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olivLaw · US equity research

GH GH

Services-Medical Laboratories · SIC 8071 · Vertical: Services-Medical Laboratories (SIC 8071)

153.43USD−8.99% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Guardant Health is a precision oncology company selling blood and tissue tests for screening, monitoring and therapy selection. Total revenue rose from $982.0 million in fiscal 2025 to $335.0 million in the second quarter of 2026, and the company remains loss-making, with a net loss of $416.3 million in fiscal 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, GH (GH) stock was 153.43 USD (−8.99% on the day), with market capitalisation 20.8 bn USD, beta 1.26, 52-week range 78.60–187.22 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 361.0 m USD (+36.1% YoY), net income of -124.4 m USD, diluted EPS -0.93 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
20.8 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.68 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-2.40%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.26
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
78.60187.22

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
37.9
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
151.70 – 184.77
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.05 · band width 19.7%
SMA 50 / 200
169.67 / 131.56
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.13 / 0.91
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−10.1%−5.9%−4.2 pp—
3 months−2.6%−4.6%+2.0 pp—
6 months+66.3%+0.2%+66.1 pp—
Year to date+50.2%+7.4%+42.8 pp—
1 year+61.4%+8.2%+53.2 pp−13.7%
3 years+453.1%+68.4%+384.7 pp+33.4%
5 years+39.2%+56.5%−17.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.0%
22 Jan 2026 → 10 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−85.4%
08 Nov 2021 → 19 Apr 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.8%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
361.0 m USD
+36.1% YoY
Net income
-124.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.93
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-34.5% / -36.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue201.8 m203.5 m232.1 m265.2 m281.3 m301.7 m335.0 m361.0 m
Cost of revenue77.6 m74.7 m81.2 m93.6 m99.5 m104.9 m115.9 m124.8 m
Research & development93.5 m88.5 m87.4 m90.0 m98.3 m91.0 m96.5 m100.8 m
Operating income-126.0 m-111.0 m-106.4 m-99.0 m-120.8 m-121.4 m-129.1 m-132.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation10.5 m10.2 m10.0 m ≈9.4 m ≈10.1 m9.4 m9.6 m ≈10.2 m ≈
Interest expense645.0 k791.0 k983.0 k943.0 k1.2 m1.3 m1.3 m1.3 m
Pre-tax income-110.3 m-94.9 m-99.9 m-92.6 m-130.2 m-111.7 m-120.0 m-124.0 m
Income tax716.0 k290.0 k38.0 k136.0 k-1.7 m372.0 k185.0 k343.0 k
Net income-111.0 m-95.2 m-99.9 m-92.7 m-128.5 m-112.1 m-120.1 m-124.4 m
Diluted EPS-0.90 ≈-0.77-0.80-0.74-1.00 ≈-0.85-0.90-0.93
Operating cash flow-64.5 m-62.7 m-60.3 m ≈-35.4 m ≈-26.4 m-65.6 m-57.8 m ≈-23.7 m ≈
Capex18.9 m4.5 m5.6 m ≈10.4 m ≈27.8 m5.6 m11.8 m ≈13.5 m ≈
Share repurchases045.0 m0 ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue90.6 m214.4 m286.7 m373.7 m449.5 m563.9 m739.0 m982.0 m
Revenue YoY+81.9%+136.5%+33.8%+30.3%+20.3%+25.5%+31.0%+32.9%
Net income-85.1 m-75.7 m-246.3 m-384.8 m-654.6 m-479.4 m-436.4 m-416.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.84-2.60-4.00-6.41-4.28-3.56-3.32
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-93.8%-35.3%-85.9%-103.0%-145.6%-85.0%-59.0%-42.4%
Free cash flow-92.4 m-65.9 m-140.1 m-284.1 m-386.9 m-345.5 m-274.9 m-233.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
378.2 m USD
Financial debt
1.5 bn USD
Net debt
1.1 bn USD
Equity
-99.3 m USD
Total assets
2.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
4.84x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-23.8%
FCF margin
-23.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
563.9 m
2024
739.0 m
2025
982.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
227.1 m
2024
289.8 m
2025
349.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
336.9 m ≈
2024
449.2 m ≈
2025
633.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
367.2 m
2024
347.8 m
2025
364.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-564.7 m
2024
-443.6 m
2025
-437.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
42.9 m
2024
42.4 m
2025
39.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-521.8 m ≈
2024
-401.2 m ≈
2025
-397.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
2.6 m
2024
2.6 m
2025
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-478.8 m
2024
-435.1 m
2025
-417.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
685.0 k
2024
1.3 m
2025
-1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-479.4 m
2024
-436.4 m
2025
-416.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-4.28
2024
-3.56
2025
-3.32

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
112.0 m
2024
122.7 m
2025
125.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
525.5 m
2025
378.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
88.8 m
2024
110.3 m
2025
137.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
61.9 m
2024
71.1 m
2025
85.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
145.1 m
2024
136.8 m
2025
145.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.3 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
77.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
9.0 m
2024
6.8 m
2025
25.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
51.7 m
2024
38.6 m
2025
54.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
205.9 m
2024
225.6 m
2025
302.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
158.7 m †
2024
-139.6 m †
2025
-99.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-325.0 m
2024
-239.9 m
2025
-184.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
20.5 m
2024
35.1 m
2025
48.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-345.5 m ≈
2024
-274.9 m ≈
2025
-233.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
840.3 m
2024
-261.3 m
2025
-627.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
477.4 m
2024
-996.0 k
2025
671.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
45.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
32.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
29.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
27.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
65.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
-36.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-39.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-37.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-18.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
-30.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-33.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
475.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
-96.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-173.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
58.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-232.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
50 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
20.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
21.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
16.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
16.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

153.43 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 20.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
20.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
-37.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
32.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Nov 2026
verified 1261derived 115

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Medical Laboratories (SIC 8071)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-37.9%26 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth29.8%100 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-96.6x0 (on a fixed band)16%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.6x100 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-1.1%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)16%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial26/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

GUARDANT HEALTH, INC. (GH). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 982.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 32.9%; net margin -37.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 29.8%
  • Current ratio: 3.6x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -37.9%
  • Interest coverage: -96.6x
  • FCF yield: -1.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Medical Laboratories (SIC 8071) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 23 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 29.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.2x
P/S
16.2x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+480.7%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.2x
ROE
—
vertical median -10.1%
Net margin
-37.9%
vertical median -6.1%
below median
EBIT margin
-39.4%
vertical median -11.8%
below median
Revenue YoY
32.9%
vertical median 13.8%
above median (+138.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.5x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NTRANatera, Inc.52.7 bn—-10.6%-5.7%+35.9%+52% / +550%
LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.29.5 bn29.811.4%6.9%+7.2%+35% / +67%
DGXQuest Diagnostics Inc28.0 bn25.415.2%9.5%+11.8%+35% / +86%
GHGuardant Health, Inc.20.8 bn——-37.9%+32.9%+61% / +453%
CAICaris Life Sciences, Inc.7.5 bn76.517.2%9.2%+97.0%+2% / unavailable
RDNTRadNet, Inc.6.1 bn—-2.1%-0.9%+11.5%−6% / +135%
GRALGRAIL, Inc.5.4 bn—-17.3%-243.8%+17.2%+8% / unavailable
CDNACaredx, Inc.4.0 bn31.933.0%25.9%+13.8%+327% / +686%
FTREFortrea Holdings Inc.2.0 bn—-12.3%-2.6%+1.0%+61% / −31%
VCYTVeracyte, Inc.1.9 bn15.69.4%21.8%+16.0%−49% / −6%
PSNLPersonalis, Inc.1.7 bn—-62.1%-147.7%−17.7%+45% / +916%
BLLNBillionToOne, Inc.1.3 bn116.930.2%11.3%+100.0%−14% / unavailable
CSTLCastle Biosciences, Inc.1.1 bn—-4.9%-6.1%+3.7%−14% / +71%
FLGTFulgent Genetics, Inc.521.3 m—-8.6%-27.5%+13.8%−37% / −32%
YDESYD Bio Limited508.3 m—-445.1%-1,392.6%+16.9%−38% / unavailable
BDSXBiodesix, Inc.220.0 m—-778.9%-25.7%+24.1%+140% / −33%
XGNExagen Inc.184.1 m—-113.8%-26.6%+19.7%−4% / +313%
SERASera Prognostics, Inc.60.9 m—-49.7%-34,866.7%+5.2%−38% / +7%
AMSAmerican Shared Hospital Services7.8 m—-7.5%-5.8%−0.9%−45% / −51%
MDXHMdxhealth SA7.8 m—-2,440.4%-31.1%+19.8%−96% / −95%
ACONAclarion, Inc.4.5 m—-74.1%-10,260.0%+65.6%−75% / −100%
ADVBAdvanced Biomed Inc.3.1 m0.484.8%5,231.3%unavailable−77% / unavailable
BGLCBioNexus Gene Lab Corp.2.5 m—-33.7%-82.4%−21.9%−81% / −91%
BNRBurning Rock Biotech Limited0—-10.1%-10.3%+9.2%−39% / +60%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (05 Nov 2026), 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

    In brief

    Guardant Health is a precision oncology company selling blood and tissue tests for screening, monitoring and therapy selection. Total revenue rose from $982.0 million in fiscal 2025 1 to $335.0 million in the second quarter of 2026 23, and the company remains loss-making, with a net loss of $416.3 million in fiscal 2025 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has an FDA-approved test for colorectal cancer screening and the first blood test covered by Medicare for that purpose 1.
    • The Smart Platform is used across several products, which could reduce development costs 1.
    • Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 was driven by strong volume in oncology and screening 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company is not yet profitable and reported net losses in each of the last three years 1.
    • Free cash flow remains negative and operating expenses are rising faster than revenue 3.
    • Most revenue comes from tests, so dependence on a single product type is high 1.

    Opportunities

    • Expansion into lung cancer screening and multi-cancer detection is planned and could open new markets 1.
    • Coverage by new insurers and inclusion in guidelines could speed up adoption of the Shield test 31.
    • Partnerships with biopharmaceutical companies and GuardantINFORM data could generate additional revenue 1.

    Threats

    • Commercial payers can review and offset past payments, which may affect quarterly results 1.
    • Changes to billing codes or Medicare policies could reduce amounts received for some tests 1.
    • Biopharmaceutical companies may keep using other molecular test providers, limiting product adoption 1.

    Risks

    • Continuing net losseshigh

      The company is not yet profitable and could keep losing money if revenue does not grow enough 1.

    • Retroactive reimbursement reviewshigh

      Payers can review payments and offset differences, which could significantly affect results in a given quarter 1.

    • Dependence on testsmedium

      Nearly all revenue comes from tests, so any change in their acceptance could affect the company directly 1.

    • Delays in new productsmedium

      Development of new products such as lung cancer screening may be delayed or fail due to insufficient data 1.

    • Laboratory capacitylow

      Rapid growth in Shield volume could outpace laboratory capacity, and extra investment could raise costs 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If revenue keeps growing at the pace of the second quarter of 2026, the company could approach profitability sooner than expected 3.
    • Coverage of Shield by more insurers and its inclusion in guidelines could speed adoption of the screening product 31.
    • A portfolio built on a shared platform could lower the cost of future products 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company could stay loss-making if operating expenses keep rising faster than revenue 3.
    • Retroactive payer reimbursements could make quarterly revenue hard to predict and could cause estimates to be missed 1.
    • If biopharmaceutical companies keep using other providers, growth in oncology testing could slow 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of 2026 revenue guidance of $1.34 to $1.36 billion2026
    • Non-GAAP operating expenses and free cash flow against updated guidanceQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (05 Nov 2026), 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

    The business

    Guardant Health builds its portfolio around three areas: tests for therapy selection in advanced cancer, tests for minimal residual disease and recurrence, and screening tests, the most important being the Shield blood test for colorectal cancer 1. The company says its Smart Platform, based on genomic, epigenomic and RNA data, underlies all its products 1. In 2026 it obtained FDA approval for Guardant360 Liquid CDx, and Shield was included in the American Cancer Society's colorectal screening guidelines 3.

    The commercial model serves three groups: clinicians and patients, biopharmaceutical companies, and, since 2024, the screening program. Oncology tests are reimbursed by commercial payers and Medicare, and revenue depends on test volume, average price and payer coverage 1. The company operates CLIA-licensed laboratories in Redwood City, California, and Long Island City, New York 1.

    The company has extended Shield into markets in Asia and launched the Shield MCD test in several of them, while offering biopharmaceutical clients services such as GuardantINFORM and GuardantConnect 2. The sources do not state how large each of these markets is in total revenue.

    Market context

    Market access also depends on commercial payers, which may reimburse non-contracted providers at lower amounts 1. If more payers change their policies or coding, the company's revenue could be affected 1.

    Trends

    • Shield coverage by insurerstailwind

      Shield has received coverage from UnitedHealth Group and the VA network, which could widen access to screening 31. If more insurers follow, test volume could grow faster.

    • Inclusion in guidelinestailwind

      Inclusion of the Shield test in NCCN and American Cancer Society guidelines could support physician recommendation of it 12.

    • Retroactive payer reviewsheadwind

      Commercial payers can review previously paid claims and offset amounts against later payments, which makes quarterly revenue harder to predict 1.

    • Heavy spending for growthmixed

      Operating expenses rise with commercial infrastructure and laboratory investment, and free cash flow remains negative 3. If test volume does not grow enough, pressure on profitability could persist.

    Competitive position

    The sources do not describe competitors in detail, but the company says many biopharmaceutical partners already work with other molecular test providers, including direct competitors, and that switching tests can be costly 1. It supports its position by pointing to the number of orders for Guardant360 CDx 1.

    In screening, Shield competes with established colorectal cancer screening methods, and the sources do not name other blood-based test providers 1. The competitive analysis therefore remains limited to what the sources state.

    • Other molecular test providers used by biopharmaceutical companies

      The sources do not name them but state that some already have relationships with biopharmaceutical companies 1.

    • Other liquid biopsy tumor tests

      The sources say Guardant360 CDx has the largest number of orders among liquid tests but do not name rivals 1.

    • Established colorectal cancer screening methods

      Shield competes with existing screening methods, which the sources do not specify 1.

    • Partner laboratories in Europe and Asia

      The company relies on partners for distribution and testing outside the US, so they may also compete in some markets 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 05 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / GH · 19 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / GH · 30 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / GH · 30 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.