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olivLaw · US equity research

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. USLM

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) · SIC 1400 · Vertical: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400)

123.38USD+1.93% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

United States Lime & Minerals is a U.S. producer of lime and limestone with plants in several central and southern states, selling mainly to construction, steel and environmental customers. The company reported revenues of 372.7 mn USD for fiscal 2025 and kept growing into the first half of 2026, which makes it of interest to investors watching infrastructure demand and new investment in Texas.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) stock was 123.38 USD (+1.93% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.5 bn USD, P/E 26.6 on diluted EPS of 4.64 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.19%, beta 1.17, 52-week range 97.49–139.46 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 106.2 m USD (+4.1% YoY), net income of 38.0 m USD (−1.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.32 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.5 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.6
Diluted EPS TTM 4.64 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.76%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.19%
DPS 12m 0.24
Beta (2y)
1.17
Volatility (1y) 39%
52-week range
97.49139.46

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
71.1
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
100.44 – 120.60
above the upper band · %B 1.14 · band width 18.2%
SMA 50 / 200
112.82 / 114.91
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.00 / 0.19
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.4%−1.1%+12.5 pp—
3 months+4.7%−0.5%+5.2 pp—
6 months+15.3%+4.4%+10.9 pp—
Year to date+3.0%+12.3%−9.3 pp—
1 year+11.1%+13.5%−2.4 pp−13.2%
3 years+202.0%+76.4%+125.6 pp+17.2%
5 years+361.1%+63.7%+297.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−30.1%
17 Apr 2026 → 08 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−45.9%
26 Nov 2024 → 10 Mar 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+35.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
106.2 m USD
+4.1% YoY
Net income
38.0 m USD
−1.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.32
−2.2% YoY
net / operating
35.8% / 42.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue80.1 m91.3 m91.5 m102.0 m87.9 m87.8 m99.1 m106.2 m
Cost of revenue44.6 m45.1 m49.6 m49.8 m45.8 m46.1 m52.4 m55.4 m
Gross profit35.4 m46.2 m41.9 m52.2 m42.2 m41.8 m46.7 m50.8 m
SG&A4.4 m6.3 m6.2 m5.9 m6.2 m6.0 m6.1 m6.1 m
Operating income31.1 m39.9 m35.7 m46.3 m36.0 m35.8 m40.7 m44.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.0 m6.1 m6.2 m ≈6.2 m ≈6.7 m6.6 m6.4 m ≈6.4 m ≈
Pre-tax income34.2 m43.0 m38.8 m49.7 m39.6 m39.0 m44.0 m48.5 m
Income tax7.2 m8.9 m8.0 m10.9 m9.0 m8.4 m9.5 m10.5 m
Net income27.0 m34.1 m30.8 m38.8 m30.5 m30.6 m34.5 m38.0 m
Diluted EPS0.94 ≈1.191.071.351.06 ≈1.061.201.32
Operating cash flow38.6 m39.4 m34.0 m ≈45.9 m ≈45.6 m32.1 m39.1 m ≈52.2 m ≈
Capex11.0 m14.9 m13.3 m ≈14.7 m ≈19.9 m18.3 m17.9 m ≈14.0 m ≈
Dividends paid1.4 m1.7 m1.7 m ≈1.7 m ≈1.7 m1.7 m1.7 m ≈1.7 m ≈
Share repurchases3.3 m424.0 k0 ≈0 ≈2.3 m370.0 k0 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 90 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 2.7, median 4.5, max 35.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue144.4 m158.3 m160.7 m189.3 m236.2 m281.3 m317.7 m372.7 m
Revenue YoY−0.3%+9.6%+1.5%+17.8%+24.8%+19.1%+12.9%+17.3%
Net income19.7 m26.1 m28.2 m37.0 m45.4 m74.5 m108.8 m134.3 m
Net income YoY−27.5%+32.4%+8.3%+31.3%+22.6%+64.1%+46.0%+23.4%
Diluted EPS3.514.645.006.541.602.613.794.67
Diluted EPS YoY−27.8%+32.2%+7.8%+30.8%−75.5%+63.1%+45.2%+23.2%
net %13.6%16.5%17.6%19.6%19.2%26.5%34.3%36.0%
Free cash flow-15.0 m19.9 m41.4 m25.8 m37.5 m58.0 m98.6 m102.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
371.1 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-371.1 m USD
Equity
630.8 m USD
Total assets
681.0 m USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
19.27x
ROE
23.8%
ROA
21.9%
FCF margin
27.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
281.3 m
2024
317.7 m
2025
372.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
178.5 m
2024
173.7 m
2025
190.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
102.9 m
2024
144.0 m
2025
182.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
17.4 m
2024
19.1 m
2025
24.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
85.4 m
2024
124.9 m
2025
157.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
23.8 m
2024
24.2 m
2025
25.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
109.2 m ≈
2024
149.1 m ≈
2025
183.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
93.4 m
2024
136.4 m
2025
171.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
18.8 m
2024
27.5 m
2025
36.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
74.5 m
2024
108.8 m
2025
134.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.61
2024
3.79
2025
4.67

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
28.5 m
2024
28.7 m
2025
28.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.16
2024
0.20
2025
0.24

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
188.0 m
2024
278.0 m
2025
371.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
38.1 m
2024
44.0 m
2025
47.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
24.3 m
2024
27.7 m
2025
30.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
255.0 m
2024
354.8 m
2025
455.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
179.8 m
2024
182.9 m
2025
221.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
440.6 m
2024
543.2 m
2025
681.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
7.4 m
2024
8.8 m
2025
14.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
17.5 m
2024
17.0 m
2025
23.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
47.5 m
2024
45.4 m
2025
50.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
393.1 m †
2024
497.7 m †
2025
630.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
92.3 m
2024
126.0 m
2025
165.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
34.3 m
2024
27.4 m
2025
62.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
58.0 m ≈
2024
98.6 m ≈
2025
102.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-32.0 m
2024
-26.9 m
2025
-62.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-5.7 m
2024
-9.1 m
2025
-9.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
4.6 m
2024
5.7 m
2025
6.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
1.3 m
2024
3.5 m
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
17.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
16.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
18.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
26.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
43.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
36.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
23.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
42.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
47.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
48.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
35.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
18.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
44.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
20.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-439.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
22.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
20.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
18.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
168.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
70.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
98.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
73.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
92.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
56 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
24 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
92 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
26.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
4.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
9.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
19.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
35.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 72 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

123.38 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
4.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
35.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2525derived 200

Score by group

  • Balance sheet91
  • Valuation45
  • Quality90
  • Growth100
  • Returns42

Estimated value range

Low
75.10
USD per share
Mid
123.97
USD per share
High
154.44
USD per share
Price: 123.38 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 0.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 0.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 71.64 – 155.14 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA71.64 – 155.14 (Mid 131.10)
    7 companies used · median multiple 18.1x · quartiles 8.8x – 21.9x
    CMP, KNF, LEU, MLM, SND, TTAM, VMC
  • Peers: P/E78.57 – 153.73 (Mid 116.85)
    10 companies used · median multiple 25.2x · quartiles 16.9x – 33.1x
    CMP, HL, IPI, KNF, LEU, MLM, SND, SQM, TTAM, VMC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate3.15 – 4.24 (Mid 3.62)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 72/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality44.9%100 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality35.1%100 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality73.9%63 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth16.4%100 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth42.9%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-2.4x88 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet22.3x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation26.6x40 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.9x57 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation2.8%35 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.3%4 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns7.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet91/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality90/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns42/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation45/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

UNITED STATES LIME & MINERALS INC (USLM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 372.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 17.3%; net margin 35.1%; ROE 20.0%; net debt/EBITDA -2.4x.

The estimated value range is 75.10–154.44 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 123.97 USD, the price of 123.38 USD leaves a potential of 0.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 0.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 72/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 44.9%
  • Net margin: 35.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 16.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 42.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -2.4x
  • Current ratio: 22.3x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 7.0%

What contradicts it

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.3%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (SIC 1400) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
26.6x
vertical median 25.2x
above median (+5.6%)
EV/EBITDA
16.9x
vertical median 18.1x
below median (−6.7%)
P/S
9.3x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+247.7%)
P/B
4.8x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+126.2%)
ROE
20.0%
vertical median 5.1%
above median (+288.8%)
Net margin
35.1%
vertical median 4.0%
above median (+780.6%)
EBIT margin
41.2%
vertical median 8.1%
above median (+406.7%)
Revenue YoY
17.3%
vertical median 8.5%
above median (+103.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-2.4x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−310.8%)
Dividend yield
0.2%
vertical median 0.6%
below median (−69.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.39.6 bn14.716.8%31.9%+8.6%−11% / +20%
VMCVulcan Materials Company38.2 bn35.212.9%13.8%+7.1%+0% / +39%
SQMChemical & Mining Co Of Chile Inc15.1 bn24.014.3%15.1%−39.4%−11% / +15%
HLHecla Mining Company10.0 bn26.714.5%21.0%+53.0%−11% / +200%
IONRIoneer Ltd7.2 bn—-4.3%—unavailable−44% / −35%
USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals Inc3.5 bn26.620.0%35.1%+17.3%+11% / +202%
KNFKnife River Corporation3.5 bn26.38.0%4.0%+8.5%−17% / +4%
TTAMTitan America SA2.6 bn14.220.8%11.1%+1.8%−12% / unavailable
UUUUEnergy Fuels Inc.1.9 bn—-14.1%-100.0%−15.6%−50% / −10%
LEUCentrus Energy Corp1.3 bn42.28.1%10.2%+1.5%−64% / +85%
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.976.5 m54.27.2%1.4%+11.3%+22% / −4%
GAUGaliano Gold Inc.540.4 m—-12.7%-6.5%+93.6%−14% / +220%
IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.418.0 m17.14.8%8.0%+17.1%+24% / +52%
SNDSmart Sand, Inc.185.3 m16.94.4%2.7%+6.0%+48% / +124%
ABATAmerican Battery Technology Company183.9 m—-74.5%-337.5%+406.8%−66% / −70%
ATLXAtlas Lithium Corporation52.1 m—-103.0%-33,954.4%−86.1%−65% / −93%
LGOLargo Inc.27.7 m—-46.4%-62.3%−12.0%−67% / −84%
ELVRElevra Lithium Limited——-54.2%-131.8%+11.2%−40% / unavailable
TECKTeck Resources Limited——5.5%13.0%+18.7%+50% / +71%

1- and 3-year price returns: for USLM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
80.92
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
142.41
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
213.61
Total return 73% · Per year 73%
3 years
95.98
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
188.33
Total return 53% · Per year 15%
307.60
Total return 150% · Per year 36%
5 years
113.85
Total return -7% · Per year -1%
249.07
Total return 103% · Per year 15%
442.94
Total return 261% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 47.08
  • Net margin± 32.96
  • Annual revenue growth± 24.58
  • Annual dilution± 2.77

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

In brief

United States Lime & Minerals is a U.S. producer of lime and limestone with plants in several central and southern states, selling mainly to construction, steel and environmental customers. The company reported revenues of 372.7 mn USD for fiscal 2025 and kept growing into the first half of 2026, which makes it of interest to investors watching infrastructure demand and new investment in Texas 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has large limestone reserves and a balance sheet with no debt, giving it financial flexibility 1.
  • Recent kiln and modernization investments have reduced costs and improved operating efficiency 1.

Weaknesses

  • Profits are very sensitive to changes in sales volumes, prices and costs, which makes results volatile 1.
  • Freight costs are high relative to product value and have generally increased in recent years 1.
  • Operations are geographically concentrated, exposing the company to regional weather and economic conditions 12.

Opportunities

  • Data center projects and state-funded infrastructure could support demand over the medium term 23.
  • The new vertical kiln at Texas Lime could open opportunities to grow higher-value lime output 12.
  • If lime prices remain favorable, the company could further monetize its existing capacity 1.

Threats

  • Lower demand from coal-fired utilities and the oil and gas sector could reduce sales volumes 1.
  • Rising fuel and transport costs could compress margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 12.
  • New entrants and multinational competitors could reduce prices or win customer accounts 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on construction demandhigh

    A slowdown in construction or infrastructure projects could significantly reduce sales volumes 12.

  • Volatile energy and transport costshigh

    Rising fuel and freight costs could hurt margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 12.

  • Operational risks at mines and plantsmedium

    Equipment failures, extreme weather and accidents could interrupt production and shipments 1.

  • Competitive pressuremedium

    New entrants or multinational producers could force price reductions 1.

  • Regulatory and environmental risklow

    Policy changes on mining, environment and tariffs could raise compliance costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rising revenues and volumes in 2025 and the first half of 2026 show that construction and steel demand can support results 123.
  • Large limestone reserves and the absence of debt give room for investment and dividends 1.
  • The new Texas kiln could improve margins if it runs as expected after summer 2026 23.

What would break the thesis

  • Profits are highly sensitive to volumes and prices, so results can fluctuate sharply from quarter to quarter 1.
  • The company could suffer if demand from coal-fired utilities and the roof shingle industry keeps declining 12.
  • Fuel and freight costs are high and could compress margins if they cannot be fully passed on 12.

What to watch

  • Start-up of the vertical kiln at Texas Lime and output of saleable quicklimesummer 2026
  • Trend in volumes and prices in the third-quarter resultsQ3 2026
  • Demand from data center projects and highway construction2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

The business

The company makes limestone and lime products, including crushed limestone, pulverized limestone, quicklime, hydrated lime and lime slurry, from open-pit quarries and underground mines in Texas, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Missouri 1. Operations form one reportable segment covering lime and limestone, all located in the United States 1. The company had no debt outstanding at December 31, 2025 and funds operations and dividends from cash and operating cash flow 1.

Market context

Demand in the company's markets depends on highway and infrastructure construction, steel demand and data center projects, which the company sees as support for construction demand in the coming period 23. Competition is regional and the main rivals are large private companies, so price, quality and proximity to customers remain decisive factors 1.

Trends

  • Construction and data center demandtailwind

    Data center projects and road infrastructure funding could support construction demand, although the timing and size of this increase remain uncertain 13.

  • Declining coal-fired utility demandheadwind

    The trend toward reducing reliance on coal-fired plants lowers demand from utility customers, a shrinking segment 1.

  • Volatile energy and transport costsmixed

    Prices of coal, petroleum coke, diesel and transport directly affect costs, and the company has not engaged in significant hedging 12.

  • New vertical kiln at Texas Limetailwind

    The new kiln could lower production costs and improve energy efficiency if it runs consistently and produces saleable quicklime after its start-up in summer 2026 13.

Competitive position

The lime and limestone industry is strongly regionalized, and competitors are mostly large private companies without U.S.-listed tickers 1. Recent increases in lime prices have made the company more open to new entrants and multinational competition 1.

  • Multinational lime producers

    Potential entrants into the company's markets, especially if lime prices stay high 1.

  • New market entrants

    New companies could seek existing customers, particularly in regions where prices have risen 1.

  • Other limestone quarries in the region

    Compete for construction and water treatment customer accounts, where proximity is decisive 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 03 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.