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olivLaw · US equity research

Vestis Corporation VSTS

Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods · SIC 5190 · Vertical: Wholesale — nondurable goods (SIC 51xx)

14.80USD+1.44% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Vestis is one of the largest providers of uniform rentals and workplace supplies in the United States and Canada, with revenue of about $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025. The company is running a multi-year transformation program aimed at improving margins and cash flow, which shows early signs of progress but still faces a flat demand backdrop and energy cost pressure.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Vestis Corporation (VSTS) stock was 14.80 USD (+1.44% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.0 bn USD, dividend yield 0.24%, beta 1.26, 52-week range 5.18–16.50 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 661.7 m USD (−1.8% YoY), net income of 11.0 m USD, diluted EPS 0.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.0 bn USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.05 · TTM to 03 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
-0.31%
TTM to 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.24%
DPS 12m 0.04
Beta (2y)
1.26
Volatility (1y) 54%
52-week range
5.1816.50

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
13.75 – 15.37
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.65 · band width 11.1%
SMA 50 / 200
13.85 / 11.56
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.27 / 0.30
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.6%−1.1%+6.7 pp—
3 months+6.2%−0.5%+6.7 pp—
6 months+60.5%+4.4%+56.1 pp—
Year to date+121.9%+12.3%+109.6 pp—
1 year+196.6%+13.5%+183.1 pp−1.2%
3 years−11.7%+76.4%−88.1 pp+6.6%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.5%
17 Jul 2026 → 01 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.8%
06 Feb 2024 → 17 Sept 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 03 Jul 2026

Revenue
661.7 m USD
−1.8% YoY
Net income
11.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.08
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.7% / 5.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue684.3 m683.8 m665.2 m673.8 m712.0 m663.4 m659.4 m661.7 m
Cost of revenue487.3 m495.3 m490.0 m491.7 m533.2 m492.2 m485.8 m476.3 m
SG&A131.9 m121.2 m147.9 m122.3 m125.9 m120.3 m112.3 m114.9 m
Operating income29.8 m30.4 m-8.6 m25.0 m17.6 m16.6 m26.8 m37.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation35.3 m36.9 m35.9 m34.9 m35.3 m34.3 m34.6 m33.3 m
Pre-tax income-1.3 m1.5 m-34.2 m-749.0 k-10.9 m-8.6 m2.5 m14.3 m
Income tax1.0 m708.0 k-6.4 m-73.0 k1.6 m-2.2 m-85.0 k3.3 m
Net income-2.3 m832.0 k-27.8 m-676.0 k-12.5 m-6.4 m2.6 m11.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.02 ≈0.01-0.21-0.01-0.10 ≈-0.050.020.08
Operating cash flow295.6 m3.8 m6.7 m ≈22.9 m ≈30.9 m37.7 m58.3 m ≈64.9 m ≈
Capex28.1 m14.7 m13.5 m ≈14.9 m ≈15.4 m9.4 m12.7 m ≈18.0 m ≈
Dividends paid4.6 m4.6 m9.2 m ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2022202320242025
Revenue2.7 bn2.8 bn2.8 bn2.7 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+5.1%−0.7%−2.5%
Net income141.7 m213.2 m21.0 m-40.2 m
Net income YoYunavailable+50.5%−90.2%−291.8%
Diluted EPS1.081.630.16-0.31
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+50.9%−90.2%−293.8%
net %5.3%7.5%0.7%-1.5%
Free cash flow156.4 m179.1 m392.9 m5.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 03 Oct 2025

Cash
29.7 m USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
1.1 bn USD
Equity
865.6 m USD
Total assets
2.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.33x
Current ratio
2.08x
ROE
-4.5%
ROA
-1.4%
FCF margin
0.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
855.1 m ≈
2024
815.9 m ≈
2025
724.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025derived

SG&A
2023
500.7 m
2024
517.2 m
2025
517.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
217.9 m
2024
158.0 m
2025
64.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
136.5 m
2024
140.8 m
2025
143.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
354.4 m ≈
2024
298.7 m ≈
2025
207.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
2.1 m
2024
126.6 m
2025
93.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
269.7 m
2024
32.0 m
2025
-44.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
56.6 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
-4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
213.2 m
2024
21.0 m
2025
-40.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.63
2024
0.16
2025
-0.31

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
130.7 m
2024
131.8 m
2025
131.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
0.04
2025
0.04

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
36.1 m
2024
31.0 m
2025
29.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
392.9 m
2024
177.3 m
2025
162.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Inventories
2023
174.7 m
2024
164.9 m
2025
179.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
1.0 bn
2024
813.3 m
2025
850.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
664.5 m
2024
670.9 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Nov 2024verified

Goodwill
2023
963.5 m
2024
963.8 m
2025
961.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
238.6 m
2024
212.8 m
2025
188.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
3.2 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
134.5 m
2024
163.1 m
2025
158.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
26.3 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
395.5 m
2024
456.1 m
2025
409.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
877.4 m †
2024
903.1 m †
2025
865.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
257.0 m
2024
471.8 m
2025
64.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
77.9 m
2024
78.9 m
2025
58.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
179.1 m ≈
2024
392.9 m ≈
2025
5.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-14.7 m
2024
-73.6 m
2025
-19.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-230.3 m
2024
-403.0 m
2025
-46.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
13.8 m
2025
13.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Dec 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-2.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
-59.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-291.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
-293.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-98.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
26.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
-0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROA
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROIC
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROCE
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
191.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
55.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
136.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
81.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
22 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
26 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
27 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
3.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
30.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/FCF
14.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
FCF yield
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 40 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.80 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROE
-0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-2.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 03 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 03 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 561derived 39

Score by group

  • Valuation65
  • Returns40
  • Quality48
  • Balance sheet26
  • Growth5

Estimated value range

Low
4.35
USD per share
Mid
12.73
USD per share
High
21.18
USD per share
Price: 14.80 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -14.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -16.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.46 – 33.65 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)16.15 – 33.65 (Mid 22.43)
    WACC 7.8% · starting FCFF 215.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -11.3%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA4.35 – 21.18 (Mid 12.73)
    17 companies used · median multiple 11.5x · quartiles 6.8x – 16.2x
    ASH, CAH, CAPL, CHEF, COR, DIT, DPZ, HLF, HWKN, MCK, MMLP, NUS, SEB, SYY, UNFI, USFD, UVV
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.46 – 0.62 (Mid 0.53)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — nondurable goods (SIC 51xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 40/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.2%55 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-0.2%36 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.6%5 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.4x11 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.0x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation12.7x47 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuation7.0%87 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet26/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial5/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality48/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation65/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Vestis Corp (VSTS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-03.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -2.5%; net margin -0.2%; ROE -0.6%; net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.

The estimated value range is 4.35–21.18 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 12.73 USD, the price of 14.80 USD leaves a potential of -14.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -16.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 40/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.2x
  • FCF yield: 7.0%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.4x
  • Interest coverage: 1.0x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — nondurable goods (SIC 51xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.4x
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
vertical median 11.5x
above median (+10.1%)
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.3x
above median (+138.4%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+19.1%)
ROE
-0.6%
vertical median 2.2%
below median (−127.8%)
Net margin
-0.2%
vertical median 0.6%
below median (−134.2%)
EBIT margin
3.6%
vertical median 1.0%
above median (+254.5%)
Revenue YoY
-2.5%
vertical median 3.9%
below median (−164.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.4x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+240.6%)
Dividend yield
0.2%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−90.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MCKMcKESSON CORPORATION123.5 bn27.5—1.1%+12.4%+21% / +127%
CORCencora, Inc.67.6 bn26.3104.3%0.8%+9.3%−4% / +74%
CAHCardinal Health, Inc.60.9 bn36.2—0.7%+14.2%+23% / +145%
SYYSysco Corporation37.9 bn20.559.1%2.1%+3.9%+1% / +7%
USFDUs Foods Holding Corp.23.8 bn33.816.4%1.8%+4.1%+40% / +151%
PFGCPerformance Food Group Company17.3 bn43.78.2%0.6%+7.2%+13% / +68%
DPZDomino’s Pizza, Inc.11.2 bn19.3—11.9%+5.0%−19% / −13%
CHEFChefs’ Warehouse, Inc.4.6 bn46.516.2%2.3%+9.4%+74% / +297%
ASHAshland Inc.3.5 bn126.32.8%2.8%−13.7%+44% / −4%
SEBSeaboard Corporation3.3 bn5.910.7%5.3%+7.1%−26% / −2%
HWKNHawkins, Inc.3.2 bn37.916.0%7.5%+11.2%+20% / +154%
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.2.9 bn36.05.3%0.3%−2.0%+29% / +232%
VSTSVestis Corp2.0 bn—-0.6%-0.2%−2.5%+197% / −12%
ANDEAndersons, Inc.1.9 bn9.316.1%1.8%−2.2%+7% / +11%
HLFHerbalife Ltd.1.6 bn9.1—3.4%+0.9%+20% / +19%
GLPGlobal Partners LP1.5 bn7.6—0.9%+8.1%−1% / +19%
UVVUniversal Corporation990.8 m—-0.2%-0.1%−1.3%−25% / −29%
CAPLCrossamerica Partners LP773.8 m16.1—1.2%−10.6%−1% / −15%
WEYSWeyco Group, Inc.616.9 m17.813.8%12.4%−4.9%+116% / +119%
MGPIMgp Ingredients, Inc.364.2 m—-34.5%-51.4%−23.8%−25% / −80%
NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.242.9 m—-32.5%-15.7%−14.3%−50% / −71%
PTLEPTL Limited121.4 m—-24.8%-1.6%−27.0%−30% / unavailable
BANLCbl International Limited80.0 m—-14.0%-0.6%−9.1%−48% / −86%
MMLPMartin Midstream Partners L.P.77.1 m——-1.4%+1.2%−25% / −24%
DITAmcon Distributing Co59.4 m33.11.6%0.1%+3.9%−19% / −48%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VSTS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Vestis is one of the largest providers of uniform rentals and workplace supplies in the United States and Canada, with revenue of about $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025 1. The company is running a multi-year transformation program aimed at improving margins and cash flow, which shows early signs of progress but still faces a flat demand backdrop and energy cost pressure 23.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Recurring revenue from long-term contracts, with a diversified customer base and only a small share of revenue from the ten largest customers 1.
    • An extensive network of facilities and routes covering most large metropolitan areas in the United States and every Canadian province 1.
    • A transformation program with quantified savings and reported progress on productivity and on-time delivery 3.

    Weaknesses

    • A net loss in fiscal 2025 weighed on profitability measures 1.
    • Volume processed declined in the fiscal third quarter of 2026, and customer losses have at times exceeded new business 13.
    • Reliance on a small number of plants in Mexico and on single suppliers for certain materials creates vulnerabilities 1.

    Opportunities

    • Cross-selling restroom and first-aid services to existing customers, who use only part of the full offering 1.
    • Higher route density and network optimization could lower the cost to serve each route 3.
    • If outsourcing continues, new customers in regulated industries and cleanroom segments could be won 1.

    Threats

    • Strong competition from players with large resources could force price cuts and lower profits 1.
    • Rising energy and fuel costs could hurt margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 2.
    • A goodwill impairment could arise if operating performance or the share price keeps declining 12.

    Risks

    • Customer retentionhigh

      Losing customers or failing to renew contracts on comparable terms could hit revenue, especially in periods when new business does not offset losses 1.

    • Transformation executionhigh

      If planned savings do not materialize or restructuring costs exceed estimates, financial results could fall short of expectations 13.

    • Energy and labor costsmedium

      Higher fuel, energy and wage costs could compress margins, particularly if they cannot be reflected in prices 12.

    • Tariffs and supply chainsmedium

      New tariffs and reliance on foreign suppliers and a single production hub in Mexico could raise costs or disrupt deliveries 1.

    • Goodwill impairmentmedium

      Goodwill makes up a substantial part of assets, and a deterioration in performance could lead to significant impairment charges 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the transformation program delivers the announced savings and revenue per pound keeps rising, margins could gradually recover, with a favorable effect on cash flow 23.
    • The recurring revenue model, diversified customer base and wide network provide a stable base that could support profitability even in uncertain periods 1.
    • Solid liquidity and debt reduction could give the company flexibility to invest in its higher-return areas 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • Volume processed has declined, and revenue growth depends on pricing, which could prove hard to sustain if customers push back 3.
    • Competition from larger and better-funded players could limit the ability to raise prices or keep retention rates high 1.
    • Restrictions in the credit agreement on dividends and buybacks could limit options for returning capital to shareholders in the near term 2.

    What to watch

    • Realization of transformation savings and their paceQ4 2026
    • Trend in revenue per pound and volume processedQ4 2026
    • Debt reduction and the leverage threshold that would allow dividends or buybacks to resume2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Vestis rents uniforms, mats, towels, linens, restroom supplies, first-aid supplies and safety products, delivered weekly over its own routes. The company serves more than 300000 customer accounts, from small family businesses to national corporations, and about 95% of its revenue comes from recurring rental contracts 1. Vestis was spun off from Aramark on September 30, 2023 and trades on the NYSE under the symbol VSTS 1.

    Since the start of fiscal 2026, the company has been in a transformation phase focused on operational efficiency, commercial discipline and asset and network optimization, with the aim of lowering costs and raising margins 23.

    Segments

    United States

    The US segment is the dominant part of the business, at about 91% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1. Most of the plant network and delivery routes sit here 1.

    Canada

    The Canadian segment is smaller, but in the fiscal third quarter of 2026 it reported year-over-year revenue growth, pointing to a positive dynamic there 3.

    Linens and workplace supplies

    Floor mats, towels, linens and restroom services complement the uniform offering and are usually delivered on the same weekly visits, which supports cross-selling to existing customers 1.

    Market context

    The uniform and workplace supply market in the United States and Canada is fragmented and locally oriented, and demand depends on macroeconomic conditions, employment levels and standards for workplace hygiene and safety 1. The trend toward outsourcing non-core operations remains the main structural driver, though the company warns that outsourcing is not assured over the long term 1.

    Demand is relatively diversified across industries, which reduces exposure to any single sector cycle, but sensitivity to headcount and work volumes among the company's customers remains high 12.

    Trends

    • Transformation and cost reductiontailwind

      The transformation plan targets annualized operating cost savings of at least 75 million dollars, and in the fiscal third quarter of 2026 the company reported gains in plant productivity and on-time delivery 3. If the savings materialize in full, margins could improve meaningfully 23.

    • Higher energy and fuel pricesheadwind

      Tensions in the Middle East have raised energy and fuel costs, and the company introduced an energy surcharge to partly offset the impact 2. If prices stay high, operating costs could rise faster than revenue 2.

    • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

      New tariffs and trade measures can raise the cost of imported materials and finished goods, especially for garments made abroad 1. The company could be forced to raise prices, which might weaken its competitiveness 1.

    • More favorable pricing and product mixmixed

      In the fiscal third quarter of 2026, revenue per pound rose while cost per pound stayed flat, a sign that pricing and customer segmentation are starting to work 3. However, volume processed fell, which shows the benefit is partly offset 3.

    Competitive position

    The market is highly competitive, with national players that have large financial resources and regional and local suppliers that enjoy strong customer loyalty 1. Competition runs on price, design, product quality and service quality, and rental uniforms are a price-sensitive service 1.

    Vestis considers itself the second largest provider in the industry in the United States and Canada, behind the market leader, thanks to scale, route density and access to talent 1. Many businesses, however, produce uniforms or supplies in-house, which limits the outsourcing opportunity 1.

    • Cintas CorporationCTAS

      The main competitor of comparable size, named explicitly by the company in uniforms and workplace supplies 1.

    • UniFirst CorporationUNF

      The second notable competitor of significant size, active in the same North American market 1.

    • Regional and local suppliers

      Numerous smaller players that benefit from local loyalty and can compete on price 1.

    • In-house providers

      Customers that manage their own uniforms and supplies represent an indirect form of competition 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-03 · SEC / Vestis Corporation · 02 Dec 2025
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / Vestis Corporation · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Vestis Corporation · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.