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olivLaw · US equity research

AtriCure, Inc. ATRC

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

65.53USD+8.48% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

AtriCure develops surgical technologies for atrial fibrillation, left atrial appendage management and post-operative pain control. The company grew its revenue by 14.9% in fiscal 2025, and its 2026 guidance points to revenue of roughly 602-610 million dollars, relevant as surgical treatment expands for a very widespread condition.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, AtriCure, Inc. (ATRC) stock was 65.53 USD (+8.48% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.3 bn USD, P/E 317.2 on diluted EPS of 0.21 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.90, 52-week range 25.86–65.53 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 153.6 m USD (+12.8% YoY), net income of 9.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.18 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.3 bn USD
shares as of 22 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
317.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.21 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.32%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.90
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
25.8665.53

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
70.1
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
53.13 – 64.54
above the upper band · %B 1.09 · band width 19.4%
SMA 50 / 200
56.36 / 38.42
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.00 / 1.68
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.2%−2.0%+18.2 pp—
3 months+66.6%−2.2%+68.7 pp—
6 months+134.0%+4.3%+129.7 pp—
Year to date+65.6%+10.6%+55.1 pp—
1 year+100.1%+10.5%+89.6 pp−43.3%
3 years+77.2%+73.7%+3.5 pp−7.7%
5 years−24.8%+61.7%−86.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−39.0%
08 Jan 2026 → 02 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.6%
08 Nov 2021 → 17 Jun 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−5.5%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
153.6 m USD
+12.8% YoY
Net income
9.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.18
unavailable YoY
net / operating
5.8% / 6.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue115.9 m124.3 m123.6 m136.1 m134.3 m140.5 m141.2 m153.6 m
Cost of revenue29.1 m31.7 m31.0 m34.7 m32.9 m35.2 m31.9 m35.0 m
Gross profit86.8 m92.6 m92.6 m101.5 m101.3 m105.3 m109.3 m118.6 m
Research & development21.0 m35.0 m22.5 m29.3 m22.9 m24.5 m24.2 m26.4 m
SG&A73.2 m72.2 m76.1 m78.4 m78.2 m78.3 m84.6 m82.6 m
Operating income-7.4 m-14.5 m-6.0 m-6.2 m208.0 k2.5 m526.0 k9.7 m
Interest expense1.7 m1.5 m1.4 m1.5 m1.5 m1.5 m1.3 m1.3 m
Pre-tax income-7.5 m-15.3 m-6.5 m-5.9 m-86.0 k2.4 m394.0 k9.4 m
Income tax322.0 k266.0 k239.0 k261.0 k181.0 k604.0 k286.0 k471.0 k
Net income-7.9 m-15.6 m-6.7 m-6.2 m-267.0 k1.8 m108.0 k9.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.17-0.33 ≈-0.14-0.13-0.010.04 ≈0.000.18
Operating cash flow20.0 m ≈5.8 m-11.0 m21.6 m ≈26.7 m ≈20.0 m-4.0 m22.2 m ≈
Capex3.6 m ≈2.7 m2.2 m2.7 m ≈2.6 m ≈1.6 m3.9 m3.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 5-quarter history (min 35.2, median 64.8, max 135.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue201.6 m230.8 m206.5 m274.3 m330.4 m399.2 m465.3 m534.5 m
Revenue YoY+15.4%+14.5%−10.5%+32.8%+20.4%+20.8%+16.5%+14.9%
Net income-21.1 m-35.2 m-48.2 m50.2 m-46.5 m-30.4 m-44.7 m-11.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−192.6%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.94-1.141.09-1.02-0.66-0.95-0.24
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−193.6%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-10.5%-15.2%-23.3%18.3%-14.1%-7.6%-9.6%-2.1%
Free cash flow-10.4 m-28.0 m-25.1 m-23.5 m-39.0 m-7.5 m745.0 k48.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
167.4 m USD
Financial debt
61.9 m USD
Net debt
-105.6 m USD
Equity
491.9 m USD
Total assets
654.2 m USD
Debt / equity
0.13x
Current ratio
3.96x
ROE
-2.4%
ROA
-1.8%
FCF margin
9.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
399.2 m
2024
465.3 m
2025
534.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
98.9 m
2024
117.8 m
2025
133.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
300.4 m
2024
347.5 m
2025
400.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
73.9 m
2024
96.2 m
2025
99.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
253.1 m
2024
291.4 m
2025
311.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-26.7 m
2024
-40.0 m
2025
-9.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
6.9 m
2024
6.4 m
2025
5.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-29.8 m
2024
-43.7 m
2025
-10.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
591.0 k
2024
1.0 m
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-30.4 m
2024
-44.7 m
2025
-11.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.66
2024
-0.95
2025
-0.24

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
46.3 m
2024
47.0 m
2025
47.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
84.3 m
2024
122.7 m
2025
167.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
52.5 m
2024
60.3 m
2025
66.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
67.9 m
2024
75.3 m
2025
78.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
266.2 m
2024
267.8 m
2025
322.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 May 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
234.8 m
2024
234.8 m
2025
234.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
64.0 m
2024
56.5 m
2025
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
613.9 m
2024
609.3 m
2025
654.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
27.4 m
2024
25.0 m
2025
25.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.5 m
2024
2.8 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
60.6 m
2024
61.9 m
2025
61.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
74.6 m
2024
73.4 m
2025
81.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
147.8 m
2024
148.4 m
2025
162.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
466.2 m †
2024
461.0 m †
2025
491.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
4.5 m
2024
12.2 m
2025
57.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
12.0 m
2024
11.5 m
2025
9.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-7.5 m ≈
2024
745.0 k ≈
2025
48.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
21.8 m
2024
30.2 m
2025
-14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-32.0 k
2024
-3.6 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
17.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
6,381.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
76.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-106.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
64.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
11.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
53.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
503.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
217 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
83 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
180 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
315.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
317.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
6.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
250.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
62.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 54 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

65.53 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
317.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
6.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Jul 2026
verified 2361derived 174

Score by group

  • Balance sheet47
  • Quality73
  • Valuation13
  • Growth100

Estimated value range

Low
10.99
USD per share
Mid
15.22
USD per share
High
18.95
USD per share
Price: 65.53 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -76.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -330.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.91 – 31.15 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)21.06 – 31.15 (Mid 24.99)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 58.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E0.91 – 6.75 (Mid 5.45)
    13 companies used · median multiple 26.4x · quartiles 4.4x – 32.7x
    BDX, BSX, DRIO, DXCM, EMBC, ICCM, INFU, MMM, PLSM, RMD, SYK, TCMD, WST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 54/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.7%58 (vs peers)17%
Net margin · Quality1.9%71 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality503.4%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth17.4%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.3x12 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.2x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation317.2x7 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation1.6%20 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet47/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality73/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation13/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AtriCure, Inc. (ATRC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 534.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 14.9%; net margin 1.9%; ROE 2.2%.

The estimated value range is 10.99–18.95 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 15.22 USD, the price of 65.53 USD leaves a potential of -76.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -330.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 54/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 1.9%
  • FCF conversion: 503.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 17.4%
  • Current ratio: 4.2x

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: 2.3x
  • P/E (TTM): 317.2x
  • FCF yield: 1.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
317.2x
vertical median 26.4x
above median (+1,100.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.0x
P/S
5.9x
vertical median 2.5x
above median (+134.5%)
P/B
6.5x
vertical median 2.6x
above median (+150.3%)
ROE
2.2%
vertical median -17.6%
above median
Net margin
1.9%
vertical median -10.2%
above median
EBIT margin
2.3%
vertical median -9.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
14.9%
vertical median 12.5%
above median (+19.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp118.2 bn33.116.0%13.8%+11.2%−16% / +5%
MMM3m Company91.5 bn26.480.8%14.0%+1.5%+3% / +114%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation63.1 bn18.414.3%16.6%+19.9%−57% / −22%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company54.0 bn59.83.8%4.0%+8.2%+30% / +7%
RMDResMed Inc.31.9 bn20.726.4%27.8%+9.9%−11% / +44%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.30.9 bn32.737.7%19.4%+15.6%+31% / −28%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.4 bn45.721.2%18.8%+6.3%+47% / +16%
BAXBaxter International Inc.13.7 bn—-10.5%-6.2%+5.7%+41% / −27%
ATRCAtriCure, Inc.3.3 bn317.22.2%1.9%+14.9%+100% / +77%
KMTSKestra Medical Technologies, Ltd.1.8 bn—-73.7%-140.4%+59.0%+13% / unavailable
TNDMTandem Diabetes Care, Inc.1.3 bn—-48.0%-6.1%+7.9%−9% / −6%
AORTArtivion, Inc.1.3 bn—-0.7%-0.7%+13.6%−43% / +49%
SIBNSi-Bone, Inc.1.1 bn—-7.7%-6.2%+20.2%+28% / +32%
BBNXBeta Bionics, Inc.921.5 m—-23.9%-65.3%+53.9%−46% / unavailable
KIDSOrthoPediatrics Corp875.0 m—-9.8%-12.8%+15.4%+81% / +9%
TCMDTactile Systems Technology, Inc.608.9 m26.511.0%6.7%+12.5%+6% / +104%
DCTHDelcath Systems, Inc.514.2 m1,195.50.5%0.6%+129.1%+53% / +439%
MDXGMimedx Group, Inc.467.0 m—-8.5%-6.3%+20.0%−53% / −59%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.369.4 m4.4—8.6%−3.8%−49% / −64%
INFUInfusystem Holdings, Inc261.9 m32.315.0%6.0%+6.4%+42% / +31%
TLSITriSalus Life Sciences, Inc.239.5 m——-62.6%+53.4%−43% / −3%
STIMNeuronetics, Inc.206.1 m—-135.3%-19.6%+99.2%+82% / +49%
GUTSFractyl Health, Inc.154.8 m———−100.0%−95% / unavailable
MBOTMicrobot Medical Inc.76.6 m—-32.9%—unavailable−53% / −10%
ICCMIceCure Medical Ltd.57.8 m3.3-188.8%-445.6%+2.7%−96% / −98%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ATRC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
42.99
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
75.66
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
113.49
Total return 73% · Per year 73%
3 years
51.00
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
100.06
Total return 53% · Per year 15%
163.43
Total return 149% · Per year 36%
5 years
60.49
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
132.33
Total return 102% · Per year 15%
235.34
Total return 259% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 25.02
  • Net margin± 17.51
  • Annual revenue growth± 13.06
  • Annual dilution± 1.47

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

AtriCure develops surgical technologies for atrial fibrillation, left atrial appendage management and post-operative pain control. The company grew its revenue by 14.9% in fiscal 2025, and its 2026 guidance points to revenue of roughly 602-610 million dollars, relevant as surgical treatment expands for a very widespread condition.13

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company presents itself as the leader in surgical treatment of atrial fibrillation and in left atrial appendage exclusion, with a product range approved by the FDA for several indications.
  • Gross margin rose in the second quarter of 2026, which points to better efficiency and product mix.
  • Recent launches, such as the cryoXT probe and the AtriClip PRO-Mini device, supported revenue growth in several product lines.

Weaknesses

  • The company has reported net losses in the past and acknowledges it may never become consistently profitable.
  • Reliance on the United States market and direct sales means that a large share of revenue depends on one reimbursement system.
  • Minimally invasive ablation sales fell in 2025, showing the exposure of one product line to a newer alternative.

Opportunities

  • The BoxX-NoAF and LeAAPS trials, if they confirm benefits, could extend the market to patients undergoing cardiac surgery without a diagnosed fibrillation.
  • Adoption of guidelines that recommend ablation and LAAM could accelerate growth in hospitals and other countries.
  • Development of an advanced dual PFA and RFA platform could open new product opportunities if it passes clinical testing.

Threats

  • Competition from new products and alternative procedures could reduce market share and margins.
  • Changes in reimbursement policies or healthcare budget cuts could affect sales.
  • Macroeconomic and trade pressures, including tariffs, could affect costs and operating results.

Risks

  • US adoptionhigh

    Growth depends on acceptance of the products by physicians in the United States, and difficulties in that market could limit profitability.1

  • Competitionhigh

    New products and procedures could reduce market share, prices and margins.12

  • Clinical datamedium

    Negative results or trials that do not meet regulatory requirements could slow adoption of the products.1

  • Independent distributorsmedium

    Sales in some international markets depend on independent distributors, whose problems could affect revenue.1

  • Regulation and reimbursementmedium

    Non-compliance with FDA rules or changes in reimbursement policies could bring fines or restrictions.1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth and better margin in the second quarter of 2026 show the business model can support higher profitability.
  • The potential market for surgical ablation remains large, because only a small share of candidates are treated today.
  • Ongoing trials could open new markets if results support use of the products in patients without a diagnosed fibrillation.

What would break the thesis

  • The company has a history of net losses and is not sure it will stay profitable.
  • Competition from alternative procedures and new entrants could reduce market share and prices.
  • Dependence on reimbursement and US acceptance could slow growth if policies change.

What to watch

  • Results of the BoxX-NoAF trial2027
  • Results of the LeAAPS trial2027
  • European launch of the AtriClip FLEX-Mini and PRO-Mini devices2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

AtriCure is an innovator in surgical treatments for atrial fibrillation, left atrial appendage management (LAAM) and post-operative pain management. Its ablation and LAAM products are used by physicians in open-heart and minimally invasive procedures, and its cryogenic nerve block probes are used for pain after cardiac, thoracic or amputation surgery.1

The company sells directly through its sales force in the United States, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, the Benelux region, Australia and Canada, and through distributors in other international markets. Transactions are mainly in U.S. dollars, while direct sales outside the United States are made in euros, British pounds, Australian or Canadian dollars.1

In 2026 the company says it bases its growth on product innovation, clinical science and physician education, and its investment in the BoxX-NoAF and LeAAPS trials is aimed at expanding the market for surgical treatments.23

Segments

Open surgical ablation

Includes the Isolator Synergy systems and the EnCompass and EnCapture clamps, used in open-heart procedures alongside other surgery. This line had the strongest growth among the main lines in fiscal 2025.1

Market context

Atrial fibrillation affects over 59 million people worldwide, is the most common sustained arrhythmia and is often under-diagnosed. The company estimates that less than 15% of patients who are candidates for surgical ablation are treated this way, which suggests room for market growth.1

The market depends on physician acceptance of guidelines that recommend ablation and LAAM, on reimbursement for procedures, and on competition from catheter ablation. The company estimates that up to 50% of patients who have cardiac surgery without a diagnosed fibrillation later develop post-operative fibrillation, a market that ongoing trials could expand.1

Trends

  • More favorable clinical guidelinestailwind

    Guidelines from cardiology and thoracic surgery societies have raised LAAM to the highest recommendation, which could speed adoption in hospitals.1

  • Decline of hybrid therapyheadwind

    Minimally invasive ablation sales fell in 2025 as physicians adopt PFA catheters, showing competitive pressure.1

  • Opioid restrictionstailwind

    Regulation of opioids and the risk of dependency may increase interest in non-opioid alternatives such as cryogenic nerve block.1

  • Entry of new competitorsmixed

    New entrants are developing competing products, procedures and clinical solutions, which according to the company could pressure prices and margins.2

Competitive position

The company says it is the market leader in surgical treatment of fibrillation and LAAM, and that it faces limited competition in its key markets. Competition comes from drugs, catheter ablation, implantable devices and other surgical ablation devices.12

Most competitors have greater financial, manufacturing, marketing and research resources than the company, and low barriers to entry allow new products to reach the market, which could reduce prices and market share.1

  • Catheter ablation

    Percutaneous ablation performed by electrophysiologists, used for most symptomatic patients, is the main therapeutic alternative named by the company.

  • Antiarrhythmic drugs

    Drug therapy is named in the filing as an alternative for managing atrial fibrillation.

  • Implantable devices and pacemakers

    Pacemakers and implantable devices are named as alternatives for patients with atrial fibrillation.

  • Other surgical ablation and appendage occlusion devices

    The filing mentions other makers of surgical ablation devices and alternative techniques for excluding the left atrial appendage, without naming them.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / AtriCure, Inc. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / AtriCure, Inc. · 27 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / AtriCure, Inc. · 23 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.