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olivLaw · US equity research

QVC Group, Inc. QVCG

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · SIC 5961 · Vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

8.29USD+3.88% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

QVC Group, Inc. is a live social shopping company that sells consumer products through video-driven commerce on television, websites, social platforms and streaming services in the U.S., Japan, Germany, the U.K. and Italy. The company entered Chapter 11 proceedings in April 2026, which makes its financial future a central point to watch. E-commerce accounts for a majority of its net revenue.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, QVC Group, Inc. (QVCG) stock was 8.29 USD (+3.88% on the day), with market capitalisation 8 USD, dividend yield 10,603,136,308.81%, 52-week range 6.90–19.49 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.8 bn USD (−11.0% YoY), net income of -31.0 m USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8 USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
E/P (TTM)
unavailable
Dividend yield
10,603,136,308.81%
DPS 12m 879,000,000.00
Beta (2y)
unavailable
Volatility (1y) 72%
52-week range
6.9019.49

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
33.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.56 – 12.71
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.38 · band width 78.2%
SMA 50 / 200
13.00 / unavailable
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.62 / -1.77
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−41.1%−1.1%−40.0 pp—
3 monthsunavailable−0.5%unavailable—
6 monthsunavailable+4.4%unavailable—
Year to dateunavailable+12.3%unavailable—
1 yearunavailable+13.5%unavailable+2.1%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+14.1%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−64.6%
10 Aug 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−64.6%
10 Aug 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.8 bn USD
−11.0% YoY
Net income
-31.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.8% / 3.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue2.1 bn2.7 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn2.4 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn
Cost of revenue1.4 bn1.8 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn
Gross profit726.0 m868.0 m634.0 m703.0 m665.0 m786.0 m589.0 m601.0 m
Operating income164.0 m-1.3 bn29.0 m-2.3 bn91.0 m135.0 m56.0 m62.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation87.0 m84.0 m95.0 m98.0 m97.0 m79.0 m74.0 m71.0 m
Interest expense——64.0 m66.0 m——76.0 m15.0 m
Pre-tax income89.0 m-1.3 bn-35.0 m-2.3 bn26.0 m73.0 m-8.0 m-3.0 m
Income tax27.0 m-87.0 m-2.0 m-190.0 m15.0 m24.0 m8.0 m18.0 m
Net income51.0 m-1.2 bn-42.0 m-2.2 bn2.0 m37.0 m-25.0 m-31.0 m
Operating cash flow98.0 m ≈189.0 m46.0 m52.0 m ≈76.0 m ≈245.0 m-98.0 m154.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue11.3 bn11.0 bn11.5 bn11.4 bn9.9 bn9.4 bn9.0 bn8.3 bn
Revenue YoY+28.6%−2.6%+4.4%−1.0%−12.9%−4.4%−4.8%−7.8%
Net income882.0 m767.0 m844.0 m787.0 m-1.9 bn159.0 m-1.1 bn-2.2 bn
Net income YoY−2.1%−13.0%+10.0%−6.8%−337.2%unavailable−772.3%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %7.8%7.0%7.4%6.9%-18.9%1.7%-11.9%-26.1%
Free cash flowunavailable1.0 bn2.0 bn959.0 m193.0 m912.0 m362.0 m287.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.5 bn USD
Financial debt
5.0 bn USD
Net debt
3.5 bn USD
Equity
1.3 bn USD
Total assets
8.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
3.96x
Current ratio
0.55x
ROE
-93.5%
ROA
-23.6%
FCF margin
3.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
9.4 bn
2024
9.0 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.3 bn
2024
5.9 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
645.0 m
2024
-770.0 m
2025
-2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
372.0 m
2024
351.0 m
2025
369.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.0 bn ≈
2024
-419.0 m ≈
2025
-1.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
247.0 m
2024
267.0 m
2025
286.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
416.0 m
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
-2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
205.0 m
2024
3.0 m
2025
-153.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
159.0 m
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
307.0 m
2024
297.0 m
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2023
860.0 m
2024
901.0 m
2025
832.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
427.0 m
2024
410.0 m
2025
316.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.2 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
800.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
3.1 bn
2024
385.0 m
2025
315.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
11.7 bn
2024
9.9 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
424.0 m
2024
585.0 m
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
1.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
6.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
7.4 bn
2024
6.5 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.3 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
1
2024
1
2025
1

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.1 bn
2024
535.0 m
2025
419.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
182.0 m
2024
173.0 m
2025
132.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
912.0 m ≈
2024
362.0 m ≈
2025
287.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-47.0 m
2024
-206.0 m
2025
-221.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-321.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-20.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
33.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
377.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
132.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
245.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
56.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
34 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
63 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
-1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-205,066,345.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
-2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
-4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
-0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
2,955,367,913.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
10,603,136,308.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

8.29 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
-2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
10,603,136,308.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 1871derived 152

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
11,261,882,689.14
USD per share
Mid
13,249,632,352.94
USD per share
High
15,534,051,724.14
USD per share
Price: 8.29 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 159,826,686,907.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 100.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9,795,930,205.23 – 37,832,978,967.78 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)11,261,882,689.14 – 37,832,978,967.78 (Mid 16,708,846,273.07)
    WACC 5.0% · starting FCFF 452.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 88%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA9,795,930,205.23 – 12,241,281,368.94 (Mid 11,325,519,647.32)
    4 companies used · median multiple 14.8x · quartiles 12.5x – 16.1x
    AMZN, BZUN, CDW, NSIT
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)11,550,961,538.46 – 15,534,051,724.14 (Mid 13,249,632,352.94)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-0.2%54 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.7%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-2.3x100 (vs peers)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.4x0 (on a fixed band)12%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.2x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation-2.3x100 (vs peers)19%
FCF yield · Valuation2,955,367,913.1%100 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial54/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

QVC Group, Inc. (QVCG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 8.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -7.8%; net margin -0.2%; ROE -6.3%; net debt/EBITDA -2.3x.

The estimated value range is 11,261,882,689.14–15,534,051,724.14 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 13,249,632,352.94 USD, the price of 8.29 USD leaves a potential of 159,826,686,907.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 100.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -2.3x
  • Current ratio: 3.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: -2.3x
  • FCF yield: 2,955,367,913.1%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.7%
  • Interest coverage: 1.4x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 28 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.8x
EV/EBITDA
-2.3x
vertical median 13.4x
below median (−116.9%)
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 0.4x
below median (−100.0%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.9x
ROE
-6.3%
vertical median -6.3%
at median
Net margin
-0.2%
vertical median -1.7%
above median
EBIT margin
4.3%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+701.7%)
Revenue YoY
-7.8%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−223.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-2.3x
vertical median 0.3x
below median (−857.5%)
Dividend yield
10,603,136,308.8%
vertical median 1.0%
above median (+1,048,857,505,381.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.2,876.6 bn21.527.4%16.9%+12.4%+14% / +82%
CDWCdw Corp21.1 bn20.344.0%4.6%+6.8%+17% / −20%
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.5.2 bn25.713.1%2.5%−5.2%+103% / +16%
JMIAJumia Technologies AG1.3 bn—-108.9%-32.6%+12.8%−57% / +60%
BZUNBaozun Inc.597.0 m—-6.6%-2.4%+10.2%+21% / +16%
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.590.4 m68.0—3.7%−12.1%+42% / −63%
GCTGigacloud Technology Inc539.8 m13.732.3%10.6%+11.1%+56% / +495%
HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.476.3 m—-6.9%-3.6%−1.9%+65% / +86%
TDUPThredUp Inc.287.5 m—-36.8%-6.6%+19.5%−71% / +12%
DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.186.9 m—-9.2%-8.5%+1.5%−3% / +30%
NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.163.0 m—-47.0%-7.1%−25.1%−72% / −91%
AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.115.3 m—-25.5%-4.4%+4.4%−26% / +9%
SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.79.5 m—-6.3%-0.9%+6.4%−31% / −21%
HOURHour Loop, Inc.53.9 m37.021.8%1.1%+3.0%−28% / +3%
GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.47.4 m——-4.1%−14.6%−19% / −44%
LVLULulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.31.0 m—-602.9%-3.2%−10.6%+107% / −74%
UZXLinkage Global Inc21.7 m—-63.1%-144.5%−50.5%−98% / unavailable
GIFTGiftify, Inc.21.1 m—-36.2%-8.8%−6.5%−47% / −85%
CHWYChewy, Inc.2.3 k35.372.0%2.1%+6.2%−33% / +34%
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.8—-6.3%-0.2%−7.8%unavailable / unavailable
CPNGCoupang, Inc.——-36.0%-3.8%+14.1%−39% / +12%
BWMXBetterware De Mexico, S.a.p.i. De C.v——54.1%5.0%+8.4%+19% / +22%
DDLDingdong (Cayman) Limited——25.7%1.0%+10.2%+10% / −11%
HEPSD-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading——-39.7%-2.8%+11.1%+19% / +100%
VIPSVipshop Holdings Limited—1.418.3%6.8%+2.0%−30% / −14%

1- and 3-year price returns: for QVCG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    QVC Group, Inc. is a live social shopping company that sells consumer products through video-driven commerce on television, websites, social platforms and streaming services in the U.S., Japan, Germany, the U.K. and Italy. The company entered Chapter 11 proceedings in April 2026, which makes its financial future a central point to watch. E-commerce accounts for a majority of its net revenue 12.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a large base of loyal customers, who account for most of its sales, and a global presence through television and digital platforms 1. Long-standing relationships with major television distributors provide favorable channel positioning 1.
    • Video commerce expertise and a sourcing team that selects exclusive and branded products are differentiating elements 1. The company argues that celebrity and designer presence supports customer trust 1.
    • Distribution infrastructure with nine centers worldwide and the capacity to handle large order volumes are important operating assets 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has entered Chapter 11 and acknowledges substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern 2. Debt has become due as a result of this process 12.
    • Dependence on television and traditional distributors may limit adaptation to shifting consumer behavior 1. Reaching audiences across multiple platforms requires resources the company has reduced in recent years 1.
    • Breach of the leverage covenant and accelerated payment obligations limit financial flexibility 1. The notes were suspended from trading on the New York Stock Exchange 2.

    Opportunities

    • The WIN strategy could extend audiences on social media and streaming if content adapts effectively to each platform 1. Growth in social commerce could bring new customers 1.
    • If the reorganization succeeds, the company could reduce debt and resume investment in content and technology 2. The sale of the St. Petersburg properties could bring additional resources 1.
    • Expansion into international markets through joint-venture structures, as in Japan, could support revenue growth 1.

    Threats

    • The Chapter 11 process and uncertainty over effectiveness of the plan could affect relationships with customers, suppliers and employees 2. Delays could increase procedural costs 1.
    • Changes in television distribution and online viewing habits could reduce program audiences 1. Competition from digital platforms remains intense 1.
    • Cybersecurity risks, trade tariffs and personal data regulations could generate additional costs and reputational damage 1.

    Risks

    • Chapter 11 process and going-concern doubthigh

      The company acknowledges substantial doubt about its ability to continue operating, and the outcome of the process is uncertain 12. The confirmed plan remains subject to conditions, and effectiveness is not assured 2.

    • Acceleration of debthigh

      Credit facility and secured note obligations could become immediately due, which could severely affect liquidity 12. The path forward depends on agreement with creditors 2.

    • Dependence on television distributorsmedium

      Loss or deterioration of distributor agreements could reduce access to customers and revenue 1.

    • Changes in consumer behaviormedium

      Consumer preferences and the move to digital platforms could reduce the effectiveness of the televised format 1.

    • Cybersecurity and data risksmedium

      Security incidents and personal data regulations could lead to penalties and litigation 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • A loyal customer base and a large share of e-commerce sales could support a recovery if the reorganization succeeds 12.
    • If the reorganization plan takes effect, the company could ease debt pressure and focus resources on the WIN strategy 2.
    • Long relationships with television distributors and a global presence could be an advantage if content adapts to new platforms 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Entering Chapter 11 and doubts about going-concern status could weaken confidence among customers and suppliers 2.
    • Accelerated debt and a breached covenant could severely limit financing capacity and investment 12.
    • If the shift to streaming and social commerce does not offset the decline of traditional television, revenue could fall 1.

    What to watch

    • Effectiveness of the reorganization plan and fulfilment of remaining conditions2026
    • Trend in e-commerce revenue and results of the WIN strategynext 10-K
    • Agreement on debt and any restructuring of the notes2026
    • Relationships with television distributors and channel positioningnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    QVC Group, Inc. (through its subsidiary QVC, Inc.) describes its activity as live social commerce, curating and selling a wide range of products through video on virtually any screen. Programs are distributed through broadcast networks, websites, social platforms such as TikTok and Instagram, and streaming applications 1. The company says it reaches over 200 million worldwide households each day and considers itself a global leader in video retailing and social commerce 1. E-commerce represented 63% of consolidated net revenue 12.

    Products fall into six groups: home, apparel, beauty, accessories, electronics and jewelry, many of them exclusive or proprietary 1. The WIN strategy, announced in November 2024, aims to grow top-line revenue through three priorities: presence across diverse platforms, engaging content, and new ways of working 1. In 2025 the company consolidated QVC and HSN operations at West Chester, PA, and closed its St. Petersburg, FL campus 1.

    On April 16, 2026, QVC Group and certain affiliates commenced Chapter 11 cases in the Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas, and the court confirmed the plan in July 2026 2. Effectiveness and emergence remain subject to remaining conditions, and the company states there is substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern 2.

    Segments

    QxH (QVC-U.S. and HSN)

    The QxH segment includes QVC-U.S. and HSN, Inc., with programming on the QVC, QVC2, QVC3, HSN and HSN2 channels nationally 12. The programs are also available on QVC.com, HSN.com and streaming platforms 1.

    QVC International

    QVC International distributes programming in Japan, Germany, the U.K. and Italy, with product sourcing teams tailored to each local market 1. Operations in Japan run through a joint venture with Mitsui & Co., LTD 1.

    QVC-Japan (joint venture)

    QVC-Japan is owned 60% by the company and 40% by Mitsui, with profits and losses shared according to these interests 1. Dividends paid to Mitsui indicate a meaningful financial contribution from this structure 1.

    Market context

    The company describes its market as dominated by video commerce and e-commerce, where loyal customers and live campaigns play a central role 1. The 97% share of sales from repeat and reactivated customers points to a stable customer base 1. Growth in digital commerce is a central part of the strategy and of the shift toward social platforms 1.

    Relationships with television distributors such as cable, satellite and telecom providers, including Comcast, Charter, DIRECTV and Verizon, are presented as an important competitive advantage 1. Changes in programming distribution and online viewing habits could alter that positioning 1.

    Trends

    • Shift toward streaming and social platformsmixed

      Growth of streaming and social platforms as sales channels could open new audiences for QVC if the WIN strategy adapts content to each platform 1. The company notes that changes in distribution could affect program impact 1.

    • Social commerce and influencersmixed

      Use of influencers and social media can bring visibility and new customers, but can also affect reputation or lead to fines 1. The company acknowledges growing dependence on these platforms 1.

    • Financing costs and debtheadwind

      Rising market interest rates could increase operating costs and reduce consumer demand, according to the risk disclosures 1. Existing debt and the acceleration of payment obligations represent a major pressure 2.

    • Operating efficiencytailwind

      The WIN program, the consolidation at West Chester and the team reorganization aim to grow revenue while maintaining adjusted margin 1. If these measures succeed, they could reduce costs over the medium term 1.

    Competitive position

    The company says it operates in a highly competitive retail environment and that competitor responses to its products are an ongoing risk 1. Advantages cited include channel position, distributor relationships and the ability to retain customers 1.

    Competition comes from traditional brick-and-mortar retail as well as transactional e-commerce, which the company differentiates through video content and product storytelling 1. The sources do not name U.S.-listed competitors explicitly.

    • Brick-and-mortar retail

      The company explicitly distinguishes itself from store-based retail, which it considers less engaging for customers 1.

    • Transactional e-commerce

      The company distances itself from simple transaction sites, stating its experience combines media, retail and social 1.

    • Streaming and social platforms

      These platforms are both distribution channels and potential rivals for customer attention and spending 1.

    • Other television direct-response retailers

      The sources do not name other direct-response retailers, but the company claims an access and positioning advantage on television channels 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report30 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report22 Sept 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 Sept 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report27 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report07 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Item 3.03 · Item 5.01 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
    • Current report03 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report24 Jul 2026
      Item 1.03 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Jul 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Jun 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / QVC Group, Inc. · 15 Apr 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / QVC Group, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.