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olivLaw · US equity research

RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC

Ball & Roller Bearings · SIC 3562 · Vertical: Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 356x)

477.05USD−3.83% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

RBC Bearings designs and manufactures precision bearings and essential systems for industrial and aerospace-defense customers, focusing on higher-value niches. It matters now because accelerating aerospace and defense sales and an expanding backlog have driven recent growth. Fiscal 2026 net sales were 1870.9 million USD, up 14.3%.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) stock was 477.05 USD (−3.83% on the day), with market capitalisation 15.1 bn USD, P/E 42.7 on diluted EPS of 11.18 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.00, 52-week range 423.39–648.89 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 524.6 m USD (+15.2% YoY), net income of 93.8 m USD (+56.3% YoY), diluted EPS 2.96 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
15.1 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
42.7
Diluted EPS TTM 11.18 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.34%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.00
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
423.39648.89

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
463.84 – 517.49
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.25 · band width 10.9%
SMA 50 / 200
494.92 / 551.93
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-6.45 / -5.91
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−6.9%−1.1%−5.8 pp—
3 months−16.6%−0.5%−16.2 pp—
6 months−23.5%+4.4%−27.8 pp—
Year to date+6.4%+12.3%−5.9 pp—
1 year+11.7%+13.5%−1.9 pp+8.3%
3 years+116.4%+76.4%+40.0 pp+40.5%
5 years+100.9%+63.7%+37.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−28.8%
25 Jun 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−35.5%
08 Nov 2021 → 11 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+15.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
524.6 m USD
+15.2% YoY
Net income
93.8 m USD
+56.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.96
+55.8% YoY
net / operating
17.9% / 25.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue394.4 m437.7 m436.0 m455.3 m461.6 m518.0 m519.5 m524.6 m
Cost of revenue219.5 m244.3 m240.8 m254.7 m257.2 m288.0 m271.7 m285.6 m
Gross profit174.9 m193.4 m195.2 m200.6 m204.4 m230.0 m247.8 m239.0 m
SG&A70.1 m72.1 m73.9 m77.4 m77.9 m86.9 m85.8 m83.4 m
Operating income85.6 m100.7 m101.1 m97.8 m103.0 m119.1 m140.8 m131.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation29.7 m30.1 m29.6 m32.9 m32.9 m33.4 m33.3 m34.1 m
Interest expense-14.2 m-12.8 m12.2 m13.4 m-13.0 m-11.2 m10.1 m9.3 m
Pre-tax income74.7 m87.9 m87.7 m83.4 m89.3 m108.9 m130.2 m122.5 m
Income tax16.8 m15.2 m19.2 m23.4 m21.9 m17.2 m28.7 m28.7 m
Net income57.9 m72.7 m68.5 m60.0 m67.4 m91.7 m101.5 m93.8 m
Diluted EPS1.822.30 ≈2.171.902.132.89 ≈3.202.96
Operating cash flow84.0 m ≈69.2 m120.0 m88.4 m ≈122.1 m ≈85.2 m171.8 m106.4 m ≈
Share repurchases200.0 k ≈900.0 k——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 57 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 22.8, median 41.7, max 119.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue702.5 m727.5 m609.0 m942.9 m1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn
Revenue YoY+4.1%+3.6%−16.3%+54.8%+55.8%+6.2%+4.9%+14.3%
Net income105.2 m120.4 m90.1 m54.7 m166.7 m209.9 m246.2 m287.6 m
Net income YoY+20.7%+14.4%−25.1%−39.3%+204.8%+25.9%+17.3%+16.8%
Diluted EPS4.264.813.581.564.946.417.709.09
Diluted EPS YoY+19.0%+12.9%−25.6%−56.4%+216.7%+29.8%+20.1%+18.1%
net %15.0%16.5%14.8%5.8%11.3%13.5%15.0%15.4%
Free cash flow67.2 m118.3 m140.6 m150.5 m178.6 munavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 28 Mar 2026

Cash
57.3 m USD
Financial debt
875.5 m USD
Net debt
818.2 m USD
Equity
3.4 bn USD
Total assets
5.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.26x
Current ratio
2.18x
ROE
9.0%
ROA
5.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
889.8 m
2025
910.2 m
2026
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
670.5 m
2025
726.1 m
2026
830.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Research & development
2024
33.0 m
2025
33.0 m
2026
34.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
253.5 m
2025
279.3 m
2026
316.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
342.2 m
2025
369.9 m
2026
421.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
119.3 m
2025
120.0 m
2026
128.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
461.5 m ≈
2025
489.9 m ≈
2026
549.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
-78.7 m
2025
-59.8 m
2026
-49.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
261.8 m
2025
311.9 m
2026
369.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
51.9 m
2025
65.7 m
2026
81.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
209.9 m
2025
246.2 m
2026
287.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
6.41
2025
7.70
2026
9.09

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
29.2 m
2025
30.4 m
2026
31.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
63.5 m
2025
36.8 m
2026
57.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
255.2 m
2025
307.6 m
2026
340.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
622.8 m
2025
654.5 m
2026
762.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
965.5 m
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
361.0 m
2025
359.0 m
2026
419.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
4.7 bn
2025
4.7 bn
2026
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
116.2 m
2025
138.4 m
2026
147.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
3.8 m
2025
1.7 m
2026
173.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
1.2 bn
2025
918.4 m
2026
701.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
294.3 m
2025
315.3 m
2026
546.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
2.8 bn †
2025
3.0 bn †
2026
3.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
274.7 m
2025
293.6 m
2026
415.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2023verified

Free cash flow
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-52.2 m
2025
-49.8 m
2026
-349.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-223.5 m
2025
-270.4 m
2026
-43.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
11.0 m
2025
9.5 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
14.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
25.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
16.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
19.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
26.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
20.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
45.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
31.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
24.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
17.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
621.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
103.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
485.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
77.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
55 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
258 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
264 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
15.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
15.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
42.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
42.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
4.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
7.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
25.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
31.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
7.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
6.98
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 63 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

477.05 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 15.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
15.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
42.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
4.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
25.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROE
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
17.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2789derived 233

Score by group

  • Balance sheet81
  • Growth85
  • Valuation22
  • Quality71

Estimated value range

Low
245.78
USD per share
Mid
289.49
USD per share
High
325.11
USD per share
Price: 477.05 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -39.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -64.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 240.83 – 356.10 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA240.83 – 294.13 (Mid 284.03)
    13 companies used · median multiple 15.3x · quartiles 13.1x – 15.8x
    DCI, ESAB, FLS, GGG, GRC, GTES, IR, ITT, NDSN, PPIH, TKR, XYL, ZBRA
  • Peers: P/E250.73 – 356.10 (Mid 294.95)
    20 companies used · median multiple 26.4x · quartiles 22.4x – 31.8x
    DCI, EFXT, ESAB, FLS, GGG, GRC, GTES, HSAI, IEX, IR, ITT, ITW, NDSN, PPIH, TAYD, TKR, TWIN, XYL, ZBRA, ZWS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 356x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 63/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.3%59 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality17.5%91 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.4%70 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth22.5%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.0x61 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet103.0x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.1x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation42.7x16 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation25.0x28 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet81/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality71/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation22/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

RBC BEARINGS INCORPORATED (RBC). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.9 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 14.3%; net margin 17.5%; ROE 10.5%; net debt/EBITDA 1.0x.

The estimated value range is 245.78–325.11 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 289.49 USD, the price of 477.05 USD leaves a potential of -39.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -64.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 63/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 17.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 22.5%
  • Interest coverage: 103.0x
  • Current ratio: 3.1x

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 42.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 25.0x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 356x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 36 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
42.7x
vertical median 26.8x
above median (+58.9%)
EV/EBITDA
25.0x
vertical median 15.7x
above median (+59.0%)
P/S
7.5x
vertical median 3.0x
above median (+146.0%)
P/B
4.2x
vertical median 3.1x
above median (+37.9%)
ROE
10.5%
vertical median 8.9%
above median (+17.4%)
Net margin
17.5%
vertical median 6.9%
above median (+154.2%)
EBIT margin
24.4%
vertical median 11.2%
above median (+117.7%)
Revenue YoY
14.3%
vertical median 8.0%
above median (+78.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.0x
vertical median 1.5x
below median (−32.3%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc83.4 bn26.1101.7%19.4%+0.9%+18% / +21%
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.32.3 bn23.713.4%17.2%+5.7%+5% / +18%
XYLXylem Inc.23.2 bn22.310.1%11.9%+5.5%−28% / −4%
SYMSymbotic Inc.22.7 bn780.51.8%0.3%+25.7%−55% / −29%
NDSNNordson Corporation18.4 bn33.417.8%18.6%+3.8%+39% / +41%
ITTItt Inc.18.0 bn39.411.5%8.9%+8.5%+9% / +86%
IEXIdex Corp17.2 bn32.413.3%14.6%+5.8%+34% / +16%
ZBRAZebra Technologies Corporation15.7 bn26.816.5%9.8%+8.3%+32% / +40%
RBCRbc Bearings Incorporated15.1 bn42.710.5%17.5%+14.3%+12% / +116%
RRXRegal Rexnord Corp11.5 bn50.13.4%3.8%−1.6%+19% / +45%
GGGGraco Inc.11.2 bn22.520.4%22.4%+5.8%−15% / −14%
FLSFlowserve Corp10.3 bn40.711.1%—unavailable+14% / +112%
DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.9.9 bn22.228.2%11.7%+5.3%−5% / +41%
ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation7.5 bn26.317.7%15.9%+8.3%−5% / +53%
TKRTimken Co7.3 bn26.48.9%5.9%+0.2%+31% / +47%
GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.6.1 bn17.010.6%10.4%+1.0%+7% / +100%
ESABESAB Corporation4.9 bn31.76.7%5.1%+3.7%−30% / +2%
CECOCeco Environmental Corp.2.7 bn—-2.6%-3.4%+38.8%−13% / +136%
EFXTEnerflex Ltd2.5 bn39.36.0%2.5%+6.5%+46% / +377%
OUSTOuster, Inc.2.4 bn—-11.3%-20.4%+52.5%+46% / +555%
HSAIHesai Group2.0 bn30.46.9%14.4%+52.1%−32% / +23%
GRCThe Gorman-Rupp Company2.0 bn26.317.0%10.2%+3.4%+59% / +134%
CHRNChronoscale Holdings Corporation1.8 bn—-42.0%-70.3%+459.4%+155% / −54%
GHMGraham Corporation816.0 m67.17.5%4.5%+16.9%+21% / +275%
TWINTwin Disc, Incorporated370.7 m11.916.3%8.0%+11.9%+64% / +86%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RBC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
293.32
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
517.64
Total return 9% · Per year 9%
778.43
Total return 63% · Per year 63%
3 years
307.35
Total return -36% · Per year -14%
608.11
Total return 27% · Per year 8%
1,000.81
Total return 110% · Per year 28%
5 years
322.06
Total return -32% · Per year -8%
714.41
Total return 50% · Per year 8%
1,286.72
Total return 170% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 152.03
  • Net margin± 106.42
  • Annual revenue growth± 84.22
  • Annual dilution± 8.94

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

In brief

RBC Bearings designs and manufactures precision bearings and essential systems for industrial and aerospace-defense customers, focusing on higher-value niches. It matters now because accelerating aerospace and defense sales and an expanding backlog have driven recent growth 13. Fiscal 2026 net sales were 1870.9 million USD, up 14.3% 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading positions in many precision bearing niches, supported by product qualifications and OEM approvals 1.
  • A large and growing backlog gives visibility into future deliveries in aerospace and defense 13.
  • A long record of integrating acquisitions that raised margins and broadened end markets 1.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on a small number of large customers, whose top ten account for a significant share of sales 1.
  • High debt after acquisitions limits flexibility and exposes the company to interest cost risk 12.
  • Exposure to steel and energy costs, which can compress margins when price pass-through is delayed 1.

Opportunities

  • Growing aftermarket and replacement part sales could make revenues more predictable 1.
  • Defense demand tied to marine and missile programs could keep growing if funding stays supportive 13.
  • Expanding international presence and new products for fast-growing markets could open new revenue streams 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and retaliatory trade measures can raise costs and reduce sales in some foreign markets 1.
  • Cyclicality of customer industries can reduce demand during industrial production downturns 1.
  • Price competition from lower-cost manufacturers could reduce profitability 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    Loss of a major customer or an adverse change in its business could materially reduce revenues and profitability 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Steel tariffs and foreign retaliation could raise costs and reduce sales if they cannot be passed to customers 1.

  • Acquisition debtmedium

    Debt taken on to fund acquisitions limits flexibility and exposes the company to higher interest costs 12.

  • Industrial cyclicalitymedium

    Downturns in customer industries such as mining and construction can delay investment and reduce demand 1.

  • Internal controlslow

    A failure to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could lead to material misstatements and legal exposure 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If aircraft build rates and defense demand stay high, growth in sales and margins could continue 13.
  • A record backlog gives visibility into future revenue across several quarters 13.
  • Leading niche positions and product approvals could protect margins against direct competition 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Acquisition-related debt could limit the company's ability to absorb economic or interest rate shocks 12.
  • Reliance on a few large customers and government programs could amplify the impact of order reductions 1.
  • Tariffs and steel costs could compress margins if price increases lag or are incomplete 1.

What to watch

  • Second quarter fiscal 2027 results against the guided net sales and gross margin rangesQ2 2027
  • Development of the backlog, especially in defense marine programsQ2 2027
  • Effects of tariffs on steel costs and marginsnext 10-K
  • Net debt level and interest costs as debt reduction continues2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

The business

RBC Bearings Incorporated is an international manufacturer of precision bearings, components and essential systems, with two reportable segments: Industrial and Aerospace & Defense 1. The company focuses on the higher end of the bearing market, where value-added engineering and manufacturing let it differentiate from competitors 1. It operates 65 facilities in 11 countries, of which 44 are manufacturing facilities 1.

Segments

Industrial

The Industrial segment, 58% of fiscal 2026 net sales, serves construction, mining, food and beverage, warehousing and automation markets 1. Its sales rose 3.8% year over year in fiscal 2026, led by aggregate and cement, warehousing and food and beverage 1.

Aerospace & Defense

The Aerospace & Defense segment, 42% of fiscal 2026 net sales, supplies bearings for commercial aircraft, military aircraft, missiles and satellites 1. It grew 32.9% in fiscal 2026, including the VACCO acquisition, and rose 36.9% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 13.

Market context

The bearing, gearing and engineered component market is described as fragmented and worth several billion dollars, with demand from heavy industry, aerospace and defense 1. Commercial demand depends on new aircraft build rates, and defense demand on modernization programs 1. Net sales were 1870.9 million USD in fiscal 2026 1.

Trends

  • Rising aircraft build ratestailwind

    Higher build rates at aircraft OEMs supported commercial aerospace sales growth, and the backlog stayed strong 13. If rates remain elevated, this could continue to support segment growth.

  • Defense spendingmixed

    Military modernization and marine and missile demand contributed to strong defense sales growth 13. However, government spending can be reduced or reallocated, which could affect volumes.

  • Tariffs and trade policyheadwind

    Section 232 tariffs on steel, the largest imported raw material, raise costs and could reduce margins if not passed to customers 1. Foreign retaliatory tariffs can also reduce sales of US-made products.

  • Acquisitions and integrationmixed

    The company integrated VACCO, acquired in July 2025, which added sales but also purchase accounting adjustments 1. Integration and acquisition-related debt remain items to watch 12.

Competitive position

Competition in the bearing industry is intense, with the company competing on product qualifications, product line breadth, service and price 1. Some competitors have lower labor costs or greater financial resources, which may limit the company's ability to pass costs on to prices 1.

  • SKF

    Major European bearing manufacturer, cited as a principal competitor 1.

  • TimkenTKR

    US bearing and power transmission manufacturer, cited as a principal competitor 1.

  • Regal RexnordRRX

    Power transmission component maker, cited as a principal competitor 1.

  • New Hampshire Ball Bearings

    Precision ball bearing maker, cited as a principal competitor on certain product lines 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-28 · SEC / RBC Bearings Incorporated · 15 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / RBC Bearings Incorporated · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / RBC Bearings Incorporated · 31 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.