olivLaw · US equity research
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. KGEI
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · SIC 1311 · Vertical: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)
At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) stock was 5.40 USD (−7.06% on the day), with market capitalisation 191.5 m USD, P/E 12.6 on diluted EPS of 0.43 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.34, 52-week range 3.38–7.30 USD.
Data as of · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.
Price history
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Technical reading
- RSI (14)
- 28.6
- oversold (≤ 30)
- Bollinger (20, 2)
- 5.75 – 7.69
- below the lower band · %B -0.18 · band width 28.8%
- SMA 50 / 200
- 6.53 / 5.40
- mixed trend
- MACD (12, 26, 9)
- -0.09 / 0.09
- MACD below signal
Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).
Performance
| Company | S&P 500 | vs S&P 500 | Vertical median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −15.1% | −5.9% | −9.1 pp | — |
| 3 months | +5.9% | −4.6% | +10.5 pp | — |
| 6 months | +2.9% | +0.2% | +2.6 pp | — |
| Year to date | +37.4% | +7.4% | +30.0 pp | — |
| 1 year | +29.2% | +8.2% | +21.0 pp | +13.3% |
| 3 years | +22.7% | +68.4% | −45.7 pp | −4.6% |
| 5 years | +575.0% | +56.5% | +518.5 pp | — |
Price returns, dividends excluded.
Quarterly results
ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).
E/P over time
E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.
Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 4-quarter history (min 6.4, median 8.1, max 10.6; quarters with earnings only).
Fiscal years
| Fiscal year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 37.6 m | 50.6 m | 58.7 m | 57.4 m |
| Revenue YoY | unavailable | +34.6% | +15.9% | −2.1% |
| Net income | 16.6 m | 19.3 m | 18.1 m | 15.5 m |
| Net income YoY | unavailable | +15.8% | −6.0% | −14.6% |
| Diluted EPS | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| Diluted EPS YoY | unavailable | +15.2% | −5.7% | −14.0% |
| net % | 44.3% | 38.1% | 30.9% | 27.0% |
| Free cash flow | -15.1 m | -14.5 m | 7.6 m | -21.1 m |
Reported results vs expectations
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Balance sheet & financial health
Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025
- Cash
- 2.8 m USD
- Financial debt
- 48.8 m USD
- Net debt
- 46.0 m USD
- Equity
- 203.9 m USD
- Total assets
- 293.9 m USD
- Debt / equity
- 0.24x
- Current ratio
- 0.49x
- ROE
- 7.9%
- ROA
- 5.7%
- FCF margin
- -36.8%
Financial statements (source on every figure)
Revenue and net income (USD)
Margins
Income statement · USD
| Line | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 37.6 m | 50.6 m | 58.7 m | 57.4 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 7.6 m | 15.0 m | 15.9 m | 17.0 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Interest expense | 5.2 m | 3.8 m | 4.2 m | 3.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Pre-tax income | 16.6 m | 22.6 m | 24.0 m | 20.3 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Income tax | — | 3.4 m | 5.9 m | 4.9 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Net income | 16.6 m | 19.3 m | 18.1 m | 15.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Diluted EPS | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.43 | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Weighted average diluted shares | 36.0 k | 36.5 k | 36.2 k | 36.3 k | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
Balance sheet · USD
| Line | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1.0 m | 598.0 k | 4.3 m | 2.8 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Receivables | 5.8 m | 5.5 m | 9.7 m | 8.1 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Current assets | 7.5 m | 6.9 m | 15.0 m | 12.0 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Property, plant & equipment, net | 176.6 m | 216.2 m | 233.0 m | 280.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Total assets | 184.1 m | 224.4 m | 248.8 m | 293.9 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Accounts payable | 12.6 m | 17.6 m | 15.1 m | 23.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Short-term debt | 17.8 m | 29.6 m | 33.2 m | 48.8 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Current liabilities | 14.0 m | 18.8 m | 15.7 m | 24.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Total liabilities | 33.9 m | 53.9 m | 60.0 m | 90.1 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Equity | 150.2 m | 170.4 m | 188.8 m | 203.9 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Shares outstanding at year end | — | 35.6 m | 35.5 m | 35.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
Cash flow · USD
| Line | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | 22.0 m | 38.6 m | 38.9 m | 41.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Capex | 37.1 m | 53.2 m | 31.3 m | 62.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Free cash flow | -15.1 m ≈ | -14.5 m ≈ | 7.6 m ≈ | -21.1 m ≈ | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived |
| Investing cash flow | -29.2 m | -49.9 m | -36.2 m | -55.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
| Financing cash flow | 922.0 k | 10.8 m | 1.0 m | 12.1 m | SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified |
≈ computed by olivLaw from the reported lines of the same year: Operating cash flow − Capex.
Computed indicators
Growth
Profitability
Returns
Balance sheet
Liquidity
Cash
Efficiency
Market and valuation
Risk
Valuation
olivLaw classification
- score weight coverage: 52.1% of at least 60%
A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.
Closing price
05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series
Market cap: 191.5 m USD
Key indicators
Coverage and freshness
Score by group
52% · Insufficient data
Estimated value range
The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.06 – 4.58 USD.
Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.
Method ranges (USD per share)
— — Mid · ▏ Price
Valuation methods
- DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
- Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
- Peers: P/E3.06 – 4.58 (Mid 3.65)19 companies used · median multiple 8.5x · quartiles 7.1x – 10.7xAMPY, APA, CHRD, CKX, CRK, DEC, DVN, EOG, EQT, EXE, GPOR, KRP, MTDR, OVV, OXY, PR, SD, SM, WDS
- Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.
Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)
- Risk-free rate
- 4.3%
- Equity risk premium
- 5.0%
- Beta (default)
- 1.00
- Cost of equity
- 9.3%
- Terminal growth
- 2.5%
Factor scorecard
Insufficient data
Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 52.1% of at least 60%
| Factor | Value | Score | Weight used |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROIC · Quality | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Net margin · Quality | 27.0% | 79 (vs peers) | 12% |
| FCF conversion · Quality | -136.4% | 0 (on a fixed band) | 12% |
| Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth | 15.2% | 100 (on a fixed band) | 16% |
| EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth | -2.2% | 0 (on a fixed band) | 16% |
| Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Interest coverage · Balance sheet | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Current ratio · Balance sheet | 0.5x | 0 (on a fixed band) | 8% |
| P/E (TTM) · Valuation | 12.6x | 23 (vs peers) | 20% |
| EV/EBITDA · Valuation | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| FCF yield · Valuation | -11.0% | 0 (on a fixed band) | 16% |
| Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns | unavailable | unavailable | — |
Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.
Score groups
- Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
- Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
- Quality39/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
- Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
- Valuation13/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.
Memo
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.
Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 57.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -2.1%; net margin 27.0%; ROE 7.9%.
The estimated value range is 3.06–4.58 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 3.65 USD, the price of 5.40 USD leaves a potential of -32.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -48.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.
Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 52.1% of at least 60%).
Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.
What supports the thesis
- Net margin: 27.0%
- Revenue CAGR 3Y: 15.2%
What contradicts it
- FCF conversion: -136.4%
- EPS CAGR 3Y: -2.2%
- Current ratio: 0.5x
- P/E (TTM): 12.6x
- FCF yield: -11.0%
- The price is above the estimated value range
Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).
Versus the vertical median
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies
Multiples and returns vs the median
Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)
Companies in the vertical
| Market cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Revenue YoY | 1A / 3A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHELShell plc | 569.7 bn | 31.9 | 10.1% | 6.7% | −6.1% | +36% / +52% |
| EOGEog Resources, Inc. | 75.1 bn | 9.4 | 25.8% | 27.5% | −4.5% | +34% / +18% |
| OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 56.3 bn | 8.5 | 18.9% | 33.7% | −1.9% | +34% / −5% |
| FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc. | 50.1 bn | 24.5 | 5.3% | 11.0% | +35.8% | +18% / +16% |
| DVNDevon Energy Corp | 47.2 bn | 10.2 | 11.5% | 16.7% | +7.8% | +16% / −5% |
| WDSWoodside Energy Group Ltd | 40.8 bn | 15.1 | 7.6% | 20.9% | −1.5% | +31% / +5% |
| EQTEqt Corporation | 31.7 bn | 12.0 | 10.9% | 28.4% | +63.9% | −17% / +27% |
| EXEExpand Energy Corporation | 19.7 bn | 7.4 | 14.6% | 19.8% | +186.3% | −30% / +6% |
| PRPermian Resources Corporation | 17.9 bn | 11.1 | 14.3% | 25.0% | +1.3% | +47% / +62% |
| OVVOvintiv Inc. | 16.4 bn | 12.3 | 12.1% | 12.8% | −2.7% | +49% / +37% |
| APAApa Corporation | 14.6 bn | 7.1 | 33.0% | — | unavailable | +74% / +21% |
| CHRDChord Energy Corporation | 7.0 bn | 8.3 | 11.0% | 13.4% | −7.1% | +41% / −18% |
| SMSm Energy Co | 7.0 bn | 7.2 | 15.0% | 13.7% | +17.2% | +56% / −21% |
| MTDRMatador Resources Company | 6.2 bn | 8.6 | 12.8% | 19.9% | +5.5% | +18% / −14% |
| CRKComstock Resources, Inc. | 3.9 bn | 9.2 | 16.9% | 19.8% | +77.0% | −50% / +35% |
| GPORGulfport Energy Corp | 2.7 bn | 6.0 | 25.9% | 31.7% | +48.5% | −30% / +13% |
| TALOTalos Energy Inc. | 2.4 bn | — | -18.1% | -18.4% | −9.8% | +28% / +5% |
| KOSKosmos Energy Ltd. | 1.3 bn | — | -58.8% | -27.4% | −23.1% | +96% / −68% |
| DECDiversified Energy Company | 905.2 m | 16.0 | 11.0% | 4.9% | +141.5% | −15% / +1,373% |
| TXOTXO Partners, L.P. | 703.1 m | — | — | -20.5% | +41.8% | +2% / −31% |
| AESIAtlas Energy Solutions Inc. | 666.4 m | — | -12.1% | -13.0% | +3.7% | −38% / −69% |
| EGYVaalco Energy Inc | 565.9 m | — | -24.4% | -31.1% | −25.0% | +50% / +16% |
| SDSandridge Energy, Inc. | 468.3 m | 4.8 | 18.4% | 50.1% | +24.8% | −11% / −9% |
| KRPKimbell Royalty Partners, LP | 403.4 m | 4.2 | — | 27.8% | +7.9% | +21% / −2% |
| GTEGran Tierra Energy Inc. | 332.2 m | — | -97.9% | -40.0% | −4.0% | +107% / +48% |
1- and 3-year price returns: for KGEI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.
olivLaw engine forecast
The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.
The engine has no published run for this company yet.
Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)
Illustrative scenarios
Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.
Estimated price (USD)
| Estimated price | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 years | 3.58 Total return -34% · Per year -34% | 6.30 Total return 17% · Per year 17% | 9.45 Total return 75% · Per year 75% |
| 3 years | 4.25 Total return -21% · Per year -8% | 8.33 Total return 54% · Per year 16% | 13.61 Total return 152% · Per year 36% |
| 5 years | 5.04 Total return -7% · Per year -1% | 11.02 Total return 104% · Per year 15% | 19.60 Total return 263% · Per year 29% |
- Exit P/E± 2.08
- Net margin± 1.46
- Annual revenue growth± 1.09
- Annual dilution± 0.12
AI analysis
The qualitative analysis has not been written for this company yet.
Products, market & competition
The qualitative analysis has not been written for this company yet.
Links, dependencies and risks
Who the company is tied to, from its own SEC filings (customers, suppliers, production, partners, competitors, countries, regulation), from the 5 %+ holders' statements (13D/13G) and from what other companies say about it. Click a node for its evidence; on a listed company the graph moves to it.
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News & filings
In the press
No news in our archive over the last 180 days.
SEC filings
- Current report (foreign issuer)15 Oct 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)21 Sept 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)13 Aug 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)29 Jun 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)14 May 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)11 May 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)05 May 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)13 Apr 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)13 Apr 2026
- Current report (foreign issuer)30 Mar 2026
Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.