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olivLaw · US equity research

Hyster-Yale, Inc. HY

Industrial Trucks, Tractors, Trailors & Stackers · SIC 3537 · Vertical: Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 353x)

30.02USD+2.70% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hyster-Yale designs, manufactures and services lift trucks under the Hyster, Yale and Nuvera brands, plus attachments through Bolzoni, sold mainly through independent dealers. The company is passing through a demand downturn: revenues fell 12.5% in fiscal 2025 and 15.0% in Q2 2026, while bookings rose for a fourth consecutive quarter.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) stock was 30.02 USD (+2.70% on the day), with market capitalisation 0 USD, dividend yield 4.81%, beta 1.18, 52-week range 26.49–40.47 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 812.9 m USD (−15.0% YoY), net income of -31.6 m USD, diluted EPS -1.76 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
0 USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2012
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -6.56 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-21.86%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
4.81%
DPS 12m 1.45
Beta (2y)
1.18
Volatility (1y) 51%
52-week range
26.4940.47

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
48.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
27.27 – 32.45
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.53 · band width 17.3%
SMA 50 / 200
31.80 / 34.31
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.74 / -0.88
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−6.0%−1.1%−4.9 pp—
3 months−25.8%−0.5%−25.4 pp—
6 months−18.6%+4.4%−23.0 pp—
Year to date+1.0%+12.3%−11.3 pp—
1 year−13.1%+13.5%−26.7 pp+15.0%
3 years−31.3%+76.4%−107.7 pp+26.4%
5 years−32.0%+63.7%−95.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.1%
05 Aug 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−67.6%
31 Jul 2024 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
812.9 m USD
−15.0% YoY
Net income
-31.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.76
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-3.9% / -2.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.0 bn1.1 bn910.4 m956.6 m979.1 m923.2 m795.2 m812.9 m
Cost of revenue823.2 m859.9 m732.7 m788.4 m823.2 m792.2 m670.4 m685.3 m
Gross profit192.9 m207.6 m177.7 m168.2 m155.9 m131.0 m124.8 m127.6 m
SG&A158.6 m153.9 m156.2 m161.0 m152.6 m146.7 m151.2 m144.3 m
Operating income33.1 m32.3 m21.3 m-8.5 m2.3 m-37.2 m-28.0 m-18.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.7 m11.8 m11.0 m11.8 m11.3 m11.7 m11.3 m10.9 m
Interest expense8.4 m7.7 m7.7 m7.9 m8.0 m7.6 m7.2 m7.8 m
Pre-tax income28.1 m24.0 m16.8 m-13.2 m-4.6 m-41.9 m-32.1 m-23.2 m
Income tax10.3 m13.3 m8.1 m200.0 k-2.9 m9.7 m-1.8 m8.1 m
Net income17.2 m10.3 m8.6 m-13.9 m-2.3 m-52.5 m-30.5 m-31.6 m
Diluted EPS0.970.58 ≈0.48-0.79-0.13-2.96 ≈-1.71-1.76
Operating cash flow70.1 m ≈80.7 m-36.4 m28.9 m ≈37.1 m ≈56.5 m-32.9 m16.7 m ≈
Capex10.2 m ≈17.9 m10.6 m13.8 m ≈14.5 m ≈23.6 m9.8 m14.7 m ≈
Dividends paid6.1 m ≈6.1 m6.2 m6.4 m ≈6.3 m ≈6.5 m6.4 m6.6 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈-23.1 m4.5 m-100.0 k ≈100.0 k ≈-9.0 m700.0 k0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.2 bn3.3 bn2.8 bn3.1 bn3.5 bn4.1 bn4.3 bn3.8 bn
Revenue YoY+10.2%+3.5%−14.6%+9.4%+15.4%+16.1%+4.6%−12.5%
Net income34.7 m35.8 m37.1 m-173.0 m-74.1 m125.9 m142.3 m-60.1 m
Net income YoY−28.6%+3.2%+3.6%−566.3%unavailableunavailable+13.0%−142.2%
Diluted EPS2.092.142.21-10.29-4.387.248.04-3.40
Diluted EPS YoY−28.9%+2.4%+3.3%−565.6%unavailableunavailable+11.0%−142.3%
net %1.1%1.1%1.3%-5.6%-2.1%3.1%3.3%-1.6%
Free cash flow28.8 m27.0 m115.2 m-297.8 m11.8 m115.3 m122.9 m23.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
123.2 m USD
Financial debt
715.8 m USD
Net debt
592.6 m USD
Equity
476.3 m USD
Total assets
2.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.50x
Current ratio
1.34x
ROE
-12.6%
ROA
-3.0%
FCF margin
0.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
785.6 m
2024
895.5 m
2025
632.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
119.7 m
2024
135.9 m
2025
137.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
576.9 m
2024
628.1 m
2025
616.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
208.7 m
2024
244.8 m
2025
-22.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
45.1 m
2024
47.6 m
2025
45.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
253.8 m ≈
2024
292.4 m ≈
2025
23.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
37.3 m
2024
33.8 m
2025
31.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
181.0 m
2024
219.0 m
2025
-42.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
52.9 m
2024
74.8 m
2025
15.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
125.9 m
2024
142.3 m
2025
-60.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.24
2024
8.04
2025
-3.40

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
17.4 m
2024
17.7 m
2025
17.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.30
2024
1.38
2025
1.43

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
78.8 m
2024
96.6 m
2025
123.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
497.5 m
2024
488.4 m
2025
489.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
815.7 m
2024
754.3 m
2025
634.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
313.9 m
2024
306.7 m
2025
329.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
53.3 m
2024
54.6 m
2025
55.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
39.3 m
2024
33.1 m
2025
32.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
523.5 m
2024
447.8 m
2025
396.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
252.7 m
2024
198.8 m
2025
242.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
241.3 m
2024
241.9 m
2025
473.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
392.0 m
2024
479.2 m
2025
476.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
150.7 m
2024
170.7 m
2025
86.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
35.4 m
2024
47.8 m
2025
62.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
115.3 m ≈
2024
122.9 m ≈
2025
23.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-34.5 m
2024
-47.6 m
2025
-62.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-100.5 m
2024
-100.1 m
2025
-800.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
22.3 m
2024
24.0 m
2025
25.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
-14.0 m
2025
-4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-109.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-142.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-142.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-80.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-25.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
174.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
549.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-2.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
77.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
62.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
14.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
52 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
86 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
84 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
549.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-21.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
unavailable
insufficient data
Dividend yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
insufficient data

Risk

Altman Z
2.01
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

30.02 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 0 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-25.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 2561derived 185

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
18.79
USD per share
Mid
21.56
USD per share
High
25.27
USD per share
Price: 30.02 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -28.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -39.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 18.79 – 25.27 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)18.79 – 25.27 (Mid 21.56)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 353x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-6.8%15 (vs peers)26%
Net margin · Quality-3.3%15 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth2.0%17 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.7x0 (on a fixed band)16%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x40 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns174.3%0 (on a fixed band)11%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet16/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial17/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality15/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

HYSTER-YALE, INC. (HY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -12.5%; net margin -3.3%; ROE -25.0%.

The estimated value range is 18.79–25.27 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 21.56 USD, the price of 30.02 USD leaves a potential of -28.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -39.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -6.8%
  • Net margin: -3.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 2.0%
  • Interest coverage: -2.7x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 174.3%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial machinery and computer equipment (SIC 353x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 27 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 28.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 9.9x
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−100.0%)
P/B
0.0x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−100.0%)
ROE
-25.0%
vertical median 4.5%
below median (−654.7%)
Net margin
-3.3%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−225.9%)
EBIT margin
-2.3%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−137.0%)
Revenue YoY
-12.5%
vertical median 4.4%
below median (−385.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.8x
Dividend yield
4.8%
vertical median 1.2%
above median (+296.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CATCaterpillar Inc270.6 bn23.256.1%15.2%+4.3%+3% / +136%
BKRBaker Hughes Company49.5 bn17.115.1%10.1%−0.3%−1% / +48%
DOVDOVER Corp28.3 bn24.815.2%13.6%+4.5%+15% / +51%
FTITechnipFMC plc25.1 bn20.338.6%12.0%+9.4%+43% / +211%
CNHCnh Industrial N.V.14.5 bn47.04.0%1.7%−8.8%+24% / +9%
TEXTerex Corporation6.5 bn29.05.7%2.6%+5.7%+25% / +16%
NOVNov Inc.6.4 bn45.22.3%1.6%−1.4%+17% / −4%
WFRDWeatherford International plc6.2 bn15.323.0%8.6%−10.8%+15% / −5%
WHDCactus, Inc.4.3 bn23.614.7%12.0%−4.5%+35% / +37%
DNOWDnow Inc.2.8 bn—-12.4%-4.9%+18.8%+10% / +54%
INVXInnovex International, Inc.1.8 bn37.14.5%4.8%+48.0%+16% / +15%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.904.9 m46.42.9%1.3%+8.1%−11% / +26%
AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AG902.5 m41.03.6%1.1%+40.6%−2% / unavailable
PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc879.7 m13.822.2%8.7%+15.4%+18% / +40%
FETForum Energy Technologies, Inc.845.3 m28.89.8%3.5%−3.1%+135% / +238%
MTWThe Manitowoc Company, Inc.837.7 m32.63.8%1.1%+2.9%+106% / +62%
CMCOColumbus McKinnon Corporation537.7 m—-30.8%-19.6%+23.9%+13% / −47%
OISOil States International, Inc510.2 m—-16.8%-16.5%−3.4%+35% / +24%
OMSEOMS Energy Technologies Inc.167.2 m3.343.5%22.0%unavailable−16% / unavailable
LSELeishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd.75.4 m55.42.9%2.6%−30.0%−14% / unavailable
DTIDrilling Tools International Corporation52.9 m—-2.5%-2.0%+3.4%−38% / −56%
STAKSTAK Inc.27.5 m71.52.9%1.5%+13.2%+202% / unavailable
GPUSHyperscale Data, Inc.247.1 k—-159.8%-71.0%−4.3%−89% / −100%
GENCGencor Industries, Inc.——6.9%13.5%+2.0%+31% / +17%
HYHyster-Yale, Inc.——-25.0%-3.3%−12.5%−13% / −31%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Hyster-Yale designs, manufactures and services lift trucks under the Hyster, Yale and Nuvera brands, plus attachments through Bolzoni, sold mainly through independent dealers. The company is passing through a demand downturn: revenues fell 12.5% in fiscal 2025 1 and 15.0% in Q2 2026 2, while bookings rose for a fourth consecutive quarter.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company is one of the industry leaders, with a large dealer network and strong brands 1.
    • The portfolio spans lift trucks, attachments, parts and services, diversifying revenue 1.
    • Rising bookings and a significant backlog provide visibility into future production 2.

    Weaknesses

    • The company reported operating losses and sharp revenue declines in fiscal 2025 and Q2 2026 12.
    • Debt rose relative to earnings, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA stayed elevated 2.
    • The company depends on a limited number of suppliers for critical components 1.

    Opportunities

    • If demand recovers, lower-intensity products and cost programs could improve margins 2.
    • Tariff recoveries and cost reduction could support results if they persist 2.
    • Energy solutions and fleet management could create recurring revenue 1.

    Threats

    • Tariffs and trade restrictions could reduce demand and profitability 1.
    • Industry cyclicality can delay customer purchases during economic uncertainty 1.
    • Competitors with lower costs or greater resources could gain market share 1.

    Risks

    • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

      Tariffs and trade policy changes can raise costs and reduce demand, and refunds may take a long time 1.

    • Cyclical demandhigh

      Demand depends on customer capital spending and economic activity, and delayed orders can hit revenue 1.

    • Supplier dependencemedium

      Critical components come from a limited number of suppliers, and disruptions can reduce production 1.

    • Liquidity and debtmedium

      If cash flow declines, the company could be forced to cut production or investment 12.

    • Product defectslow

      Design or manufacturing defects can lead to claims, recalls and reputational harm 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • The restructuring program and better pricing could improve margins if demand recovers 2.
    • Diversification into parts, services and energy offers steadier revenue than truck sales alone 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenues fell 12.5% in fiscal 2025 and 15.0% in Q2 2026, and operating losses persist 12.
    • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could keep pressuring costs and margins 12.
    • High debt and liquidity pressure could limit investment capacity 2.

    What to watch

    • Bookings and backlog trendQ3 2026
    • Effect of IEEPA tariff recoveries on profit2026
    • Delivery of the 40-45 mil USD annualized restructuring benefit2026
    • Net debt level and ratio to adjusted EBITDAnext 10-Q

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Hyster-Yale, Inc. is a global company headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, that designs, manufactures and services a full line of lift trucks, attachments, parts, fleet management services and technology and energy solutions 1. Its main brands are Hyster, Yale and Nuvera, sold mainly through independent dealers in 111 countries 1. Bolzoni S.p.A. produces precision lift truck attachments 1.

    Segments

    Lift trucks (Americas, EMEA, JAPIC)

    The lift truck business generated 3569.3 mil USD in fiscal 2025, down 13.3% 1. Americas is the largest segment, with 2815.9 mil USD of revenues in 2025 1. The former Nuvera segment was merged into Americas in 2025 1.

    Market context

    The lift truck market is cyclical and tied to economic activity, and customers delay purchases during uncertainty 1. Hyster-Yale bookings reached 1840 mil USD in 2025, versus 1670 mil USD in 2024 1. Management expects the first half of 2026 to be the bottom of the current cycle 2.

    Trends

    • US tariffsmixed

      Tariffs raised material costs, and the company incurred about 100 mil USD of tariff-related costs in 2025 1. In February 2026 the US Supreme Court ruled IEEPA tariffs unauthorized, and the company recognized recoveries in Q2 2026 12. The final impact remains uncertain.

    • Shift to lower-intensity productsmixed

      Customers are moving toward lighter, lower-priced models, which reduces revenue from traditional models, though the new products have gained acceptance 2.

    • Expected second-half demand recoverytailwind

      Rising bookings and a backlog of about five months of production could support a recovery in the second half of 2026 2.

    • Cost and liquidity pressureheadwind

      Material costs, supply chains and high debt could limit financial flexibility, especially if profitability stays weak 12.

    Competitive position

    Hyster-Yale competes with several global lift truck manufacturers and niche companies, on dealer strength, brand loyalty, service, price and cost of ownership 1. Competition also comes from automated warehouse systems and alternative power suppliers 1. Bolzoni faces a few global attachment manufacturers 1.

    • Global lift truck manufacturers

      Competitors active in all major markets that may have lower manufacturing costs or greater financial resources 1.

    • Niche companies

      Smaller players competing in specialized lift truck and attachment segments 1.

    • Global attachment manufacturers

      A few global producers of lift truck attachments active in all major markets 1.

    • Automated storage system providers

      Automated warehouses, conveyor systems and guided vehicles that compete with lift trucks 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 08 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 15 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report15 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report06 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
    • Current report04 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report14 May 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Current report06 May 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 May 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report05 May 2026

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hyster-Yale, Inc. · 03 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Hyster-Yale, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hyster-Yale, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.