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olivLaw · US equity research

Pattern Group Inc. PTRN

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · SIC 5961 · Vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

17.68USD+4.49% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Pattern Group Inc. is an ecommerce acceleration platform that buys products from consumer brands and sells them directly on global marketplaces, using proprietary AI-driven technology and data. Revenue grew 39% in 2025 to about 2501 million USD, and the first quarter of 2026 showed further acceleration, making the company relevant for investors following AI-led ecommerce, though dependence on Amazon remains very high.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN) stock was 17.68 USD (+4.49% on the day), with beta 1.55, 52-week range 9.59–29.40 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 876.8 m USD (+46.6% YoY), net income of 27.5 m USD (+15.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.72 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-9.71%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.55
Volatility (1y) 67%
52-week range
9.5929.40

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
15.76 – 18.54
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.69 · band width 16.2%
SMA 50 / 200
18.40 / 17.51
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.43 / -0.58
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.6%−1.1%+2.6 pp—
3 months−25.2%−0.5%−24.7 pp—
6 months+24.1%+4.4%+19.7 pp—
Year to date+53.2%+12.3%+40.9 pp—
1 year+5.2%+13.5%−8.4 pp−2.6%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+14.1%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−47.9%
11 Nov 2025 → 24 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−47.9%
11 Nov 2025 → 24 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
876.8 m USD
+46.6% YoY
Net income
27.5 m USD
+15.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.15
−16.7% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 4.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue439.4 m515.5 m540.4 m598.2 m639.7 m723.1 m773.7 m876.8 m
Cost of revenue249.0 m295.0 m304.6 m341.3 m356.1 m408.8 m433.5 m492.4 m
Research & development4.1 m5.3 m5.6 m6.5 m24.6 m9.6 m11.2 m13.0 m
Operating income17.7 m23.1 m29.4 m30.1 m-60.2 m26.0 m39.6 m35.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.1 m3.9 m4.0 m3.4 m3.7 m4.3 m5.4 m4.4 m
Income tax5.2 m6.0 m8.0 m8.1 m-32.2 m-838.0 k12.3 m10.0 m
Net income14.2 m18.2 m22.8 m23.8 m-59.1 m28.7 m29.2 m27.5 m
Diluted EPS0.090.20 ≈0.170.18-2.190.16 ≈0.160.15
Operating cash flow—1.5 m48.4 m2.0 m ≈40.5 m ≈8.5 m72.6 m14.7 m ≈
Capex—6.4 m5.2 m5.4 m ≈4.6 m ≈5.3 m9.3 m10.9 m ≈
Share repurchases——00 ≈——3.6 m94.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenue1.4 bn1.8 bn2.5 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+31.5%+39.3%
Net income41.3 m67.9 m16.2 m
Net income YoYunavailable+64.4%−76.1%
Diluted EPS0.220.47-1.36
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+113.6%−389.4%
net %3.0%3.8%0.6%
Free cash flow27.0 m49.9 m78.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
289.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
581.0 m USD
Total assets
947.6 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.34x
ROE
4.7%
ROA
2.0%
FCF margin
3.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
765.2 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
601.2 m ≈
2024
781.3 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
14.6 m
2024
18.0 m
2025
46.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
52.8 m
2024
87.2 m
2025
25.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
12.1 m
2024
14.8 m
2025
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
64.9 m ≈
2024
102.0 m ≈
2025
42.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
33.0 k
2024
98.0 k
2025
231.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
56.3 m
2024
91.2 m
2025
-794.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
15.1 m
2024
23.4 m
2025
-17.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
41.3 m
2024
67.9 m
2025
16.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.22
2024
0.47
2025
-1.36

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
90.8 m
2024
90.8 m
2025
115.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
127.2 m
2024
175.6 m
2025
289.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
106.9 m
2025
177.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
264.1 m
2025
294.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
—
2024
558.1 m
2025
792.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
35.0 m
2025
41.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
25.9 m
2024
25.9 m
2025
37.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
6.9 m
2025
16.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
—
2024
664.4 m
2025
947.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
211.6 m
2025
275.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
—
2024
257.7 m
2025
338.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
—
2024
285.1 m
2025
366.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
42.4 m †
2024
108.7 m †
2025
581.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
41.5 m
2024
70.3 m
2025
99.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
14.5 m
2024
20.5 m
2025
20.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
27.0 m ≈
2024
49.9 m ≈
2025
78.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-14.5 m
2024
-20.4 m
2025
-39.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
0
2024
-2.9 m
2025
53.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
2.9 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
39.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
-70.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-76.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
-389.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
58.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
43.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
177.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
136.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
30.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
106.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
402.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
231.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
25 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
69 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
29 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 22.9% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

17.68 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
39.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 259derived 22

Score by group

23% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 22.9% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.9%57 (vs peers)27%
FCF conversion · Quality402.4%100 (on a fixed band)27%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet177.4x100 (on a fixed band)27%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)18%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality79/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 39.3%; net margin 0.9%; ROE 6.6%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 22.9% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 402.4%
  • Interest coverage: 177.4x
  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 28 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.3x
P/S
—
vertical median 0.4x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.9x
ROE
6.6%
vertical median -6.3%
above median
Net margin
0.9%
vertical median -1.1%
above median
EBIT margin
1.4%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+151.6%)
Revenue YoY
39.3%
vertical median 5.7%
above median (+591.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.2,876.6 bn21.527.4%16.9%+12.4%+14% / +82%
CDWCdw Corp21.1 bn19.742.5%4.5%+6.8%+17% / −20%
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.5.2 bn25.713.1%2.5%−5.2%+103% / +16%
JMIAJumia Technologies AG1.3 bn—-108.9%-32.6%+12.8%−57% / +60%
BZUNBaozun Inc.597.0 m—-6.6%-2.4%+10.2%+21% / +16%
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.590.4 m68.0—3.7%−12.1%+42% / −63%
GCTGigacloud Technology Inc539.8 m13.732.3%10.6%+11.1%+56% / +495%
HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.476.3 m—-6.9%-3.6%−1.9%+65% / +86%
TDUPThredUp Inc.290.9 m—-39.2%-6.9%+19.5%−71% / +12%
DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.186.9 m—-9.2%-8.5%+1.5%−3% / +30%
NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.163.0 m—-47.0%-7.1%−25.1%−72% / −91%
AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.116.0 m—-29.5%-4.8%+4.4%−26% / +9%
SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.79.5 m—-6.3%-0.9%+6.4%−31% / −21%
HOURHour Loop, Inc.53.9 m37.021.8%1.1%+3.0%−28% / +3%
GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.47.4 m——-4.1%−14.6%−19% / −44%
LVLULulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.31.0 m—-602.9%-3.2%−10.6%+107% / −74%
UZXLinkage Global Inc21.7 m—-63.1%-144.5%−50.5%−98% / unavailable
GIFTGiftify, Inc.21.1 m—-36.2%-8.8%−6.5%−47% / −85%
CHWYChewy, Inc.2.3 k35.372.0%2.1%+6.2%−33% / +34%
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.8—-6.3%-0.2%−7.8%unavailable / unavailable
PTRNPattern Group Inc.——6.6%0.9%+39.3%+5% / unavailable
HEPSD-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading——-39.7%-2.8%+11.1%+19% / +100%
LUXELuxExperience B.V.——63.3%45.2%+50.1%+7% / +224%
VIPSVipshop Holdings Limited—1.418.3%6.8%+2.0%−30% / −14%
WWayfair Inc.———-1.2%+5.1%+12% / +121%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PTRN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Pattern Group Inc. is an ecommerce acceleration platform that buys products from consumer brands and sells them directly on global marketplaces, using proprietary AI-driven technology and data. Revenue grew 39% in 2025 to about 2501 million USD, and the first quarter of 2026 showed further acceleration, making the company relevant for investors following AI-led ecommerce, though dependence on Amazon remains very high 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an extensive data set and a direct purchasing model that aligns its interests with partner brands 1.
  • Partner relationships are durable, and a significant part of revenue comes from partners that have worked with the company for more than five years 1.
  • Recent results show accelerating growth and high retention, suggesting the model scales well 3.

Weaknesses

  • Near-total dependence on one marketplace makes revenue vulnerable to policy changes or account suspensions 1.
  • Operating margins are under pressure from marketplace fees and logistics costs, and net income fell in 2025 compared with 2024 1.
  • The dual-class structure concentrates voting control with the co-founders, limiting the influence of other shareholders 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion outside the United States and onto non-Amazon marketplaces could reduce dependence and support growth 13.
  • Monetizing SaaS and fulfillment services could diversify revenue if these lines gain relevance 1.
  • The global ecommerce market is large and growing, leaving room for more brand partners 1.

Threats

  • A shift of consumers toward AI assistants that bypass marketplaces could reduce the value of the platform 13.
  • Trade tensions and tariff changes could raise supply costs for partner brands 1.
  • Restrictions on data collection and scraping could limit access to data essential to the company's technology 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on Amazonhigh

    Nearly all revenue comes from Amazon, and any change in the relationship, suspension or disruption of that marketplace could seriously affect results 1.

  • Changeable marketplace termshigh

    Marketplace relationships are generally terminable at any time and policies can be changed unilaterally, with disputes usually resolved through arbitration 1.

  • Data and scrapingmedium

    The technology relies on data collected partly through scraping, exposing the company to legal, privacy and reputational risks 1.

  • Dependence on founders and key staffmedium

    The company depends on its co-founders and senior management, and a personal separation between co-founders was flagged as a risk that could affect the business 1.

  • Control through share structuremedium

    Concentrated voting at the co-founder level limits outside shareholders' influence over decisions, and the company is a controlled company 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If coming quarters confirm accelerating non-Amazon and international revenue, diversification could reduce the company's main risk 3.
  • High partner retention and rising net revenue retention could support long-term growth 13.
  • If the data and AI-based model proves effective at scale, its competitive advantage could become harder to replicate 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Near-total dependence on one marketplace could expose the company to a sudden shock if the relationship or policies change 1.
  • If pressure on margins from fees and logistics persists, profitability could remain under strain even as revenue grows 1.
  • If AI shopping assistants bypass marketplaces, the intermediary model could lose value 13.

What to watch

  • Delivery against full-year 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidancenext 10-K
  • Development of non-Amazon and international revenue as a share of totalQ2 2026
  • Level of dependence on Amazon in upcoming reportsQ1 2027
  • Marketplace policy changes and their effect on seller accounts2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Pattern presents itself as an ecommerce acceleration platform operating across more than 70 marketplaces and aiming at consumer sales in more than 100 countries, relying on a data set of more than 66 trillion data points and machine learning and AI models 1. The business model differs from an agency: the company buys inventory from brand partners at predetermined prices and sells directly to consumers, so its revenue is tied to product sales rather than fixed fees 1. The platform is organized into traffic, conversion, price and availability engines plus an insights engine, which the company says work together to optimize every lever of ecommerce 1.

The company is supported by about 480 technology professionals at year end 2025, a number that rose to about 510 in the 2026 quarterly report 12. Its stated goal is to help consumer product brands (health, beauty, home, pet, sports, electronics) navigate the complexity of selling on marketplaces, and it says its advantage rests on data and long-term partner relationships 1.

The company is listed on Nasdaq, and its filings show a dual-class structure with Series A and Series B common stock, through which co-founders and their affiliates concentrate voting control; the company describes itself as a controlled company with reduced governance requirements 13. This matters for investors because it limits the influence of minority shareholders over corporate decisions 1.

Segments

Consumer product sales on marketplaces

This is the main revenue source: the company buys products from brands and sells them to consumers on marketplaces, representing the substantial majority of revenue, which reached 2501 million USD in 2025 1. Dependence on Amazon is very high, with Amazon generating 93% of revenue in 2025 1.

SaaS, fulfillment and consulting services

The company is diversifying through SaaS tools such as PXM and Creators, marketplace preparation and fulfillment services, and consulting and design for brands; these lines are still developing and the consulted sources give no separate revenue share for them 1. The filings indicate an intent to grow this component, without dedicated figures for each line 1.

Market context

The global ecommerce market is estimated at roughly 4 trillion USD, forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 9.5% between 2026 and 2030, which means more than 500 billion USD of annual growth 1. The source also states that ecommerce grows several times faster than non-ecommerce retail, which supports demand for acceleration services 1.

The market is fragmented and dominated by large marketplaces that can change their rules, so the addressable market depends on the company's ability to extend brands onto new channels; the company says its current portfolio of over 200 brands represents only a small part of the market that could benefit from its solutions 1.

Trends

  • AI-driven ecommerce growthmixed

    The company says AI is reshaping ecommerce and could accelerate global penetration while making the landscape more complex for brands, which could favor platforms that automate optimization 3. If consumers adopt AI shopping assistants that bypass marketplaces, the company's model could be affected, a risk it names explicitly 13.

  • International and non-Amazon expansiontailwind

    In the first quarter of 2026, non-Amazon revenue grew 119% and international revenue grew 101%, which could reduce dependence on a single marketplace if the trend continues 3. This is a positive signal, but the base is still small compared with Amazon revenue 13.

  • Trade tensions and tariffsheadwind

    The sources mention political instability, shifts in trade policy and tariffs, particularly between the United States and China, as factors that could affect costs and supply chains 13. The impact depends on the sourcing structure of partner brands.

  • Acquisition costs and marginsmixed

    Rising customer acquisition costs, marketplace fees and logistics expenses put pressure on margins, which the company notes are relevant for profitability 1. However, first-quarter data shows adjusted EBITDA growing, suggesting effective cost management 3.

Competitive position

Pattern competes with agencies and marketplace technology providers that charge fees, retainers or a share of advertising spend, as well as with brands that choose to manage sales themselves 1. The company differentiates through its direct inventory purchasing model and its data set, but the sources do not list a complete set of listed competitors 1.

The competitive advantage depends on maintaining relationships with marketplaces, which can terminate or change policies at will, and the sources give no comparative market shares 1. Competition from unauthorized sellers or brands' own channels can affect pricing and brand control 1.

  • Marketplace agencies and ecommerce service providers

    The sources describe agencies that charge fees, retainers or advertising percentages, without naming US-listed firms 1.

  • Marketplace management technology providers

    The company mentions fragmented tools for advertising, inventory and analytics, without identifying specific providers in the consulted sources 1.

  • Brands selling directly on marketplaces

    Brands that manage their own sales are an alternative, and the risk arises when they lack the necessary expertise 1.

  • Unauthorized marketplace sellers

    Unauthorized sellers can weaken pricing and brand reputation, a factor the company monitors with its price engine 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Pattern Group Inc. · 06 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Pattern Group Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Pattern Group Inc. · 06 May 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.