managerial staff, and losing them could disrupt operations 1.

  • Revenue volatilitymedium

    The timing and size of license and Pega Cloud contracts are hard to predict, which can make results vary between periods 1.

  • Currency risklow

    Exchange rate movements affect reported revenue and ACV, according to the figures in 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If ACV growth accelerates again, the company could show that demand for its AI solutions remains strong.
  • Growth in Pega Cloud and the move of clients to the cloud model could strengthen long-term recurring revenue.
  • The stated free cash flow target could support renewed investor confidence if it is reached.

What would break the thesis

  • If the slowdown in ACV persists, pressure on revenue and cash flow could continue.
  • Competitors that adopt AI more quickly could reduce the platform's current advantage.
  • Litigation and legal costs could weigh on margins and management attention.

What to watch

  • ACV trajectory and Pega Cloud growthQ4 2026
  • Free cash flow against the 700 million USD target2028
  • Outcome of the Appian litigationnext 10-K
  • Effect of the restructuring on consulting2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Pegasystems develops, licenses, hosts and supports enterprise software that helps organizations optimize decisions and processes in real time. Its platform for AI decisioning and workflow automation is used by leading brands and government agencies to personalize customer experiences and modernize legacy systems. According to the 10-K 1, total revenue reached 1745.8 million USD in fiscal 2025.

The business model is largely subscription based, with revenue split between Pega Cloud, maintenance, subscription licenses and consulting. The company tracks performance through ACV, the annualized value of active contracts, which stood at 1653.3 million USD on September 30, 2026 2.

The offering also includes Blueprint, a generative tool that accelerates application design, along with implementation services and a broad partner program with systems integrators and cloud providers, as described in 1.

Segments

Pega Cloud

Pega Cloud is the most dynamic segment. Its revenue rose 25% in fiscal 2025 on wider adoption by existing clients 1, and in Q3 2026 it grew 19% year over year 3. The company reported Pega Cloud reached 59% of total ACV in Q3 2026 3.

Subscription licenses

Subscription license revenue fell in the first nine months of 2026, reflecting clients moving to cloud offerings. Revenue declined 29% versus the same period of 2025 3, which the company attributes to the shift toward cloud.

Consulting

Consulting revenue declined in 2026, down 13% in the first nine months 3. The company announced a restructuring plan aimed at an AI-first delivery model, which could change the revenue mix over the medium term.

Market context

The market for enterprise process automation and decisioning software spans CRM, BPM, RPA and decision management, according to the definitions in 1. Clients include financial services, healthcare, government, telecom and insurance organizations. Demand for AI brings opportunities but also closer scrutiny of large technology spending, as the company notes in 2.

The company says the AI market is still sorting itself out and that clients are examining large technology investments more closely 3. If this caution persists, ACV growth could remain below management's expectations.

Trends

  • Shift to cloudmixed

    Clients are moving from perpetual licenses and maintenance to Pega Cloud, which raises recurring revenue but reduces upfront license revenue.

  • Investment in AImixed

    The company is investing heavily in AI and embedding generative models in its products. Rapid AI adoption by competitors could, however, erode its competitive edge.

  • Scrutiny of technology spendingheadwind

    Clients are scrutinizing large technology spending as AI disrupts the industry, which slowed ACV growth in 2026 2.

  • AI regulationheadwind

    The legal framework for AI is changing rapidly, which could raise compliance costs and limit offerings in some jurisdictions 1.

Competitive position

Pegasystems competes with enterprise software vendors and systems integrators that offer their own automation and AI solutions. The company notes that competitors are also investing in AI and that some may adopt it faster 1. Large partners such as Accenture and Infosys could also compete and distribute their own solutions 1.

The company's stated edge lies in its centrally managed agent architecture and its experience in governing decisions, which matters for regulated organizations 3.

  • AccentureACN

    Major partner and possible competitor through its own digital transformation services, listed among partners in 1.

  • InfosysINFY

    Systems integrator listed among the company's largest partners, which could offer competing automation solutions 1.

  • Cognizant Technology SolutionsCTSH

    Systems integrator and partner that could also deliver its own transformation solutions 1.

  • Appian

    Company with which Pegasystems is in ongoing litigation, indicating direct competition in process automation 2.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 17 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 20 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Pegasystems Inc. · 10 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Pegasystems Inc. · 20 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Pegasystems Inc. · 20 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.