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olivLaw · US equity research

Revolve Group, Inc. RVLV

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses · SIC 5961 · Vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

19.98USD−7.20% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Revolve Group is a premium online fashion retailer serving Millennial and Generation Z consumers, combining a curated catalog, owned brands and a data-driven technology platform. It generated net sales of 1.2 billion USD in fiscal 2025, and sales growth accelerated in the second quarter of 2026, which makes its profile relevant while premium fashion demand and tariff costs remain volatile.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) stock was 19.98 USD (−7.20% on the day), with P/E 21.8 on diluted EPS of 0.92 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.56, 52-week range 17.51–31.45 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 356.0 m USD (+20.4% YoY), net income of 14.5 m USD (−31.7% YoY), diluted EPS 0.20 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
21.8
Diluted EPS TTM 0.92 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.59%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.56
Volatility (1y) 50%
52-week range
17.5131.45

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
35.9
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
20.66 – 23.62
below the lower band · %B -0.23 · band width 13.3%
SMA 50 / 200
21.61 / 23.18
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.05 / 0.16
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.1%−1.1%−4.0 pp—
3 months−21.0%−0.5%−20.6 pp—
6 months−1.0%+4.4%−5.4 pp—
Year to date−33.8%+12.3%−46.1 pp—
1 year0.0%+13.5%−13.5 pp+6.8%
3 years+49.7%+76.4%−26.7 pp+12.3%
5 years−75.5%+63.7%−139.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−44.3%
29 Dec 2025 → 13 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−85.7%
18 Nov 2021 → 22 Sept 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
356.0 m USD
+20.4% YoY
Net income
14.5 m USD
−31.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.20
−31.0% YoY
net / operating
4.1% / 5.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue293.7 m296.7 m309.0 m295.6 m324.4 m342.9 m347.4 m356.0 m
Cost of revenue139.4 m142.4 m141.9 m134.1 m151.5 m162.3 m150.7 m164.2 m
Gross profit154.3 m154.3 m167.1 m161.5 m172.9 m180.6 m196.7 m191.8 m
Operating income11.4 m14.7 m18.0 m21.0 m20.6 m15.7 m22.1 m19.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation928.0 k1.0 m1.4 m ≈1.0 m ≈1.2 m1.3 m1.7 m ≈1.7 m ≈
Pre-tax income14.6 m15.6 m15.1 m28.3 m23.3 m18.5 m24.9 m21.3 m
Income tax2.9 m4.2 m5.1 m7.1 m4.8 m4.7 m6.2 m5.7 m
Net income12.3 m11.8 m10.2 m21.2 m18.6 m14.4 m18.6 m14.5 m
Diluted EPS0.17 ≈0.160.140.290.26 ≈0.200.260.20
Operating cash flow3.9 m45.1 m12.6 m ≈11.8 m ≈-10.2 m49.4 m-8.2 m ≈-24.3 m ≈
Capex1.8 m1.8 m2.2 m ≈4.3 m ≈3.1 m5.0 m2.8 m ≈3.1 m ≈
Share repurchases-98.0 k——283.0 k ≈0——73.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 4 percentile of its own 24-quarter history (min 20.2, median 35.6, max 62.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue498.7 m601.0 m580.6 m891.4 m1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn
Revenue YoY+24.8%+20.5%−3.4%+53.5%+23.6%−3.0%+5.7%+8.5%
Net income30.7 m35.7 m56.8 m99.8 m58.7 m28.1 m49.6 m61.7 m
Net income YoY+473.9%+16.2%+59.2%+75.8%−41.2%−52.0%+76.1%+24.5%
Diluted EPS0.44-0.090.791.340.790.380.690.86
Diluted EPS YoY+450.0%−120.5%unavailable+69.6%−41.0%−51.9%+81.6%+24.6%
net %6.2%5.9%9.8%11.2%5.3%2.6%4.4%5.0%
Free cash flow23.6 m33.6 m71.4 m60.1 m18.3 m39.1 m21.0 m48.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
292.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
512.5 m USD
Total assets
765.0 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.81x
ROE
13.0%
ROA
8.6%
FCF margin
3.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
514.5 m
2024
536.6 m
2025
569.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
554.2 m
2024
593.3 m
2025
655.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
22.1 m
2024
51.4 m
2025
74.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.1 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
4.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
27.2 m ≈
2024
55.8 m ≈
2025
78.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
37.8 m
2024
64.4 m
2025
82.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
9.6 m
2024
15.7 m
2025
21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
28.1 m
2024
49.6 m
2025
61.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.38
2024
0.69
2025
0.86

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
73.6 m
2024
71.7 m
2025
72.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
245.4 m
2024
256.6 m
2025
292.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
12.4 m
2024
10.3 m
2025
16.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
203.6 m
2024
229.2 m
2025
251.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
528.6 m
2024
561.1 m
2025
647.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
7.8 m
2024
8.9 m
2025
15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.0 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.9 m
2024
2.3 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
608.9 m
2024
665.5 m
2025
765.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
47.8 m
2024
45.1 m
2025
56.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
189.6 m
2024
196.1 m
2025
230.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
223.7 m
2024
227.8 m
2025
252.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
385.1 m
2024
437.8 m
2025
512.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
43.3 m
2024
26.7 m
2025
59.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
4.2 m
2024
5.6 m
2025
11.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
39.1 m ≈
2024
21.0 m ≈
2025
48.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.2 m
2024
-9.1 m
2025
-14.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-30.4 m
2024
-5.4 m
2025
-1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
30.9 m
2024
11.8 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
44.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
24.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
128.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
54.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
12.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
6.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
14.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-7.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-11.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
7 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
154 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
37 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
125 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
21.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

19.98 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
21.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 1124derived 100

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
15.31
USD per share
Mid
19.72
USD per share
High
27.98
USD per share
Price: 19.98 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -1.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -1.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 15.31 – 27.98 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E15.31 – 27.98 (Mid 19.72)
    7 companies used · median multiple 21.5x · quartiles 16.7x – 30.5x
    AMZN, CDW, CHWY, GCT, HOUR, NSIT, VIPS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality4.8%82 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Quality-11.0%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.6%30 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth2.9%19 (on a fixed band)19%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.6x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.8x50 (vs peers)24%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth25/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality41/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial50/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

REVOLVE GROUP, INC. (RVLV). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.5%; net margin 4.8%; ROE 12.6%.

The estimated value range is 15.31–27.98 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 19.72 USD, the price of 19.98 USD leaves a potential of -1.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -1.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 4.8%
  • Current ratio: 2.6x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -11.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 2.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses (SIC 5961) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 28 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.8x
vertical median 23.6x
below median (−7.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.3x
P/S
—
vertical median 0.4x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.9x
ROE
12.6%
vertical median -6.3%
above median
Net margin
4.8%
vertical median -1.1%
above median
EBIT margin
5.6%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+944.3%)
Revenue YoY
8.5%
vertical median 5.7%
above median (+49.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.2,876.6 bn21.527.4%16.9%+12.4%+14% / +82%
CDWCdw Corp21.1 bn19.742.5%4.5%+6.8%+17% / −20%
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.5.2 bn25.713.1%2.5%−5.2%+103% / +16%
JMIAJumia Technologies AG1.3 bn—-108.9%-32.6%+12.8%−57% / +60%
BZUNBaozun Inc.597.0 m—-6.6%-2.4%+10.2%+21% / +16%
LITBLightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd.590.4 m68.0—3.7%−12.1%+42% / −63%
GCTGigacloud Technology Inc539.8 m13.732.3%10.6%+11.1%+56% / +495%
HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.476.3 m—-6.9%-3.6%−1.9%+65% / +86%
TDUPThredUp Inc.290.9 m—-39.2%-6.9%+19.5%−71% / +12%
DIBS1stdibs.com, Inc.186.9 m—-9.2%-8.5%+1.5%−3% / +30%
NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.163.0 m—-47.0%-7.1%−25.1%−72% / −91%
AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.116.0 m—-29.5%-4.8%+4.4%−26% / +9%
SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.79.5 m—-6.3%-0.9%+6.4%−31% / −21%
HOURHour Loop, Inc.53.9 m37.021.8%1.1%+3.0%−28% / +3%
GROVGrove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.47.4 m——-4.1%−14.6%−19% / −44%
LVLULulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.31.0 m—-602.9%-3.2%−10.6%+107% / −74%
UZXLinkage Global Inc21.7 m—-63.1%-144.5%−50.5%−98% / unavailable
GIFTGiftify, Inc.21.1 m—-36.2%-8.8%−6.5%−47% / −85%
CHWYChewy, Inc.2.3 k35.372.0%2.1%+6.2%−33% / +34%
QVCGQVC Group, Inc.8—-6.3%-0.2%−7.8%unavailable / unavailable
HEPSD-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading——-39.7%-2.8%+11.1%+19% / +100%
VIPSVipshop Holdings Limited—1.418.3%6.8%+2.0%−30% / −14%
RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.—21.812.6%4.8%+8.5%0% / +50%
PTRNPattern Group Inc.——6.6%0.9%+39.3%+22% / unavailable
LUXELuxExperience B.V.——63.3%45.2%+50.1%+7% / +224%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RVLV from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Revolve Group is a premium online fashion retailer serving Millennial and Generation Z consumers, combining a curated catalog, owned brands and a data-driven technology platform. It generated net sales of 1.2 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1, and sales growth accelerated in the second quarter of 2026, which makes its profile relevant while premium fashion demand and tariff costs remain volatile 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A proprietary technology platform and a large data set allow precise management of inventory and pricing, with a high share of full-price sales 1.
  • Owned brands have a consistent social following and are sold at prices close to premium third-party brands, which supports margins 1.
  • The balance sheet remains debt free, and the company continued its share repurchase program in 2026 3.

Weaknesses

  • Marketing and distribution costs are rising as a share of sales, which compresses operating efficiency in some quarters 3.
  • Operating cash flow fell in 2026 compared with the prior year, due to unfavorable working capital changes 3.
  • Reliance on manufacturing in China for a significant part of products exposes the company to supply and cost risks 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into physical retail and a namesake brand could open new growth channels, according to management 3.
  • International markets, where sales are growing faster than in the U.S., could contribute a larger share of revenue 3.
  • Difficulties at some luxury competitors could allow financially sound companies to gain market share 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and uncertainty in U.S. trade policy could affect margins and product prices 1.
  • An economic slowdown could reduce discretionary spending and raise product return rates 1.
  • Rising shipping and digital advertising costs could reduce marketing efficiency 3.

Risks

  • Tariff exposurehigh

    Tariffs on imports from China and other countries could raise cost of sales and reduce gross margin if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

  • Inventory managementhigh

    Demand is hard to forecast, and excess or insufficient inventory can affect operating results and inventory values 13.

  • High return ratesmedium

    A generous return policy can lead to higher returns, which could affect results and financial position 1.

  • Shifting consumer preferencesmedium

    If the company does not anticipate fashion trends quickly, the brand could lose loyalty among younger customers 1.

  • Transport and logistics costslow

    Higher shipping rates could reduce distribution efficiency, as the cost trend in the second quarter of 2026 indicates 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Net sales growth accelerated for three consecutive quarters, and active customer growth reached its highest rate in nearly three years 3.
  • Gross margin and profitability rose in the second quarter of 2026, partly due to tariff refunds, and the full-year gross margin outlook was kept 3.
  • A debt-free balance sheet and a share repurchase program give the company financial flexibility 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Operating cash flow declined in the first half of 2026, and free cash flow was negative in the second quarter 3.
  • Marketing and distribution costs are rising as a share of sales, and the general and administrative cost outlook was raised 3.
  • Exposure to tariffs and trade policy remains a source of uncertainty, even though some refunds have been received 13.

What to watch

  • Evolution of net sales and active customersQ3 2026
  • Delivery against gross margin and marketing expense guidance2026
  • Final effect of the IEEPA tariff decision on refundsnext 10-K
  • Trend in free cash flow and working capitalQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE: RVLV) presents itself as a next-generation fashion retailer selling apparel, footwear, beauty and accessories online, with over 140,000 styles and over 1,600 emerging, established and owned brands 1. The company was founded in 2003 by its two co-chief executive officers and argues that its curated, data-driven model differentiates it from premium department stores and from specialty retailers with narrow assortments 1. Operations run on one technology platform, focused on inventory, pricing and trend forecasting through proprietary algorithms 1. In fiscal 2025, owned brands represented 19.8% of REVOLVE segment net sales, and full-price sales were about 81.4% of net sales 1.

The marketing model combines social campaigns, an influencer network and paid performance marketing, and the company says its free shipping and no-hassle returns, offered since launch, support customer loyalty 1. Active customers were 2.8 million in fiscal 2025 and average order value was 299 USD 1. The company operates mainly through two segments, REVOLVE and FWRD, and expansion abroad, while keeping the core U.S. market as focus, is a strategic priority 1.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, net sales reached 347.4 million USD and trailing 12-month active customers grew 11% year over year 3. The company announced a first-ever namesake label, REVOLVE Los Angeles, and the launch of a beauty line made with a celebrity partner, both in a phase of heavier marketing investment 3.

Segments

REVOLVE

The REVOLVE segment sells premium, trend-driven ready-to-wear from emerging, established and owned brands 1. In the second quarter of 2026, segment net sales were 302.5 million USD, up 13% 3.

Market context

The company operates in the large and growing apparel, footwear, beauty and accessories sectors, and management believes favorable demographic trends and innovation in fashion and customer experience can support long-term growth 1. Mobile devices accounted for 77.2% of total orders in fiscal 2025, but most retail sales still occur in physical stores, which keeps the omnichannel model relevant 1.

The market is competitive, and the sources name national retailers with broad assortments, specialty boutiques and pure-play digital retailers as rivals 1. The company argues that financial difficulties at some luxury players create an opportunity for financially stronger competitors to gain share 1.

Trends

  • Millennial and Gen Z purchasing powertailwind

    Purchasing power is shifting toward Millennials, whose share of U.S. household net worth nearly tripled compared with 2019, according to data cited by the company 1. This could support demand for brands aimed at this audience.

  • Tariffs and import costsheadwind

    Tariffs on goods from China reached a total rate of 152.5% at various points in 2025, raising sourcing costs 1. The Supreme Court ruling of February 2026 on IEEPA tariffs produced tariff refunds, but their final effect remains undetermined 13.

  • Discretionary consumer spendingheadwind

    Sales of non-essential goods tend to decline when consumer confidence weakens, and the company acknowledges it cannot predict when macroeconomic uncertainty will arise or ease 1.

  • Influencer and social media marketingmixed

    Younger consumers draw inspiration from social content and influencer recommendations, and the company invests heavily in this area, which raised marketing costs as a share of sales in the second quarter of 2026 13.

Competitive position

The sources do not give a full list of direct competitors, but they describe rival categories: national retailers with broad assortments, curated specialty boutiques and pure-play digital retailers with transactional experiences 1. The company considers itself the leading U.S. online destination for premium fashion aimed at the next generation 1.

Among competitors named explicitly is FWRD, which appears in the filings as part of the same group and, by analogy, as a reference for online luxury 1. According to the company, its differentiation rests on owned brands, editorial content and an almost entirely full-price sales mix 1.

  • National retailers with broad assortments

    Cited as retailers targeting a broad demographic but lagging in trend adaptation and customer service, per the company 1.

  • Specialty boutiques

    Highly curated but with a narrow assortment and limited reach, as described in the source 1.

  • Pure-play digital retailers

    Purely transactional shopping experience without original editorial content, per the company's description 1.

  • Luxury houses hit by insolvency

    Luxury retail players that entered insolvency proceedings, leaving room for financially sound competitors, according to the source 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 02 Nov 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Revolve Group, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Revolve Group, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Revolve Group, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.