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olivLaw · US equity research

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. DJT

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

4.49USD−24.54% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Trump Media & Technology Group operates the Truth Social platform, the Truth+ streaming service and the Truth.Fi financial brand, and holds a bitcoin treasury strategy alongside them. The company, which is preparing a merger with TAE Technologies, could change its profile, but it still depends on very small revenue compared with its losses, especially those on digital assets.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) stock was 4.49 USD (−24.54% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn USD, beta 1.83, 52-week range 4.49–16.09 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.7 m USD (+89.0% YoY), net income of -238.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.86 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn USD
shares as of 07 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -4.71 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-104.83%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.83
Volatility (1y) 75%
52-week range
4.4916.09

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
20.5
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.74 – 8.47
below the lower band · %B -0.07 · band width 56.5%
SMA 50 / 200
8.06 / 9.21
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.82 / -0.71
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−48.0%−1.1%−46.9 pp—
3 months−54.9%−0.5%−54.5 pp—
6 months−50.7%+4.4%−55.1 pp—
Year to date−66.1%+12.3%−78.4 pp—
1 year−67.5%+13.5%−81.1 pp−20.6%
3 years−69.8%+76.4%−146.2 pp−11.3%
5 years−92.1%+63.7%−155.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−72.1%
19 Dec 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−95.4%
04 Mar 2022 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−39.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.7 m USD
+89.0% YoY
Net income
-238.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.86
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-14,256.2% / -9,792.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.0 m1.0 m821.2 k883.3 k972.9 k1.0 m871.2 k1.7 m
Cost of revenue123.3 k366.1 k336.7 k342.9 k446.8 k548.8 k1.5 m499.9 k
Research & development3.9 m7.2 m12.6 m13.0 m8.3 m8.9 m8.4 m8.2 m
SG&A17.7 m34.7 m25.2 m28.6 m31.1 m34.3 m37.9 m—
Operating income-23.7 m-45.4 m-39.5 m-43.5 m-57.7 m-432.3 m-293.5 m-163.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation762.2 k2.2 m1.8 m1.8 m1.9 m1.9 m1.9 m1.9 m
Interest expense246.7 k183.3 k186.8 k4.1 m11.5 m11.6 m11.5 m11.7 m
Pre-tax income-19.2 m-37.6 m-31.7 m-19.7 m-54.8 m-605.6 m-405.8 m-238.0 m
Income tax000310.3 k84.6 k165.2 k98.8 k98.9 k
Net income-19.2 m-37.6 m-31.7 m-20.0 m-54.8 m-605.8 m-405.9 m-238.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.10-0.17 ≈-0.14-0.08-0.20-2.18 ≈-1.47-0.86
Operating cash flow-21.9 m ≈-8.3 m-9.7 m2.3 m ≈10.1 m ≈12.1 m17.9 m-31.6 m ≈
Capex2.9 m ≈2.6 k3.2 k552.5 k ≈14.0 k ≈3.8 k7.3 k3.1 k ≈
Share repurchases2.9 m ≈08.3 m0 ≈6.4 m ≈38.9 m00 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenueunavailable1.5 m4.1 m3.6 m3.7 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+180.9%−12.4%+1.8%
Net income-2.0 m50.5 m-58.2 m-400.9 m-712.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−215.2%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable0.58-0.67-2.36-2.80
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−215.5%unavailableunavailable
net %unavailable3,435.8%-1,408.6%-11,077.3%-19,343.4%
Free cash flowunavailable-24.3 m-9.7 m-66.0 m14.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
134.6 m USD
Financial debt
947.1 m USD
Net debt
812.6 m USD
Equity
1.6 bn USD
Total assets
2.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.58x
Current ratio
1.23x
ROE
-55.6%
ROA
-39.9%
FCF margin
385.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.1 m
2024
3.6 m
2025
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
164.9 k
2024
619.0 k
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
4.0 m ≈
2024
3.0 m ≈
2025
2.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
9.7 m
2024
49.1 m
2025
42.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
8.9 m
2024
130.6 m
2025
119.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-16.0 m
2024
-186.0 m
2025
-573.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
60.4 k
2024
2.9 m
2025
7.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-15.9 m ≈
2024
-183.1 m ≈
2025
-565.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
39.4 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
27.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-58.2 m
2024
-400.9 m
2025
-711.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.1 k
2024
0
2025
560.1 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-58.2 m
2024
-400.9 m
2025
-712.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.67
2024
-2.36
2025
-2.80

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
87.5 m
2024
169.6 m
2025
254.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.6 m
2024
170.2 m
2025
134.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
81.0 k
2024
17.4 k
2025
244.5 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.0 m
2024
784.3 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
29.2 k
2024
4.4 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
0
2024
120.9 m
2025
120.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
25.4 m
2025
19.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.4 m
2024
938.3 m
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
871.2 k
2024
1.5 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
4.8 m
2025
946.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
442.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
65.3 m
2024
17.3 m
2025
980.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
70.1 m
2024
24.7 m
2025
982.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
-66.8 m
2024
913.6 m
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-9.7 m
2024
-61.0 m
2025
14.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.2 k
2024
5.0 m
2025
573.5 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-9.7 m ≈
2024
-66.0 m ≈
2025
14.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.2 k
2024
-618.6 m
2025
-2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
2.5 m
2024
847.2 m
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
2.9 m
2025
53.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
35.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
33.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-20,788.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-20,955.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-28,867.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
187.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-78.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-49.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-43.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-92.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
754.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-20.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
8.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
28.2 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
8.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
26 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
414 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-104.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
276.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
443.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
147.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 37 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

4.49 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-78.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-28,867.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 07 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 671derived 57

Score by group

  • Balance sheet9
  • Valuation6
  • Quality32
  • Growth76
  • Returns94

Estimated value range

Low
0.92
USD per share
Mid
1.96
USD per share
High
3.91
USD per share
Price: 4.49 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -56.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -129.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.92 – 3.91 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)0.92 – 3.91 (Mid 1.96)
    WACC 7.4% · starting FCFF 47.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 80%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 36.5%
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 37/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality33.7%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality-20,955.8%3 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality187.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth35.8%100 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth1.8%27 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x9 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation443.2x0 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation0.7%14 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.6%94 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial9/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth76/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality32/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns94/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation6/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.8%; net margin -28,867.7%; ROE -78.9%.

The estimated value range is 0.92–3.91 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.96 USD, the price of 4.49 USD leaves a potential of -56.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -129.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 37/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF margin: 187.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 35.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 3.6%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 33.7%
  • EBIT margin: -20,955.8%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 1.8%
  • Current ratio: 1.0x
  • EV/Sales: 443.2x
  • FCF yield: 0.7%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.5x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.0x
P/S
276.2x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+16,581.4%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−34.6%)
ROE
-78.9%
vertical median -4.1%
below median
Net margin
-28,867.7%
vertical median -5.3%
below median
EBIT margin
-20,955.8%
vertical median 0.3%
below median (−6,063,780.7%)
Revenue YoY
1.8%
vertical median 10.0%
below median (−82.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.3,552.1 bn15.144.3%50.0%+15.1%−10% / +118%
APPAppLovin Corporation90.0 bn18.3210.1%65.9%+70.0%−55% / +625%
FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc14.2 bn—-14.3%-7.1%+16.6%−61% / −48%
FDSFactset Research Systems Inc12.1 bn23.525.5%21.5%+6.7%+23% / −25%
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn281.35.1%3.1%+15.5%+89% / +184%
SOGPSound Group Inc.8.8 bn350.370.4%7.1%+59.4%−21% / +265%
NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plc6.0 bn—-65.3%-8.0%+5.7%+29% / unavailable
SIFYSify Technologies Ltd5.8 bn—-4.1%-2.0%+9.0%+20% / +53%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn34.05.8%8.2%+13.9%+29% / −59%
BZKanzhun Limited1.7 bn41.616.0%33.1%+17.3%−21% / +6%
WBWeibo Corporation1.6 bn3.812.1%25.6%+0.1%−35% / −36%
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.1.2 bn—-78.9%-28,867.7%+1.8%−68% / −70%
HSTMHealthstream Inc949.7 m45.46.0%6.6%+4.3%+29% / +30%
NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc934.4 m—-7.2%-11.1%+4.2%unavailable / unavailable
TBLATaboola.com Ltd.921.2 m7.014.3%6.8%+8.3%−33% / −21%
CEVACeva, Inc.788.9 m—-3.6%-9.5%+2.5%+30% / +29%
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc.716.2 m——-5.9%−1.9%+165% / +123%
NEXNNexxen International Ltd.513.3 m22.25.0%6.9%−0.2%+41% / +151%
HUYAHUYA Inc.470.7 m—-1.9%-1.7%+11.6%−27% / −38%
RZLVRezolve AI plc460.8 m—-98.7%-216.7%+2,224.2%−55% / −87%
ZIPZiprecruiter, Inc.321.9 m12.9—6.2%−5.3%−5% / −66%
MFMindForge Inc.172.5 m—-167.2%-222.9%−49.9%−83% / unavailable
GOAIEva Live Inc31.8 m—-58.5%-39.3%+82.6%unavailable / unavailable
HOLOMicroCloud Hologram Inc.27.2 m—-2.3%-12.4%+38.6%−66% / −100%
TEADTeads Holding Co.27.0 m—-196.2%-43.3%+46.1%−61% / −93%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DJT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Trump Media & Technology Group operates the Truth Social platform, the Truth+ streaming service and the Truth.Fi financial brand, and holds a bitcoin treasury strategy alongside them. The company, which is preparing a merger with TAE Technologies, could change its profile, but it still depends on very small revenue compared with its losses, especially those on digital assets 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a solid asset position, with financial assets of close to two billion, which gives it flexibility in periods of strain.
    • The Truth Social brand is tied to a very well-known public figure, which attracts attention and a loyal user community.
    • The company has a diversified product structure, from social networks to streaming and financial services, that can support an integrated strategy.

    Weaknesses

    • Operating revenue is very small relative to the balance sheet, and net losses are large, mostly from unrealized losses.
    • The company depends heavily on the popularity and reputation of a single public figure, and changes there could affect the brand.
    • Legal costs have been high in the past, and internal control material weaknesses were reported earlier.

    Opportunities

    • The launch of Truth API could create a new revenue stream from data licensing to institutional clients.
    • If the TAE merger is completed, the company could enter the energy sector and diversify its activities.
    • Monetizing Truth+ through advertising and Patriot Package subscriptions could increase streaming revenue.

    Threats

    • A decline in the value of digital assets could continue to weigh on the balance sheet and financial results.
    • Competition with large social and streaming platforms could limit the company's ability to attract users and advertisers.
    • Regulatory changes for digital assets could materially change the company's business model.

    Risks

    • Bitcoin and Cronos volatilityhigh

      Financial results depend on the price of digital assets, and a decline could seriously affect the balance sheet and financing capacity.

    • Indebtedness and collateralhigh

      Convertible notes and collateral requirements could limit the company's ability to finance its strategy and operations.

    • Dependence on a public figuremedium

      The brand is closely tied to the popularity of one public figure, and changes there could affect revenue and audience.

    • TAE mergermedium

      Completion depends on shareholder and regulatory approvals, and if it does not happen, the company could suffer negative consequences.

    • Litigationmedium

      Lawsuits over published content or other matters could generate high costs and damage the company's reputation.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If Truth API confirms adoption and legal costs fall, the company could show a clear improvement in its cost structure and revenue.
    • Large financial assets could provide the resources needed to complete the merger and support growth at Truth+ and Truth Social.
    • If the digital asset strategy becomes more disciplined, the company could manage volatility better and reduce unrealized losses.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue remains very small relative to losses, and if it does not grow, dependence on digital assets could become a serious problem.
    • The TAE merger could dilute current shareholders and bring new risks if integration proves harder than expected.
    • If the popularity of the figure tied to the brand declines, the company's platforms could lose users and advertisers.

    What to watch

    • Completion of the TAE Technologies merger and regulatory approvalsQ4 2026
    • Truth API revenue and number of customer agreementsQ3 2026
    • Level of legal and general administrative costs after legacy litigation is resolvedQ3 2026
    • Evolution of digital assets and unrealized losses in the quarterly reportnext 10-Q

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    TMTG operates Truth Social, a social media platform established as a safe harbor for free expression, Truth+, a TV streaming service with live channels and on-demand content, and Truth.Fi, a financial services and FinTech brand 1. The company has also adopted a digital asset treasury strategy that includes bitcoin, to help ensure its financial freedom 1. In the second quarter of 2026, revenue was 1.7 million USD, up 89% from the year-earlier quarter 3.

    Truth API, launched on August 1, 2026, is the company's first data licensing product, a B2B subscription offering low latency access to public posts from certain top Truth Social accounts 3. The company says it has already signed several customer agreements 3.

    The Trump Media Group CRO Strategy and the proposed merger with TAE Technologies are the major structural projects, and the company says the merger could close in the fourth quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory conditions 13.

    Segments

    Truth Social

    Truth Social is the company's social media platform, with features such as direct messaging, groups, a for-you feed and the Patriot Package subscription, and in 2026 the company also launched Truth API as a data product 12.

    Truth+

    Truth+ is a TV streaming service with live news channels and on-demand content, available globally since July 2025, and the company is working on monetizing it through advertising and subscriptions 1.

    Truth.Fi

    Truth.Fi groups financial products, including five ETFs listed on the New York Stock Exchange launched in December 2025 and digital asset strategies, though its contribution to revenue remains to be seen 12.

    Market context

    The company operates in the social media and streaming markets, where competition with large technology and media operators is intense, while it extends into financial services and data. Its revenue remains very small relative to the size of its balance sheet, so performance depends heavily on digital assets and the regulatory framework 3.

    The digital asset and bitcoin market is volatile, and the company acknowledges that unrealized losses on such assets strongly influence results, as seen in the second quarter of 2026 13.

    Trends

    • Digital asset volatilityheadwind

      The value of bitcoin and Cronos could strongly influence financial results and the price of listed securities, and unrealized losses dominated the second quarter 2026 result 13.

    • Data licensing from social platformsmixed

      The launch of Truth API opens a new revenue stream from data, but the product has only just begun to be adopted and has drawn public criticism 3.

    • Lower legal spendingtailwind

      The company says that resolving legacy litigation could significantly reduce general and administrative costs, leaving more room for growth 3.

    • Consolidation through mergermixed

      The merger with TAE Technologies could shift the company's profile toward energy, but it involves dilution for current shareholders and multiple closing conditions 13.

    Competitive position

    Truth Social competes with very large social media and streaming platforms that have far larger user bases. The company stresses that success depends on attracting and retaining a sufficient audience, and that competition is an ongoing threat 1.

    In financial services and digital assets, TMTG is compared with traditional funds and entities holding bitcoin, and its stated advantage is its positioning toward a conservative niche 1.

    • Meta PlatformsMETA

      Social network operator with a far larger audience that competes directly for user attention and advertising.

    • Alphabet (YouTube)GOOGL

      Video and content platform competing with Truth+ for streaming audiences and advertising budgets.

    • Rumble

      Video and content platform with a similar free-speech positioning that competes for the same audience.

    • Traditional streaming services

      Streaming and TV channel services that compete with Truth+ for viewers' attention and distribution.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    • Current report30 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report28 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report10 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
    • Current report10 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report07 Aug 2026
      Termination of a material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report07 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Jul 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. · 27 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.