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olivLaw · US equity research

The Honest Company, Inc. HNST

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · SIC 5961 · Vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

4.44USD+2.07% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Honest Company sells cleanly formulated personal care products from babies to adults across wipes, personal care, diapers and beauty. In 2026 it is restructuring under Powering Honest Growth, concentrating on higher-margin categories, and early results show organic revenue growth alongside a rising gross margin. Reported revenue fell 10.9% in the second quarter of 2026 because of strategic exits, and the 2026 revenue outlook was raised to between 319 and 325 million dollars.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Honest Company, Inc. (HNST) stock was 4.44 USD (+2.07% on the day), with market capitalisation 476.3 m USD, dividend yield 9.46%, beta 1.51, 52-week range 2.10–5.95 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 83.3 m USD (−10.9% YoY), net income of 10.7 m USD (+176.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
476.3 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.13 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-2.92%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
9.46%
DPS 12m 0.42
Beta (2y)
1.51
Volatility (1y) 72%
52-week range
2.105.95

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.20 – 5.40
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.20 · band width 24.9%
SMA 50 / 200
5.17 / 3.80
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.21 / -0.16
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−13.8%−1.1%−12.7 pp—
3 months+15.3%−0.5%+15.8 pp—
6 months+31.0%+4.4%+26.6 pp—
Year to date+72.1%+12.3%+59.8 pp—
1 year+32.1%+13.5%+18.6 pp−2.6%
3 years+258.1%+76.4%+181.7 pp+12.3%
5 years−50.9%+63.7%−114.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−36.4%
05 Nov 2025 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−89.1%
12 Nov 2021 → 12 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−13.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
83.3 m USD
−10.9% YoY
Net income
10.7 m USD
+176.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
+200.0% YoY
net / operating
12.8% / 11.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue99.2 m99.8 m97.3 m93.5 m92.6 m88.0 m78.1 m83.3 m
Cost of revenue60.8 m61.1 m59.6 m55.7 m58.1 m74.2 m44.8 m42.9 m
Gross profit38.4 m38.8 m37.7 m37.8 m34.5 m13.8 m33.3 m40.4 m
Research & development1.7 m1.7 m1.9 m2.0 m1.7 m1.8 m1.9 m1.7 m
SG&A23.4 m26.8 m21.0 m20.4 m17.7 m20.4 m17.5 m15.0 m
Operating income57.0 k-1.0 m2.5 m2.9 m313.0 k-24.2 m-659.0 k9.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation706.0 k ≈711.0 k717.0 k741.0 k ≈722.0 k ≈721.0 k646.0 k698.0 k ≈
Pre-tax income184.0 k-791.0 k3.3 m3.9 m868.0 k-23.6 m4.0 k10.8 m
Income tax19.0 k19.0 k40.0 k44.0 k110.0 k9.0 k46.0 k65.0 k
Net income165.0 k-810.0 k3.3 m3.9 m758.0 k-23.6 m-42.0 k10.7 m
Diluted EPS0.00-0.01 ≈0.030.030.01-0.23 ≈0.000.09
Operating cash flow15.1 m ≈-16.8 m-2.9 m-745.0 k ≈-504.0 k ≈19.3 m5.5 m32.2 m ≈
Capex93.0 k ≈346.0 k62.0 k81.0 k ≈120.0 k ≈1.2 m1.7 m762.0 k ≈
Share repurchases——00 ≈——3.0 m16.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue235.6 m300.5 m318.6 m313.7 m344.4 m378.3 m371.3 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+27.6%+6.0%−1.6%+9.8%+9.9%−1.9%
Net income-31.1 m-14.5 m-38.7 m-49.0 m-39.2 m-6.1 m-15.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.92-0.43-0.43-0.53-0.42-0.06-0.14
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-13.2%-4.8%-12.1%-15.6%-11.4%-1.6%-4.2%
Free cash flow-20.7 m-12.3 m-38.4 m-77.9 m17.5 m1.0 m13.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
89.6 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
169.7 m USD
Total assets
225.4 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.98x
ROE
-9.1%
ROA
-6.6%
FCF margin
3.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
344.4 m
2024
378.3 m
2025
371.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
243.8 m
2024
233.7 m
2025
247.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
100.5 m
2024
144.7 m
2025
123.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
6.2 m
2024
6.9 m
2025
7.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
94.6 m
2024
99.0 m
2025
79.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-38.9 m
2024
-6.3 m
2025
-18.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
2.7 m
2024
2.8 m
2025
2.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-36.2 m ≈
2024
-3.5 m ≈
2025
-15.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-39.2 m
2024
-6.0 m
2025
-15.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
75.0 k
2024
75.0 k
2025
204.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-39.2 m
2024
-6.1 m
2025
-15.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.42
2024
-0.06
2025
-0.14

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
94.5 m
2024
100.2 m
2025
111.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2023verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
32.8 m
2024
75.4 m
2025
89.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
73.5 m
2024
85.3 m
2025
72.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
157.8 m
2024
213.9 m
2025
202.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Mar 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
2.2 m
2024
2.2 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
309.0 k
2024
235.0 k
2025
162.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
201.6 m
2024
247.4 m
2025
225.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
22.3 m
2024
22.8 m
2025
15.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
56.7 m
2024
59.9 m
2025
50.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
78.5 m
2024
73.1 m
2025
55.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
123.1 m †
2024
174.3 m †
2025
169.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
19.4 m
2024
1.5 m
2025
15.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.8 m
2024
530.0 k
2025
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
17.5 m ≈
2024
1.0 m ≈
2025
13.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
3.8 m
2024
-530.0 k
2025
-1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
122.0 k
2024
41.6 m
2025
535.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Mar 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
1,246.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
35.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
56.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
3.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
52.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
120 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
476.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
9.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.44 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 476.3 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
476.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 946derived 87

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
5.52
USD per share
Mid
6.33
USD per share
High
7.42
USD per share
Price: 4.44 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 42.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 29.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.52 – 7.42 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)5.52 – 7.42 (Mid 6.33)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-3.6%32 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.8%48 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.9x100 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation11.1%100 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial48/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial32/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

The Honest Company, Inc. (HNST). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 371.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.9%; net margin -3.6%; ROE -6.9%.

The estimated value range is 5.52–7.42 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 6.33 USD, the price of 4.44 USD leaves a potential of 42.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 29.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 3.9x
  • FCF yield: 11.1%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 28 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.3x
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+278.4%)
P/B
2.9x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+114.6%)
ROE
-6.9%
vertical median -6.3%
below median
Net margin
-3.6%
vertical median -0.6%
below median
EBIT margin
-4.4%
vertical median 0.6%
below median (−868.1%)
Revenue YoY
-1.9%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−129.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
9.5%
vertical median 1.0%
above median (+834.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.2,876.6 bn21.527.4%16.9%+12.4%+14% / +82%
CDWCdw Corp21.1 bn19.742.5%4.5%+6.8%+17% / −20%
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.5.2 bn25.713.1%2.5%−5.2%+103% / +16%
JMIAJumia Technologies AG1.3 bn—-108.9%-32.6%+12.8%−57% / +60%
BZUNBaozun Inc.597.0 m—-6.6%-2.4%+10.2%+21% / +16%
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.590.4 m68.0—3.7%−12.1%+42% / −63%
GCTGigacloud Technology Inc539.8 m13.732.3%10.6%+11.1%+56% / +495%
HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.476.3 m—-6.9%-3.6%−1.9%+32% / +258%
TDUPThredUp Inc.290.9 m—-39.2%-6.9%+19.5%−71% / +12%
DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.186.9 m—-9.2%-8.5%+1.5%−3% / +30%
NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.163.0 m—-47.0%-7.1%−25.1%−72% / −91%
AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.116.0 m—-29.5%-4.8%+4.4%−26% / +9%
SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.79.5 m—-6.3%-0.9%+6.4%−31% / −21%
HOURHour Loop, Inc.53.9 m37.021.8%1.1%+3.0%−28% / +3%
GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.47.4 m——-4.1%−14.6%−19% / −44%
LVLULulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.31.0 m—-602.9%-3.2%−10.6%+107% / −74%
UZXLinkage Global Inc21.7 m—-63.1%-144.5%−50.5%−98% / unavailable
GIFTGiftify, Inc.21.1 m—-36.2%-8.8%−6.5%−47% / −85%
CHWYChewy, Inc.2.3 k35.372.0%2.1%+6.2%−33% / +34%
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.8—-6.3%-0.2%−7.8%unavailable / unavailable
HEPSD-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading——-39.7%-2.8%+11.1%+19% / +100%
VIPSVipshop Holdings Limited—1.418.3%6.8%+2.0%−30% / −14%
RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.—21.812.6%4.8%+8.5%−17% / +50%
PTRNPattern Group Inc.——6.6%0.9%+39.3%+22% / unavailable
LUXELuxExperience B.V.——63.3%45.2%+50.1%+7% / +224%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HNST from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    The Honest Company sells cleanly formulated personal care products from babies to adults across wipes, personal care, diapers and beauty. In 2026 it is restructuring under Powering Honest Growth, concentrating on higher-margin categories, and early results show organic revenue growth alongside a rising gross margin. Reported revenue fell 10.9% in the second quarter of 2026 because of strategic exits, 3 and the 2026 revenue outlook was raised to between 319 and 325 million dollars. 3

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The brand is clearly positioned on clean formulas and sustainability, backed by internal standards and independent certifications. 1
    • The balance sheet carries no debt, and operating cash flow turned positive in the first half of 2026. 3
    • Partnerships with large retailers give national reach and marketing scale. 1

    Weaknesses

    • Diaper sales have declined, and the loss of distribution with two of the largest customers continues to weigh on revenue. 1
    • The company remains under-represented in distribution relative to main competitors, which limits product visibility. 1
    • Reported revenue fell in the second quarter of 2026, and part of the margin gain came from non-recurring items such as tariff refunds. 3

    Opportunities

    • If growth in higher-margin categories holds, the company could deepen household penetration and improve profitability. 3
    • Savings from Powering Honest Growth could be reinvested in marketing and innovation. 2 3
    • Growing preference for clean products could bring new consumers and room to extend into related categories. 1

    Threats

    • Tariffs and raw material costs could erode margin if mitigation measures prove insufficient. 1 3
    • Competition from established brands and private labels could pressure prices and market share. 1
    • Retailer consolidation could give large customers the power to cut shelf space or impose harsher terms. 1

    Risks

    • Dependence on a few retailershigh

      Loss or reduction of orders from a major retailer could significantly affect sales and margin. 1

    • Execution of the restructuringhigh

      Savings promised under Powering Honest Growth could be smaller or later than expected, and costs could exceed estimates. 1 2

    • Tariffs and cost inflationmedium

      Changes in tariffs and input costs could affect quarterly results, especially if guidance depends on current tariff levels. 1 3

    • Decline in the diaper categorymedium

      If the negative trend in diapers continues, the company could need to reallocate resources and see lower total sales. 1

    • Regulation and compliancelow

      Cosmetic and over-the-counter drug products are subject to FDA and other regulators, and a change in rules or a recall could be costly. 1

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If organic growth holds in higher-margin categories, the company could exceed current guidance and accelerate brand investment. 3
    • A debt-free balance sheet and positive cash flow give room for investment and share buybacks. 3
    • Demand for clean and sustainable products has a long-term tailwind, according to management. 1

    What would break the thesis

    • Reported revenue keeps falling, and strategic exits could reduce volume more than expected. 3
    • Part of the margin improvement comes from one-off items such as tariff refunds, which makes profitability harder to predict. 3
    • Competition and retailer pressure could limit the company's ability to hold prices and market share. 1

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Founded in 2012, The Honest Company develops personal care products with clean formulas and sustainable design across wipes, personal care, diapers and beauty. 1 The company runs as one operating segment, with its Chief Executive Officer managing resources and measuring performance on that basis. 1 Products are distributed through partnerships with major retailers such as Target, Amazon and Walmart, which sell both in stores and on their own websites. 1

    From December 31, 2025 the company stopped fulfilling orders through Honest.com, keeping the site only as a resource for consumer education and for directing shoppers to retailers and third-party platforms. 1 Under Powering Honest Growth, Honest is exiting low-margin categories and channels, including apparel and its stores in Canada, and the related restructuring and cost of revenue charges are estimated in the range disclosed in the 2026 reporting. 2 The company gave notice to end the Pennsylvania warehouse contract, so after June 30, 2026 only the Nevada warehouse will operate. 1

    The capital structure is simple: at June 30, 2026 the company had no debt, 105.9 million dollars in cash and cash equivalents, and in the first half it repurchased shares worth 18.7 million dollars. 3 For 2026, management raised its guidance for adjusted gross margin to the mid-40s percent range and for adjusted EBITDA to between 23 and 25 million dollars. 3

    Segments

    Wipes and personal care

    Wipes, including flushable and make-up remover variants, and the personal care line for babies and adults are the categories the company calls its higher-growth, higher-margin platforms. 1 In the second quarter of 2026, organic growth was supported by these categories. 3

    Diapers

    Diapers, made partly from responsibly sourced plant-based fluff pulp, declined in 2025 and in the early 2026 sales trend, with management attributing the losses to distribution changes and print shifts at major retailers. 1 3

    Trends

    • Demand for clean and sensitive-skin productstailwind

      The company believes consumer preference for products without conventional ingredients and for sensitive skin will keep growing in the coming years, which could let it take share from legacy brands. 1

    • Tariff and cost pressureheadwind

      Tariffs and rising costs for raw materials and transport have affected past results, and current guidance depends on tariff levels and mitigation measures. 1 3

    • Retailer consolidationheadwind

      Retailers and ecommerce platforms have consolidated, giving them more bargaining power and the ability to cut brands or favour private label products. 1

    • Restructuring and operating efficiencymixed

      Exiting low-margin categories and cutting selling and administrative costs could improve profitability but may temporarily reduce sales volume. 2 3

    Competitive position

    The company competes with established consumer packaged goods producers and with emerging direct-to-consumer brands, and the main rivals differ by category, such as wipes, skin care and diapers. 1 It believes it differentiates on clean formulation, sustainability, effectiveness and design, but acknowledges it is still under-indexed in distribution compared with competitors. 1

    Beyond the rivals listed below, the company faces retailers' private label brands, and attention on established diaper and wipes makers remains high. 1 Its market position depends on winning additional shelf space and protecting margin against price pressure from retailers. 1

    • Kimberly-Clark CorporationKMB

      Rival in diapers, wipes and skin care, named in the filing.

    • Procter & Gamble CompanyPG

      Competitor in diapers and paper products through established baby brands.

    • Edgewell Personal Care CompanyEPC

      Wipes producer targeting the same consumers.

    • The Clorox CompanyCLX

      Parent of Burt's Bees, active in natural personal care products.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / The Honest Company, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Honest Company, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Honest Company, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.