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olivLaw · US equity research

Hawkins, Inc. HWKN

Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products · SIC 5160 · Vertical: Wholesale — nondurable goods (SIC 51xx)

155.97USD+2.04% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hawkins, Inc. is a supplier of water treatment chemicals, specialty ingredients and industrial chemicals that has moved from bulk distribution toward specialty ingredients. Sales grew 11% in fiscal 2026, and the second quarter of fiscal 2027 brought 12% growth, both supported by acquisitions and organic growth in water treatment.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) stock was 155.97 USD (+2.04% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.2 bn USD, P/E 37.9 on diluted EPS of 4.12 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.49%, beta 0.91, 52-week range 117.67–171.68 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 313.8 m USD (+11.9% YoY), net income of 27.8 m USD (+22.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.34 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.2 bn USD
shares as of 21 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.9
Diluted EPS TTM 4.12 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.64%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.49%
DPS 12m 0.77
Beta (2y)
0.91
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
117.67171.68

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
79.9
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
117.79 – 160.55
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.89 · band width 30.7%
SMA 50 / 200
130.85 / 143.27
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
6.96 / 5.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+18.1%−1.1%+19.2 pp—
3 months+15.3%−0.5%+15.7 pp—
6 months−6.7%+4.4%−11.1 pp—
Year to date+9.8%+12.3%−2.5 pp—
1 year+21.4%+13.5%+7.9 pp−1.2%
3 years+157.5%+76.4%+81.1 pp−3.0%
5 years+311.6%+63.7%+248.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.5%
11 May 2026 → 27 Aug 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−36.3%
12 Aug 2025 → 27 Aug 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+32.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
313.8 m USD
+11.9% YoY
Net income
27.8 m USD
+22.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.34
+24.1% YoY
net / operating
8.9% / 13.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue226.2 m245.3 m293.3 m280.4 m244.1 m265.9 m315.7 m313.8 m
Cost of revenue177.8 m193.1 m220.9 m212.8 m193.3 m211.7 m241.7 m237.2 m
Gross profit48.4 m52.2 m72.4 m67.6 m50.8 m54.2 m74.0 m76.6 m
SG&A27.4 m27.7 m31.0 m33.7 m28.3 m30.8 m35.3 m34.7 m
Operating income21.1 m24.6 m41.3 m33.9 m22.6 m23.5 m38.7 m41.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation10.1 m10.6 m12.3 m13.3 m13.4 m13.6 m13.9 m14.3 m
Income tax5.3 m6.1 m9.8 m8.2 m5.3 m4.5 m9.1 m11.7 m
Net income15.0 m16.3 m29.2 m22.6 m14.3 m15.5 m28.3 m27.8 m
Diluted EPS0.720.78 ≈1.401.080.690.74 ≈1.351.34
Operating cash flow21.0 m ≈30.8 m31.5 m39.5 m ≈35.6 m ≈37.7 m35.2 m40.3 m ≈
Capex8.7 m ≈11.1 m13.5 m10.8 m ≈14.3 m ≈19.6 m11.6 m10.8 m ≈
Dividends paid3.8 m ≈3.8 m3.8 m4.0 m ≈4.0 m ≈4.0 m4.0 m4.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 92 percentile of its own 36-quarter history (min 5.8, median 15.3, max 44.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue556.3 m540.2 m596.9 m774.5 m935.1 m919.2 m974.4 m1.1 bn
Revenue YoY+10.3%−2.9%+10.5%+29.8%+20.7%−1.7%+6.0%+11.2%
Net income24.4 m28.4 m41.0 m51.5 m60.0 m75.4 m84.3 m81.5 m
Net income YoYunavailable+16.1%+44.5%+25.8%+16.5%+25.5%+11.9%−3.3%
Diluted EPS1.141.331.932.442.863.594.033.91
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+16.7%+45.1%+26.4%+17.2%+25.5%+12.3%−3.0%
net %4.4%5.3%6.9%6.7%6.4%8.2%8.7%7.5%
Free cash flow35.4 m34.4 m23.0 m14.3 m29.1 m119.3 m70.0 m86.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 29 Mar 2026

Cash
3.9 m USD
Financial debt
244.0 m USD
Net debt
240.1 m USD
Equity
534.0 m USD
Total assets
986.3 m USD
Debt / equity
0.46x
Current ratio
2.21x
ROE
16.4%
ROA
9.3%
FCF margin
7.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
919.2 m
2025
974.4 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
725.5 m
2025
748.9 m
2026
838.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
193.6 m
2025
225.5 m
2026
245.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
89.6 m
2025
106.4 m
2026
123.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
104.0 m
2025
119.2 m
2026
121.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
31.8 m
2025
39.9 m
2026
52.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
135.8 m ≈
2025
159.1 m ≈
2026
173.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
101.1 m
2025
114.4 m
2026
109.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
25.8 m
2025
30.0 m
2026
27.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
75.4 m
2025
84.3 m
2026
81.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.59
2025
4.03
2026
3.91

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
21.0 m
2025
20.9 m
2026
20.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
0.63
2025
0.70
2026
0.75

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
7.2 m
2025
5.1 m
2026
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
114.5 m
2025
131.8 m
2026
139.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
74.6 m
2025
83.5 m
2026
78.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
202.8 m
2025
230.7 m
2026
231.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
208.9 m
2025
225.3 m
2026
266.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
103.4 m
2025
135.4 m
2026
223.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
116.6 m
2025
150.1 m
2026
232.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
657.9 m
2025
770.0 m
2026
986.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
56.4 m
2025
61.2 m
2026
59.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
9.9 m
2025
9.9 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 May 2025verified

Long-term debt
2024
88.8 m
2025
149.0 m
2026
244.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
103.3 m
2025
97.2 m
2026
104.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
251.9 m
2025
309.8 m
2026
452.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
406.0 m †
2025
460.3 m †
2026
534.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
159.5 m
2025
111.1 m
2026
144.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
40.2 m
2025
41.1 m
2026
58.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
119.3 m ≈
2025
70.0 m ≈
2026
86.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-122.5 m
2025
-128.0 m
2026
-224.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-37.4 m
2025
14.8 m
2026
78.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
13.2 m
2025
14.6 m
2026
15.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
-3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
15.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
23.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
22.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
17.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
221.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
148.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
56.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
92.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
107.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
81.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
38 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
26 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
37.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
5.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
19.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
27.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
35.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

155.97 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
5.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
19.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROE
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 21 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 26 Oct 2026
verified 2765derived 187

Score by group

  • Valuation22
  • Balance sheet64
  • Quality88
  • Growth58
  • Returns44

Estimated value range

Low
54.72
USD per share
Mid
88.47
USD per share
High
126.87
USD per share
Price: 155.97 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -43.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -76.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 50.45 – 138.62 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA58.99 – 115.13 (Mid 94.95)
    16 companies used · median multiple 12.1x · quartiles 8.0x – 14.4x
    ASH, CAH, CAPL, CHEF, COR, DIT, DPZ, MCK, MMLP, NUS, SEB, SYY, UNFI, USFD, UVV, VSTS
  • Peers: P/E50.45 – 138.62 (Mid 81.99)
    18 companies used · median multiple 19.9x · quartiles 12.2x – 33.6x
    ANDE, CAH, CAPL, CENT, CHEF, COR, DIT, DPZ, EDUC, GLP, MCK, PFGC, RAVE, SEB, SYY, UNFI, USFD, WEYS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate9.86 – 13.25 (Mid 11.31)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — nondurable goods (SIC 51xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality11.7%82 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality7.5%87 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality107.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.0%42 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth11.0%73 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.2x50 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation37.9x20 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation19.1x12 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation2.9%36 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.5%7 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns17.4%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet64/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth58/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality88/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns44/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation22/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

HAWKINS, INC. (HWKN). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 11.2%; net margin 7.5%; ROE 16.0%; net debt/EBITDA 1.2x.

The estimated value range is 54.72–126.87 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 88.47 USD, the price of 155.97 USD leaves a potential of -43.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -76.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 11.7%
  • Net margin: 7.5%
  • FCF conversion: 107.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 11.0%
  • Current ratio: 2.3x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 17.4%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 37.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 19.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.5%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — nondurable goods (SIC 51xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
37.9x
vertical median 23.4x
above median (+61.9%)
EV/EBITDA
19.1x
vertical median 12.7x
above median (+50.5%)
P/S
2.8x
vertical median 0.3x
above median (+865.3%)
P/B
5.8x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+220.2%)
ROE
16.0%
vertical median -0.2%
above median
Net margin
7.5%
vertical median 0.1%
above median (+12,588.1%)
EBIT margin
11.1%
vertical median 1.0%
above median (+1,044.3%)
Revenue YoY
11.2%
vertical median 3.1%
above median (+266.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.2x
vertical median 1.2x
at median
Dividend yield
0.5%
vertical median 2.3%
below median (−78.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MCKMcKESSON CORPORATION123.5 bn27.5—1.1%+12.4%+21% / +127%
CORCencora, Inc.67.6 bn26.3104.3%0.8%+9.3%−4% / +74%
CAHCardinal Health, Inc.60.9 bn36.2—0.7%+14.2%+23% / +145%
SYYSysco Corporation37.9 bn20.559.1%2.1%+3.9%+1% / +7%
USFDUs Foods Holding Corp.23.8 bn33.816.4%1.8%+4.1%+40% / +151%
PFGCPerformance Food Group Company17.3 bn43.78.2%0.6%+7.2%+13% / +68%
DPZDomino’s Pizza, Inc.11.2 bn19.3—11.9%+5.0%−19% / −13%
CHEFChefs’ Warehouse, Inc.4.6 bn46.516.2%2.3%+9.4%+74% / +297%
ASHAshland Inc.3.5 bn126.32.8%2.8%−13.7%+44% / −4%
SEBSeaboard Corporation3.3 bn5.910.7%5.3%+7.1%−26% / −2%
HWKNHawkins, Inc.3.2 bn37.916.0%7.5%+11.2%+21% / +158%
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.2.9 bn36.05.3%0.3%−2.0%+29% / +232%
VSTSVestis Corp2.0 bn—-0.6%-0.2%−2.5%+128% / −19%
WKCWorld Kinect Corporation1.9 bn—-11.5%-0.4%−12.5%+64% / +81%
ANDEAndersons, Inc.1.9 bn9.316.1%1.8%−2.2%+7% / +11%
GLPGlobal Partners LP1.5 bn7.6—0.9%+8.1%−1% / +19%
UVVUniversal Corporation990.8 m—-0.2%-0.1%−1.3%−25% / −29%
CAPLCrossamerica Partners LP773.8 m16.1—1.2%−10.6%−1% / −15%
WEYSWeyco Group, Inc.616.9 m17.813.8%12.4%−4.9%+116% / +119%
MGPIMgp Ingredients, Inc.364.2 m—-34.5%-51.4%−23.8%−25% / −80%
NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.242.9 m—-32.5%-15.7%−14.3%−50% / −71%
HFFGHf Foods Group Inc.80.3 m—-15.5%-2.8%+2.2%−41% / −69%
BANLCbl International Limited80.0 m—-14.0%-0.6%−9.1%−48% / −86%
MMLPMartin Midstream Partners L.P.77.1 m——-1.4%+1.2%−25% / −24%
DITAmcon Distributing Co59.4 m33.11.6%0.1%+3.9%−19% / −48%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HWKN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
92.85
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
164.11
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
247.14
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
91.09
Total return -40% · Per year -16%
181.06
Total return 18% · Per year 6%
299.25
Total return 94% · Per year 25%
5 years
89.37
Total return -41% · Per year -10%
199.77
Total return 31% · Per year 6%
362.34
Total return 136% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 45.27
  • Net margin± 31.69
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.88
  • Annual dilution± 2.66

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Hawkins, Inc. is a supplier of water treatment chemicals, specialty ingredients and industrial chemicals that has moved from bulk distribution toward specialty ingredients. Sales grew 11% in fiscal 2026 1, and the second quarter of fiscal 2027 brought 12% growth 3, both supported by acquisitions and organic growth in water treatment.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has its own distribution network and employees who provide technical service directly to customers 1.
  • Sales growth has rested on volumes and acquisitions, and operating cash flow rose in fiscal 2026 13.
  • The customer base is diversified, and no single customer reached the 10% threshold in the period reviewed 1.

Weaknesses

  • Margins are sensitive to raw material prices, and bulk commodity products carry the lowest margins 12.
  • Debt rose after acquisitions and interest costs increased significantly 1.
  • The Food and Health Sciences segment suffered from price pressure 1.

Opportunities

  • Geographic expansion into Texas and Florida could bring new municipal and industrial customers 23.
  • Higher-margin products and specialty ingredients could lift profitability if their share of sales grows 13.
  • Acquisitions of small regional distributors could consolidate the market if integration is effective 12.

Threats

  • Larger competitors could cut prices and pressure the company's margins 1.
  • Safety incidents, product liability and environmental rules could create unexpected costs 1.
  • Weather and transport regulation could disrupt deliveries and raise costs 1.

Risks

  • Competitive price pressurehigh

    Larger competitors could reduce prices, which could affect the company's margins and profitability 1.

  • Raw material volatilityhigh

    Raw material prices can rise quickly and the company does not hedge with derivatives, which can affect margins 1.

  • Product liability and recallsmedium

    Claims or recalls could generate unplanned costs and damage the company's reputation 1.

  • Environmental and operational hazardsmedium

    Chemical accidents, spills and environmental problems could lead to remediation costs and negative community reaction 1.

  • Debt and acquisition integrationlow

    Acquisitions may need extra financing, and their integration is not assured 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If organic growth in water treatment continues and margins improve, quarterly results could support wider profitability.
  • Recent acquisitions and the Texas expansion could add recurring revenue and cost synergies.
  • Debt reduction and share repurchases could strengthen the balance sheet if cash flow stays strong.

What would break the thesis

  • Price pressure in the food and industrial segments could limit margin expansion.
  • Interest costs and higher debt could reduce financial flexibility if sales slow.
  • Dependence on raw material volatility and weather could make results uneven between quarters.

What to watch

  • Gross margin trend in Water Treatment after the Eagle Labs acquisitionQ3 2027
  • Price pressure in the Food and Health Sciences segmentQ3 2027
  • Effective tax rate for full fiscal 2027, guided at 25% to 27%next 10-K
  • Development of debt and leverage after second-quarter repaymentsQ3 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Hawkins formulates, manufactures, distributes and blends products for customers across three segments: Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions 1. The company describes its value base as close service, product quality, tailored applications and its employees, and part of its deliveries run on its own routes where employees act as drivers, salespeople and technicians 1. No customer accounted for 10% or more of total sales in fiscal 2024 through 2026 1.

Segments

Water Treatment

This is the largest segment by sales in fiscal 2026, with growth driven mainly by acquisitions and by better pricing on some products 1. It operates from 53 warehouses in 28 states, mostly in the eastern United States 1, and its sales rose 16% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 2.

Food and Health Sciences

The segment supplies ingredients for the nutrition, food, pharmaceutical and agricultural markets, including vitamins, amino acids, minerals and food or pharmaceutical grade salts 1. Sales dipped slightly in fiscal 2026 because of competitive price pressure, but grew again in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 12.

Industrial Solutions

The segment distributes acids and alkalis in bulk, including liquid caustic soda and sulfuric acid, and performs customer blending and repackaging 1. Its revenue is sensitive to raw material prices and to the cycles of its industrial customers 1.

Market context

The company operates in a competitive industry with many producers and distributors, and many competitors are larger with greater financial resources 1. Demand in water treatment is steady but seasonal, with higher sales between April and September 1, while industrial demand depends on economic cycles 1.

Trends

  • Acquisitions in water treatmenttailwind

    The company completed six acquisitions in fiscal 2026 and continued in fiscal 2027 with Symonds and Eagle Labs 123. If integration succeeds, the expansion into Texas and Florida could add revenue and margin.

  • Raw material pricesheadwind

    Raw material costs can rise or fall quickly, and the company does not use hedging instruments, which can affect margins in periods of rising prices 12.

  • Tariffs and fuel costsmixed

    Tariffs led to tariff refunds on some products in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, but higher fuel costs were not fully passed on to customers through freight charges 3.

  • Debt and deleveragingmixed

    Debt rose in fiscal 2026 to fund acquisitions, and in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 the company reduced debt and repurchased stock 13.

Competitive position

Hawkins competes on quality, service and competitive pricing, but many rivals are larger and can offer broader product ranges or wider geographic reach 1. The company relies on long-standing supplier relationships to obtain products when supply is limited 1.

  • Regional chemical producers and distributors

    Competitors offering products equivalent to most of the Hawkins range, often with broader reach 1.

  • Major United States chemical producers

    Suppliers of the company's raw materials that could also become competitors through downstream integration 1.

  • Water treatment product distributors

    Smaller or regional firms, some of which Hawkins has acquired in recent years 12.

  • Food and pharmaceutical ingredient producers

    Compete on price in the Food and Health Sciences segment, where price pressure reduced sales 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 09 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 26 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-29 · SEC / Hawkins, Inc. · 13 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-27 · SEC / Hawkins, Inc. · 26 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hawkins, Inc. · 26 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.