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olivLaw · US equity research

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. HAIN

Food and Kindred Products · SIC 2000 · Vertical: Food and Kindred Products (SIC 2000)

0.15USD+7.29% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hain Celestial is a global health and wellness food and beverage company, with brands in teas, yogurt, baby and kids foods and ready meals. Net sales fell to 1.35 billion USD in fiscal 2026, and the company is selling its International business and negotiating an extension of its credit maturity, which will shape its direction in the coming period.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) stock was 0.15 USD (+7.29% on the day), with market capitalisation 13.7 m USD, beta 0.97, 52-week range 0.12–1.42 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 263.1 m USD (−27.6% YoY), net income of -61.9 m USD, diluted EPS -0.68 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
13.7 m USD
shares as of 20 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.36 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-2,237.02%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.97
Volatility (1y) 123%
52-week range
0.121.42

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
26.9
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
-0.09 – 0.63
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.33 · band width 264.3%
SMA 50 / 200
0.48 / 0.69
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.11 / -0.11
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−70.5%−1.1%−69.5 pp—
3 months−73.2%−0.5%−72.7 pp—
6 months−80.0%+4.4%−84.4 pp—
Year to date−86.0%+12.3%−98.3 pp—
1 year−86.5%+13.5%−100.0 pp−44.5%
3 years−98.7%+76.4%−175.1 pp−65.9%
5 years−99.7%+63.7%−163.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−91.5%
12 Nov 2025 → 29 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.8%
10 Nov 2021 → 29 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−68.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
263.1 m USD
−27.6% YoY
Net income
-61.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.68
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-23.5% / -21.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue394.6 m411.5 m390.4 m363.3 m367.9 m384.1 m338.4 m263.1 m
Cost of revenue313.0 m318.0 m305.7 m289.0 m299.8 m309.7 m268.0 m203.9 m
Gross profit81.6 m93.5 m84.7 m74.3 m68.1 m74.4 m70.4 m59.2 m
SG&A71.3 m70.2 m62.9 m67.4 m65.5 m60.9 m59.1 m62.5 m
Operating income3.1 m-91.9 m-121.1 m-251.7 m-6.9 m-98.8 m-42.1 m-55.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.4 m11.0 m10.5 m11.4 m15.4 m11.1 m12.5 m13.5 m
Pre-tax income-16.0 m-100.7 m-134.1 m-263.0 m-21.7 m-113.5 m-105.6 m-66.0 m
Income tax3.5 m2.7 m-505.0 k9.6 m-1.3 m2.4 m759.0 k-4.1 m
Net income-19.7 m-104.0 m-134.6 m-272.6 m-20.6 m-116.0 m-106.3 m-61.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.22-1.15-1.49-3.02 ≈-0.23-1.28-1.17-0.68 ≈
Operating cash flow-10.8 m30.9 m ≈4.6 m ≈-2.6 m-8.5 m37.0 m ≈38.3 m ≈11.4 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue2.1 bn2.1 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn
Revenue YoY−14.4%−2.4%−4.1%−4.0%−5.0%−3.4%−10.2%−13.2%
Net income-183.3 m-80.4 m77.4 m77.9 m-116.5 m-75.0 m-530.8 m-304.9 m
Net income YoY−1,991.0%unavailableunavailable+0.7%−249.7%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-1.76-0.770.760.83-1.30-0.84-5.89-3.36
Diluted EPS YoY−2,055.6%unavailableunavailable+9.2%−256.6%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-8.7%-3.9%3.9%4.1%-6.5%-4.3%-34.0%-22.5%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
58.1 m USD
Financial debt
1.1 bn USD
Net debt
1.1 bn USD
Equity
154.8 m USD
Total assets
1.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
7.21x
Current ratio
0.50x
ROE
-96.8%
ROA
-22.6%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
380.8 m
2025
334.1 m
2026
272.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Research & development
2024
5.4 m
2025
5.2 m
2026
6.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

SG&A
2024
290.1 m
2025
271.8 m
2026
248.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-18.9 m
2025
-461.6 m
2026
-203.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
44.7 m
2025
44.3 m
2026
52.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
25.7 m ≈
2025
-417.3 m ≈
2026
-150.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
-80.3 m
2025
-513.7 m
2026
-306.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-7.8 m
2025
15.3 m
2026
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Net income
2024
-75.0 m
2025
-530.8 m
2026
-304.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.84
2025
-5.89
2026
-3.36

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
89.8 m
2025
90.1 m
2026
90.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
54.3 m
2025
54.4 m
2026
58.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Receivables
2024
179.2 m
2025
154.4 m
2026
121.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Inventories
2024
274.1 m
2025
248.7 m
2026
149.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Current assets
2024
557.1 m
2025
530.3 m
2026
416.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
929.3 m
2025
501.0 m
2026
246.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
244.8 m
2025
210.9 m
2026
173.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Total assets
2024
2.1 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
188.2 m
2025
188.3 m
2026
125.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
7.6 m
2025
7.7 m
2026
557.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
745.8 m
2025
706.7 m
2026
558.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
281.5 m
2025
277.4 m
2026
830.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
935.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Equity
2024
942.9 m †
2025
475.0 m †
2026
154.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
116.4 m
2025
22.1 m
2026
78.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2024
-23.9 m
2025
3.6 m
2026
82.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-89.7 m
2025
-43.9 m
2026
-151.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Sept 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2024verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-9.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
20.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
-11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
-15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
-22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-96.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-22.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-78.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
7.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
78.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
37 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
53 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
51 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
13.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-2,237.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.15 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 13.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
13.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-96.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Oct 2026
verified 2551derived 171

Score by group

29% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food and Kindred Products (SIC 2000)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-14.6%33 (vs peers)36%
Net margin · Quality-22.5%26 (vs peers)21%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-9.0%0 (on a fixed band)29%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)14%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality31/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC. (HAIN). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.4 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth -13.2%; net margin -22.5%; ROE -96.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -22.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -9.0%
  • Current ratio: 0.5x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Food and Kindred Products (SIC 2000) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 24.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.1x
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−98.8%)
P/B
0.1x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−96.4%)
ROE
-96.8%
vertical median -15.8%
below median
Net margin
-22.5%
vertical median -3.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-15.0%
vertical median -9.4%
below median
Revenue YoY
-13.2%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−352.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 8.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MDLZMondelez International, Inc.85.3 bn21.215.5%10.2%+5.8%+17% / −5%
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.7.3 bn—-24.9%-17.0%−2.9%−14% / −46%
CPBThe Campbell’s Company6.9 bn17.810.4%4.1%−5.0%−24% / −42%
OTLYOatly Group AB5.1 bn—-247.9%-17.7%+4.7%−34% / −55%
BYNDBeyond Meat, Inc.3.7 bn——111.7%−15.6%−76% / −97%
STKHSteakholder Foods Ltd.2.3 bn—-266.3%-112,470.0%unavailable−95% / −100%
FLOFlowers Foods Inc1.5 bn27.34.0%1.1%unavailable−34% / −66%
BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.1.2 bn7.2—7.3%+16.1%−67% / −81%
SMPLThe Simply Good Foods Company1.2 bn—-9.6%-11.5%−6.5%−32% / −66%
VITLVital Farms, Inc.450.8 m—-7.4%-3.0%+25.3%−68% / −21%
UCFICN Healthy Food Tech Group Corp.287.8 m36.739.2%24.6%+144.6%−46% / unavailable
BGSB&G Foods, Inc.208.9 m—-15.8%-4.0%unavailable−44% / −72%
CHSNChanson International Holding131.0 m112.00.5%1.0%+0.2%−99% / −100%
SOWGSow Good Inc.44.4 m—-346.4%—unavailable−75% / −98%
MLECMoolec Science SA32.7 m—-86.4%-130.0%+521.5%−86% / −100%
LSFLaird Superfood, Inc.26.9 m—-22.9%-3.4%+15.2%−12% / +129%
BOFBranchOut Food Inc.25.9 m—-202.6%-56.8%+113.3%−45% / +8%
BRLSBorealis Foods Inc.24.7 m——-56.5%+8.2%−38% / −90%
HAINThe Hain Celestial Group, Inc.13.7 m—-96.8%-22.5%−13.2%−86% / −99%
NOMDNomad Foods Limited——5.3%4.5%−2.2%+2% / −22%
DDCDDC Enterprise Limited——-124.4%-123.3%+4.6%−96% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HAIN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 14 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 10-K/A (23 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Hain Celestial is a global health and wellness food and beverage company, with brands in teas, yogurt, baby and kids foods and ready meals. Net sales fell to 1.35 billion USD in fiscal 2026 1, and the company is selling its International business and negotiating an extension of its credit maturity, which will shape its direction in the coming period 12.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A portfolio of well-known brands in health and wellness categories, with strong positions in teas and yogurt in North America 12.
    • Better operating cash flow and lower debt after the sale of the North American Snacks business 12.
    • Extensive international presence, with sales in more than 70 countries, giving a diversified geographic base 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Net sales and profitability declined in fiscal 2026, and the net loss remained significant 12.
    • Dependence on one large customer that accounts for a significant share of sales creates vulnerability 1.
    • Significant impairments of goodwill and assets show pressure on the carrying value of the business 1.

    Opportunities

    • Completing the sale of the International business could simplify the structure and focus the company on North America 2.
    • Productivity savings from the restructuring program could improve margins if they are sustained 12.
    • Growth in e-commerce and plant-based products could open new sales sources 1.

    Threats

    • The credit maturity in December 2026 and refinancing conditions could seriously affect liquidity if no agreement is reached 1.
    • Inflation, tariffs and geopolitical tensions can raise ingredient and transport costs 1.
    • Strong competition from private label brands and large food companies could reduce market share and margins 1.

    Risks

    • Credit maturity and refinancinghigh

      The credit agreement matures in December 2026, and management indicated it does not currently expect to be able to repay the principal in full at maturity if it cannot extend or refinance the debt 1. Failure to meet these obligations could have severe consequences for shareholders 1.

    • Completion of the International business salehigh

      The transaction depends on regulatory approvals in several countries and on an amendment to the credit agreement by 12 October 2026, and the purchaser could terminate if these conditions are not met 1. If the sale does not complete, the company's simplification plan could be delayed 12.

    • Asset impairmentmedium

      In fiscal 2026 the company recorded significant goodwill and intangible asset impairments, which shows that the value of some brands and units could be reassessed further 1. Such impairments are non-cash but reduce equity 1.

    • Cost and margin pressuremedium

      Inflation in ingredients, energy and transport weighed on the International segment, and pressures could persist if geopolitical tensions continue 12.

    • Dependence on a major customermedium

      One customer accounted for about 13% of net sales in fiscal 2026, and a loss or reduction of its orders could significantly affect revenue 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the International sale completes and debt falls, the company could become a more focused North American business with strong brands in attractive categories 2.
    • Operating cash flow rose sharply in fiscal 2026, and in the fourth quarter organic net sales in North America returned to slight growth 2.
    • The restructuring program and tighter cost control could support margins over the medium term, especially if input cost pressure eases 12.

    What would break the thesis

    • Refinancing of the credit facility is not assured, and failure could have severe consequences for shareholders, including restructuring or insolvency 1.
    • Sales declined and the net loss remained significant, which suggests a return to profitability could take longer than expected 12.
    • Competition from private label brands and large food companies could limit price increases and weigh on margins over the long term 1.

    What to watch

    • Completion of the International business sale and regulatory approvalsQ2 2027
    • Outcome of the credit agreement amendment and new maturity dateOctober 2026
    • Organic net sales trend in North America and gross marginQ1 2027
    • Progress of the restructuring program and announced savings2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 14 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 10-K/A (23 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Hain Celestial, founded in 1993 and headquartered in Hoboken, New Jersey, makes and sells better-for-you foods and beverages, including Celestial Seasonings teas, The Greek Gods yogurt and the Earth's Best and Ella's Kitchen brands for children 1. The company reports two geographic segments, North America and International, and sales outside the U.S. were about 53% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2026 1. The portfolio was simplified by the sale of the North American Snacks business, completed in February 2026 1.

    Production is split between company facilities and co-packers: in fiscal 2026 about 53% of revenue came from products made in the company's own plants and about 47% from products made by contract manufacturers 1. Key customers are supermarket chains, specialty distributors and e-commerce channels, and Walmart accounted for about 13% of net sales in fiscal 2026 1.

    Structurally, the company is in transition: in September 2026 it agreed to sell its International business to a group affiliated with AURELIUS, which includes Ella's Kitchen, Joya and Natumi 12. If the sale closes, management has said the company would become a more focused North American business 2.

    Segments

    International

    The International segment covers the United Kingdom, Ireland, Western Europe and parts of the Middle East and Africa, with Ella's Kitchen, New Covent Garden soups and the plant-based Joya and Natumi brands 1. Organic net sales fell 4% in fiscal 2026 and adjusted EBITDA declined 26% from the prior year, driven by cost inflation and lower volume 2.

    Market context

    Hain operates in packaged foods, where it competes with large consumer goods companies and with smaller natural and organic brands for limited retailer shelf space 1. Demand for better-for-you products depends on income and consumer trends, and in periods of high inflation price pressure from competitors can become stronger 1. The company's market share is not measured directly in the sources reviewed.

    The macroeconomic backdrop remains volatile, with inflation, changing interest rates, trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions that have raised energy and transport costs 1. The company has said it has not suffered a material disruption to operations, but prolonged pressure could affect costs and demand 1.

    Trends

    • Demand for healthier food and changing dietsmixed

      Consumer preferences change quickly, including as a result of weight loss drugs, and demand for better-for-you products could fall if disposable incomes decline 1. The company says it is diversifying its offering, though developing new products carries risks 1.

    • Growth of e-commercemixed

      Consumption is shifting toward e-commerce, where margins are sometimes lower and fulfilment more complex, but where new competitors with lower entry barriers also appear 1. For the company this channel is both an opportunity and a pressure on profitability 1.

    • Input cost pressureheadwind

      Inflation, volatile prices for agricultural ingredients and weather effects on harvests can raise production costs, and ingredient prices can be hard to control 1. The company tries to offset them through price increases and efficiency, though the net effect remains uncertain 12.

    • Efficiency and cost reductiontailwind

      The multi-year restructuring program begun in 2024 aims at productivity savings and lower overhead, and North America gross margin improved in fiscal 2026 2. If these measures hold, they could support profitability in the following years 12.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with large food companies that have far greater resources and can quickly launch new products, reformulations or aggressive promotions 1. It also competes with smaller natural and organic brands, which can be more innovative, and with retailers' private label products, which occupy the same shelf space 1.

    Competitive dynamics are intensified because large retail chains promote their own brands and competitors' promotional activity can pressure Hain's margins 1. The company says that if it cannot maintain its position it might have to increase marketing spending to protect market share 1.

    • Large packaged consumer goods companies

      Described generically in the filing as large food companies with greater resources; not named in the text.

    • Natural and organic food brands

      Smaller brands that can innovate quickly and serve niche markets the company also targets.

    • Retailer private label brands

      Products sold by retail chains under their own brand, generally at lower prices.

    • E-commerce companies and new business models

      New entrants that simplify distribution and lower barriers to entry.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report15 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Other events
    • Current report28 Sept 2026
      Delisting notice · Departure or appointment of officers
    • Annual report14 Sept 2026
    • Current report14 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report11 May 2026
    • Current report11 May 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Apr 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report27 Mar 2026
      Delisting notice
    • Current report04 Mar 2026
      Acquisition or disposition of assets · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. · 14 Sept 2026
    2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. · 14 Sept 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.