olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

ZipRecruiter, Inc. ZIP

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

4.51USD+7.38% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

ZipRecruiter operates an AI-powered online employment marketplace that the company describes as a dedicated matchmaker between job seekers and employers. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue grew modestly while the number of paid employers rose sharply, suggesting demand may be stabilising in a still subdued hiring market. The company also reduced debt by repurchasing notes at a discount.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, ZipRecruiter, Inc. (ZIP) stock was 4.51 USD (+7.38% on the day), with market capitalisation 321.9 m USD, P/E 12.9 on diluted EPS of 0.35 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.60, 52-week range 1.69–5.49 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 118.1 m USD (+5.2% YoY), net income of 43.4 m USD, diluted EPS 0.53 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
321.9 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
12.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.35 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
7.76%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.60
Volatility (1y) 91%
52-week range
1.695.49

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.02 – 4.81
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.61 · band width 17.9%
SMA 50 / 200
4.07 / 3.37
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.09 / 0.12
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+24.9%−2.0%+26.9 pp—
3 months+6.1%−2.2%+8.3 pp—
6 months+44.6%+4.3%+40.3 pp—
Year to date+15.6%+10.6%+5.1 pp—
1 year+10.0%+10.5%−0.5 pp−21.0%
3 years−61.6%+73.7%−135.3 pp−11.3%
5 years−84.2%+61.7%−145.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−69.2%
10 Dec 2025 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.7%
16 Nov 2021 → 12 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−30.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
118.1 m USD
+5.2% YoY
Net income
43.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.53
unavailable YoY
net / operating
36.8% / 3.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue117.1 m111.0 m110.1 m112.2 m115.0 m111.7 m107.5 m118.1 m
Cost of revenue12.4 m11.5 m11.7 m12.0 m12.5 m12.1 m12.0 m12.6 m
Gross profit104.7 m99.5 m98.4 m100.3 m102.5 m99.5 m95.6 m105.5 m
Research & development33.7 m31.7 m33.3 m32.1 m30.9 m28.4 m26.1 m26.4 m
Operating income-3.2 m-4.0 m-11.7 m-6.7 m-5.0 m4.0 m-1.5 m4.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.1 m ≈3.2 m3.0 m3.4 m ≈3.2 m ≈2.9 m2.9 m3.1 m ≈
Interest expense7.5 m7.4 m7.4 m7.4 m7.4 m7.4 m7.4 m6.7 m
Pre-tax income-4.4 m-6.4 m-13.7 m-9.1 m-8.3 m512.0 k-5.6 m59.9 m
Income tax-1.8 m4.4 m-875.0 k396.0 k1.5 m1.3 m-836.0 k16.4 m
Net income-2.6 m-10.8 m-12.8 m-9.5 m-9.8 m-835.0 k-4.7 m43.4 m
Diluted EPS-0.03-0.11 ≈-0.13-0.10-0.11-0.01 ≈-0.060.53
Operating cash flow9.3 m ≈12.5 m-9.9 m10.5 m ≈2.6 m ≈7.7 m-3.5 m15.4 m ≈
Capex190.0 k ≈449.0 k295.0 k307.0 k ≈374.0 k ≈102.0 k140.0 k231.0 k ≈
Share repurchases22.6 m ≈2.7 m27.5 m56.6 m ≈10.0 m ≈8.0 m9.5 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 8 percentile of its own 13-quarter history (min 10.7, median 31.9, max 385.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue429.6 m418.1 m741.1 m904.6 m645.7 m474.0 m449.0 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−2.7%+77.2%+22.1%−28.6%−26.6%−5.3%
Net income-6.3 m86.0 m3.6 m61.5 m49.1 m-12.9 m-33.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−95.8%+1,608.2%−20.2%−126.2%unavailable
Diluted EPS-0.130.700.020.510.46-0.13-0.37
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−97.1%+2,450.0%−9.8%−128.3%unavailable
net %-1.5%20.6%0.5%6.8%7.6%-2.7%-7.3%
Free cash flow-4.7 m86.7 m138.1 m126.1 m102.3 m44.8 m9.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
188.0 m USD
Financial debt
544.8 m USD
Net debt
356.8 m USD
Equity
-77.2 m USD
Total assets
569.7 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
6.33x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-5.3%
FCF margin
2.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
645.7 m
2024
474.0 m
2025
449.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
64.3 m
2024
50.2 m
2025
48.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
581.4 m
2024
423.9 m
2025
400.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
141.8 m
2024
134.8 m
2025
124.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
79.4 m
2024
1.3 m
2025
-19.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
11.6 m
2024
12.3 m
2025
12.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
91.1 m ≈
2024
13.6 m ≈
2025
-6.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
29.4 m
2024
29.6 m
2025
29.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
70.6 m
2024
-6.5 m
2025
-30.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
21.5 m
2024
6.4 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
49.1 m
2024
-12.9 m
2025
-33.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.46
2024
-0.13
2025
-0.37

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
105.8 m
2024
98.6 m
2025
89.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
283.0 m
2024
218.4 m
2025
188.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
27.2 m
2024
23.5 m
2025
25.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
562.3 m
2024
543.7 m
2025
448.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
6.2 m
2024
4.9 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.7 m
2024
8.5 m
2025
8.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
5.3 m
2025
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
659.5 m
2024
664.1 m
2025
569.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.8 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
9.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
542.6 m
2024
543.6 m
2025
544.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
84.9 m
2024
81.6 m
2025
70.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
651.1 m
2024
650.6 m
2025
646.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
8.4 m †
2024
13.4 m †
2025
-77.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
103.2 m
2024
45.7 m
2025
11.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
918.0 k
2024
922.0 k
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
102.3 m ≈
2024
44.8 m ≈
2025
9.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
106.7 m
2024
-62.0 m
2025
65.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-154.3 m
2024
-48.4 m
2025
-106.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
147.6 m
2024
40.3 m
2025
102.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-20.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-1,633.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-78.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
89.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
123.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
9.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
22.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
847.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
21.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
76.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
163.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
21 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
88 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
321.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
445.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
32.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
285.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
15.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 52 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.51 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 321.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
321.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
32.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 922derived 90

Score by group

  • Balance sheet54
  • Valuation79
  • Quality60
  • Growth5
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
2.21
USD per share
Mid
7.36
USD per share
High
14.58
USD per share
Price: 4.51 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 63.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 38.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.00 – 49.79 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)6.46 – 14.58 (Mid 9.11)
    WACC 6.8% · starting FCFF 38.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 81%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -25.5%
  • Peers: EV/Sales2.21 – 49.79 (Mid 7.36)
    15 companies used · median multiple 1.4x · quartiles 0.6x – 8.1x
    APP, CDLX, DOCN, FDS, FLUT, GMM, GOOGL, NIQ, PPLI, RXT, RZLV, SIFY, TBLA, TEAD, WB
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.00 – 1.59 (Mid 0.89)
    8 companies used · median multiple 13.8x · quartiles 5.3x – 17.4x
    APP, DOCN, FDS, FLUT, GMM, NIQ, TBLA, WB
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 52/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality89.1%100 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality0.3%51 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality4.7%19 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-20.8%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-5.3%14 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet9.1x8 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.0x100 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation1.0x63 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation6.6%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.6%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet54/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth5/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality60/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation79/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

ZIPRECRUITER, INC. (ZIP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 449.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.3%; net margin 6.2%; net debt/EBITDA 9.1x.

The estimated value range is 2.21–14.58 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 7.36 USD, the price of 4.51 USD leaves a potential of 63.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 38.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 52/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 89.1%
  • Current ratio: 3.0x
  • FCF yield: 6.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.6%

What contradicts it

  • FCF margin: 4.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -20.8%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -5.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 9.1x

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
12.9x
vertical median 28.8x
below median (−55.2%)
EV/EBITDA
32.8x
vertical median 15.0x
above median (+118.8%)
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−63.5%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.9x
ROE
—
vertical median -4.1%
Net margin
6.2%
vertical median -5.5%
above median
EBIT margin
0.3%
vertical median -0.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
-5.3%
vertical median 10.0%
below median (−152.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
9.1x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+2,232.5%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.3,442.7 bn14.644.3%50.0%+15.1%−13% / +111%
APPAppLovin Corporation82.3 bn18.9203.7%64.6%+70.0%−59% / +555%
FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc14.2 bn—-9.1%-5.0%+16.6%−61% / −48%
FDSFactset Research Systems Inc12.1 bn23.525.5%21.5%+6.7%+23% / −25%
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn281.35.1%3.1%+15.5%+89% / +184%
SOGPSound Group Inc.8.8 bn350.370.4%7.1%+59.4%−21% / +265%
NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plc6.0 bn—-65.3%-8.0%+5.7%+29% / unavailable
SIFYSify Technologies Ltd5.8 bn—-4.1%-2.0%+9.0%+20% / +53%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn34.05.8%8.2%+13.9%+29% / −59%
BZKanzhun Limited1.7 bn41.616.0%33.1%+17.3%−21% / +6%
WBWeibo Corporation1.6 bn3.812.1%25.6%+0.1%−35% / −36%
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.1.2 bn—-78.9%-28,867.7%+1.8%−61% / −74%
HSTMHealthstream Inc949.7 m45.46.0%6.6%+4.3%+29% / +30%
NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc934.4 m—-7.2%-11.1%+4.2%unavailable / unavailable
TBLATaboola.com Ltd.921.2 m7.812.7%6.1%+8.3%−33% / −21%
CEVACeva, Inc.788.9 m—-3.6%-9.5%+2.5%+30% / +29%
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc.716.2 m——-5.9%−1.9%+165% / +123%
NEXNNexxen International Ltd.513.3 m22.25.0%6.9%−0.2%+41% / +151%
HUYAHUYA Inc.470.7 m—-1.9%-1.7%+11.6%−27% / −38%
RZLVRezolve AI plc460.8 m—-98.7%-216.7%+2,224.2%−55% / −87%
ZIPZiprecruiter, Inc.321.9 m12.9—6.2%−5.3%+10% / −62%
MFMindForge Inc.172.5 m—-167.2%-222.9%−49.9%−83% / unavailable
GOAIEva Live Inc31.8 m—-58.5%-39.3%+82.6%unavailable / unavailable
HOLOMicroCloud Hologram Inc.27.2 m—-2.3%-12.4%+38.6%−66% / −100%
TEADTeads Holding Co.27.0 m—-196.2%-43.3%+46.1%−61% / −93%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ZIP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
2.70
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
4.81
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
7.27
Total return 61% · Per year 61%
3 years
2.15
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
4.34
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
7.27
Total return 61% · Per year 17%
5 years
1.71
Total return -62% · Per year -18%
3.91
Total return -13% · Per year -3%
7.27
Total return 61% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.08
  • Net margin± 0.76
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.69
  • Annual dilution± 0.06

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

ZipRecruiter operates an AI-powered online employment marketplace that the company describes as a dedicated matchmaker between job seekers and employers. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue grew modestly while the number of paid employers rose sharply, suggesting demand may be stabilising in a still subdued hiring market 12. The company also reduced debt by repurchasing notes at a discount 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a large proprietary dataset from user interactions and a matching system that improves over time 1.
  • The brand has high recognition among employers and job seekers, and the app is rated among the best in its category 13.
  • Marketing costs are largely variable, which allows spending to be adjusted quickly to economic changes 1.

Weaknesses

  • The company reported a net loss in 2025 and profitability has been uneven from quarter to quarter 12.
  • Revenue per paid employer declined in the latest quarter, which suggests pricing pressure or a more fragile customer mix 2.
  • Substantially all revenue is generated in the United States, which exposes the company to conditions there 1.

Opportunities

  • If the number of paid employers keeps growing, the company could recover revenue lost in weaker periods 2.
  • Reducing debt through discounted note repurchases could improve financial flexibility 3.
  • Expanding AI matching features could attract new employers and candidates if results hold 13.

Threats

  • Larger competitors with more resources could adopt similar AI technology and offer cheaper alternatives 1.
  • Changes in data privacy and AI rules could impose compliance costs and force changes to the business model 1.
  • An economic slowdown or trade tensions could reduce employers' recruitment budgets 12.

Risks

  • Dependence on economic conditionshigh

    Demand for recruitment services falls quickly when economic activity weakens, and any recovery may be slow and uneven 1.

  • Intense competitionhigh

    Larger competitors with greater relationships and resources could limit the company's ability to keep market share and pricing 1.

  • Contract renewalsmedium

    Employers have no obligation to renew plans, and renewal rates for new products may be lower than historical trends 1.

  • Technology failuresmedium

    Software errors or cloud infrastructure outages could affect the platform, its reputation and its revenue 1.

  • Data regulationmedium

    Changing privacy and AI laws in several jurisdictions could raise compliance costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If growth in paid employers is sustained, revenue could return to steadier expansion and margins could keep improving 23.
  • The platform's data advantage and network effects could make matches better over time and strengthen its market position 1.
  • Reducing debt through discounted repurchases could give the company more operating flexibility 3.

What would break the thesis

  • The labour market remains subdued, and if employers keep cutting budgets, revenue growth could stall 12.
  • Competition from larger platforms and AI tools could limit growth and put pressure on prices 1.
  • Revenue per paid employer has fallen recently, which could signal a weaker customer base 2.

What to watch

  • Trend in paid employer count and revenue per paid employerQ3 2026
  • Revenue and margin guidance for the next quarter as presented by the companyQ3 2026
  • Regulatory changes on data and AI that could affect the business model2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

ZipRecruiter describes its business as a two-sided marketplace: employers pay fees to post jobs and access additional features, while job seekers use the platform free of charge 12. Substantially all revenue comes from these employer fees, charged either as flat-rate plans running from one day to a year or as performance-based pricing such as cost-per-click 2. The core engine is a matching system built on machine learning and billions of interactions, which the company says improves over time through network effects 1.

For employers the platform sends instant alerts to qualified candidates after a job is posted and lets employers invite the best candidates to apply with one click, while for job seekers the AI career advisor Phil provides recommendations, application status updates and one-click applications 1. The company also runs its own applicant tracking system that employers can use without other tools 1.

Much of the cost base is variable, since marketing spend can be adjusted quickly to changing economic conditions, and research and development is a significant share of revenue 1. The platform runs entirely on cloud services and the company has engineering teams in several countries 1.

Segments

Paid employers

Revenue comes from paid employers, whose number reached 70721 in the second quarter of 2026, up 12% from the prior quarter 2. Revenue per paid employer fell in that quarter because a wave of new and returning customers contributed revenue for only part of the period 2.

Job seekers

Access for job seekers is free, and this segment is valuable because it feeds the matching data and makes the platform more attractive to employers, although it does not generate revenue directly 12.

Market context

The online recruitment market is large, competitive and highly fragmented, with many platforms competing for employers and job seekers 1. Hiring demand is sensitive to economic cycles, and the company notes that the labour market remains subdued, with some stabilisation during 2025 and early 2026 12.

Macroeconomic factors including inflation, borrowing costs and US tariff policy can influence employers' recruitment budgets, which makes the path of demand hard to predict 12.

Trends

  • AI in recruitmenttailwind

    The company emphasises AI for candidate matching and its Phil career assistant, and management argues these tools could help it take market share in the AI era if results continue 13.

  • Subdued hiring demandheadwind

    The labour market remains weak and employers are reducing or delaying recruitment budgets amid economic uncertainty, which could limit revenue growth 12.

  • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

    Changes in US trade policy and tariffs could reduce global trade and hiring activity among customers, which could affect sales 12.

  • Data and AI regulationmixed

    Rules on data privacy and artificial intelligence are changing across the US, Canada, the EU and the UK, which may require changes to the business model 1.

Competitive position

ZipRecruiter competes with established job sites such as Craigslist, Glassdoor, Google, Indeed, LinkedIn and Meta, as well as hundreds of other sites, many of them larger and with greater financial resources 1. Competition also comes from companies using large language models and other AI tools to offer automated alternatives 1.

For employers the company differentiates on candidate speed, the size of its job seeker community and simplicity of use, but price competition is expected to remain high 1.

  • Indeed

    Job platform with a large candidate base, named as a direct competitor for both employers and job seekers 1.

  • LinkedIn

    Professional network that competes for employers and job seekers, with access to a large base of professionals 1.

  • Glassdoor

    Job and review platform cited as an alternative for both candidates and employers 1.

  • GoogleGOOGL

    Search engine that includes job search features and competes for candidate attention 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / ZipRecruiter, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / ZipRecruiter, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / ZipRecruiter, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.