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olivLaw · US equity research

Under Armour, Inc. UA

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl · SIC 2300 · Vertical: Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl (SIC 2300)

5.58USD+8.56% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Under Armour designs, develops and distributes performance apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth, sold through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels. The company is going through a difficult stretch: revenue fell in fiscal 2026 and the decline continued in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, while gross margin rose on IEEPA tariff refunds. Net revenues for fiscal 2026 were 4,966,370 thousand USD, and wholesale accounted for 57% of revenue that year.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Under Armour, Inc. (UA) stock was 5.58 USD (+8.56% on the day), with beta 1.23, 52-week range 3.96–7.88 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (−3.2% YoY), net income of 545.0 k USD, diluted EPS 0.00 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.15 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-20.64%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.23
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
3.967.88

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
72.3
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.28 – 5.27
above the upper band · %B 1.32 · band width 20.7%
SMA 50 / 200
4.75 / 5.77
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.11 / 0.01
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+22.1%−1.1%+23.2 pp—
3 months−15.6%−0.5%−15.1 pp—
6 months−10.7%+4.4%−15.1 pp—
Year to date+16.3%+12.3%+3.9 pp—
1 year+29.8%+13.5%+16.2 pp+6.7%
3 years−18.2%+76.4%−94.6 pp+16.8%
5 years−73.9%+63.7%−137.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−46.4%
20 Feb 2026 → 29 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−82.5%
19 Nov 2021 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−23.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
−3.2% YoY
Net income
545.0 k USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.00
unavailable YoY
net / operating
0.0% / 4.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue1.4 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn
Cost of revenue702.9 m735.9 m629.8 m587.6 m702.8 m738.0 m679.1 m504.1 m
Gross profit696.1 m665.2 m550.8 m546.5 m630.6 m589.7 m492.0 m593.8 m
SG&A519.8 m637.7 m607.1 m530.3 m581.6 m664.5 m517.7 m543.1 m
Operating income173.1 m13.5 m-72.1 m3.3 m17.0 m-149.8 m-33.7 m46.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation32.7 m ≈31.2 m ≈39.0 m29.0 m27.3 m ≈27.3 m ≈26.1 m25.4 m
Interest expense6.1 m6.4 m6.5 m6.8 m14.9 m15.6 m15.7 m15.7 m
Pre-tax income167.9 m7.6 m-80.1 m-5.4 m7.5 m-160.3 m-42.5 m29.1 m
Income tax-2.1 m6.3 m-12.2 m-2.7 m25.9 m270.6 m866.0 k28.3 m
Net income170.4 m1.2 m-67.5 m-2.6 m-18.8 m-430.8 m-43.4 m545.0 k
Diluted EPS0.390.00-0.16 ≈-0.01-0.04-1.01-0.10 ≈0.00
Operating cash flow-321.4 m ≈311.3 m ≈-202.2 m48.9 m-69.8 m ≈278.1 m ≈-332.2 m109.1 m
Capex45.8 m ≈48.4 m ≈28.8 m35.4 m20.5 m ≈16.1 m ≈15.1 m14.6 m
Share repurchases0 ≈25.0 m ≈25.0 m025.0 m ≈0 ≈0—

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212023202420252026
Revenue5.2 bn5.3 bn4.5 bn5.7 bn5.9 bn5.7 bn5.2 bn5.0 bn
Revenue YoY+4.1%+1.4%−15.0%+27.0%unavailable−3.4%−9.4%−3.8%
Net income-46.3 m92.1 m-549.2 m351.0 m374.5 m232.0 m-201.3 m-495.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−696.0%unavailableunavailable−38.0%−186.7%unavailable
Diluted EPS-0.100.20-1.210.750.810.52-0.47-1.16
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−705.0%unavailableunavailable−35.8%−190.4%unavailable
net %-0.9%1.7%-12.3%6.2%6.3%4.1%-3.9%-10.0%
Free cash flow457.8 m363.2 m120.6 m594.5 m-198.0 m203.6 m-228.0 m-162.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
309.2 m USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
881.3 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.84x
Current ratio
1.62x
ROE
-30.0%
ROA
-11.4%
FCF margin
-3.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
5.7 bn
2025
5.2 bn
2026
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
3.1 bn
2025
2.7 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.6 bn
2026
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
229.8 m
2025
-185.2 m
2026
-163.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
142.6 m
2025
135.8 m
2026
109.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
372.3 m ≈
2025
-49.4 m ≈
2026
-53.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
22.8 m
2025
24.6 m
2026
52.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
262.1 m
2025
-204.8 m
2026
-200.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
30.0 m
2025
-2.9 m
2026
294.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
232.0 m
2025
-201.3 m
2026
-495.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
0.52
2025
-0.47
2026
-1.16

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
451.0 m
2025
432.2 m
2026
426.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
858.7 m
2025
501.4 m
2026
309.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
757.3 m
2025
675.8 m
2026
681.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
958.5 m
2025
945.8 m
2026
914.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
664.5 m
2025
645.1 m
2026
599.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
478.3 m
2025
487.6 m
2026
492.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
7.0 m
2025
5.2 m
2026
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.3 bn
2026
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
483.7 m
2025
429.9 m
2026
420.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
80.9 m
2025
0
2026
599.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
594.9 m
2025
595.1 m
2026
590.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.4 bn
2026
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
2.2 bn †
2025
1.9 bn †
2026
1.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
354.0 m
2025
-59.3 m
2026
-75.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
150.3 m
2025
168.7 m
2026
87.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
203.6 m ≈
2025
-228.0 m ≈
2026
-162.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-105.3 m
2025
-126.4 m
2026
-688.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-78.7 m
2025
-180.8 m
2026
560.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
75.0 m
2025
90.0 m
2026
25.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
46.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-11.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
195.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-14.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
66.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-81.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
157 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
91 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
113 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

5.58 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2755derived 176

Score by group

35% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl (SIC 2300)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-5.6%9 (vs peers)29%
Net margin · Quality-10.0%13 (vs peers)18%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.6%0 (on a fixed band)24%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1.9x0 (on a fixed band)18%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x84 (on a fixed band)12%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet34/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality10/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Under Armour, Inc. (UA). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.0 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth -3.8%; net margin -10.0%; ROE -29.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 1.8x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -5.6%
  • Net margin: -10.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.6%
  • Interest coverage: -1.9x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl (SIC 2300) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 16 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 16.2x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.3x
P/S
—
vertical median 0.5x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.8x
ROE
-29.8%
vertical median 11.4%
below median (−361.8%)
Net margin
-10.0%
vertical median 5.6%
below median (−278.5%)
EBIT margin
-2.4%
vertical median 8.6%
below median (−128.3%)
Revenue YoY
-3.8%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−246.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ASAmer Sports, Inc.17.9 bn42.27.9%6.5%+26.7%−14% / unavailable
LULUlululemon athletica inc.11.8 bn9.230.9%12.8%+4.9%−39% / −75%
GILGildan Activewear Inc.8.0 bn16.615.9%11.0%+10.7%−22% / +19%
COLMColumbia Sportswear Company3.6 bn18.412.7%6.0%+0.9%+32% / −9%
GIIIG III Apparel Group Ltd1.4 bn10.87.7%4.8%−7.0%+14% / +15%
CRICarter’s, Inc.1.2 bn5.522.9%7.4%unavailable+5% / −51%
LEVILevi Strauss & Co894.9 m15.925.8%8.8%+4.1%+8% / +54%
SGCSuperior Group Of Companies, Inc.224.5 m25.64.3%1.4%+0.1%+45% / +18%
JRSHJerash Holdings (US), Inc.73.8 m15.37.6%2.8%+14.0%+87% / +103%
PASWPing An Biomedical Co., Ltd.60.1 m—-28.4%-37.6%unavailable+541% / unavailable
BRIABrilliA Inc34.5 m11.521.5%4.4%+15.1%−23% / unavailable
NCINeo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited12.8 m63.10.6%0.2%−41.9%−93% / unavailable
LANVLanvin Group Holdings Limited——-200.4%-50.3%−22.9%−60% / −79%
FIGSFIGS, Inc.067.014.8%8.7%+13.6%+124% / +202%
ZGNErmenegildo Zegna N.V.——10.1%5.1%−1.5%+39% / +30%
GOOSCanada Goose Holdings Inc.——19.8%7.0%+1.1%−36% / −20%
UAUnder Armour, Inc.——-29.8%-10.0%−3.8%+30% / −18%

1- and 3-year price returns: for UA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Under Armour designs, develops and distributes performance apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth, sold through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels. The company is going through a difficult stretch: revenue fell in fiscal 2026 and the decline continued in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, while gross margin rose on IEEPA tariff refunds. Net revenues for fiscal 2026 were 4,966,370 thousand USD, and wholesale accounted for 57% of revenue that year.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A brand recognised in athletic performance, with team and league outfitting agreements and a portfolio of proprietary technologies.
  • An established direct channel, with Brand and Factory House stores in the major regions and proprietary e-commerce platforms.
  • A diversified supply chain, with numerous contract manufacturers across several Asian countries.

Weaknesses

  • Declining revenue in fiscal 2026 and in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, particularly in North America.
  • High dependence on a few regions and on a small number of important wholesale customers.
  • Significant restructuring costs that weighed on net income and profitability in fiscal 2026.

Opportunities

  • Recovery of IEEPA tariffs paid could support margins if the refund process advances.
  • A return to full-price selling and less discounting could improve gross margin over the medium term.
  • Growth in accessories and the digital channel could offset weakness in footwear.

Threats

  • Unstable tariff policy and ongoing litigation could raise product costs.
  • Discretionary consumer demand could stay weak if inflation and economic uncertainty persist.
  • Geopolitical conflicts could raise transport and energy costs and disrupt supply.

Risks

  • Decline in North American demandhigh

    Revenue in the company's largest market fell in the latest quarter, and the fiscal 2027 outlook points to a further contraction, which could weigh on operating results 3.

  • Tariff policyhigh

    Changing tariff rates and ongoing litigation can quickly alter product costs and margins, and recovery of duties already paid is not assured in timing or amount 12.

  • Pricing pressuremedium

    Competitor and retailer promotions could force price reductions, which could shrink margins if costs do not fall at the same pace 1.

  • Execution of the restructuringmedium

    The restructuring plan must be substantially completed by the end of 2026, and delays or extra costs could slow the return to profitability 23.

  • Supplier concentrationmedium

    Production is concentrated among a few manufacturers in a few countries, and logistics or political disruption could affect deliveries 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the tariff refunds are realised and cost discipline holds, operating income could return to the guided range even if revenue stays under pressure 3.
  • Gross margin rose sharply in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and more disciplined pricing could support margin recovery over the medium term 23.
  • The brand and direct channel have a solid base, and growth in regions such as EMEA could offset the decline in North America 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If demand in North America and Asia-Pacific does not recover, the revenue outlook could be cut again 3.
  • The first-quarter gross margin includes one-off refund benefits, and without them margin expansion could be much smaller 3.
  • Restructuring costs and Middle East tensions could keep weighing on profitability and cash flow 13.

What to watch

  • Revenue trends in North America and Asia-PacificQ2 fiscal 2027
  • Actual collection of IEEPA tariff refundsfiscal 2027
  • Completion of the 305 million USD restructuring planDecember 31, 2026
  • Operating income guidance and SG&A trajectorynext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Under Armour builds its brand around athletic performance, with products engineered from technical materials for athletes at every level and for consumers with an active lifestyle 1. It earns revenue from sales to retailers and distributors and through its direct-to-consumer channel, which includes Brand and Factory House stores and e-commerce platforms 1. In fiscal 2026 the direct channel represented 41% of revenue, and Factory House stores also help manage excess inventory 1.

The geographic structure has four segments: North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, all operating in the same industry 1. North America is the largest market, at about 58% of revenue in fiscal 2026 1. Production is almost entirely outsourced, and 40 primary contract manufacturers in 17 countries made about 65% of apparel and accessories, concentrated in Jordan, Vietnam, Indonesia and Cambodia 1.

In the near term the company is focused on a major reorganization: the 2025 restructuring plan was raised to about 305 million USD, with substantial completion expected by December 31, 2026 12. The stated goal is a more premium brand with less discounting and a more disciplined operating structure 3.

Segments

Footwear

Footwear represented about 22% of revenue in fiscal 2026 and had the steepest decline of the categories, 10.8%, driven by lower unit sales and lower average selling prices 1. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 the decline continued at 8% 3.

Accessories

Accessories represented about 8% of revenue in fiscal 2026 and was the only category to grow, by 0.9%, on higher unit sales and better average selling prices 1. However, in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 it fell 4% 3.

Market context

The company competes in performance sportswear, where competition is intense and demand for discretionary products depends on economic conditions, inflation and consumer confidence 1. North America, the largest market, fell 9% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, while EMEA rose 12%, showing significant regional differences 3.

According to the August 2026 update, fiscal 2027 revenue could decline at a mid-single-digit rate, reflecting softer demand in North America and Asia-Pacific, and management said it is keeping its focus on protecting full-price selling 3.

Trends

  • Trade tariffs and IEEPA refundsmixed

    Tariffs imposed under IEEPA raised product costs and squeezed margins, but the February 2026 Supreme Court ruling opened a process to recover some of the duties paid, which supported gross margin in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 123.

  • Discretionary consumer demandheadwind

    Inflationary pressure and recession fears have reduced demand for discretionary products, particularly in North America and Asia-Pacific, slowing sales in both channels 12.

  • Operating efficiency and restructuringtailwind

    The restructuring program and a simpler operating model could reduce SG&A, which rose slightly in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 but is expected to fall over the year if cost discipline holds 3.

  • Middle East tensionsheadwind

    The conflict in the Middle East has raised energy and transport costs, and the company expects a negative impact of about 35 million USD on operating income in fiscal 2027 13.

Competitive position

The company competes with large apparel and footwear companies with global brand recognition, with strong regional brands and with the private label lines of major retailers. Larger competitors have greater financial and distribution resources, and some have stronger relationships with key retail customers 1.

The market is fragmented, and pricing pressure comes from retail consolidation, excess inventory and aggressive competitor promotions, which could reduce margins if Under Armour cannot offset price cuts with lower costs 1.

  • NikeNKE

    Large global competitor in performance apparel and footwear, cited in the company's filings as having superior marketing and distribution resources.

  • LululemonLULU

    Competitor in the premium activewear segment, mentioned among large companies with strong brand recognition.

  • Regional and niche brands

    Local brands in Asia, Europe and Latin America with strong recognition in particular regions, listed as competitors in international markets.

  • Retailer private label brands

    Own-label lines of major retailers that compete for shelf space and for sales through the wholesale channel.

News & filings

In the press

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Under Armour, Inc. · 19 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Under Armour, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Under Armour, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.