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olivLaw · US equity research

Titan Machinery Inc. TITN

Retail-Retail Stores, NEC · SIC 5990 · Vertical: Retail-Retail Stores, NEC (SIC 5990)

22.52USD−3.14% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Titan Machinery operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores across the United States, Europe and Australia, and is a major CNH dealer. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 revenue fell to 496.4 million USD amid weak agricultural demand, while gross margin rose, a sign of inventory recovery.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) stock was 22.52 USD (−3.14% on the day), with market capitalisation 530.0 m USD, beta 1.33, 52-week range 14.15–26.22 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 496.4 m USD (−9.2% YoY), net income of -9.2 m USD, diluted EPS -0.40 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
530.0 m USD
shares as of 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.49 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
-11.05%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.33
Volatility (1y) 59%
52-week range
14.1526.22

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
21.82 – 24.32
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.28 · band width 10.8%
SMA 50 / 200
23.16 / 20.09
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.07 / 0.11
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−11.1%−1.1%−10.0 pp—
3 months+14.5%−0.5%+15.0 pp—
6 months+5.3%+4.4%+0.9 pp—
Year to date+49.7%+12.3%+37.4 pp—
1 year+37.1%+13.5%+23.6 pp−26.6%
3 years−13.7%+76.4%−90.1 pp−49.3%
5 years−27.1%+63.7%−90.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.0%
19 Feb 2026 → 19 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−72.9%
07 Mar 2023 → 09 Sept 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−6.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
496.4 m USD
−9.2% YoY
Net income
-9.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.40
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.8% / -0.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue679.8 m759.9 m594.3 m546.4 m644.5 m641.8 m522.4 m496.4 m
Cost of revenue569.3 m708.9 m503.4 m452.8 m533.5 m554.9 m433.1 m404.0 m
Gross profit110.5 m51.0 m90.9 m93.6 m111.0 m87.0 m89.3 m92.4 m
Operating income11.5 m-45.8 m-5.7 m662.0 k10.3 m-11.9 m-5.6 m-2.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation10.3 m ≈9.9 m8.9 m9.4 m ≈9.8 m ≈9.4 m9.0 m9.5 m ≈
Interest expense4.3 m-829.0 k4.5 m4.7 m4.8 m-14.0 m4.6 m4.4 m
Pre-tax income275.0 k-58.8 m-17.3 m-8.2 m2.8 m-22.7 m-12.5 m-9.2 m
Income tax-1.4 m-15.0 m-4.1 m-2.2 m1.6 m13.5 m141.0 k-6.0 k
Net income1.7 m-43.8 m-13.2 m-6.0 m1.2 m-36.2 m-12.6 m-9.2 m
Diluted EPS0.07-1.93 ≈-0.58-0.260.05-1.59 ≈-0.55-0.40
Operating cash flow-8.8 m ≈126.5 m6.2 m43.7 m ≈34.0 m ≈53.6 m-23.1 m-2.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn2.2 bn2.8 bn2.7 bn2.4 bn
Revenue YoY+5.8%+3.5%+8.1%+21.3%+29.1%+24.9%−2.0%−10.2%
Net income12.2 m14.0 m19.4 m66.0 m101.9 m112.4 m-36.9 m-54.2 m
Net income YoYunavailable+14.5%+38.7%+241.2%+54.2%+10.4%−132.8%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.550.630.862.924.494.93-1.63-2.38
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+14.5%+36.5%+239.5%+53.8%+9.8%−133.1%unavailable
net %1.0%1.1%1.4%3.9%4.6%4.1%-1.4%-2.2%
Free cash flow40.3 m-9.8 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
28.2 m USD
Financial debt
180.0 m USD
Net debt
151.8 m USD
Equity
579.3 m USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.31x
Current ratio
1.41x
ROE
-9.1%
ROA
-3.2%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
531.4 m
2025
395.6 m
2026
382.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
168.8 m
2025
4.0 m
2026
-6.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
31.5 m
2025
38.6 m
2026
37.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
200.3 m ≈
2025
42.6 m ≈
2026
30.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
—
2025
9.7 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
151.0 m
2025
-50.0 m
2026
-45.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
38.6 m
2025
-13.1 m
2026
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
112.4 m
2025
-36.9 m
2026
-54.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
4.93
2025
-1.63
2026
-2.38

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
22.5 m
2025
22.6 m
2026
22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
38.1 m
2025
35.9 m
2026
28.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2024
153.7 m
2025
119.8 m
2026
127.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Jun 2026verified

Inventories
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
903.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.3 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
298.8 m
2025
379.7 m
2026
361.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
64.1 m
2025
61.2 m
2026
65.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
53.4 m
2025
48.3 m
2026
51.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
43.8 m
2025
37.2 m
2026
35.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
13.7 m
2025
10.9 m
2026
21.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
106.4 m
2025
157.8 m
2026
158.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
1.2 bn
2025
961.0 m
2026
772.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
657.6 m †
2025
614.1 m †
2026
579.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-32.3 m
2025
70.3 m
2026
137.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2024
-163.4 m
2025
-47.7 m
2026
-22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
188.6 m
2025
-23.6 m
2026
-123.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-267.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
-0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
-2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
-3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
-1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROCE
-1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
143.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
-39.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
62.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
221.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
19 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
196 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
8 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
208 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
530.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
673.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-11.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
23.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

22.52 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 530.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
530.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
23.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROE
-9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
-2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Sept 2026
verified 2224derived 148

Score by group

56% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
0.21
USD per share
Mid
6.24
USD per share
High
15.17
USD per share
Price: 22.52 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -72.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -260.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.21 – 15.17 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.21 – 15.17 (Mid 6.24)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.3x · quartiles 5.3x – 17.8x
    SBH, SGU, TKLF, ULTA
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Retail Stores, NEC (SIC 5990)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-1.1%50 (vs peers)19%
Net margin · Quality-2.5%44 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.2%27 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.1x29 (vs peers)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-39.5x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x46 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation23.9x0 (on a fixed band)19%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet23/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial27/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality48/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TITAN MACHINERY INC. (TITN). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.4 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth -10.2%; net margin -2.5%; ROE -9.7%; net debt/EBITDA 5.1x.

The estimated value range is 0.21–15.17 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 6.24 USD, the price of 22.52 USD leaves a potential of -72.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -260.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 3.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 5.1x
  • Interest coverage: -39.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 23.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Retail Stores, NEC (SIC 5990) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 17.1x
EV/EBITDA
23.9x
vertical median 10.3x
above median (+131.8%)
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.2x
at median
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.4x
below median (−29.7%)
ROE
-9.7%
vertical median -3.2%
below median
Net margin
-2.5%
vertical median -0.8%
below median
EBIT margin
-0.4%
vertical median -4.8%
above median
Revenue YoY
-10.2%
vertical median 0.4%
below median (−2,587.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.1x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+501.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 4.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.28.2 bn24.146.1%9.3%+9.7%+23% / +55%
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.4.7 bn6.1—10.8%−0.2%+35% / −28%
SBHSally Beauty Holdings, Inc.1.8 bn10.023.5%5.2%−0.4%+21% / +99%
YJYunji Inc.1.3 bn—-13.5%-42.0%−20.8%−27% / −62%
TITNTitan Machinery Inc.530.0 m—-9.7%-2.5%−10.2%+37% / −14%
SGUStar Group, L.P.429.8 m4.9—4.6%+1.0%+9% / +2%
NAASNaaS Technology Inc.223.8 m——-454.5%−38.9%−44% / −100%
NEGGNewegg Commerce, Inc.207.4 m—-3.7%-0.3%+16.9%−87% / −61%
RENTRent the Runway, Inc.83.1 m0.2—11.8%+7.7%−49% / −77%
BARKBark, Inc.75.2 m—-36.7%-8.4%−18.5%−42% / −49%
TKLFTokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd.58.0 m68.51.7%0.2%+77.6%−48% / −82%
BQBoqii Holding Limited10.5 m—-2.8%-1.2%−5.7%−79% / −98%
INHDInno Holdings Inc.8.7 m—-7.2%-72.7%+221.4%−97% / unavailable
RCTRedCloud Holdings plc2.3 m——-95.3%+4.3%−98% / unavailable
LESLLeslie’s, Inc.955.3 k——-21.2%−6.6%unavailable / unavailable
WOOFPetco Health & Wellness Company, Inc.—31.12.6%0.5%−2.5%−2% / +4%
FLWS1 800 Flowers Com Inc——-65.4%-9.0%−10.8%−17% / −68%
HITIHigh Tide Inc.——-44.0%-8.5%+13.7%+8% / +85%
JDJD.com, Inc.—30.110.2%1.8%+17.9%−7% / +1%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TITN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Titan Machinery operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores across the United States, Europe and Australia, and is a major CNH dealer. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 revenue fell to 496.4 million USD amid weak agricultural demand, while gross margin rose, a sign of inventory recovery.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The extensive store network covers several markets and reduces exposure to the cycles of any single region 1. The long relationship with CNH and recognition as a leading dealer for certain brands are important assets 1. The parts and service mix provides steadier revenue 1.
    • Experience in acquisitions and the ability to consolidate a fragmented industry are an advantage 1. Centralized inventory management allows fast adjustment of stock levels 1.
    • Rising gross margin in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 shows that efforts to reduce aged inventory are working 3.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a single supplier, CNH, makes performance depend on the success and terms of that manufacturer's agreements 1.
    • Equipment sales are very sensitive to farm income and financing costs, which led to net losses in recent quarters 2.
    • Operating cash flow was negative in the first six months of fiscal 2027, reflecting the timing of inventory receipts and floorplan financing 3.

    Opportunities

    • If agricultural fundamentals recover, equipment demand could return and support sales growth 3. Demand in construction and data center projects offers growth opportunities 3.
    • Consolidation of smaller dealers remains a growth path, and the company says it will continue its acquisition strategy 1. The Australian market, with better moisture levels, could support near-term demand 3.
    • Precision farming and farm data management services could grow recurring revenue from customers 1.

    Threats

    • Tariffs and trade retaliation could raise purchase costs and reduce agricultural exports of customers 2. A possible recession could weigh further on equipment demand 2.
    • Tighter credit conditions and high interest rates could discourage customer purchases and raise the cost of floorplan-financed stock 1.
    • If CNH changed contract terms or ended dealer agreements, the business could be seriously affected 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on CNHhigh

      Most sales come from CNH products, and any change to dealer agreements could seriously affect operations 1.

    • Farm cyclehigh

      Equipment demand depends on farm income, which has fallen, and recovery is uncertain 2.

    • Tariffs and trademedium

      Tariffs and possible retaliation could affect purchase prices and agricultural exports 2.

    • Financing and creditmedium

      Reliance on floorplan financing and credit markets could limit the ability to manage inventory 1.

    • Europemedium

      The wind-down in Germany and weaker European demand could continue to weigh on revenue 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Rising gross margin and reduced aged inventory show that management actions are having an effect 3.
    • Management believes calendar 2026 could be the bottom of the agricultural cycle, which could open a path to recovery 3.
    • Construction and the Australian market show growth, diversifying revenue sources 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • Quarterly revenue fell and the net loss widened compared with the prior year 3.
    • Dependence on CNH and on supplier financing leaves the company exposed to policy changes 1.
    • Negative operating cash flow and large inventories could strain the balance sheet if demand does not recover 3.

    What to watch

    • Gross margin trend and equipment inventory levelsQ3 2027
    • Same-store sales pace in the Agriculture segmentQ3 2027
    • Impact of the German wind-down on Europe2027
    • Updates to segment revenue assumptions and profitability guidancenext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The company owns and operates full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe and Australia. According to its 10-K for the fiscal year ended 31 January 2026, Titan Machinery has been an authorized CNH dealer since 1980 and states it is the largest retail dealer of Case IH Agriculture equipment in the world 1. Its model combines new and used equipment sales, parts, service and repair, and rental, giving customers a one-stop offer 1.

    The network includes 90 stores in the United States, 39 in Europe and 15 in Australia 1. The company relies heavily on CNH: approximately 69% of new equipment revenue in fiscal 2026 came from CNH products 1. The O'Connors acquisition in Australia, completed in October 2023, expanded its international presence 1.

    Segments

    Construction

    The Construction segment grew same-store sales by 9.2% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, mainly from higher equipment sales 3. The company sees support from infrastructure and data center projects in its footprint 3.

    Europe

    The Europe segment declined sharply, and the wind-down of the German business accounted for about 11 million USD of the quarterly revenue decrease 3. The company lowered its Europe revenue outlook after regional sentiment deteriorated 3.

    Market context

    Demand for agricultural equipment depends on farm net income, commodity prices, weather and financing costs 1. According to USDA figures cited in the filing, farm cash receipts for calendar 2026 could decrease 2.7% versus 2025, after a 3.0% rise in 2025 2. Construction equipment demand depends on public infrastructure spending and residential and commercial activity 1.

    The market is fragmented, with many regional dealers, which makes consolidation through acquisitions a central part of the strategy 1. US tariffs and possible retaliation by other countries could raise purchase prices and affect agricultural exports, with effects on farm customers 2.

    Trends

    • Downturn in the farm cycleheadwind

      Lower farmer profitability has reduced equipment demand, and the company expects this pressure to continue through the rest of fiscal 2027 2. Management suggests calendar 2026 could be the bottom of the cycle if agricultural fundamentals recover 3.

    • Margin recoverytailwind

      Gross margin rose to 18.6% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 from 17.1%, helped by reduced aged inventory and a richer mix of parts and service 3.

    • Tariffs and import costsheadwind

      Tariffs could raise equipment and parts purchase prices, and if these cannot be fully passed on to customers, margins could compress 1.

    • Infrastructure and data centerstailwind

      Public infrastructure investment and data center projects are seen as support for the construction segment in the company's area 3.

    Competitive position

    The agricultural and construction equipment market is highly competitive and fragmented, with many regional or local dealers 1. Direct competition comes from rival manufacturers distributing through their own networks, as well as e-commerce platforms that affect parts sales 1.

    Principal rival manufacturers named in the filing include Deere, AGCO, Kubota, Caterpillar, Komatsu, Volvo Group and Terex 1. Competition on price and inventory availability can reduce margins, and the company could struggle to keep pace if rivals offer better products or financing 1.

    • Deere & CompanyDE

      Agricultural and construction equipment manufacturer cited among the largest global manufacturers in the industry 1.

    • AGCO CorporationAGCO

      Agricultural equipment manufacturer named as a rival to CNH in the company's filing 1.

    • Caterpillar, Inc.CAT

      Construction equipment manufacturer cited among the main competitors of the CNH construction range 1.

    • Kubota Corporation

      Agricultural equipment manufacturer named in the filing among the largest global manufacturers 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Titan Machinery Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / Titan Machinery Inc. · 03 Sept 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Titan Machinery Inc. · 27 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.