olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

CECO Environmental Corp. CECO

Industrial & Commercial Fans & Blowers & Air Purifing Equip · SIC 3564 · Vertical: Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 356x)

45.40USD−9.58% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

CECO Environmental is an environmentally focused industrial group delivering technology for industrial air, industrial water and the energy transition. After the Thermon acquisition, closed on June 1, 2026, the company reported second-quarter 2026 orders of $798.5 million and backlog rising to $1,819.1 million, which visibly changes its profile.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) stock was 45.40 USD (−9.58% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.7 bn USD, beta 1.33, 52-week range 45.40–99.67 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 285.0 m USD (+53.7% YoY), net income of -34.8 m USD (−465.6% YoY), diluted EPS -0.80 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.7 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.69 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-1.51%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.33
Volatility (1y) 68%
52-week range
45.4099.67

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
30.9
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
42.82 – 69.20
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.10 · band width 47.1%
SMA 50 / 200
65.98 / 71.63
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-5.50 / -5.06
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−39.4%−1.1%−38.3 pp—
3 months−34.3%−0.5%−33.9 pp—
6 months−47.4%+4.4%−51.8 pp—
Year to date−24.1%+12.3%−36.5 pp—
1 year−15.3%+13.5%−28.9 pp+8.3%
3 years+182.9%+76.4%+106.5 pp+40.5%
5 years+504.5%+63.7%+440.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−54.4%
22 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.4%
22 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+43.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
285.0 m USD
+53.7% YoY
Net income
-34.8 m USD
−465.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.80
−407.7% YoY
net / operating
-12.2% / -11.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue135.5 m158.6 m176.7 m185.4 m197.6 m214.7 m205.9 m285.0 m
Cost of revenue90.2 m101.9 m114.5 m118.3 m133.0 m139.3 m142.0 m198.5 m
Gross profit45.3 m56.7 m62.2 m67.1 m64.6 m75.4 m63.9 m86.5 m
SG&A34.3 m41.1 m53.5 m48.8 m47.0 m51.3 m46.1 m63.9 m
Operating income7.2 m11.3 m61.9 m18.1 m9.4 m16.5 m1.9 m-33.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.6 m4.0 m5.1 m5.0 m ≈8.6 m ≈6.2 m6.1 m12.0 m ≈
Interest expense2.6 m3.7 m6.2 m4.9 m5.1 m4.7 m4.2 m9.1 m
Pre-tax income4.1 m5.5 m55.1 m14.6 m2.3 m10.9 m-3.7 m-44.6 m
Income tax1.6 m606.0 k18.6 m4.5 m483.0 k6.1 m-3.5 m-10.1 m
Net income2.1 m4.9 m36.0 m9.5 m1.5 m3.1 m-398.0 k-34.8 m
Diluted EPS0.060.13 ≈0.980.260.040.08 ≈-0.01-0.80
Operating cash flow15.1 m ≈1.8 m-11.7 m-7.7 m ≈15.3 m ≈10.0 m-13.1 m-19.3 m ≈
Capex4.0 m ≈6.1 m3.4 m1.0 m ≈4.2 m ≈2.7 m2.6 m4.9 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈0——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue337.3 m341.9 m316.0 m324.1 m422.6 m544.8 m557.9 m774.4 m
Revenue YoY−2.2%+1.3%−7.6%+2.6%+30.4%+28.9%+2.4%+38.8%
Net income-7.1 m17.7 m8.2 m1.4 m17.4 m12.9 m13.0 m50.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−53.6%−82.6%+1,121.4%−25.9%+0.4%+286.3%
Diluted EPS-0.21-0.500.230.040.500.370.361.37
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−82.6%+1,150.0%−26.0%−2.7%+280.6%
net %-2.1%5.2%2.6%0.4%4.1%2.4%2.3%6.5%
Free cash flow18.9 m4.6 m476.0 k10.7 m26.3 m36.3 m7.5 m-5.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
33.1 m USD
Financial debt
212.4 m USD
Net debt
179.3 m USD
Equity
323.2 m USD
Total assets
893.8 m USD
Debt / equity
0.66x
Current ratio
1.34x
ROE
17.4%
ROA
6.1%
FCF margin
-0.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
544.8 m
2024
557.9 m
2025
774.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
373.8 m
2024
361.8 m
2025
505.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
171.0 m
2024
196.1 m
2025
269.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
122.9 m
2024
146.7 m
2025
200.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
34.6 m
2024
35.4 m
2025
105.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
12.5 m
2024
14.5 m
2025
24.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
47.1 m ≈
2024
49.9 m ≈
2025
130.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
13.4 m
2024
13.0 m
2025
20.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
21.5 m
2024
17.7 m
2025
82.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
7.0 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
29.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
12.9 m
2024
13.0 m
2025
50.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.37
2024
0.36
2025
1.37

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
35.3 m
2024
36.4 m
2025
36.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
54.8 m
2024
37.8 m
2025
33.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
112.7 m
2024
159.5 m
2025
172.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
34.1 m
2024
42.6 m
2025
54.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
281.4 m
2024
331.0 m
2025
410.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
26.2 m
2024
33.8 m
2025
47.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
211.3 m
2024
269.7 m
2025
288.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
50.5 m
2024
74.1 m
2025
97.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
600.3 m
2024
759.7 m
2025
893.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
87.7 m
2024
109.7 m
2025
117.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
10.5 m
2024
1.7 m
2025
1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
126.8 m
2024
217.2 m
2025
210.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
203.1 m
2024
244.7 m
2025
305.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
362.8 m
2024
507.8 m
2025
570.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
237.5 m
2024
251.9 m
2025
323.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
44.6 m
2024
24.8 m
2025
5.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
8.4 m
2024
17.4 m
2025
11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
36.3 m ≈
2024
7.5 m ≈
2025
-5.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-56.5 m
2024
-105.3 m
2025
-1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
21.1 m
2024
65.9 m
2025
-11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
5.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
38.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
22.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
199.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
286.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
42.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
43.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
280.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
39.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
42.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-173.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
32.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
666.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
24.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-7.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
14.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-21.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
-26.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
125 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
81 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
96 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
110 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
121.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.32
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

45.40 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
121.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
38.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 2663derived 212

Score by group

79% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 356x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-0.3%21 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality-3.4%26 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth22.4%100 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth39.9%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet24.3x0 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.2x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x58 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation121.1x0 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation-0.8%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet12/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality23/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CECO ENVIRONMENTAL CORP. (CECO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 774.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 38.8%; net margin -3.4%; ROE -2.6%; net debt/EBITDA 24.3x.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 22.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 39.9%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -0.3%
  • Net margin: -3.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 24.3x
  • Interest coverage: -0.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 121.1x
  • FCF yield: -0.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 356x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 36 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 27.3x
EV/EBITDA
121.1x
vertical median 15.7x
above median (+669.2%)
P/S
2.9x
vertical median 3.3x
below median (−11.9%)
P/B
1.3x
vertical median 3.6x
below median (−64.8%)
ROE
-2.6%
vertical median 9.9%
below median (−126.0%)
Net margin
-3.4%
vertical median 8.0%
below median (−142.6%)
EBIT margin
-0.6%
vertical median 11.9%
below median (−105.0%)
Revenue YoY
38.8%
vertical median 8.0%
above median (+382.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
24.3x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+1,819.2%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc83.4 bn26.1101.7%19.4%+0.9%+18% / +21%
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.32.3 bn23.713.4%17.2%+5.7%+5% / +18%
XYLXylem Inc.23.2 bn22.310.1%11.9%+5.5%−28% / −4%
SYMSymbotic Inc.22.7 bn780.51.8%0.3%+25.7%−55% / −29%
NDSNNordson Corporation18.4 bn33.417.8%18.6%+3.8%+39% / +41%
ITTItt Inc.18.0 bn39.411.5%8.9%+8.5%+9% / +86%
IEXIdex Corp17.2 bn32.413.3%14.6%+5.8%+34% / +16%
ZBRAZebra Technologies Corporation15.7 bn26.816.5%9.8%+8.3%+32% / +40%
RBCRbc Bearings Incorporated15.1 bn42.710.5%17.5%+14.3%+7% / +85%
RRXRegal Rexnord Corp11.5 bn50.13.4%3.8%−1.6%+19% / +45%
GGGGraco Inc.11.2 bn22.520.4%22.4%+5.8%−15% / −14%
FLSFlowserve Corp10.3 bn40.711.1%—unavailable+14% / +112%
DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.9.9 bn22.228.2%11.7%+5.3%−5% / +41%
ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation7.5 bn26.317.7%15.9%+8.3%−5% / +53%
TKRTimken Co7.3 bn26.48.9%5.9%+0.2%+31% / +47%
GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.6.1 bn17.010.6%10.4%+1.0%+7% / +100%
ESABESAB Corporation4.9 bn31.76.7%5.1%+3.7%−30% / +2%
CECOCeco Environmental Corp.2.7 bn—-2.6%-3.4%+38.8%−15% / +183%
EFXTEnerflex Ltd2.5 bn39.36.0%2.5%+6.5%+46% / +377%
OUSTOuster, Inc.2.4 bn—-11.3%-20.4%+52.5%+46% / +555%
HSAIHesai Group2.0 bn30.46.9%14.4%+52.1%−32% / +23%
GRCThe Gorman-Rupp Company2.0 bn26.317.0%10.2%+3.4%+59% / +134%
CHRNChronoscale Holdings Corporation1.8 bn—-42.0%-70.3%+459.4%+155% / −54%
GHMGraham Corporation816.0 m67.17.5%4.5%+16.9%+21% / +275%
TWINTwin Disc, Incorporated370.7 m11.916.3%8.0%+11.9%+64% / +86%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CECO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    CECO Environmental is an environmentally focused industrial group delivering technology for industrial air, industrial water and the energy transition. After the Thermon acquisition, closed on June 1, 2026, the company reported second-quarter 2026 orders of $798.5 million 3 and backlog rising to $1,819.1 million 3, which visibly changes its profile.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a large installed base and a full offer from engineering to service, which strengthens customer relationships.
    • Over five decades of experience and a specialised technical team are assets that smaller rivals would find hard to replicate.
    • Growth in orders and backlog in the second quarter of 2026 points to sustained demand for the portfolio.

    Weaknesses

    • Fixed-price contracts can lead to losses if actual costs exceed estimates, and the risk rises on large projects.
    • The second-quarter net result was negative, reflecting acquisition and integration costs and amortisation.
    • Higher debt after the Thermon acquisition reduces short-term financial flexibility.

    Opportunities

    • Demand from power, natural gas and energy transition could grow if industrial investment continues.
    • Thermon integration synergies, ahead of plan, could improve margins.
    • Emerging markets and expanding recurring aftermarket revenue from the installed base could bring more predictable income.

    Threats

    • Tariffs and the Middle East conflict could affect costs and deliveries.
    • Inflation in materials and labour could cut margins if prices cannot be passed on to customers.
    • Lower industrial investment in a weak economy could delay orders and lengthen sales cycles.

    Risks

    • Thermon integrationhigh

      Integrating a large acquisition may delay synergies or raise costs, affecting results in 2026 and beyond.

    • Fixed-price contractshigh

      Wrong cost estimates on fixed-price projects can reduce margins or cause losses on individual projects.

    • Delays and cancellationsmedium

      Customers can postpone or cancel orders, so backlog may not always reflect future revenue.

    • Material and energy pricesmedium

      Rising steel, resin and transport costs can grow faster than the prices customers accept.

    • Product liabilitylow

      Liability or warranty claims can be costly to defend and could exceed insurance coverage.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If Thermon synergies materialise and backlog converts into revenue, the company could show solid margin and cash flow growth.
    • The raised 2026 guidance suggests management sees sustained demand and good execution control.
    • The installed base and recurring services could stabilise revenue during slowdowns in industrial investment.

    What would break the thesis

    • Higher debt after the acquisition and the negative second-quarter net result could limit flexibility if the market weakens.
    • Fixed-price contracts and volatile costs could compress margins, especially on large projects.

    What to watch

    • Thermon integration results and synergy captureQ3 2026
    • Development of backlog and new ordersQ3 2026
    • Delivery against raised 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook2026
    • Debt levels and free cash flow trendnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    CECO presents itself as a diversified environmentally focused industrial company helping customers in energy, hydrocarbon processing, semiconductor production, electric vehicles and aluminum can making meet emission standards and reduce consumption. The company says it has an installed base of systems and equipment in excess of $10 billion 1, which it aims to convert into more recurring revenue from aftermarket and services. Its annual report for 2025 notes approximately 520 engineers and project managers 1.

    The business relies on engineered, configured and made-to-order products, with most projects on fixed-price terms. Backlog at December 31, 2025 was $793.1 million 1, and revenue timing depends on project delivery schedules. The Thermon acquisition, agreed on February 23, 2026, changed the size and structure of the company during 2026 2.

    Operationally, CECO combines engineering platforms, fabrication through third-party partners and aftermarket services. According to the August 2026 release, integration of Thermon is progressing ahead of pre-acquisition plans 3.

    Segments

    Engineered Systems

    The Engineered Systems segment serves power generation, hydrocarbon processing, water and wastewater treatment, oily water separation and natural gas infrastructure. It includes emissions management, fluid bed cyclones, thermal acoustics, separation and filtration 1.

    Industrial Process Solutions

    The Industrial Process Solutions segment offers contamination control, exhaust air treatment, VOC abatement and process filtration for aluminum can producers, automotive, semiconductor and battery recycling customers 1.

    Market context

    CECO describes the industrial environmental market as highly fragmented, with many regional suppliers, and estimates it at several billion dollars globally 1. Demand is supported by stricter regulation, gas and energy transition investment and reshoring of production. Public funding for green investment in the US and Europe has added support for environmental projects 1.

    The company notes that demand can slow when customers postpone capital spending, making the market sensitive to the economic cycle and energy prices. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue rose year on year, partly due to the Thermon consolidation, which makes comparisons harder 2.

    Trends

    • Stricter environmental regulationtailwind

      Industrial companies face tighter rules on emissions and wastewater, which could increase demand for CECO equipment if investment continues 1.

    • Energy transition and natural gasmixed

      The shift from coal and oil toward natural gas, LNG and renewables could support new plants and pipelines, but investment depends on policy and energy prices 1.

    • Reshoring of productiontailwind

      Moving supply chains closer to customers could support demand for new installations if the trend persists 1.

    Competitive position

    CECO says its markets are highly fragmented and that it competes with numerous local, regional and national manufacturers on performance, quality, lead time and safety 1. The company argues no single competitor has a comparable product and service portfolio, though this advantage could be challenged if rivals broaden their offers.

    The Thermon acquisition adds industrial heat tracing technology and engineering experience, which may shift competitive positioning. The annual report does not name competitors with tickers, so US listings cannot be confirmed 1.

    • Regional equipment manufacturers for environmental systems

      Local and regional producers in the same product lines, as described by CECO; not named in the source.

    • Regional engineering and installation firms

      Small firms offering engineering, fabrication and installation in fragmented markets, per the annual report.

    • Aftermarket and spare parts providers

      Rivals that could capture recurring service revenue CECO wants to grow.

    • Competitive landscape after the Thermon deal

      Direct comparison with named competitors is not detailed in the sources provided, so no further firms are named.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 07 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 05 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report05 Oct 2026
      Delisting notice · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
    • Current report10 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report09 Jun 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Jun 2026
      Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report28 May 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report30 Apr 2026
    • Current report28 Apr 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report02 Apr 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / CECO Environmental Corp. · 02 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / CECO Environmental Corp. · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / CECO Environmental Corp. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.