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olivLaw · US equity research

B&G Foods, Inc. BGS

Food and Kindred Products · SIC 2000 · Vertical: Food and Kindred Products (SIC 2000)

2.57USD+7.53% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

B&G Foods makes and distributes shelf-stable and frozen food and household brands across the United States, Canada and Puerto Rico, many with leading regional or national shares. In 2026 the company is reshaping its portfolio through acquisitions and divestitures, and second-quarter net sales fell 9.7% to 383.3 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) stock was 2.57 USD (+7.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 208.9 m USD, dividend yield 25.88%, beta 0.06, 52-week range 2.04–5.87 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 383.3 m USD (−9.7% YoY), net income of -4.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
208.9 m USD
shares as of 06 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.89 · TTM to 04 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
-34.62%
TTM to 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
25.88%
DPS 12m 0.67
Beta (2y)
0.06
Volatility (1y) 53%
52-week range
2.045.87

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.96 – 2.63
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.91 · band width 29.2%
SMA 50 / 200
2.80 / 4.07
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.12 / -0.19
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.2%−1.1%+2.3 pp—
3 months−27.0%−0.5%−26.5 pp—
6 months−52.2%+4.4%−56.6 pp—
Year to date−40.2%+12.3%−52.5 pp—
1 year−34.4%+13.5%−48.0 pp−45.6%
3 years−71.5%+76.4%−147.9 pp−65.9%
5 years−92.3%+63.7%−155.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−65.2%
04 Mar 2026 → 26 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.0%
12 Jan 2022 → 26 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−40.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 04 Jul 2026

Revenue
383.3 m USD
−9.7% YoY
Net income
-4.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.0% / 9.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue461.1 m551.6 m425.4 m424.4 m439.3 m539.6 m408.9 m383.3 m
Cost of revenue358.7 m432.9 m335.3 m337.4 m340.3 m416.8 m329.0 m303.6 m
Gross profit102.3 m118.7 m90.1 m87.0 m99.0 m122.7 m79.9 m79.6 m
SG&A46.0 m50.3 m49.1 m47.2 m44.6 m54.0 m50.2 m40.6 m
Operating income51.2 m-256.8 m35.8 m22.0 m11.0 m28.2 m-11.0 m34.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.2 m16.9 m16.8 m16.7 m16.6 m16.1 m15.0 m14.5 m
Pre-tax income10.1 m-295.3 m-765.0 k-12.6 m-25.1 m-9.4 m-45.3 m-2.4 m
Income tax2.7 m-72.9 m-1.6 m-2.8 m-5.9 m5.8 m-12.7 m1.6 m
Net income7.5 m-222.4 m835.0 k-9.8 m-19.1 m-15.2 m-32.5 m-4.0 m
Diluted EPS0.09-2.81 ≈0.01-0.12-0.24-0.19 ≈-0.41-0.05
Operating cash flow4.2 m ≈80.3 m52.7 m17.8 m ≈-64.6 m ≈95.4 m23.6 m34.4 m ≈
Capex4.8 m ≈8.7 m10.4 m6.4 m ≈6.1 m ≈7.8 m4.9 m6.2 m ≈
Dividends paid15.0 m ≈15.0 m15.0 m15.2 m ≈15.2 m ≈15.2 m15.2 m15.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920212022202320242026
Revenue1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn2.1 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+20.0%+3.3%−2.4%unavailable+9.9%−4.7%−6.3%unavailable
Net income217.5 m172.4 m76.4 m132.0 m-11.4 m-66.2 m-251.3 m-43.3 m
Net income YoY+98.7%−20.7%−55.7%unavailable−108.6%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS3.262.601.172.04-0.16-0.89-3.18-0.54
Diluted EPS YoY+88.4%−20.2%−55.0%unavailable−107.8%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %13.2%10.1%4.6%6.7%-0.5%-3.2%-13.0%-2.4%
Free cash flow-22.0 m167.8 m4.1 m254.7 m-16.3 m222.1 m103.7 m70.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 03 Jan 2026

Cash
56.3 m USD
Financial debt
2.0 bn USD
Net debt
1.9 bn USD
Equity
452.9 m USD
Total assets
2.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
4.31x
Current ratio
3.32x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-1.5%
FCF margin
3.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.1 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
455.5 m
2024
422.0 m
2026
398.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
196.0 m
2024
188.1 m
2026
194.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
80.4 m
2024
-177.3 m
2026
97.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
69.6 m
2024
68.6 m
2026
66.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
150.0 m ≈
2024
-108.7 m ≈
2026
163.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-67.1 m
2024
-330.5 m
2026
-47.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-935.0 k
2024
-79.3 m
2026
-4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-66.2 m
2024
-251.3 m
2026
-43.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.89
2024
-3.18
2026
-0.54

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
74.3 m
2024
79.0 m
2026
79.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.76
2024
0.76
2026
0.76

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
41.1 m
2024
50.6 m
2026
56.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
143.0 m
2024
172.3 m
2026
140.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
569.0 m
2024
511.2 m
2026
420.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
802.8 m
2024
781.4 m
2026
739.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
302.3 m
2024
278.1 m
2026
253.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
619.4 m
2024
548.2 m
2026
543.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2026
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
123.8 m
2024
113.2 m
2026
107.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
22.0 m
2024
5.6 m
2026
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
262.4 m
2024
236.9 m
2026
222.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
835.5 m †
2024
524.8 m †
2026
452.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
247.8 m
2024
130.9 m
2026
101.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
25.7 m
2024
27.3 m
2026
30.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
222.1 m ≈
2024
103.7 m ≈
2026
70.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
81.6 m
2024
-27.7 m
2026
39.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-333.7 m
2024
-93.0 m
2026
-135.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
56.0 m
2024
60.0 m
2026
60.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2020verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
21.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
-4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
-15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROA
-2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROIC
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROCE
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
95.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
15.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
6.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
88.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
24.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
63.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
71.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
121 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
36 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
113 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
208.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-34.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
17.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
34.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/FCF
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
FCF yield
30.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
29.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.57 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 208.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
208.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
17.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
ROE
-15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 04 Jul 2026
Net margin
-4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 04 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 04 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 04 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 12 Aug 2026
verified 2647derived 159

Score by group

  • Balance sheet19
  • Valuation44
  • Quality65
  • Growth0
  • Returns74

Estimated value range

Low
9.99
USD per share
Mid
11.46
USD per share
High
13.43
USD per share
Price: 2.57 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 345.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 77.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.99 – 13.43 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)9.99 – 13.43 (Mid 11.46)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food and Kindred Products (SIC 2000)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.2%75 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality-4.0%47 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.9%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet15.4x0 (on a fixed band)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x68 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation17.1x0 (on a fixed band)15%
FCF yield · Valuation30.6%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns29.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns95.5%35 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet19/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality65/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns74/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation44/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

B&G FOODS, INC. (BGS). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-04.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2026; net margin -4.0%; ROE -15.8%; net debt/EBITDA 15.4x.

The estimated value range is 9.99–13.43 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.46 USD, the price of 2.57 USD leaves a potential of 345.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 77.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 2.2%
  • FCF yield: 30.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 29.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 15.4x
  • EV/EBITDA: 17.1x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Food and Kindred Products (SIC 2000) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 24.3x
EV/EBITDA
17.1x
vertical median 8.5x
above median (+102.4%)
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−86.1%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−78.3%)
ROE
-15.8%
vertical median -22.9%
above median
Net margin
-4.0%
vertical median -3.4%
below median
EBIT margin
3.6%
vertical median -10.3%
above median
Revenue YoY
—
vertical median 4.7%
Net debt/EBITDA
15.4x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+727.8%)
Dividend yield
25.9%
vertical median 7.4%
above median (+251.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MDLZMondelez International, Inc.85.3 bn21.215.5%10.2%+5.8%+17% / −5%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.7.3 bn—-24.9%-17.0%−2.9%−14% / −46%
CPBThe Campbell’s Company6.9 bn17.810.4%4.1%−5.0%−24% / −42%
OTLYOatly Group AB5.1 bn—-247.9%-17.7%+4.7%−34% / −55%
BYNDBeyond Meat, Inc.3.7 bn——111.7%−15.6%−76% / −97%
STKHSteakholder Foods Ltd.2.3 bn—-266.3%-112,470.0%unavailable−95% / −100%
FLOFlowers Foods Inc1.5 bn27.34.0%1.1%unavailable−34% / −66%
BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.1.2 bn7.2—7.3%+16.1%−67% / −81%
SMPLThe Simply Good Foods Company1.2 bn—-9.6%-11.5%−6.5%−32% / −66%
VITLVital Farms, Inc.450.8 m—-7.4%-3.0%+25.3%−68% / −21%
UCFICN Healthy Food Tech Group Corp.287.8 m36.739.2%24.6%+144.6%−46% / unavailable
BGSB&G Foods, Inc.208.9 m—-15.8%-4.0%unavailable−34% / −71%
CHSNChanson International Holding131.0 m112.00.5%1.0%+0.2%−99% / −100%
SOWGSow Good Inc.44.4 m—-346.4%—unavailable−75% / −98%
MLECMoolec Science SA32.7 m—-86.4%-130.0%+521.5%−86% / −100%
LSFLaird Superfood, Inc.26.9 m—-22.9%-3.4%+15.2%−12% / +129%
BOFBranchOut Food Inc.25.9 m—-202.6%-56.8%+113.3%−45% / +8%
BRLSBorealis Foods Inc.24.7 m——-56.5%+8.2%−38% / −90%
HAINThe Hain Celestial Group, Inc.13.7 m—-96.8%-22.5%−13.2%−86% / −99%
DDCDDC Enterprise Limited——-124.4%-123.3%+4.6%−96% / −100%
NOMDNomad Foods Limited——5.3%4.5%−2.2%+2% / −22%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BGS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Estimated price (USD)

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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    B&G Foods makes and distributes shelf-stable and frozen food and household brands across the United States, Canada and Puerto Rico, many with leading regional or national shares. In 2026 the company is reshaping its portfolio through acquisitions and divestitures, and second-quarter net sales fell 9.7% to 383.3 million USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A portfolio of brands holding leading regional or national positions, such as Crisco and Clabber Girl, which supports shelf negotiating power 1.
    • Established experience in acquiring and integrating brands, with more than fifty integrated since 1996 1.
    • The recent issue of longer-dated notes to refinance near-term maturities improves the funding structure 3.

    Weaknesses

    • High dependence on a few large retail customers, notably one large chain that accounts for a major part of sales 1.
    • A high debt level, with covenants that limit dividends and financial flexibility 1.
    • Base business sales declined in the second quarter of 2026, showing volume weakness in mature categories 3.

    Opportunities

    • Integrating the College Inn and Kitchen Basics brands could improve margins if the expected synergies materialise 3.
    • Reducing the portfolio through divestitures could focus the company on categories with better margins 2.
    • Growth in e-commerce and club channels could open new sources of sales 1.

    Threats

    • Freight, raw material and tariff costs could stay high and may not be fully offset through prices 12.
    • Competition from private label producers and larger, better-funded firms 1.
    • Uncertainty over trade tariffs and the measures that replace them could affect costs and volumes 2.

    Risks

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      One main customer and a small group of large customers account for a major part of sales, giving them bargaining power over prices and promotions 1.

    • Indebtednesshigh

      Total debt remains substantial, and interest costs rose after a high-coupon note issue. If operating results fall, servicing the debt could become a strain 13.

    • Input and distribution costsmedium

      Raw materials, packaging, energy and freight can rise sharply, and price increases to customers may lag, which could compress margins 12.

    • Tariffs and international trademedium

      Shifting tariffs and trade measures could raise the cost of spices, steel and products sourced from Mexico or Canada 12.

    • Acquisition and divestiture executionmedium

      Integrating acquired brands and achieving expected synergies is not assured, and divestitures can generate accounting losses, as happened in 2026 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the leading brands in the portfolio hold their positions and the College Inn and Kitchen Basics integration lifts margins, the company could meet its published 2026 guidance 3.
    • Portfolio reduction and debt refinancing could strengthen the balance sheet over the coming years if these steps are completed as planned 23.
    • Price increases and mix gains in Spices & Flavor Solutions could keep supporting base business sales 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • Base business sales declined in the second quarter of 2026, and if volumes keep weakening, price increases may not be enough 3.
    • High debt and expensive borrowing could limit investment and dividends, especially if operating results stay below expectations 13.
    • Concentration on a few large customers and pressure from better-funded competitors could erode prices and margins over time 1.

    What to watch

    • Completion of the Green Giant Canada sale and its effect on salesQ3 2026
    • Delivery against full-year guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA2026
    • Trend in base business volumes and adjusted gross marginQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Over the past year the company has reshaped its portfolio to sharpen focus, improve margins and reduce long-term debt 2. It completed the sale of the Green Giant U.S. frozen business to Seneca Foods and the acquisition of the College Inn and Kitchen Basics brands in March 2026 23. The pending sale of Green Giant Canada had not closed as of the latest report 2.

    The debt load is substantial and limits financial flexibility in part, since financing agreements restrict dividends, additional borrowing and certain transactions 1. However, in June 2026 the company issued senior notes due 2031 totalling 475 million USD to refinance notes due 2027 3.

    Segments

    Specialty

    Includes brands such as Crisco, Clabber Girl, Bear Creek, Polaner, Underwood and Static Guard, and is the segment with the most consumer brands in the portfolio 1. Until their divestiture in May 2025, the Don Pepino and Sclafani brands were also included here 1.

    Meals

    Groups brands such as Ortega, Maple Grove Farms, Cream of Wheat, Victoria, Mama Mary’s and Spring Tree, oriented to meal and ready-to-prepare products 1.

    Frozen & Vegetables

    Centred on the Green Giant brand. The company sold the U.S. frozen business in March 2026 and entered a co-manufacturing agreement with the new owner, while the Canadian sale was announced in October 2025 123.

    Spices & Flavor Solutions

    Includes spice and flavor brands such as Dash, Spice Islands, Weber and Ac’cent 1. It was a driver of pricing and product mix in the second quarter of 2026 3.

    Market context

    The U.S. food industry has traditionally grown steadily, but in recent years many traditional center-of-store brands have seen flat or modestly declining sales 1. Sales have shifted toward supercenters, clubs, natural stores, dollar stores, drugstores and e-commerce, and retail consolidation has made a number one or two market position more important 1.

    Pricing pressure and large customers’ demands for promotions and lower inventories dominate the market 1. The company reports that base business volumes fell in the second quarter of 2026, while price increases partly offset the effect 3.

    Trends

    • Retail consolidationheadwind

      Large retail chains and distributors are growing more powerful and demand lower prices and broader promotions. If this continues, margins could be pressured 1.

    • Raw material and freight costsheadwind

      Raw material and freight costs have stayed elevated in recent years, and the company expects freight rates to remain elevated for the rest of fiscal 2026 2.

    • Trade tariffsmixed

      Tariffs from 2025 and later measures following the Supreme Court ruling have created uncertainty and could raise the cost of spices and steel cans. Refunds received have partly helped, but may need to be passed on to some customers 123.

    • Channel and preference shiftsmixed

      Growth of e-commerce and changing consumer tastes can shift demand quickly. The company may need to invest more in marketing and innovation to hold its share 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with a large number of firms, from divisions of bigger groups to private label producers, on quality, price, promotions and brand recognition 1. Many competitors have broader product lines, greater financial resources and lower leverage 1.

    Private label and other food producers investing more aggressively in technology and e-commerce could gain share if B&G Foods does not adapt quickly 1.

    • Seneca Foods Corporation

      Buyer of the Green Giant U.S. frozen business and the shelf-stable Green Giant line, which later became a co-manufacturing partner 13.

    • Nortera Foods Inc.

      Announced buyer of the Green Giant and Le Sieur lines in Canada, with completion subject to regulatory review 12.

    • McCall Farms, Inc.

      Buyer of the Le Sueur U.S. shelf-stable vegetable brand, one of the company’s recent divestitures 1.

    • Violet Foods LLC

      Buyer of the Don Pepino and Sclafani pizza and spaghetti sauce brands, divested by the company in 2025 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report13 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report12 Aug 2026
    • Current report11 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report11 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report10 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Jun 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report27 May 2026
      Shareholder vote

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-03 · SEC / B&G Foods, Inc. · 03 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-04 · SEC / B&G Foods, Inc. · 12 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / B&G Foods, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.