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olivLaw · US equity research

TG Therapeutics, Inc. TGTX

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

61.63USD+1.45% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotechnology company focused on treatments for B-cell diseases, whose lead product BRIUMVI is approved for relapsing multiple sclerosis. The company is now in a phase where U.S. sales are growing quickly, and its 2026 guidance has been raised to a level of over 950 million USD in total global revenue.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, TG Therapeutics, Inc. (TGTX) stock was 61.63 USD (+1.45% on the day), with market capitalisation 9.4 bn USD, P/E 22.5 on diluted EPS of 2.74 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.65, 52-week range 26.94–61.63 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 240.3 m USD (+70.3% YoY), net income of 7.8 m USD (−72.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
9.4 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5
Diluted EPS TTM 2.74 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.45%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.65
Volatility (1y) 45%
52-week range
26.9461.63

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
68.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
50.57 – 61.55
above the upper band · %B 1.01 · band width 19.6%
SMA 50 / 200
55.66 / 44.26
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.54 / 0.75
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+14.3%−1.1%+15.4 pp—
3 months+23.6%−0.5%+24.0 pp—
6 months+46.8%+4.4%+42.5 pp—
Year to date+106.7%+12.3%+94.4 pp—
1 year+82.3%+13.5%+68.7 pp+10.9%
3 years+457.2%+76.4%+380.8 pp+10.8%
5 years+73.6%+63.7%+9.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.8%
09 Jul 2026 → 03 Aug 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−89.3%
08 Nov 2021 → 16 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
240.3 m USD
+70.3% YoY
Net income
7.8 m USD
−72.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.05
−70.6% YoY
net / operating
3.2% / 9.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue83.9 m108.2 m120.9 m141.1 m161.7 m192.6 m204.9 m240.3 m
Cost of revenue9.3 m15.4 m15.5 m18.9 m28.1 m38.1 m33.5 m41.2 m
Research & development20.1 m23.9 m46.4 m31.8 m40.9 m41.2 m48.4 m95.3 m
SG&A42.0 m39.0 m50.3 m55.6 m63.4 m62.7 m88.2 m82.1 m
Operating income12.4 m29.9 m8.6 m34.8 m29.4 m50.5 m34.8 m21.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.0 k ≈9.0 k8.0 k13.0 k ≈17.0 k ≈21.0 k32.0 k53.0 k ≈
Interest expense10.8 m7.1 m6.8 m6.7 m6.7 m6.5 m7.7 m16.6 m
Pre-tax income4.3 m25.5 m5.5 m30.9 m25.9 m45.1 m20.4 m10.2 m
Income tax388.0 k2.1 m408.0 k2.7 m-365.0 m22.1 m586.0 k2.5 m
Net income3.9 m23.3 m5.1 m28.2 m390.9 m23.0 m19.8 m7.8 m
Diluted EPS0.020.15 ≈0.030.172.430.14 ≈0.120.05
Operating cash flow-12.2 m ≈-25.6 m-28.7 m7.4 m ≈-23.2 m ≈19.7 m-17.9 m39.3 m ≈
Capex24.0 k ≈21.0 k25.0 k42.0 k ≈80.0 k ≈67.0 k51.0 k293.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 40 percentile of its own 10-quarter history (min 10.7, median 48.0, max 968.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue152.0 k152.0 k152.0 k6.7 m2.8 m233.7 m329.0 m616.3 m
Revenue YoY0.0%0.0%0.0%+4,300.7%−58.4%+8,290.0%+40.8%+87.3%
Net income-173.5 m-172.9 m-279.4 m-348.1 m-223.8 m12.7 m23.4 m447.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+84.5%+1,812.4%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-2.42-2.63-1.650.090.152.77
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+66.7%+1,746.7%
net %-114,132.9%-113,730.9%-183,803.3%-5,204.1%-8,036.3%5.4%7.1%72.6%
Free cash flow-129.0 m-132.9 m-214.9 m-296.0 m-176.2 m-31.4 m-40.6 m-25.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
79.1 m USD
Financial debt
245.6 m USD
Net debt
166.5 m USD
Equity
648.0 m USD
Total assets
1.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
4.10x
ROE
102.8%
ROA
54.5%
FCF margin
-4.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
233.7 m
2024
329.0 m
2025
616.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
14.1 m
2024
38.5 m
2025
100.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
219.5 m ≈
2024
290.5 m ≈
2025
515.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
76.2 m
2024
94.3 m
2025
160.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
122.7 m
2024
154.3 m
2025
232.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
20.6 m
2024
41.9 m
2025
123.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
211.0 k
2024
68.0 k
2025
59.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
20.8 m ≈
2024
42.0 m ≈
2025
123.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
12.6 m
2024
24.0 m
2025
26.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
13.1 m
2024
25.6 m
2025
107.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
390.0 k
2024
2.2 m
2025
-339.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
12.7 m
2024
23.4 m
2025
447.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.09
2024
0.15
2025
2.77

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
148.5 m
2024
160.3 m
2025
161.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
92.9 m
2024
179.9 m
2025
79.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
51.1 m
2024
129.2 m
2025
305.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
39.8 m
2024
110.5 m
2025
125.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
317.9 m
2024
566.4 m
2025
630.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
95.0 k
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Goodwill
2023
799.0 k
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Total assets
2023
329.6 m
2024
577.7 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
38.5 m
2024
58.3 m
2025
107.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2023verified

Long-term debt
2023
100.1 m
2024
244.4 m
2025
245.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
53.7 m
2024
90.7 m
2025
153.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
169.1 m
2024
355.3 m
2025
415.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
160.5 m †
2024
222.4 m †
2025
648.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-31.4 m
2024
-40.5 m
2025
-24.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
0
2024
45.0 k
2025
214.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-31.4 m ≈
2024
-40.6 m ≈
2025
-25.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-50.7 m
2024
-1.0 m
2025
13.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
72.7 m
2024
128.5 m
2025
-89.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
87.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
504.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
426.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
194.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
1,812.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
1,746.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
82.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
55.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
100.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
37.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
18.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
262.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
17.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
491.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
17.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
145 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
393 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
450 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
87 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
9.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
9.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
15.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
11.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
71.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
71.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
12.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
542.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

61.63 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 9.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
9.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
15.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
71.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
100.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
55.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
87.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1689derived 128

Score by group

  • Balance sheet47
  • Growth100
  • Valuation31
  • Quality64

Estimated value range

Low
8.76
USD per share
Mid
12.94
USD per share
High
18.57
USD per share
Price: 61.63 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -79.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -376.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.75 – 119.77 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)3.75 – 6.81 (Mid 4.93)
    WACC 9.0% · starting FCFF 48.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA8.76 – 18.57 (Mid 12.94)
    4 companies used · median multiple 16.4x · quartiles 11.8x – 22.8x
    BHC, TEVA, VRTX, VTRS
  • Peers: P/E39.35 – 119.77 (Mid 80.00)
    14 companies used · median multiple 29.1x · quartiles 14.3x – 43.6x
    ABBV, ABT, ALNY, ANAB, BMY, JNJ, LLY, PFE, QTTB, REGN, RPRX, UTHR, VRTX, ZTS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality18.2%83 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality55.2%94 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality3.9%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth504.9%100 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.9x33 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.6x33 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.3x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation22.5x65 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation71.1x20 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuation0.2%2 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet47/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation31/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TG THERAPEUTICS, INC. (TGTX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 616.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 87.3%; net margin 55.2%; ROE 100.3%; net debt/EBITDA 1.9x.

The estimated value range is 8.76–18.57 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 12.94 USD, the price of 61.63 USD leaves a potential of -79.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -376.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 18.2%
  • Net margin: 55.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 504.9%
  • Current ratio: 4.3x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 3.9%
  • EV/EBITDA: 71.1x
  • FCF yield: 0.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.5x
vertical median 41.9x
below median (−46.4%)
EV/EBITDA
71.1x
vertical median 20.2x
above median (+252.5%)
P/S
11.8x
vertical median 7.3x
above median (+61.7%)
P/B
15.6x
vertical median 5.8x
above median (+169.4%)
ROE
100.3%
vertical median -17.4%
above median
Net margin
55.2%
vertical median -2.0%
above median
EBIT margin
17.1%
vertical median -8.6%
above median
Revenue YoY
87.3%
vertical median 5.7%
above median (+1,440.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.9x
vertical median -0.1x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,334.0 bn46.086.1%31.9%+44.7%+32% / +140%
JNJJohnson & Johnson665.2 bn41.920.0%16.2%+6.0%+34% / +79%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.558.4 bn869.914.7%10.7%+40.2%+11% / +102%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.521.1 bn50.7—15.7%+8.6%+29% / +107%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.370.7 bn154.75.1%3.6%+1.3%+43% / +47%
ABTAbbott Laboratories200.1 bn43.09.2%9.7%+5.7%−10% / +11%
PFEPfizer Inc175.5 bn43.94.4%6.3%−1.6%+20% / +1%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc139.2 bn35.320.8%30.7%+8.9%+27% / +55%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company131.2 bn14.244.1%18.5%−0.2%+30% / +30%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited48.8 bn97.46.6%3.6%+4.3%+56% / +326%
ZTSZoetis Inc.36.9 bn14.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−30% / −50%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.27.6 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+84% / +300%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc26.2 bn47.76.9%25.7%+5.1%+69% / +150%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.9 bn23.019.1%38.6%+10.6%+25% / +154%
INSMInsmed Inc24.1 bn—-72.5%-39.9%+66.7%−47% / +340%
VTRSViatris Inc.22.1 bn—-23.6%-23.9%−3.0%+80% / +109%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.6 bn8.1126.6%52.8%+65.2%−64% / −4%
TGTXTg Therapeutics, Inc.9.4 bn22.5100.3%55.2%+87.3%+82% / +457%
BLRXBioLineRx Ltd4.9 bn—-12.8%-171.7%−95.9%−46% / −97%
BHCBausch Health Companies Inc.3.1 bn——-7.6%+6.7%+31% / +17%
ANABAnaptysbio, Inc.1.4 bn11.5—82.4%+157.0%+71% / +404%
KURAKura Oncology, Inc.677.0 m—-167.7%-384.3%+25.2%−37% / −21%
DMACDiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.580.8 m—-114.6%—unavailable+25% / +341%
PHATPhathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.461.7 m——-30.2%+216.9%−64% / −19%
ALTAltimmune, Inc.412.4 m—-28.9%-223,804.9%+105.0%−60% / −33%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TGTX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
42.32
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
74.48
Total return 21% · Per year 21%
111.72
Total return 81% · Per year 81%
3 years
50.20
Total return -19% · Per year -7%
98.50
Total return 60% · Per year 17%
160.88
Total return 161% · Per year 38%
5 years
59.55
Total return -3% · Per year -1%
130.27
Total return 111% · Per year 16%
231.67
Total return 276% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 24.63
  • Net margin± 17.24
  • Annual revenue growth± 12.86
  • Annual dilution± 1.45

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

TG Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biotechnology company focused on treatments for B-cell diseases, whose lead product BRIUMVI is approved for relapsing multiple sclerosis. The company is now in a phase where U.S. sales are growing quickly, and its 2026 guidance has been raised to a level of over 950 million USD in total global revenue.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The lead product is approved in the U.S. and its sales are growing rapidly, with a one-hour infusion given twice a year that supports its position in the anti-CD20 class 13.
  • The company has an extensive set of Phase 3 and Phase 2 programs and long-term data from the ULTIMATE studies 123.
  • The ex-U.S. partnership brings upfront payments, milestones and royalties, diversifying revenue sources 1.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends heavily on a single product, which increases its exposure to changes in the RMS market 1.
  • Research and sales expenses have grown considerably, and profitability can fluctuate from one quarter to another 23.
  • The company has had large operating losses in the past, and its accumulated deficit remains significant 1.

Opportunities

  • The subcutaneous formulation and the simplified initiation regimen could expand convenience and adoption 23.
  • Studies in myasthenia gravis and schizophrenia could open new markets if results are confirmed 23.
  • Azer-cel and other licensing agreements could extend the portfolio beyond multiple sclerosis 12.

Threats

  • Competition in the RMS class, including biosimilars and new therapies, could reduce market share 12.
  • Pricing pressure and payer utilization restrictions could limit revenue growth 2.
  • Negative results or delays in studies could affect expansion plans and investor confidence 23.

Risks

  • Dependence on a single producthigh

    Revenue comes mainly from BRIUMVI, so any problem with adoption, pricing or access would have a major impact on the company 1.

  • Intense competition in RMShigh

    The market includes larger and more experienced rivals, and new therapies or biosimilars could reduce commercial opportunities 12.

  • Side effects and label restrictionsmedium

    New data from wider use could lead to restrictions, added warnings or product withdrawal, which would hurt sales 1.

  • Development and manufacturing costsmedium

    Expenses for subcutaneous manufacturing and studies have risen significantly and could delay a steady return to profitability 3.

  • Uncertainty of study resultsmedium

    Ongoing studies, including those for the subcutaneous formulation and new indications, could produce results different from those expected 123.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rapid growth in U.S. sales and the raised 2026 guidance suggest BRIUMVI could become a solid commercial base 3.
  • Expansion into new formulations and additional indications could open future revenue sources if studies confirm the preliminary results 23.
  • The ex-U.S. partnership and royalty revenue add diversification and support the company's commercial plan 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on a single product leaves the company exposed to pricing changes, competitive pressure and changes in payer rules 12.
  • Rising research, sales and manufacturing costs could prevent stable profitability if revenue does not grow enough 3.
  • Safety risks and the results of ongoing studies could limit product expansion or affect its labeling 12.

What to watch

  • Topline Phase 3 data for subcutaneous ublituximabyear-end 2026 / Q1 2027
  • Full results of the ENHANCE study combining Day 1 and Day 15 doses2026
  • Preliminary Phase 1 data for azer-cel in progressive multiple sclerosissecond half of 2026
  • U.S. BRIUMVI sales against the 890-905 million USD guidanceQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

TG Therapeutics describes itself as a fully integrated, commercial-stage biotechnology company focused on acquiring, developing and commercializing novel treatments for B-cell mediated diseases, with a primary focus on multiple sclerosis 1. Its approved product, BRIUMVI (ublituximab-xiiy), is an anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody given as a one-hour infusion every 24 weeks after the starting dose, approved by the FDA in December 2022 1. Total revenue was 616.3 million USD in 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 the company reported total global revenue of 240.3 million USD 13.

The company also maintains a research pipeline, including a subcutaneous form of ublituximab in a Phase 3 study and azer-cel, an allogeneic CD19-directed CAR T therapy tested in progressive forms of multiple sclerosis 12. In 2026 it announced expansion into myasthenia gravis and treatment-resistant schizophrenia, showing a strategy of diversifying beyond its main indication 23.

Outside the United States, commercialization rights for BRIUMVI were granted to Neuraxpharm under an agreement from August 2023 that includes upfront payments, milestone payments and royalties 1. The company also said it actively evaluates complementary products for in-licensing or acquisition 1.

Segments

BRIUMVI in the U.S.

U.S. net product sales are the main revenue source and reached 227.7 million USD in the second quarter of 2026, a 64% increase over the same period a year earlier 3. The company raised its 2026 U.S. BRIUMVI target to a range of 890-905 million USD 3.

Ex-U.S. partnership

Neuraxpharm commercializes BRIUMVI in Europe and other countries outside the U.S., and ex-U.S. revenue includes product sales to the partner, royalties and payments tied to development and regulatory work 123. The timing of these revenues depends on local approvals and pricing in each country 2.

Pipeline

The pipeline includes subcutaneous ublituximab in a Phase 3 study with topline data expected around year-end 2026 or early 2027, and azer-cel, with preliminary Phase 1 data expected in the second half of 2026 23. The ENHANCE study met its primary endpoint for a single-infusion initiation regimen, eliminating the Day 15 dose 2.

Market context

The multiple sclerosis market is large, with nearly 1 million people living with MS in the United States and over 2.3 million worldwide 1. The anti-CD20 class is a significant segment of RMS treatment, and BRIUMVI competes in a market with numerous disease-modifying therapies 12.

Competition plays out through pricing, contracting terms, payer utilization management and the arrival of new branded products or biosimilars 2. Revenue growth depends on physician adoption, patient persistence and access across commercial and government payers 2.

Trends

  • Rapid growth in BRIUMVI salestailwind

    U.S. sales grew 64% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, and the company expects to exit 2026 at an annualized rate of about 1 billion USD 3. If this momentum holds, revenue could exceed current estimates.

  • Expansion of indications and formulationstailwind

    The ENHANCE study, the subcutaneous formulation and studies in myasthenia gravis and schizophrenia could widen the BRIUMVI market if results are positive 23.

  • Competitive pressure in the RMS classheadwind

    The RMS market includes many therapies, and pricing, contracting and payer utilization could limit growth 12.

  • Rising development and commercial costsmixed

    Research and sales expenses rose sharply in 2026, including subcutaneous manufacturing and marketing spend 3. These costs could compress margins if revenue does not grow at a similar pace.

Competitive position

The company operates in a highly competitive market where many rivals have greater financial, product development and commercial resources, and some are active in the same neurological and immunological fields 1. The key competitive factors are efficacy, safety, convenience, price and reimbursement access 1.

Competition may also come from smaller or early-stage companies, especially through collaborations with large companies, as well as from new products and biosimilars 12. Pressure could increase if rivals gain approval faster or offer more convenient dosing 1.

  • Large pharmaceutical companies active in neurology and immunology

    The sources describe large companies with strong commercial experience and customer relationships, active in the same disease areas 1.

  • Smaller or early-stage biotechnology companies

    These can become significant competitors, particularly through collaborations with established companies 1.

  • Other approved therapies for RMS

    The market includes numerous disease-modifying therapies with different mechanisms, routes and dosing schedules 2.

  • Biosimilar manufacturers

    The introduction of biosimilars could change pricing and contracting dynamics in the RMS class 2.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / TG Therapeutics, Inc. · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / TG Therapeutics, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / TG Therapeutics, Inc. · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.