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olivLaw · US equity research

Daqo New Energy Corp. DQ

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

12.02USD+9.87% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Daqo New Energy Corp. is one of the largest high-purity polysilicon producers in China, selling the material to photovoltaic module makers. The company reported net losses in 2024 and 2025 amid industry oversupply, while Chinese government measures against irrational competition have created a context of possible price recovery with a high degree of uncertainty. Revenue in 2025 was 665.4 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Daqo New Energy Corp. (DQ) stock was 12.02 USD (+9.87% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.1 bn USD, beta 1.24, 52-week range 10.08–35.69 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.51 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-4.24%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.24
Volatility (1y) 56%
52-week range
10.0835.69

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.74 – 11.64
above the upper band · %B 1.20 · band width 17.8%
SMA 50 / 200
11.44 / 16.84
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.26
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.9%−1.1%+10.0 pp—
3 months−9.5%−0.5%−9.0 pp—
6 months−37.9%+4.4%−42.3 pp—
Year to date−59.3%+12.3%−71.6 pp—
1 year−61.6%+13.5%−75.2 pp+35.9%
3 years−54.0%+76.4%−130.4 pp+30.5%
5 years−81.8%+63.7%−145.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−71.8%
10 Nov 2025 → 22 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−86.9%
07 Jul 2022 → 22 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−28.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue301.6 m350.0 m675.6 m1.7 bn4.6 bn2.3 bn1.0 bn665.4 m
Revenue YoY−6.7%+16.0%+93.0%+148.5%+174.5%−49.9%−55.4%−35.3%
Net income38.1 m29.5 m129.2 m748.9 m1.8 bn429.5 m-345.2 m-170.5 m
Net income YoY−58.9%−22.6%+337.6%+479.7%+143.0%−76.4%−180.4%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.120.080.341.954.671.15-1.04-0.51
Diluted EPS YoY−64.7%−33.3%+325.0%+473.5%+139.5%−75.4%−190.4%unavailable
net %12.6%8.4%19.1%44.6%39.5%18.6%-33.5%-25.6%
Free cash flow-47.5 m-98.1 m91.4 m140.5 m1.3 bn505.3 m-794.3 m-123.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
856.1 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
5.9 bn USD
Total assets
6.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
5.37x
ROE
-2.9%
ROA
-2.7%
FCF margin
-18.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.3 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
665.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
803.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
920.7 m
2024
-212.9 m
2025
-137.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
10.1 m
2024
4.6 m
2025
2.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

SG&A
2023
213.2 m
2024
143.1 m
2025
118.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
783.4 m
2024
-564.1 m
2025
-270.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2022verified

Pre-tax income
2023
818.5 m
2024
-518.1 m
2025
-237.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
165.6 m
2024
-69.9 m
2025
-21.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
429.5 m
2024
-345.2 m
2025
-170.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.15
2024
-1.04
2025
-0.51

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
374.8 m
2024
330.8 m
2025
336.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
856.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Apr 2023verified

Inventories
2023
173.3 m
2024
149.9 m
2025
169.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2023
7.4 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
6.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
92.9 m
2024
26.4 m
2025
26.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2022verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Mar 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
836.4 m
2024
521.2 m
2025
501.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
978.6 m
2024
560.4 m
2025
533.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
6.4 bn
2024
5.9 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
328.5 m
2024
333.8 m
2025
338.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.6 bn
2024
-435.4 m
2025
49.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.1 bn
2024
358.8 m
2025
173.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
505.3 m ≈
2024
-794.3 m ≈
2025
-123.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.2 bn
2024
-1.5 bn
2025
-134.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-795.4 m
2024
-47.4 m
2025
-850.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Apr 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
485.9 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Apr 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-35.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-47.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
-20.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-40.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
-25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
-18.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
-3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
-2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
49.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
173.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-123.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
12 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
6.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

12.02 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
-25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-35.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 20 Apr 2026
verified 537

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality-20.7%0 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality-40.6%14 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality-18.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-47.5%0 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-35.3%5 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet5.4x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-3.0%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.1%35 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth2/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality4/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns35/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP. (DQ). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 665.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -35.3%; net margin -25.6%; ROE -3.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 5.4x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: -20.7%
  • EBIT margin: -40.6%
  • FCF margin: -18.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -47.5%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -35.3%
  • FCF yield: -3.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 41.6x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 20.5x
P/S
6.1x
vertical median 6.8x
below median (−9.5%)
P/B
0.9x
vertical median 4.9x
below median (−81.3%)
ROE
-3.9%
vertical median 12.1%
below median (−132.2%)
Net margin
-25.6%
vertical median 11.8%
below median (−316.5%)
EBIT margin
-40.6%
vertical median 13.2%
below median (−407.4%)
Revenue YoY
-35.3%
vertical median 11.6%
below median (−404.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NVDANvidia Corp4,823.1 bn25.3117.2%63.7%+65.5%+13% / +328%
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,553.7 bn41.644.2%42.9%+23.9%−19% / +252%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.899.7 bn10.788.3%63.8%+256.3%+236% / +945%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc801.6 bn106.311.8%16.8%+34.3%+125% / +303%
INTCIntel Corporation309.7 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+44% / +30%
AMATApplied Materials Inc293.2 bn31.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+46% / +147%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc284.6 bn40.439.7%34.3%+13.0%+85% / +104%
ARMArm Holdings PLC204.1 bn225.612.0%18.4%+22.8%+41% / +212%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc196.8 bn48.212.2%29.8%+16.9%+53% / +122%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc140.1 bn52.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+79% / +187%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.8 bn20.829.2%23.4%−2.7%+36% / +30%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.61.5 bn69.525.1%23.9%+26.4%+36% / +130%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated40.9 bn104.27.2%9.3%+7.1%+41% / −10%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.39.0 bn89.028.2%29.6%+115.1%+42% / unavailable
ONOn Semiconductor Corp27.7 bn41.48.9%10.8%−15.3%+42% / −0%
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd25.7 bn48.730.7%33.8%+205.7%−23% / +662%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.8 bn42.07.6%11.5%+9.7%+46% / unavailable
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.9 bn11.318.7%37.1%+24.1%−29% / +23%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.17.8 bn74.617.2%20.7%+32.6%+33% / +178%
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.8.8 bn14.413.6%8.3%+6.2%−2% / +27%
ALGMAllegro Microsystems, Inc.5.8 bn209.13.2%3.1%+22.8%+17% / +15%
CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.5.8 bn14.619.5%20.2%+5.3%−4% / +53%
MXLMaxLinear, Inc.5.2 bn—-5.9%-4.4%+29.7%+265% / +204%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.0 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+121% / +347%
SYNASYNAPTICS Inc4.6 bn—-42.2%-41.0%+11.4%+71% / +16%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DQ from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (29 Oct 2026), 6-K (13 Oct 2026), 6-K (20 Aug 2026), 6-K (06 Aug 2026), 6-K (03 Jun 2026), 6-K (29 Apr 2026).

    In brief

    Daqo New Energy Corp. is one of the largest high-purity polysilicon producers in China, selling the material to photovoltaic module makers. The company reported net losses in 2024 and 2025 amid industry oversupply, while Chinese government measures against irrational competition have created a context of possible price recovery with a high degree of uncertainty. Revenue in 2025 was 665.4 million USD 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Competitive production costs due to location in regions with cheap electricity and high operating efficiency 1.
    • Large-scale production capacity that allows economies of scale compared with smaller producers 1.
    • Product quality is recognized as among the best in China, supported by strict quality control 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Net losses in 2024 and 2025 and a negative gross margin, which limit self-financing capacity 1.
    • Customer concentration, with a large share of revenue coming from a few customers, raises the risk of payment delays or order cuts 1.
    • Reliance on framework contracts with prices set per order makes revenue vulnerable to market price swings 1.

    Opportunities

    • A recovery in polysilicon prices, if anti-involution policies reduce oversupply, could improve margins 1.
    • The semiconductor polysilicon project opens a market less sensitive to photovoltaic prices 1.
    • Global growth in solar installations could support demand over the medium term if subsidies remain adequate 1.

    Threats

    • The phased removal of export VAT rebates could reduce competitiveness in foreign markets 1.
    • Reduced or eliminated subsidies for solar energy could slow demand for polysilicon 1.
    • Tensions between the United States and China could affect access to capital and the continued listing of shares on the New York exchange 1.

    Risks

    • Oversupply and price pressurehigh

      If demand does not absorb polysilicon supply, prices could decline and weigh on profitability 1.

    • Repeated losseshigh

      The company reported net losses in 2024 and 2025, and a recovery depends on market conditions that are not assured 1.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      A small number of customers generate most of the revenue, which could cause difficulties if one of them reduces orders 1.

    • Significant capital needsmedium

      Capacity expansion and research require substantial funding, and access to capital is not certain 1.

    • US-China relationsmedium

      Changes in relations between the United States and China could affect the listing of shares and access to external financing 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If anti-involution policies in China reduce oversupply, polysilicon prices could keep recovering and margins could return to positive territory.
    • Low electricity costs in the production regions may offer a lasting advantage over producers in developed countries.
    • Expansion into semiconductor polysilicon could open new revenue streams less exposed to photovoltaic prices.

    What would break the thesis

    • If oversupply persists, the price recovery could prove temporary and losses could continue.
    • Removal of export VAT rebates and reduced subsidies could weaken demand and competitiveness.
    • Customer concentration and geopolitical tensions could amplify revenue shocks and financing difficulties.

    What to watch

    • Evolution of polysilicon prices and gross marginQ1 2027
    • Implementation of anti-involution measures and their effect on oversupply2027
    • Capacity utilization rate and production cost per kilogramnext 10-K
    • Revenue concentration by customer and any changes in contractsnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (29 Oct 2026), 6-K (13 Oct 2026), 6-K (20 Aug 2026), 6-K (06 Aug 2026), 6-K (03 Jun 2026), 6-K (29 Apr 2026).

    The business

    Daqo New Energy Corp. (ticker DQ) is a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands with its principal executive offices in Shanghai, producing high-purity polysilicon through the modified Siemens process with upgraded hydrochlorination technology 1. It sells to China-based photovoltaic manufacturers, who process the material into ingots, wafers, cells and modules. Sales are mainly made under framework contracts with prices set when each order is placed, which makes revenue sensitive to market prices 1. Total annual capacity is 305000 MT, located in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, regions with lower electricity costs than coastal areas 1.

    The production business has been restricted to polysilicon after the company discontinued wafer manufacturing in Chongqing in 2018; polysilicon is currently the only revenue-generating segment 1. Major customers are operating entities of large silicon wafer producers and vertically integrated solar manufacturers 1. In 2025 the three largest customers together accounted for 63.5% of revenues, indicating high customer concentration 1.

    The company holds a 72.8% equity interest in Xinjiang Daqo, the subsidiary listed on the STAR Market in Shanghai, and is developing polysilicon, silicon metal and silicone projects in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, including a 1000 MT project for the semiconductor industry 1. Production cost was 6.61 USD/kg in 2025, up from 2024, due to higher depreciation from lower capacity utilization 1.

    Segments

    Semiconductor polysilicon

    A 1000 MT project for the semiconductor industry began trial production in May 2024, extending use of the material beyond the photovoltaic market 1. Its contribution to revenue is not broken out separately in the analyzed source.

    Market context

    Global photovoltaic installations totaled approximately 580 GW in 2025, a 9.4% increase from 2024, and China remains the largest market 1. Polysilicon demand, however, also depends on government subsidies and the cost of energy, and the company expects global installations in 2026 of 500 to 667 GW 1.

    The polysilicon industry has gone through cycles of volatile prices: prices fell under pressure from new capacity, then rebounded from the third quarter of 2025 after Chinese authorities acted against irrational competition and overcapacity 1. The outcome of these policies remains uncertain, as market conditions could develop differently from the company's expectations 1.

    Trends

    • Anti-involution policies in Chinatailwind

      Chinese authorities have taken steps against irrational competition and overcapacity, which supported polysilicon prices in the second half of 2025. The company expects these initiatives to continue, but there is no guarantee of their effect on prices 1.

    • Lower export VAT rebatesheadwind

      Export VAT rebates on photovoltaic products fall from 9% to 6% from April 2026 and are due to be abolished from January 2027, which could affect the competitiveness of Chinese exports 1.

    • Move to market-based power pricingmixed

      From June 2025 all electricity generated by China's new energy projects must participate in the power market and trade at market prices, which could change demand for solar installations 1.

    • Persistent polysilicon oversupplyheadwind

      New production capacity has created oversupply and high inventories, and the company warns that if demand does not absorb supply, prices could decline again 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with other polysilicon producers, both in China and abroad, in an industry where capacity has grown rapidly. Its cost advantage comes from locating in regions with cheaper electricity than developed-country or coastal Chinese producers 1.

    Competitive pressure is amplified by new capacity entering the market and high inventory levels, which can keep prices under pressure even as demand rises 1. The analyzed source does not provide a detailed list of competitors with market shares.

    • Chinese polysilicon producers

      Chinese competitors supplying the same products to photovoltaic manufacturers, many with new capacity that contributed to oversupply 1.

    • Producers in developed countries

      Producers outside China with higher electricity and raw material costs, which the company views as less advantaged 1.

    • Integrated silicon wafer producers

      Customers that could also become competitors if vertical integration expands in-house polysilicon production 1.

    • Vertically integrated photovoltaic manufacturers

      Companies that produce their own polysilicon or wafers, representing part of the company's customer base 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 25 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Daqo New Energy Corp. · 20 Apr 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.